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USA500 trade ideas

China is about to decided whether retailiate or not. Donald Trump and hes administration went to far and to many direction. EU and China at the same time is just too much but tretening the whole world is just an enormous startegic error. He made woke up not1 but 170 bear at the same time while the bears were sleeping and dreaming. And the dream ended. The USA not enymore realiable, trustworty, and therefore friendly country. The bears are dissapointed and angrys. They dont wanna have does fals dreams at the next time, and its seems that Trump is in a deadend roed. Honestly this story can be continued for pages but lets just speak about the an abnormal situation. BONDS UP 10Y 5Y - trough agressive selling of US debt which is really will tied up the FED hands if the inflation does not happen due to the lack of the tarrifs. 10Y is at the 4,3 The questions can china put the USA in a situation then interest rate cat wount help on the longrun since China and may some of their contries under their influence reaching high detach in a US10Y 5Y and interest rate relation and sending US in to debt cicle. The slow one is that that will slowly sell as much debt of US that they are cancelling the fed rate cuts. The fast one is sending aup rates by at least 6% and making the big boys on the stock market to capitulate. I will update and elaborate this idea better , but I hope if someone reads gets some hints.
PEPPERSTONE:US500
by ElGatoTrade
SPY: Breakout Brewing?📍SPX500 | Triangle Compression Before Breakout? SPX500 is currently coiling into a symmetrical triangle on the 5-min chart, suggesting a volatility expansion is imminent. 🔍 Fibonacci Levels in Play: Key Support: 5,419 – 5,428 (0.5 to 0.618 retracement) Breakout Target: 5,482.83 (Fib 1.382) Higher Projections: 5,499.94 (1.618), 5,516.82 (1.854) 📈 Probabilities: Bullish Breakout → 5,455 / 5,483 = 65% Sideways Chop in 5,420–5,440 range = 20% Bearish Fade < 5,419 = 15% 🚨 Watching for confirmation above 5,434 with volume for long entry. This setup aligns with our high-probability DSS framework for intraday signals. Mark your levels. Monitor the breakout. 🧠 Discipline is your alpha. 📊 Chart by: Wavervanir International LLC #SPX500 #TradingView #TechnicalAnalysis #Fibonacci #TrianglePattern #BreakoutStrategy #SmartMoney #QuantEdge #Wavervanir #MarketUpdate #DayTrading #DSS #SP500
FX:SPX500Long
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
Caution on Crypto, Tech, SPXI know its a mess, this is just for me anyway. I tend to overcomplicate things so now then, lets over simplify for my monkey brain: Trend line broken = Warning, thing are likely to change ( even though you didnt get the bull market you wanted) Watch said trend retest, look for weakness, struggling price action selling on the retest of the top lows last time would offer you 5% off the peako top, (Thats really good!! stop being a perfectionist) I am very much frustrated with this market, never got the crazy part I was waiting for. But the lack of euphoria is really not that unreasonable when you think about what has been goin on the past 5 years. Everyone is poorer liquidity has been super tight to curb inflation and we still got NASDAQ:NDX up 150% Coinbase NASDAQ:COIN did a 10x and I still am not happy(likely due to the max pain trade of my life COINBASE:ETHUSD ). I have realized that I have been hoping for another 2018 bull run. It may or may not happen, but I can't expect any market to reflect that in any significant way. Markets are much more dynamic than I give them credit for sometimes. They will rhyme but often in ways you do not expect and will not be made clear until that little bastard hindsight kicks in, showing you how obvious it was.
