Will sanctions stabilize oil prices amid rising supply?Fundamental Perspective:
Crude oil prices face downward pressure as US production rises, fueling concerns over an oversupply. Recent data showing a significant increase in stockpiles has only intensified these worries. However, tightening sanctions on key oil suppliers and price hikes from major producers offer some support, helping to cushion the price decline. Geopolitical factors, including ongoing trade tensions, add layers of uncertainty, though the direct impact on global energy imports remains limited.
Technical Perspective:
USOIL extended its decline following a breakout of the ascending trendline. If the price sustains its bearish momentum, a further decline toward the following support at 69.00 may occur. Conversely, a close above 72.00 could prompt a further rise to the following resistance at 75.00.
Author: Li Xing Gan, CMT, CFTe,
Financial Market Strategist Consultant to Exness
USCRUDEOIL trade ideas
USOIL- one n single support, make it or break it scnerios#USOIL... market just reached at his one of the most important supporting area that is around
69.90 -70.10
And that will play key role in next move.
Keep close that region and don't hold your buying positions below that region.
Stay sharp.
Good luck
Trade wisely
WTI Crude Oil Wave Analysis – 6 February 2025
- WTI Crude oil broke support zone
- Likely to fall to support level 68.00
WTI Crude oil recently broke the support zone between the support level 72.60 (which has been reversing the price from the start of January) and the 50% Fibonacci correction of the previous upward impulse from December.
The breakout of this support zone accelerated the active ABC correction ii from the middle of January.
WTI Crude oil can be expected to fall to the next support level 68.00 (former minor support from December
USOIL Breaks Key Support: Targeting 70.50TVC:USOIL has broken a key support zone and retested it, confirming strong bearish momentum with clear rejection candles. The previous support has now flipped to resistance, further reinforcing the likelihood of continued downside movement.
With this rejection confirmed, I anticipate a move downward toward the 70.50 level, aligning with the prevailing bearish trend. This setup suggests a high probability of bearish continuation in the near term.
If you have anything to add or a different perspective, I’d love to hear from you in the comments!
Buy Opportunity📈 WTI Crude Oil (4H) Long Trade Setup
🔹 Entry: 71.36
🔹 Target: 73.32 (+2.75%)
🔹 Stop Loss: 70.63 (-1.04%)
🔹 Risk/Reward Ratio: 2.59
🔹 EMA Levels:
756 EMA: 72.92
252 EMA: 73.05
📊 Analysis:
Price is testing a support level near 71.36.
High volume node from the volume profile suggests strong interest at this level.
Potential bounce towards the 72.26 resistance and beyond.
📅 Expected Timeline: ~5 days
🔔 Confirmation needed: Bullish candlestick formation and increased buying volume.
WTI OIL 4H RSI Bullish Divergence hinting to trend reversal.WTI Oil (USOIL) has been trading within a Channel Down pattern since the January 15 High. Since yesterday it appears for the first time to have withdrawn from making Lower Lows. In fact, the 4H RSI has been on Higher Lows since January 27, which is a technical Bullish Divergence.
This hints to a potential trend reversal to bullish and the pattern that we can identify emerging is a Channel Up. This current potential bottoming pattern, resembles the January 08 Low which rallied above its 2.5 Fibonacci extension.
As a result, we can target the Channel's top (Higher Highs trend-line) at 76.50.
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USOIL - ANALYSIS👀 Observation:
Hello, everyone! I hope you're all doing well. Let me share my personal view on US Oil (WTI) with you.
Based on the chart, I expect US Oil to move downward toward the 69.39 level. After reaching this price, I anticipate a bullish movement that could drive the price up to 83.50.
📉 Expectation:
Bearish Scenario: A drop to 69.39.
Bullish Scenario: A rise to 83.50 after holding the 69.39 level.
💡 Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: 83.50
Support: 69.39
💬 What’s your outlook on US Oil this week? Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
Trade safe
USOIL Is Going Up! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for USOIL.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 72.211.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 74.793 level soon.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
WTI Oil H1 | Pullback resistance at 38.2% Fibonacci retracementWTI oil (USOIL) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 71.75 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 72.30 which is a level that sits above the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement and an overlap resistance.
Take profit is at 70.64 which is a swing-low support.
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USOIL LONG FROM SUPPORT
Hello, Friends!
We are going long on the USOIL with the target of 75.80 level, because the pair is oversold and will soon hit the support line below. We deduced the oversold condition from the price being near to the lower BB band. However, we should use low risk here because the 1W TF is red and gives us a counter-signal.
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WTIWTI Crude Oil (West Texas Intermediate) Overview
WTI Crude Oil is a benchmark for U.S. oil prices and is one of the most actively traded commodities worldwide. It plays a critical role in the global economy, and its price fluctuations are closely tied to supply-demand dynamics, geopolitical tensions, and macroeconomic factors.
1. Key Factors Affecting WTI Crude Prices:
• Supply and Demand: OPEC+ production decisions, U.S. shale output, and global demand shifts significantly impact prices.
• Geopolitical Tensions: Conflicts in oil-rich regions (like the Middle East) often cause price spikes due to supply concerns.
• U.S. Dollar Strength: Since oil is priced in USD, a stronger dollar typically pressures oil prices downward.
• Inventory Reports:
• EIA Crude Oil Inventories (Wednesdays): Tracks U.S. oil stockpiles, influencing short-term price moves.
• API Reports (Tuesdays): Offers a preview of official EIA data.
• Global Economic Data: Growth indicators from major economies (like China and the U.S.) can influence demand expectations.
2. Best Times to Trade WTI Crude:
• New York Session (8:00 AM - 2:30 PM EST): WTI futures trade on the NYMEX, making this period highly liquid.
• EIA Inventory Release (Wednesdays at 10:30 AM EST): Often leads to sharp, short-term price movements.
• OPEC+ Meetings & Announcements: Monitor these events closely for sudden price shifts based on production cuts or increases.
3. Popular Trading Strategies for WTI Crude:
• Breakout Trading: Trade significant support/resistance levels, especially around inventory data or geopolitical news.
• Trend Following: Use moving averages (e.g., 50-day and 200-day) to identify prevailing trends.
• Range Trading: In low-volatility markets, capitalize on predictable price ranges between support and resistance.
• News-Based Trading: React quickly to supply disruptions, OPEC decisions, or major geopolitical headlines.
4. Key Technical Indicators for WTI Crude:
• Moving Averages (MA): Identify trend direction and dynamic support/resistance levels.
• Relative Strength Index (RSI): Detect overbought (>70) or oversold (<30) conditions for potential reversals.
• Bollinger Bands: Measure volatility and identify breakout opportunities.
• Fibonacci Retracement: Use to pinpoint potential pullback zones in trending markets.
5. Risk Management for Crude Oil Trading:
• Volatility Awareness: Crude oil is highly volatile—set stop-losses to protect your capital.
• Position Sizing: Limit risk per trade to 1-2% of your account to manage potential losses.
• Leverage Caution: Due to oil’s volatility, use leverage wisely to avoid large swings in account balance.
• Stay Updated on Global Events: Oil is sensitive to geopolitical developments, so continuous monitoring is crucial.