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USCRUDEOILCFD trade ideas

WTI Oil H4 | Potential bearish reversalWTI oil (USOIL) could rise towards a pullback resistance and potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 68.28 which is a pullback resistance. Stop loss is at 70.90 which is a level that sits above the 50% Fibonacci retracement and a pullback resistance. Take profit is at 63.86 which is a pullback support that aligns closely with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
TRADU:USOILShort
by Tradu
USOIL Set To Grow! BUY! My dear friends, USOIL looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details: The market is trading on 66.47 pivot level. Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear (short / long) signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market. Goal - 66.79 About Used Indicators: Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
TVC:USOILLong
by AnabelSignals
1
WTI Crude Oil sideways consolidation support at 6460Crude oil prices remain under pressure as easing geopolitical tensions between Iran and Israel reduce fears of supply disruptions in the Middle East. Adding to the bearish tone, the anticipated output increase by OPEC+—expected to raise August production by 411,000 bpd—acts as a supply-side headwind. Meanwhile, a modest rebound in the US Dollar from multi-year lows also weighs on oil demand, given its inverse relationship with USD-denominated commodities. However, expectations that the Federal Reserve may soon resume rate cuts could limit USD upside, offering some support to oil prices. Traders are likely to stay cautious ahead of key US economic data, including Wednesday’s ADP report and Thursday’s Nonfarm Payrolls, which will shape Fed policy expectations. Additionally, the latest EIA stockpile data will be closely watched for immediate supply signals. Conclusion: WTI Crude Oil is likely to trade with a neutral-to-bearish bias in the near term, pressured by rising supply and a firmer dollar. However, Fed rate cut expectations and upcoming US labor and inventory data may help cushion the downside. Traders may remain on the sidelines until clearer direction emerges post-NFP and OPEC+ decisions. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 6925 Resistance Level 2: 7080 Resistance Level 3: 7230 Support Level 1: 6460 Support Level 2: 6300 Support Level 3: 6100 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:WTI
by TradeNation
WTI OIL TRADING IDEA 1 JULY 2025WTI Crude Oil is currently trading around $64.77, following a recent rejection from the $76–78 resistance zone. This area represents a strong supply zone and coincides with the upper boundary of a long-term descending channel, indicating institutional selling pressure. From a Smart Money Concepts (SMC) perspective, this move appears to be a liquidity grab above previous highs, where price tapped into a bearish order block before aggressively reversing. Price action confirms this bearish sentiment, with a visible rejection and bearish engulfing candle suggesting that sellers are defending the region aggressively. On the supply and demand side, the $76.77–78.30 zone is the immediate supply zone, while the next key resistance above lies between $79.37 and $93.94. On the downside, demand lies at $58.69–64.00, with major demand and liquidity resting around $55.00 and $51.79. Fundamentally, the recent spike in oil prices was largely driven by heightened tensions in the Middle East, particularly renewed conflict concerns between Iran and Israel. However, as no direct disruption to oil supply has occurred, the geopolitical risk premium is now being priced out. Additionally, concerns over global demand, especially from China and Europe, along with a gradual and controlled U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) refill, are putting downward pressure on prices despite OPEC+ maintaining output cuts. Based on this analysis, the trade idea favors a bearish swing setup. A short position around $64.00–66.00 could be considered, targeting $58.69 as the first take-profit level, followed by $55.00 and $51.79 for extended targets. The stop loss should be placed just above $78.50 to allow room beyond the supply zone and trendline. This setup offers a risk-reward ratio of approximately 1:3. However, if price breaks and holds above $78.50, it may signal a structural shift toward bullish momentum, likely driven by unexpected geopolitical escalation or a change in OPEC strategy. In such a case, the bias should flip to bullish, with potential targets around $89.00–93.00.
