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USA500 trade ideas

“Markets are strong” – Are they really?President Trump recently stated that "markets became very strong once they got used to tariffs." But let’s look at the facts: 📊 AMEX:SPY is down -9% YTD, and major names like: MSFT: -7.55% AAPL: -18.66% NVDA: -12.94% Tech is bleeding, and the broader S&P 500 is clearly reflecting the pressure of trade policy uncertainty. 🟥 Tariffs = market stress 🟩 Market resilience = not the same as strength What we’re seeing is not a “strong market” — it’s a market under pressure trying to survive political noise. The weekly chart shows a clear drop after the peak, followed by uncertainty, not conviction. 💭 Is this truly the “strength” investors want to see?
VANTAGE:SP500FT
by SmartSignalss
$S&P500 macro analysis , market approaching correction °•° $SPXHi 👋🏻 check out my previous analysis ⏰ on SP:SPX macro bullish analysis ⏰ As provided it went up up 🚀 completed my target's 🎯 💯💪🏻 ✅ ✔️ Click on it 👆🏻 just check out each and every time updates ☝🏻 ☺️ ••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••• NOW I was completely 🐻 BEARISH on the market with in upcoming months SP:SPX 📌 Expecting liquidation pump $6500 - $6700 Invalid 🛑 when complete month close above $6700 ¹support - $5500 ( 🎯 ¹ ) ²support - $5130 ( 🎯 ² ) 🎯 3 ... Will be updated based on market conditions by that time ☺️ 📍 A wise 🦉 man said - always having patience " is " always gaining only /- NASDAQ:TSLA ( i accumulate slowly until it cross above $400 ) rest of stocks i will follow index ☝🏻 i will invest based on market conditions ..... ✔️
SP:SPXShort
by raj5_7_5
SP500: Optimism in the markets !! No Fear !!Mr. Trump MANIPULATES THE WORLD as he pleases, and WE AS ANALYSTS have to BE COLD and be VERY ATTENTIVE to the news MORE THAN EVER!! And of course, NO FEAR. --> What does the SP500 and the rest of the indices and stocks look like? From my point of view, yesterday's news of granting a 90-DAY TRUCE on tariffs GIVES US THE POSSIBILITY OF UPSIDES for at least the next 2 months (ALWAYS with Trump's permission). Furthermore, we've also learned that US inflation fell to 2.4% in March, and the core rate to 2.8%, below expectations, which is VERY GOOD for the markets. With this data and the SHARP FALLS accumulated so far this year!!, UPSIDES ARE COMING!! Yesterday, the indices rose by nearly 10%, and it's normal for them to be falling by 5% today. If we observe the H1 chart above, the price has fallen to the 50% Fibonacci zone, meaning we are already in a good entry zone. --> We can do 2 things: When the price in lower timeframes (M15 chart below) shows us a bullish signal (Bull), make the long entry. Go long in the zone between the 50%-61.8% Fibonacci (current zone). -------------------------------------------------------------------- Strategy to follow: ENTRY: We will open 2 long positions when the price enters the Fibonacci zone (50% - 61.8%) or when a lower timeframe chart gives us the bullish signal (Bull). POSITION 1 (TP1): We close the first position in the 5,490 zone (+5.8%) --> Stop Loss at 4,900 (-3.5%). POSITION 2 (TP2): We open a Trailing Stop type position. --> Initial dynamic Stop Loss at (-3.5%) (coinciding with the 4,900 of position 1). --> We modify the dynamic Stop Loss to (-1%) when the price reaches TP1 (5,490). SETUP CLARIFICATIONS *** How to know which 2 long positions to open? Let's take an example: If we want to invest 2,000 euros in the stock, we divide that amount by 2, and instead of opening 1 position of 2,000, we will open 2 positions of 1,000 each. *** What is a Trailing Stop? A Trailing Stop allows a trade to continue gaining value when the market price moves in a favorable direction, but automatically closes the trade if the market price suddenly moves in an unfavorable direction by 1 a determined distance. That determined distance is the dynamic Stop Loss. --> Example: If the dynamic Stop Loss is at -1%, it means that if the price falls by -1%, the position will close. If the price rises, the Stop Loss also rises to maintain that -1% on the upside, therefore, the risk becomes lower and lower until the position becomes profitable. This way, very solid and stable trends in the price can be taken advantage of, maximizing profits
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by jmesado
Could See a Huge Pop in a Bull Trap I think the odds of this turning into a spectacular short are unusually high for indices but even if so there could be some massive stop gunning to come first. I've a big bearish bias into a rip but it would likely be exceptional rally if I have the idea right. Picked up some longs targeting 5800. Ideally looking to make some profit and use it to bankroll the short attempt. Would dump these quite quickly if structure broke. ATR is too big to mess about.
