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USA500 trade ideas

S&P500 Major bullish break out took placeThe S&P500 index broke above the Rising Resistance that was the top trendline of the Rising Wedge. This transitions the price action from that pattern to the Channel Up, which has significant upside potential at the moment. Trading Plan: 1. Buy on the current market price. Targets: 1. 6080 (+7.25% rise, same as the last rally). Tips: 1. The RSI (4h) is overbought so expect the momentum to turn sideways for some days but that doesn't mean that the uptrend will stop. Similar thing happened during the previous bullish wave. Please like, follow and comment!!
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by TradingBrokersView
Short setup on SPXThe SPX has experienced a significant bull run, reaching just below $5700, but is now showing clear signs of weakness, suggesting a potential short setup. Since mid-July, the SPX has been moving sideways and is now nearly flat at its all-time high. However, the RSI Exhaustion at the bottom of the chart has significantly declined and hasn't recovered much, establishing a downtrend. This divergence between the price and the RSI Exhaustion is the first major signal of a possible short configuration. Three additional signs support this setup: The RSI Exhaustion shows bullish exhaustion (indicated in green), signaling that further price increases are unlikely. The price has formed a top at its all-time high, as identified by the Bottoms Tops Signal indicator. A new major resistance level has recently formed, as indicated by the Levels and Zones indicator. While this level could potentially turn into support if the price breaks above it, for now, it remains a resistance, exerting downward pressure on the price. Is the bull run over? Only time will tell, but for now, it's crucial to remain patient and always seek confirmation from the indicators.
TVC:SPXShort
by a.b
Weekly GEX of SPX | Option Chain Analysis for Option TradersI’d like to share my thoughts below after analyzing the SPX option chain. In this analysis, I focus exclusively on the weekly time range, examining the SPX option chain and the changes in top-tier options metrics. 🔶 Breakout and Bullish Outlook Last Friday's price action saw the SPX break through the 5800 call gamma wall, generating strong bullish momentum . This breakout opens the door for further upward movement throughout the week, especially if buying pressure persists. Breaking through a call gamma wall often leads to a rapid price increase, as these levels act as resistance, but once broken, they support further upward moves. However, caution is advised, as additional call gamma levels (around 5850 and 5875) could act as resistance, where the price may stall. These levels can reverse roles and, if the price falters, could act as significant resistance, potentially leading to a pullback toward the 5800 level. 🔴 Put Skew and IVx Changes The put pricing skew on the Options Oscillator shows a declining trend, meaning that while put options are still more expensive than calls at equivalent strikes, this trend is softening when looking at the November expiration. This indicates a weakening of put options relative to calls, which could be another bullish signal as demand for puts may be declining. The five-day IVx average declining , indicating a decrease in market volatility = VIX is melting down. 🟨 Backwardation and Diagonal/Calendar Strategy Opportunities It's also worth noting the 10.5% backwardation based on the IV skew for the expirations between 10/18 and 10/21 (4/7DTE). This backwardation (downward sloping volatility curve) could benefit calendar and diagonal spread strategies, as options with different expirations have varying volatility conditions. 🔶 GEX Wall Levels: Where Is Support and Resistance? 🔹Gamma Exposure (GEX) levels continue to play a crucial role in the market’s movements: 🔹On the upside, the largest call gamma wall for the next 7 days is at 5850, while the 5875 level may also act as significant resistance. The 5875 is a more likely a realistic bullish target, supported by the Options Overlay’s blue OTM delta 16 probability curve. 🔹On the downside, the 5750 put support level currently offers strong support, with sellers forming a barrier here. The 5800 level is also interesting because it was the largest call gamma level last week, meaning there could be significant volatility as bulls and bears battle around this point. (NOTE: GEX levels is not part of the TanukiTrade Options Overlay indicator yet. The automatic GEX levels will be available by the end of October.) 🟨 How Delta 16 Curves Define My Rational Price Range in Options Trading The blue OTM Delta 16 curves from the Options Overlay define the rational probability range for me based on a lognormal distribution. This is important because there’s a 68% chance the price will stay within this range by expiration. These values are also visible in the Overlay Expiry table. This represents the 68% probability range defined by OTM 16 delta PUTs and OTM 16 delta CALLs, showing a clear directional expected move value. It provides an insightful view of the expected price movement’s directional range, often used by delta-neutral strangle traders like those at TastyTrade. ⅀ SPX Summary The SPX options chain is showing a bullish direction with the breakout above 5800, but it will be key to watch the gamma levels where the market might stall this week. The rising IV and declining put skew trend could provide further signals that the bull market might continue, but the possibility of resistance or a pullback remains. For those considering diagonal strategies, the backwardation may offer interesting opportunities to capitalize on. (NOTE: GEX levels is not part of the TanukiTrade Options Overlay indicator yet. The automatic GEX levels will be available soon, by the end of October!)