THINKMARKETS:WTIShort
by karabompesi
WTI looks to end bearish run after bullish inventories dataWe have had some more bullish oil news from the weekly US inventories report. It remains to be seen whether the news is enough to lift the oil price. Following the API data overnight we had even more bullish-looking official inventories report from the US Department of Energy. The fact that crude stocks fell for the 5th straight week certainly points to strong demand, pushing stockpiles to their lowest levels since January. As well as the big headline draw, stocks of crude products fell sharply too. The 2 million barrel draw in gasoline inventories was much higher than the API report, and suggests the driving season is well and truly at full steam, when demand for gasoline tends to rise. In case you missed it, the DoE reported the following numbers: • Crude -5.84mm • Cushing -464k • Gasoline -2.08mm • Distillates -4.07mm Whether or not oil can now stage a meaningful rebound remains to be seen. It has certainly lost its entire risk premium associated with the Iran-Israel conflict. Perhaps it is up to the OPEC+ now to decide with the alliance due to hold discussions on July 6 to consider a further supply boost in August. Any hints of a slower supply boost could provide support to prices. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
FOREXCOM:USOIL
by FOREXcom
KOG - OILQuick look at Oil. There is a pivot here in the golden zone around the 70.5 level which we can dip into. Above that level, we would be looking for higher oil with the potential target level on the chart. Note, oil is due a huge pull back, so rejection from one of these resistance levels can give us that pull back in order to get better pricing to long. We've added the red boxes from the indicator to help you navigate the move. Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
TVC:USOIL
by KnightsofGold
16
WTI Crude oversold rally support at 6400WTI crude oil is trading just above a two-week low of 6400, as demand concerns continue to weigh on prices. The pressure comes from uncertainty around President Trump’s tariff policy, which could worsen when the current 90-day pause ends on July 9. So far, only a minor trade deal with the UK has been reached, adding to fears of a global slowdown and weaker oil demand. Earlier this week, oil prices also dropped after Trump announced a ceasefire between Israel and Iran, easing fears about disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz, a major oil shipping route. On the positive side, expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts are rising. If Trump replaces Fed Chair Jerome Powell with someone more supportive of rate cuts, it could help lift oil prices slightly by boosting the economic outlook. Overall, oil remains under pressure with limited upside unless demand outlook improves or further supportive policy measures emerge. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 6925 Resistance Level 2: 7080 Resistance Level 3: 7230 Support Level 1: 6460 Support Level 2: 6300 Support Level 3: 6100 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:WTI
by TradeNation
WTI OIL Progressively bearish on the long-term. Eyes $52.50.A week has passed since our sell signal on WTI Oil (USOIL) and the emerging geopolitical stability has already helped the price move much faster towards our $58.20 Target (see chart in related ideas below). If we look at it from an even longer term perspective, the 1W time-frame in particular, we can see draw some very useful conclusions about the bearish case. First of all that this week's High got rejected exactly on the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line), which is the trend-line that made the last 3 major rejections on the market (January 13 2025, October 07 2024). As you can see, that was a textbook Double Top formation. The last Double Top rejection took place on June 06 2022, the previous multi-year Top for the market. The result was a continued sell-off that didn't stop before testing the 1W MA200, which is now the Resistance. As a result, even though our $58.20 Target stands, on the longer term we can even see a -37.36% decline towards the end of the year. Contact with the bottom of the Channel Down can be made at $52.50. Alternatively, you can look at the 1W RSI, which has a clear Sell and clear Buy Zone. This week it was rejected on the Sell Zone, so you may look to book your profit as soon as it enters the Buy Zone. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TRADENATION:WTIShort
by TradingShot
Oil’s Reaction to Geopolitical DevelopmentsOil’s Reaction to Geopolitical Developments We must be cautious when trading oil. Despite the unexpected attack by Israel on Iran last week, gold prices did not rise beyond $77.50. In my view, oil prices remain largely under the influence of the U.S. and OPEC+, with Trump opposing any significant price increase. Iran ranks as one of the world's top oil producers, holding the fifth position in daily output. However, it is surprising that prices did not exceed $77.50, especially considering past instances of major price surges during the Russia-Ukraine war. Even if oil rebounds toward $80, this movement could be purely speculative, with a high likelihood of a pullback, as indicated by the technical chart. Key target zones: 67.00 ; 64 and 56.50 You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
TVC:USOILShort
by KlejdiCuni
19
WW3 Scenario - Bull flag potentialWe bottomed at the gap fill at $57, a long term target I had been expecting. A bullish retest at the golden pocket followed, now all we need is a clean break above $80 to end the lower high downtrend. I don't want to comment on politics, but suffice to say the price of oil will tell us what's really going on. A supply shock has the potential to send oil to the $200 level. I don't know what the world will look like in that scenario, but I can assure you it will be a global catastrophe. Inflation will reignite, the interest rates will likely go up. This is the single most important chart to be watching now. Forget Apple, forget Nvidia. Oil and the DXY is where the chart will reveal the news. Pay attention!