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by holeyprofit
1
SPX....An interestng observation!10/4/25 spx....an interesting observation.. index has been travelling between the blue median which is a very strong support and the red median which is a very strong resistance.............this travel started s0me time in 2009....and is still ongoing! only during 2008/2009 lehman collapse and 2020 covid did the index go below the blue median.... will it slip the blue median again or move north again to retest the red median? only time will tell.. but we have the contours to monitor!
SP:SPX
by Nattyshotstocks
S&P 500: Historic Crash or Just Another Chance?Let’s be real: What’s happening with the S&P 500 right now is rare. This is only the fourth time in history that the index has dropped more than 10% in two days (technically three, including today’s Monday session). The other times? October 1987, November 2008 during the financial crisis, and March 2020 during the pandemic crash. And now? We’re seeing a similar drop, this time triggered by a global tariff war , stoked by the U.S. and other governments playing chicken to see who folds first. Yeah, it sucks. It hurts. But it could also be a hell of an opportunity. We just tagged the 4,800 level —a place many didn’t expect to see this quickly. Neither did I. But here we are. The untapped VWAP got hit, and this might very well be the start of Wave A. Could we go lower? Absolutely. There’s a monthly Fair Value Gap around $4,500, and a drop to $4,250 isn’t out of the question either. But here’s the thing: it depends entirely on your perspective. If you’re trading on the 30-minute chart, this is a full-blown crisis. But zoom out to the daily, weekly, or monthly chart—and it’s just market noise. Pull up the log chart from 1953 to 2025 in the top left corner. We’ve seen this before. A handful of times. And on that scale? Nobody cares. If you’re in the game to build long-term wealth, this moment is just another temporary shakeout. If you’re doing dollar-cost averaging, this is exactly where you want to be adding—not panicking. The market doesn’t care about your plan. It forces you to adapt. You can’t fight it, only flow with it. And if you’re in it for the long haul? This is just noise. Ignore it, zoom out – and stay the course.
FX:SPX500Long
by stromm
Black Monday is Coming – Time to Short This Beast!Alright, listen up, traders! The storm is brewing, the signs are clear, and if you haven't noticed yet—wake up! Black Monday is knocking, and the market is looking ripe for a proper dump. Now, I'm not saying sell your grandma’s jewelry and go all-in, but if you're looking for a juicy short entry, this might just be it. Ideally, you want to get in around that sweet spot in the yellow zone (check the chart) or even from the current levels if you're feeling extra spicy. Risk? What Risk? (Just Kidding, Manage It!) Stop-loss? Yeah, slap that bad boy above $6,150 on the 4-hour close. If price secures above that level, it's a no-go—cut it and move on. Take profits? Scale out as price nosedives. No need to be greedy; let the market pay you in chunks. The Big Picture This ain't financial advice—just a battle plan from someone who's seen enough bloodbaths in the markets to smell the fear. High risk? Absolutely. But hey, no risk, no champagne. Remember, risk management is king. Play it smart, lock in profits, and let the market do the heavy lifting-because when the dust settles, only disciplined traders will be left standing.
