USOIL Will Go Up From Support! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for USOIL.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 73.374.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 78.914 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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USCRUDEOILCFD trade ideas
USOIL: Next Week's Trend Analysis and Trading RecommendationsSupply Shortage Risks
Escalating Middle East tensions pressure Iran's crude supply: Israeli airstrikes have hit key facilities, and potential conflict escalation may disrupt oil production capacity and transportation through the Strait of Hormuz (where 20% of global oil shipments pass). Although OPEC+ has proposed output increases, doubts over implementation fuel concerns about supply gaps, supporting oil prices.
Peak Demand Season Support
Summer triggers peak travel seasons in Europe and the U.S., surging demand for gasoline, jet fuel, etc. Despite global economic slowdown, rebounding seasonal consumption—combined with supply-side uncertainties—exacerbates market fears of supply-demand imbalance, underpinning prices.
Panic Sentiment Drive
Middle East tensions spark panic buying of crude oil futures, amplifying short-term price volatility. As long as conflicts remain unresolved, emotional factors will sustain upward momentum for oil prices.
USOIL
buy@71-72
TP:75~76
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USOIL || Geopolitical Spike Hits Major Resistance - Watch $77.77🛢️
📅 June 13, 2025
👤 By: MJTRADING
🔍 🧭 Fundamental Context – Risk Premium on the Rise:
Crude oil surged sharply today following reports of Israeli airstrikes on Iranian territory — a move that reawakens fears of broader Middle East escalation. Iran plays a crucial role in OPEC and controls the strategic Strait of Hormuz , through which ~20% of global oil passes.
While Iran has not officially responded yet, markets are pricing in the potential for:
* Military retaliation
* Disruption of oil exports or maritime routes
* Heightened volatility across global risk assets
=======================================================
📉 📊 Technical Structure – Tag of Key Resistance at $77.7:
Price exploded upward, piercing the descending channel that's been intact since mid-2022.
Today's daily wick tagged the $77.70 level, a major horizontal resistance and channel top.
This zone has repeatedly acted as a pivot in both bullish and bearish phases.
Volume confirmed the move – highest daily volume in months, suggesting institutional reaction.
💡 Trading Outlook:
🔼 Scenario A – Breakout & Close Above $77.7 = Bull Continuation
If tomorrow closes firmly above $77.70:
Target 1: $88.88 supply zone
Target 2: $90.00 psychological resistance
Setup: Conservative entries on retest of $75–77 area with tight invalidation
🔽 Scenario B – Failed Breakout → Fade Back Inside Channel
If this was a headline-driven spike with no follow-through, bears may re-enter strongly
A close below $75 could confirm bull trap
Support zone to watch: $66.66 (mid-channel, EMA confluence)
⚠️ Risk Factors to Monitor:
Iran’s response (military, diplomatic, strategic)
US/NATO reaction to potential escalation
Strait of Hormuz disruption
OPEC commentary or Saudi-led output adjustment
Market sentiment unwind (profit-taking from overbought spike)
💬 Markets love emotion, but traders survive with structure. This is not the time to be reckless — size down, be responsive, and respect both breakouts and fakeouts.
📎 #CrudeOil #Geopolitics #OilSpike #WTI #MiddleEastTensions #Iran #IranIsrael #TechnicalAnalysis #MJTRADING
WTI MONTLY OUTLOOK! PRICE MIGHT EXPLODE!!Crude futures rose on demand as we saw price climb $73 per barrel as the time of publishing this report. Looking at the price action from the monthly chart, we’re seeing a possible bullish price action to continue after price found a new low around the $56 level.
Technically, we’re also seeing a morning star candlestick pattern which indicates a bullish reversal.
WTI Oil D1 | Potential bounce off a pullback supportWTI oil (USOIL) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 73.17 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 70.50 which is a level that lies underneath a a pullback support and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 78.07 which is a a pullback resistance.
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Losses can exceed deposits.
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WTI: Need a Breakout the STOP.DISCLAIMER : All labelling and wave counts done by me by manually and i will keep change according to the LIVE MARKET PRICE ACTION. So don't bias, hope on my trade plans...try to learn and make your own strategy...Following is not that much easy...I AM NOT RESPONSIBLE FOR ANY LOSSES IF U TOOK THE TRADE ACCORDING TO MY TRADE PLANS....THANKS LOT..CHEERS
Crude oil is gaining volatilityCrude oil accelerates the momentum as the geopolitical situation escalates. Volatility is high, so trading might be dangerous both for longs and shorts, especially for day or short-term traders.
So, it would make sense to wait for a while until the “smoke goes down” and the price would establish a temporary trading range, which would later be broken to any direction.
The price currently is above the 20-day moving average for $12 in terms of asset price, which is more than 5 times greater than the average daily volatility. It either points to the “overheated” situation or potentially a momentum situation, which means the rapid continuation to the upside after a short phase of consolidation (usually 2-3 days).