SP:SPXShort
by merchtank19
Bullish??? That was all very sudden, is it over now?The market correction really seamed to be an over reaction. I am hopeful that the worst is behind us, at least for the meantime. maybe this will be closer to 2018 correction and we just keep grinding higher for the rest of the year. I suppose anything is possible. -Everyone got way to bearish to quick - Spidey senses going off! -we never copy and paste last cycle to the next, but people have such a recency bias, sometimes its all they can see ( I may know from experience) - hopefully bullish
SP:SPXLong
by merchtank19
S&P500 INTRADAY sideways consolidationThe Trump administration is moving ahead with tariff plans on semiconductor and pharmaceutical imports, launching Commerce Department probes. In response, China has ordered its airlines to halt new Boeing jet deliveries, escalating trade tensions. Despite the trade war, markets are getting a lift after Trump suggested a possible pause on auto tariffs and suspended some consumer electronics tariffs. Japan will meet with the U.S. this week to discuss trade. The talks will test whether close allies like Japan get more favourable treatment. Earnings in Focus: Citigroup and Bank of America report today, following a strong quarter for equity trading across the sector. Johnson & Johnson and United Airlines are also set to report. Oil Market: The International Energy Agency has cut its 2024 oil demand forecast due to trade-related slowdowns and sees a potential supply surplus through 2026. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 5509 Resistance Level 2: 5660 Resistance Level 3: 5787 Support Level 1: 5110 Support Level 2: 4947 Support Level 3: 4816 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:US500
by TradeNation
S&P 500 off earlier highsThe major US indices have come noticeably off their earlier highs, following the positive start on the back of the weekend news of temporary tariff relief on technology sector. The fact the indices could break out to test waters above last week's highs, suggests traders have not been convinced that they have had the all-clear just yet. Perhaps volatility will ease a little this week, but with earnings from tech giants to come in the next couple of weeks, on top of all the trade war saga, anything is possible. Traders must remain nimble. It is all about the 5380 level now on the S&P 500. This is where it found resistance on Friday and now this level could turn into support. But if we break decisively below it again, then this could trigger a big of selling towards the next support at 5272. However, the near-term trend has turned bullish following the big recovery last week. So, dip-buyers will be lurking. Let's see where we go from here. In any case, more bullish price action is needed to completely nullify the bearish control. Specifically, the key resistance zone between 5490 to 5550 must give way before the bulls can be confident that we have see a major low last week. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
FOREXCOM:SPX500
by FOREXcom
S&P500 INTRADAY oversold bounce backMarkets Overview – Monday US Open Trump Tariffs: Trump says tariffs on phones, computers, and other consumer tech are still on the table, calling the weekend exemption just a "procedural step." Tech Rally: Despite that, tech stocks are up Apple and Nvidia leading on hopes the delay gives room for a better long-term trade deal. Futures & Gold: US equity futures are pointing higher. Gold hit a new record as investors seek safe-haven assets. FX Moves: The dollar is down for a fifth straight day, with the euro is surging, it is thefastest rally vs USD in 15 yearsas, traders eye a move toward $1.20. Earnings Outlook: Q1 earnings season kicks into gear this week. Citigroup and Morgan Stanley lowered their S&P 500 earnings forecasts, citing tariff concerns and broader economic headwinds. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 5509 Resistance Level 2: 5660 Resistance Level 3: 5787 Support Level 1: 5110 Support Level 2: 4947 Support Level 3: 4816 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:US500
by TradeNation