SP:SPXLong
by TanukiTrade
US500 Index Price Analysis - Bullish OutlookUS500 Index Price Analysis - Bullish Outlook US500 broke through the top of the large structure on 19-September-24 by confirming that the bullis wants to push the index into new highs. After 20 days in an accumulation process, the price broke out of the pattern yesterday indicating further growth. The reason of the bullish move was related to the FOMC minutes yesterday and the US CPI data can push it up further today as shown on the chart. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by KlejdiCuni
1
S&P 500 Reaches Another Record HighS&P 500 Reaches Another Record High As shown by the S&P 500 chart (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen), the leading US stock index set its 45th record of the year, closing above 5800 on Friday. This marks the fifth consecutive week of growth, with the index up more than 22% since the start of the year. According to Reuters, the bullish market sentiment is driven by the start of Q3 earnings season, with companies possibly issuing bolder forecasts due to the beginning of the Fed’s rate-cutting cycle. What are the prospects for the index until the end of 2024? A technical analysis of the daily S&P 500 chart (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) shows: In 2024, price action has been contained within three relatively narrow ascending channels (shown in blue), where: → The first two channels remained valid for at least 80 candles, and the third has now reached 30 candles; → The channels have similar slopes and widths; → Drawing lines through the high of Channel 1, the high and low of Channel 2, and the low of Channel 3 forms a larger channel (shown in orange). If the bullish sentiment persists, the S&P 500 (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) may continue to rise within the third blue channel towards the upper orange line. However, several factors could significantly impact the market before the year's end: → Labour market data, as well as Fed decisions and comments; → US presidential elections and budget approval; → Company earnings and forecasts that fall well below market expectations. Goldman Sachs analysts predict that the S&P 500 could reach 6,000 by the end of 2024. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:SPXM
by FXOpen
3
SPX - The top is in!Hi ya traders, Everything sure looks bull huh? Bet you even heard some strong bears switching to the bull side recently. 600 is in the bag they say! That's usually a warning sign :) Anyways using fibs, trendlines, and patterns I show why I believe the Top could be in on the SPX. First the last three waves using fibs the 1.618's end right where we are now. Another big cool one is the 2008 crash fib is right here as well. It was at the 2022 tops as well. On many stock charts things look like the 2022 top (example Microsoft) . Also on Friday 10-11-2024 was the SPX 2007 ATH anniversary! Could we be topping on the same date? I say yes! Looking at Nvidia and many others that have recently held the market up they look like they are ready to head down as well. I also plot what happened after the ATH in 2007 on our current charts on the SPX. Oh we also have rising wedge which we just hit the top of the trendline which goes back to august..so I doubt its going to break thru that here. This is a bearish pattern which usually breaks down eventually. Now do I think we are gonna crash? No I don't think we will but you never know. I do feel we will have a decent pullback here. Could we still goto 600 and higher.. Sure. Lets see what happens...
