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USCRUDEOIL trade ideas

Can Crude Oil Spike to 150 USD / bbl ? Scenario Analysis.With Mid East tensions rising and overall unpredictable situation around Strait of Hormuz, let's review potential scenarios for the Crude Oil Prices. I've outlined three scenarios with projected oil prices for each scenario below. 🚨 Market Alert: Israel-Iran Conflict Impact Forecast 📈 🔴 Worst-Case Scenario: Regional War + U.S. Military Involvement 🚢 Oil (Brent): Soars to $150–$200+ if Strait of Hormuz closes 🥇 Gold: Skyrockets to $4,500–$5,000 (safe-haven rush) ₿ Bitcoin: Initial volatility; settles at $80k–$100k 📉 SPX: Crashes to 4,000–4,500 💻 NDX: Drops sharply to 15,000–16,000 🟠 Base-Case Scenario: Protracted Tension, No Major Disruption 🛢 Oil: Stabilizes at elevated $75–$95, occasional spikes 🥇 Gold: Moves higher, trading $3,500–$3,800 ₿ Bitcoin: Trades steady, $90k–$110k range 📊 SPX: Pullback moderate, around 5,200–5,500 💻 NDX: Moderately lower, 18,000–19,000 range 🟢 Best-Case Scenario: Diplomatic De-Escalation 🌊 Oil: Eases down to $65–$75 🥇 Gold: Mild decline, holds at $3,300–$3,500 ₿ Bitcoin: Positive sentiment, lifts to $100k–$120k 📈 SPX: Slight dip; stays strong near 5,800–6,200 💻 NDX: Minor correction, remains high at 20,000–22,000
TVC:USOILLong
by ProjectSyndicate
39
KOG - OILQuick look at Oil. There is a pivot here in the golden zone around the 70.5 level which we can dip into. Above that level, we would be looking for higher oil with the potential target level on the chart. Note, oil is due a huge pull back, so rejection from one of these resistance levels can give us that pull back in order to get better pricing to long. We've added the red boxes from the indicator to help you navigate the move. Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
TVC:USOIL
by KnightsofGold
16
CRUDE OIL (WTI): Technical Analysis & Important pattern to WatchHere’s my latest analysis on ⚠️USOIL price action. The price has recently finished a correction, followed by a brief consolidation in a horizontal range and an ascending triangle pattern A bullish breakout above the intraday resistance levels would suggest a likely end to the accumulation phase. The chances are high that the pair is returning back to a bullish trend, with a target of 77.00. Strong fundamentals back this bullish outlook.
FX:USOIL
by linofx1
7
Hellena | Oil (4H): LONG to 50% lvl Fibo area of 70.00.Colleagues, after a long break, I think it is worth returning to oil forecasts. The situation is stabilizing a bit and now I think that the price is in a strong correction (ABC) at the moment I see wave “B”, which may reach the area of 50% Fibonacci 70 level. It is possible that wave “A” will continue to develop towards the 62-63 area, but I still hope for an upward movement. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
PEPPERSTONE:SPOTCRUDELong
by Hellena_Trade
7
Oil prices could rise due to high geopolitical uncertaintiesOil prices could rise due to high geopolitical uncertainties The price of OIL has been waiting all these days with hopes for negotiations between Iran and Israel. Currently, diplomacy is dead, so for now, the market has to absorb the news that the US has attacked Iran. The price of oil is normal to rise and it is also very risky because it reacts quickly and does not keep the bullish momentum. The price may rise as I showed in the chart, but the risk remains high. Please be careful. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
TVC:USOILLong
by KlejdiCuni
8
OILThe proposed closure of the Strait of Hormuz by Iran's parliament is a significant development because the strait is a vital global energy artery, handling a substantial portion of the world's oil and gas. If closed, it would disrupt global energy supplies, potentially leading to a surge in oil prices and impacting international trade. While the plan is not yet finalized, the mere possibility of such action introduces significant geopolitical risk and could have far-reaching economic consequences.