SP:SPXShort
by TottiVincenzo
Buckle Up for the Next Part of the Huffy CycleAs everyone knows, indices move on a predictable 4 month cycle - known as the "Huffy cycle", and this is programmatically built into markets are Donald Trump switches from being "Huffy" (Down moves) to "Less Huffy" (Parabolic organic growth moves). Donald has been huffy lately ... so we ALL KNOW what comes next ...! Are you mentally prepared for the next glorious breakout of the Huffy cycle? I'm sure everyone has noticed the 4 month huffy cycle which can be extensively studied, understood and used to forecast the future flawlessly because if we look at markets over 12 months we can see it looks a little bit kinda like a pattern - so long as you just ignore or remove the parts that are not a pattern. Which is how market cycles work. If you see something a few times, you can be sure it will happen again forever. And if it doesn't you can be sure at worst it can only go down 70% and then it's probably a buy from there. So the huffy cycle is basically risk free, if you look at it in the right way. "But what about all the the things happening" I hear you ask. Lol. NGMI! If you're too stupid to understand the huffy cycle, that's your problem. Not mine! HFSP. Now, of course we all know SPX is not where near gambley for us to generate our birth right generational wealth from the markets. It could take literally YEARS to make money in SPX. Who has time for that? Of course, we want to be looking at the most stupid and speculative things we can - because those are the ones the savvy investors are buying. That's right folks .... "Squeeze season" is upon us. It's been 4 years since we seen anything make any truly irrational hyper parabolic moves in stocks. As we all know, this is too long. Stonks are not allowed to go this long without there being a squeeze cycle. Some doomers out there are even saying squeeze season has been cancelled (lmao ok boomer) - but we know the truth. Squeeze season has just BEEN DELAYED and it being delayed actually means it will just be BIGGER THAN EVER! I don't really have any logic or ideas to back up why it was delayed and why this means it will be an even bigger move, but if I say the word "Whales" I think that covers everything. There are some idiots who are sceptical of the huffy cycle, but I am only writing my post for the future billionaires who are not too bothered about checking the details. And we all know what comes next!!! WGMI, fam.
SP:SPXLong
by holeyprofit
27
Do not panic. Let's look for opportunity.Don't panic. Let's try to find the opportunity here. Let this be a place free of fear p0rn. Yes, we bounced, but as you can see - we bounced at a perfectly logical place. IF we go lower, where MIGHT the bottom be? Where might we get a major bounce? Let's assume this is something "historic". What I have indicated in the chart would be a crash worse than COVID, but not AS BAD as the Global Financial Crisis. Take the long-term support (going back to GFC) and extend it out. Take the PRE-COVID high and extend it out. This may be an important coordinate, and even if we touch either of the lines, I would expect some bounce. Let's see how it plays out. STICK TO YOUR STRATEGY. Don't panic!
SP:SPX
by MonsterStockPicks
Buy Low Sell High (Buy The Fine Dip) When the market becomes "Cheap" it's time to buy. And when the market is in decline "Sell High, Buy Low". At this time we saw a lot of Institutional activity, they were positioning at the top, when the index was struggling to make new All Time Highs, which according to the Wyckoff theory, it signals a reversal. It happened way harder than anticipated. There was a tiny Dead Cat Bounce not long ago, followed by a flush in the market. We reached the main trend line that was supported during the "COVID19 recession", the "FED's Soft Landing" and now the moment of truth, the "Tariffs & DOGE" period. If we compare the three critical moments in the market, we realize they all are the same size, 1,200 points. Let's go from there and assume the flush was the same and the support line holds. We have the ingredients for a dead cat bounce, taking the index back to 5,500, which will be another moment of truth. Will the short covering and the "buy the dip" mentality will be able to hold the levels and at least make the market pause the decline and best case scenario, consolidate? This will be answered if the index keeps above the 4,900 - 5,000-ish levels. I don't see a change in the economic policies of this administration, which makes me think a decline will happen after this Dead Cat Bounce. In which case the markets may fall back to the 3,600 levels, which will be signaled if the main support line doesn't hold, then brace for impact. The interest rates are relatively high, the inflation is ticking up and the unemployment, after the layoffs and the DOGE purge is ticking up as well. I don't see a forced slow down in the interest rates since this would take us to a scenario of high inflation and low rates, similar to what happened during the late 70's during the "Stagflation" period where after the initial high inflation peak, lowering the interest rates only exacerbated the economy. In the Weeks ahead we'll see the "Back to Normal" and the fanfares of a "quick recovery" in the markets, so I go long in the short term and wait for direction in the range.