Tariff Exemptions Stir the Bounce | SPX Analysis 14 April 2025It’s Monday… and the markets are once again dancing like a puppet on a tweet-fuelled string. One minute, tariff fears. The next, selective exemptions for “favourites.” Now the weekend’s over and futures are bouncing higher like none of it happened. SPX looks set to test – or break – the 5400 bull trigger, and if you’ve been following the last few newsletters, you’ll know that’s a big one. We’ve mapped it. We’ve rejected it. Now we’re staring it down… again. --- The 5400 Line Returns Let’s back up. 5400 has been my bull/bear trigger for weeks. When we’re below it, I’m hunting bear swings. Above? I start reassessing bullish setups, GEX bulls-eye trades, and pullback long entries. This week, the GEX flip is also sitting around 5400. That’s no coincidence. It’s now more than just a price level – It’s the emotional fault line between headline-driven panic and headline-driven hope. So… do we flip bullish? Not so fast. Strategy: Structure First, Narrative Second Just because futures are up doesn’t mean momentum is back. We’ve seen far too many fakeouts, tweet-spikes, and algorithm blinks to trust the first move on a Monday. That’s why my plan is simple this week: ✔️ 5400 is still the decision line ✔️ No aggressive trades until price confirms ✔️ Will adapt only if structure shifts – not just sentiment This week isn’t about swinging for the fences. It’s about precision. Patience. And setup clarity. Behind the Charts: Tinkering, Rebuilding, Refining While the markets work out their next identity crisis, I’m taking the time to: Optimise my new charting layout Tweak + update my indicator codebases Re-align my tools for speed and efficiency Because if the market wants to act like a circus, I’ll tighten the tent and sharpen the knives. --- Expert Insight – Don’t Rush the Flip Common mistake: Flipping long just because futures are green. Fix: Use anchored levels like 5400 as your decision points – and only flip bias when structure confirms. GEX flips, pulse bars, and price action matter. Tweets do not. --- Fun Fact Did you know? In 2023–2024, over 60% of intraday SPX rallies over 1.5% failed to hold past 2 days when triggered by political headlines. Translation? Headline rallies are easy to sell into – unless they’re confirmed by price.
SP:SPXLong
by MrPhilNewton
US500 Bullish Momentum Boosted by Tariff ExemptionsUS500 Bullish Momentum Boosted by Tariff Exemptions The US500 index may continue its upward trend after President Trump announced exemptions for smartphones, computers, and other tech products from new tariffs. This decision eased market concerns, especially for companies like Apple, which rely heavily on manufacturing in China. Trump had previously imposed steep tariffs on Chinese imports, but the exemptions now include semiconductors, solar cells, TV displays, and data storage devices. These changes could support further bullish movement in the market. You may watch the analysis for further details! Thank you!
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by KlejdiCuni
8
SPX sharp moves begin arround monthly option expiryWatch out for the this weeks options expiry on Thursday (Friday being holiday) During volatile time option expiry does produce sharp moves. They are not that significant during normal markets. Also key levels approaching. Monday after Easter, I am expecting the new move to happen. Breakdown or breakout. I am sure the big boys are aware from the social media that everyone is expecting a reversal and they will set up a trap. They will make us thing we are wrong create a FOMO to the upside and then sell A volume drop could indicate a big move
SPREADEX:SPX
by krisoz
$SPX: Rising WedgeSPX looking a bit tight, possibly a rising wedge? Tariff news has been such a wash up. Tariffs on/Tariffs off. A lot of moving pieces and indecision. If the news is false regarding electronics not included, then markets can possibly take a downturn. Green ray is my entry, I’m looking for a short. But tbh, any one word “positive” said can move things up and fill the gap above. I’m going to bias short. Let’s see what the week brings. SP:SPX AMEX:SPY NASDAQ:TSLA NASDAQ:NVDA
SP:SPXShort
by sweatytrigger
S&P 500 Index Most Bullish Signal In 15 YearsThis is why it is very clear, certain, that the stock market, the S&P 500 Index (SPX) is set to grow in the coming months. Last week produced the highest volume session, on the bullish side, since April/May 2010, that's 15 years. Back then, when this signal showed up, this index went to grow for years non-stop. The SPX also produced the strongest weekly session in several decades, maybe the strongest week ever, and a bounce happened (support found) exactly at the 0.618 retracement Fib. This is all we need to know. When the bulls enter the market and do so with force, it is because the market is set to grow. The correction produced decline of 21%. This is pretty standard. The fact that the correction happened really fast, it means that it will also have a fast end. The low is in. The correction is over. The S&P 500 Index is set to grow. You can be certain. If you have any doubts, just ask the chart. Namaste.
SP:SPXLong
by MasterAnanda
7