TVC:USOIL
by Dbnite-wp2022
2
Oil’s Reaction to Geopolitical DevelopmentsOil’s Reaction to Geopolitical Developments We must be cautious when trading oil. Despite the unexpected attack by Israel on Iran last week, gold prices did not rise beyond $77.50. In my view, oil prices remain largely under the influence of the U.S. and OPEC+, with Trump opposing any significant price increase. Iran ranks as one of the world's top oil producers, holding the fifth position in daily output. However, it is surprising that prices did not exceed $77.50, especially considering past instances of major price surges during the Russia-Ukraine war. Even if oil rebounds toward $80, this movement could be purely speculative, with a high likelihood of a pullback, as indicated by the technical chart. Key target zones: 67.00 ; 64 and 56.50 You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
TVC:USOILShort
by KlejdiCuni
19
Strait of Hormuz risk priced in—or not yet?Iran has repeatedly threatened to block the Strait of Hormuz during periods of heightened tension with the U.S., notably in 2011, 2018, and 2020. The Strait is considered the world’s most critical oil chokepoint, with nearly 20 million barrels passing through daily. Several banks warn that a full closure could push crude prices above $120–$150 per barrel, or higher if the disruption is prolonged. Still, most analysts view a complete shutdown as unlikely, since Iran also depends on the Strait to export its own oil. Technically, recent WTI candles suggest that the risk premium may be fading. Price action near $74 shows hesitation, raising the risk of a developing double top—particularly if support at $70 fails. Unless tensions escalate materially, such as the U.S. becoming more directly involved, WTI may consolidate between $70–$74.
BLACKBULL:WTI
by BlackBull_Markets
2
Bulish oil WTI) ✅ Overall Market Structure: After a steady bullish trend, price has experienced a sharp drop and is now reacting to a demand zone around 64.955. The recent price action suggests signs of potential stabilization and a possible bullish reversal. --- 🟩 Key Levels: Major Support Zone: The area between 64.00 – 65.00 acts as a strong demand zone, which has shown prior reactions. Resistance / Target Levels: 67.398 (first resistance and short-term target) 69.231 (mid-level resistance) 72.879 (main target if bullish momentum continues) --- 📈 Bullish Scenario (Most Probable Based on Current Chart): After touching the demand zone, price seems to be forming a potential bottom. If a strong bullish candlestick appears (such as a bullish engulfing or hammer), we can expect a corrective or impulsive move to the upside. 🔸 Suggested Stop-Loss: Below 63.80 🔸 Target 1: 67.40 🔸 Target 2: 69.20 🔸 Target 3: 72.80 --- ⚠️ Important Notes: 1. Wait for bullish confirmation before entering a trade. 2. If the support at 64 breaks, price may drop further toward the next demand zone around 61.00–60.00 (next major support lies at 59.415). 3. Keep an eye on oil-related news and U.S. economic reports (noted with calendar icons on the chart), as they can strongly impact volatility. ---
BLACKBULL:WTILong
by gholamali8905
1
Bullish continuation?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 73.41 1st Support: 70.19 1st Resistance: 77.67 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:XTIUSDLong
by ICmarkets
1
Analysis of crude oil trend next week, hope it helps youThe Middle East currently resembles a barrel filled with gunpowder, ready to explode at any moment. Israel and Iran continue to attack each other—Israel bombed Iran's nuclear facilities, while Iran fired missiles at Israeli cities. More worryingly, the U.S. may decide to join the conflict within the next two weeks, and five U.S.