BLACKBULL:WTI
by NoFOMO_
7
The latest layout for crude oil today.With geopolitical risks gradually easing, oil prices have deviated significantly from macroeconomic and fundamental guidance. While Iran's situation has shown signs of mitigation, the single-day decline in oil prices was excessive. We believe current oil prices have reached a reasonable range: short positions can still be held, but chasing further shorting is no longer advisable. On the daily chart, crude oil formed a large bearish candlestick with both no upper and lower shadows, directly breaking below support and continuing to decline. After breaking above the previous high, the breakdown of support indicates that oil prices are falling back again to seek a new trading range. Today, the focus remains on the sustainability of the bearish momentum. you are currently struggling with losses，or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow,You have the option to join our VIP program. I will assist you and provide you with accurate trading signals, enabling you to navigate the financial markets with greater confidence and potentially achieve optimal trading results. Trading Strategy: sell@68.5-69.0 TP:64.5-64.0
FX:USOILShort
by MyronWilson
Today's crude oil trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful toThree Driving Logics Behind Oil Price Collapse: From Geopolitical Ebb to Supply Loosening (1) The "Security Pledge" for Strait of Hormuz Materializes As the "lifeblood" for 30% of global seaborne crude oil, blockade expectations for the Strait of Hormuz were the core support for oil prices above $75. However, during the recent attacks, Iran deliberately avoided the strait's vicinity and even issued navigation safety bulletins via the International Maritime Organization (IMO)—this explicit signal of "no supply disruption" eliminated market panic over a "11 million bpd supply outage." Historical parallels show that after Iran attacked U.S. bases in 2020, oil prices surged 4.5% before rapidly reversing to a 1% decline due to the same "uninterrupted supply" logic—a pattern repeating today. (2) OPEC+ Production Hike Expectations "Undercut the Foundation" Despite escalating geopolitical tensions, OPEC+ has stuck to its plan to increase output by 411,000 bpd in July, with producers like Saudi Arabia hinting at "further capacity releases if necessary." This combination of "production pledge + supply stability" directly hedges against geopolitical risk premiums. More crucially, while U.S. crude inventories dropped by 11.47 million barrels last week, strategic reserve replenishment demand remains uninitiated, leaving markets focused on potential "oversupply" from OPEC+'s actual production increases. (3) Aftermath of Trump's "Ceasefire Smokescreen" Trump's earlier announcement of a "comprehensive Israel-Iran ceasefire"—though unconfirmed by official sources—planted expectations of "conflict resolution" in the market. When Iran opted for "symbolic attacks" over all-out retaliation, capital accelerated its exit from geopolitical risk exposures: data shows WTI net long positions have dropped from 179,100 contracts to 123,000 contracts, with the rapid exodus of speculative capital amplifying price declines. Today's crude oil trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to you USOIL sell@64~64.5 SL:66 TP1:63.5~63
TVC:USOILShort
by David_Wilson1
WTI CRUDE OIL: Massive 4H MA50 bearish breakout.WTI Crude Oil has turned neutral again on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 48.933, MACD = 2.900, ADX = 47.682) as it just broke with force under the 4H MA50. Every time this has taken place in the recent past, a strong downtrend followed. The last such selling sequence dropped by -23.71%. The 4H RSI is on the exact same spot as then. We are bearish, TP = 59.00. See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
TVC:USOILShort
by InvestingScope
CRUDE OIL (WTI): Technical Analysis & Important pattern to WatchHere’s my latest analysis on ⚠️USOIL price action. The price has recently finished a correction, followed by a brief consolidation in a horizontal range and an ascending triangle pattern A bullish breakout above the intraday resistance levels would suggest a likely end to the accumulation phase. The chances are high that the pair is returning back to a bullish trend, with a target of 77.00. Strong fundamentals back this bullish outlook.