SP:SPXLong
by Madrid
Are we done with the slide, or not? US indices are suffering right now, but is there light at the end of the tunnel? Let's dig in! MARKETSCOM:US500 MARKETSCOM:US100 MARKETSCOM:US30 Let us know what you think in the comments below. Thank you. 77.3% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
MARKETSCOM:US500
by Marketscom
S&P500 Searching for a BottomExecutive Summary The S&P 500’s Elliott Wave structure suggests the current downtrend is incomplete, with a high-probability target near the 4,300 level based on Fibonacci retracement levels. Global stock markets remain under pressure amid ongoing tariff uncertainty, and Elliott Wave patterns across various indices continue to point to more downside. Current Elliott Wave Analysis Today’s upward volatility is likely a small-degree wave four, with another leg down expected to retest today’s lows in the coming sessions. There is an impulse wave that began in October 2022 and topped in 2025. We are now seeing the after effects of that completed rally. A standard 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of that move places a high-probability support zone around 4,300—a logical target for a ‘normal’ correction of the 2022–2025 rally. Currently, price has paused near the January 2022 high at 4,662, and also sits near the 38.2% retracement level of the 2022 rally, which lies around 4,950. While a move to new highs cannot be fully ruled out, the probability of such a rally is currently low. Given the brief nature of the current decline in both price and duration, a more meaningful correction is still likely. Bottom Line The S&P 500 appears to be in wave ((iii)) or ((c)) of a downward move, with the structure still incomplete. A decline toward 4,300 remains the higher-probability scenario in the near term. We will reconsider the medium-term outlook if the index rallies above 5,488, which would overlap the March 31 low and suggest a possible low is in place.
TVC:SPXShort
by JWagnerFXTrader
1
S&P 500: Valuation Correction or the Start of a Breakdown?Valuation Correction or the Start of a Breakdown? Zoom out. Clear the noise. We might still sweep the lows, but when viewed on the weekly timeframe, this current S&P 500 move looks more like a healthy valuation correction than a structural breakdown. Let’s break it down by the numbers using fractal analysis: 🟩 March 2020 (COVID Crash): ▪️~35% drop ▪️V-shaped recovery ▪️Oversold RSI bounce 🟨 2022 Bear Market: ▪️~27% correction ▪️Multi-month wedge consolidation ▪️Eventually led to an upside breakout 🟦 Now (2025): ▪️~21% correction so far ▪️Retesting long-term trendline ▪️RSI in familiar oversold zone 📊 Fractal Math: - From 35% to 27% = 22.86% decrease - From 27% to 21% = 22.22% decrease Both legs show a consistent ~22% drop in correction depth suggesting bearish momentum is weakening with each cycle. Currently bouncing off the1844 days of support. Is this the bottom? Will there be relief? 🔁 If this pattern holds: - We could see a short-term sweep or deviation under recent lows. - But structure favours a potential recovery from this zone, unless the trendline breaks decisively. 📌 Watch levels closely. Timing matters. 🧠 What’s your take, is this another “buy the dip” moment? Do hit the like button if you liked this update and share your views in the comment section.
SP:SPXLong
by Cryptorphic
SPX500 & Nasdaq: Confluence! Confluence! Confluence!With consumer confidence off at circuit breaking levels, the market, technically, has reached extreme levels of support. Let's look at it: Technicals: (1) Horizontal Levels of support (2) 50%/61.8% fib confluence (3) exDiv1 (4) extreme indicators (5) Chikou span testing cloud support (6) 28% drop is SPX All of these levels are lining up around the same location. And just like in real estate "Location! Location! Location!" is the adage; in markets, "Confluence! Confluence! Confluence!" is the adage!
FX:SPX500Long
by Rocketman
13