-UK aircraft carriers are converging on the Middle East, akin to lighting a match beside the powder keg. However, Iran has also held talks with European nations in Geneva, stating that if Israel halts its attacks first, it is willing to discuss nuclear issues. This creates a paradox: while the risk of war grows, there is also hope for negotiations—similar to two market factions, one fearing war will drive oil prices higher, and the other believing talks could push prices down. The Strait of Hormuz, a critical global oil transport corridor, sees massive oil shipments pass through daily. Iran has repeatedly threatened to block the strait, and if it does, oil prices could skyrocket like a rocket. So far, however, Iran has not taken such action, and the market is watching closely to see if it will. Trading Strategy If oil prices rebound to the $74.5–$75 range and candlestick charts show prices stalling (forming consecutive long upper shadows) with trading volume decreasing rather than increasing, consider opening light short positions with 25% of funds. When prices retreat to $73.5, close 40% of short positions to take profits. If prices continue to fall, hold the remaining short positions for a target of $72.5. However, if prices break through $76, immediately trigger a stop loss to prevent further losses from a potential upward trend. Analysis of crude oil trend next week, hope it helps you USOIL sell@74.5~75 SL:76 TP:73.5~73
TVC:USOILShort
by David_Wilson1
1
WW3 Scenario - Bull flag potentialWe bottomed at the gap fill at $57, a long term target I had been expecting. A bullish retest at the golden pocket followed, now all we need is a clean break above $80 to end the lower high downtrend. I don't want to comment on politics, but suffice to say the price of oil will tell us what's really going on. A supply shock has the potential to send oil to the $200 level. I don't know what the world will look like in that scenario, but I can assure you it will be a global catastrophe. Inflation will reignite, the interest rates will likely go up. This is the single most important chart to be watching now. Forget Apple, forget Nvidia. Oil and the DXY is where the chart will reveal the news. Pay attention!
BLACKBULL:WTI
by NoFOMO_
7
Oil volatility expected to remain on Middle East tensions.Fundamental Oil prices remain under pressure. Volatility is expected to remain elevated as traders digest inventory data, watch for geopolitical shifts, and anticipate the upcoming OPEC+ meeting on July 6, where supply policy could change. Technical Technical indicators remain strongly bearish with RSI favouring further downside below pivot level 65.53 toward support levels at 63.76 and 60.00. A break above 65.53 sees a move towards resistance levels at 66.50 and 69.00 subsequently
TVC:USOILShort
by WiseLeoTrading
1
USOIL-– Bearish Reversal Toward $72.04Crude oil is showing signs of weakness after testing a significant resistance zone near $74.50 – $75.00. The price had previously broken out of a descending channel, triggering a bullish correction. However, it’s now approaching a critical resistance level which has been tested multiple times historically. The bearish projection (shown in red) suggests a possible lower high formation, signaling exhaustion in bullish momentum. If the resistance holds, a drop toward the next target at $72.04 looks probable, aligning with previous support and the breakdown zone of the ascending move. Key Levels: Resistance Zone: $74.50 – $75.00 Support Zone: $68.00 – $70.00 Intermediate Target: $72.04 📉Bias: Bearish below $75.00 Confirmation: Watch for bearish candle patterns or rejection wicks near resistance.
TVC:USOILShort
by Candy-crypto1
1
Potential 3000+pips on XXXUSD PairsGBPUSD We anticipate a potential bullish move towards the 1.3540 region, from there, we'll be watching closely for sign of exhaustion to initiate a short position, targeting up to 300pips to the downside. A confirmed daily close below the 1.2270 level will serve as out trigger to hold the short position with confidence, EURUSD For this market, we remain cautiously bearish. A 4H timeframe close below the 1.3950 region will be our signal to begin more sells to the downside targets around 1.3400 and 1.12800 zones. Until that breakdown occurs, we'll remain on the side-lines to avoid premature entries. XAUUSD Gold will be traded with a high level of discipline- only high conviction trades will be taken here. We're currently waiting for a clear breAK and close below the 3291.90 level before initiating any shorts positions. Until then, we maintain a neutral stance and monitor price action closely around key levels. USOIL We're keeping an eye on possible entry opportunities, anticipating a potential rally towards the 116 region. Updates on the setup and validation criteria will follow as price action unfolds. Send a direct message if you are interested in more info about Capital Management. Patience is the Way! Ieios
TVC:USOIL
by Ieios
1