FX:USOIL
by linofx1
7
Potential 3000+pips on XXXUSD PairsGBPUSD We anticipate a potential bullish move towards the 1.3540 region, from there, we'll be watching closely for sign of exhaustion to initiate a short position, targeting up to 300pips to the downside. A confirmed daily close below the 1.2270 level will serve as out trigger to hold the short position with confidence, EURUSD For this market, we remain cautiously bearish. A 4H timeframe close below the 1.3950 region will be our signal to begin more sells to the downside targets around 1.3400 and 1.12800 zones. Until that breakdown occurs, we'll remain on the side-lines to avoid premature entries. XAUUSD Gold will be traded with a high level of discipline- only high conviction trades will be taken here. We're currently waiting for a clear breAK and close below the 3291.90 level before initiating any shorts positions. Until then, we maintain a neutral stance and monitor price action closely around key levels. USOIL We're keeping an eye on possible entry opportunities, anticipating a potential rally towards the 116 region. Updates on the setup and validation criteria will follow as price action unfolds. Send a direct message if you are interested in more info about Capital Management. Patience is the Way! Ieios
TVC:USOIL
by Ieios
1
Bulish oil WTI) ✅ Overall Market Structure: After a steady bullish trend, price has experienced a sharp drop and is now reacting to a demand zone around 64.955. The recent price action suggests signs of potential stabilization and a possible bullish reversal. --- 🟩 Key Levels: Major Support Zone: The area between 64.00 – 65.00 acts as a strong demand zone, which has shown prior reactions. Resistance / Target Levels: 67.398 (first resistance and short-term target) 69.231 (mid-level resistance) 72.879 (main target if bullish momentum continues) --- 📈 Bullish Scenario (Most Probable Based on Current Chart): After touching the demand zone, price seems to be forming a potential bottom. If a strong bullish candlestick appears (such as a bullish engulfing or hammer), we can expect a corrective or impulsive move to the upside. 🔸 Suggested Stop-Loss: Below 63.80 🔸 Target 1: 67.40 🔸 Target 2: 69.20 🔸 Target 3: 72.80 --- ⚠️ Important Notes: 1. Wait for bullish confirmation before entering a trade. 2. If the support at 64 breaks, price may drop further toward the next demand zone around 61.00–60.00 (next major support lies at 59.415). 3. Keep an eye on oil-related news and U.S. economic reports (noted with calendar icons on the chart), as they can strongly impact volatility. ---
BLACKBULL:WTILong
by AliSMA25
1
Oil volatility expected to remain on Middle East tensions.Fundamental Oil prices remain under pressure. Volatility is expected to remain elevated as traders digest inventory data, watch for geopolitical shifts, and anticipate the upcoming OPEC+ meeting on July 6, where supply policy could change. Technical Technical indicators remain strongly bearish with RSI favouring further downside below pivot level 65.53 toward support levels at 63.76 and 60.00. A break above 65.53 sees a move towards resistance levels at 66.50 and 69.00 subsequently
TVC:USOILShort
by WiseLeoTrading
1