SP:SPXShort
by TheUniverse618
1
SPX: a fresh new highest levelThe equity markets in the US continue to move within a positive sentiment during the Q3. The S&P 500 reached a fresh new highest level during the previous week, closing Friday's trading at the level of 5.815, and gaining 1,1% on a weekly basis. This week, tech companies were not in the focus of the market, but the positive sentiment was boosted by the financial industry. The banks posted their Q3 results which were not in line with market expectations, however, the market was pricing the potential for the future earnings. Shares of JPMorgan surged by 4,4%, while Wells Fargo was traded higher by 5,6%. Strategists from UBS bank are also quite positive on the future earnings of the US banks, noting JPMorgan, Wells Fargo and BlackRock as potential strong performers. Tech companies were traded in a mixed manner during the previous week. On one side were higher gainers, like Super Micro Computers with a gain of 15% and Palo Alto Network, which surged by 9%. At the same time, Tesla shares were traded down by 7,5% after the company's announcement of the robo-taxi. Another support to the market optimism came from US inflation data for September. The data showed that the Fed might easily make another 25 bps at their November meeting. As per CME FedWatch Tool, there is 90% odds that the Fed will cut in November.
SP:SPX
by XBTFX
US Markets Demonstrate Confidence Despite Election JittersThe US markets are currently demonstrating a bullish sentiment, despite concerns surrounding the upcoming election. All major indices, including the S&P 500, NYSE Composite, and Nasdaq Composite, have formed a bullish Cup & Handle chart pattern and have subsequently broken to follow an upward trend. While the S&P 500 and NYSE Composite have reached new all-time highs, the Nasdaq Composite is close to its highest peak, further reinforcing the positive market outlook. 'This overall bullish sentiment suggests that the upward trend in the US markets is likely to continue, even in the face of election-related uncertainties.
SP:SPXLong
by NaranjCapital
3
Possible Buy Trade on US500 / S&PThis is my analysis trade for US500. Weekly is bullish all the way down to 4H for HTF direction. I will not chase the price instead. I will wait for the pullback for the price to go to my buying zone for the OB which are showing up from 4H all the way down to 15M timeframe. So for me, this is the best location to buy again for another possible round of bullish action for this market. I added a trade alert so I will not look at this pair in the week until my alert gets triggered. Once price goes to my buy zone and I get my alert, that's the time I will go down and find my possible trade entry on lower timeframe so I can have a tighter stop loss and possibly get a better risk reward ratio. Possible target would be the all time high price as well. I will update my trade idea here once price goes to my buy zone for my possible entry on the lower timeframe.
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by ProfitWithVince
SPX - time for a pullbackHello traders. Today using simple trendlines and fibs I show why I believe we are gonna dip from here. We could still make it to 600 but we need to dip now from the top of a rising wedge trendline thats from August. Also the little dip in Oct has us reaching the 1.618 fib up from that which is a classic reversal point. Ok the question now is how big of a dip.... The white box target area bounce would leave the rising wedge intact. I really think it needs to drop to one of the lower boxes so it will have enough energy to go much higher into EOY. Everyone is saying directly up to 600 from here. So its possible we could have a bigger dip as so many being long right now. That would in effect squeeze us lower. Also we have the possibility of Israel attacking Iran at any moment in retaliation. What do you think? Let's see what happens!
SP:SPXShort
by TheUniverse618
1
WARNING: SPX (SP500) Topping out Between Now and Mary 2025📈⚠️ Equities are likely topping out between now and next May! Time to scale out of stocks and shift into cash and hard assets, especially #PreciousMetals and #Miners. 💰🔄 Don’t pick up pennies in front of a steamroller! Wave 5 on the #SP500 is nearly complete—price and time are balanced. 🚨 A MAJOR correction is coming! If your net worth is heavily in US Stocks, Bonds, and US Real Estate, it's time to diversify further. These asset classes are about to face heavy pressure! 💥💸 Thanks for liking & sharing... Let us know what your plans are in the comments! SP:SPX
SP:SPX
by GreyRabbitFinance