Don't forget - this is just the idea, always do your own research and never forget to manage your risk!
WTI OIL Massive rejection on the 1D MA200.WTI Oil (USOIL) has been trading within a Channel Down for over a year now and today its latest Bullish Leg hit the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time since February 03 2025.
Unless we see a sustainable structured rise that turns it into a Support, the long-term bearish trend should prevail, and the market has already reacted to this with a strong rejection.
With the 1D RSI almost overbought (>70.00), being consistent with the last 3 major tops, we expect a gradual decline towards Support 1, as it happened on the January - February 2025 Bearish Leg.
Our Target is just above it at $55.50.
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Crude Oil Eyes 65.40 Support Amid Middle East Uncertainty!!Hey Traders,
In today’s trading session, we’re closely monitoring USOIL for a potential buying opportunity around the 65.40 zone. The commodity remains in an overall uptrend, and is currently undergoing a corrective phase, approaching a key support/resistance area near 65.40. This level aligns well with the broader trend structure and may offer a favorable risk-to-reward setup.
On the fundamental side, geopolitical tensions are on the rise. Reports indicate that U.S. embassy personnel are being evacuated from parts of the Middle East amid growing regional instability. Allegedly, Israel is preparing for potential military action against Iran should nuclear deal talks collapse.
If these tensions escalate further into military conflict, oil prices could spike in response to the heightened risk to regional supply chains.
Trade safe,
Joe
USOIL The current conflict between Iran and Israel has caused a sharp spike in oil prices due to fears of supply disruptions in a geopolitically sensitive region that is critical for global energy flows.
Key Effects on Oil Prices:
Price Surge:
Oil prices jumped over 7% on June 13, 2025, reaching multi-month highs. Brent crude rose to $76.190 close 73.535 per barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude climbed to around $77.542 before closing at 72.91 per barrel on Friday
Earlier intraday spikes were even higher, with Brent briefly surging over 13% and WTI over 14%, marking the largest single-day gains since March 2022.
Risk Premium and Supply Concerns:
The Israeli strike on Iran significantly raised the "risk premium" on oil prices as markets worry about potential retaliation by Iran targeting oil infrastructure or blocking the Strait of Hormuz, a vital shipping route for about 20% of the world’s oil.
Iran produces about 3.3 million barrels per day (3% of global supply) and exports 1.5 million barrels daily, mainly to China and Turkey. Disruptions here could tighten global supply considerably.
Potential for Further Price Increases:
Analysts warn that if the conflict escalates, oil prices could surge beyond current levels, potentially topping $93 to $100 per barrel if Iran blocks the Strait of Hormuz or attacks Gulf energy installations.
Goldman Sachs projects Brent crude could peak slightly above $90 per barrel before falling back as supply stabilizes.
Broader Market Impact:
The conflict has also caused stock market declines and a flight to safe-haven assets like gold, which rose sharply alongside the oil price spike.
U.S. gasoline prices are expected to rise in the coming days due to higher crude costs, potentially increasing fuel prices significantly if the conflict worsens.
Summary
The Iran-Israel conflict has already caused a major jump in oil prices due to fears of supply disruptions in a key oil-producing region. The risk of Iran retaliating by targeting oil infrastructure or blocking the Strait of Hormuz could lead to sustained higher prices, with some analysts warning of a possible spike to $93–$100 per barrel if tensions escalate further. This situation is closely monitored by markets given its potential to impact global energy supplies and inflation worldwide
#USOIL #OIL
Oil prices surge amid Middle East turmoil
💡Message Strategy
WTI prices climbed to a nearly two-month high, weighed down by rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.
📊Technical aspects
From the daily chart level, crude oil's medium-term trend is upward around the moving average system, and the medium-term objective trend is mainly oscillating upward. Oil prices gradually rise to the upper edge of the range.
From the perspective of momentum, the MACD indicator fast and slow lines cross the zero axis upward, and the bullish momentum begins to warm up. The K line closes with a small positive line continuously. If the oil price breaks through the range resistance in the later period, the medium-term trend is expected to further rise and test the 80 line.
The short-term (4H) trend of crude oil fluctuated upward and hit a new high of 70. The moving average system is arranged in a bullish pattern, and the short-term objective trend direction remains upward. The K-line closed with a large real positive line in the early trading, showing an upward main trend.
The MACD indicator opened upward above the zero axis, and the bullish momentum was dominant. It is expected that the crude oil trend will continue to break upward during the day.
💰 Strategy Package
Long Position:70.00-72.20,Target 75.50
SELL TRADE IDEA Entry Point: 68.30SELL TRADE IDEA
Entry Point: 68.30
🔻 Initiating a SELL position on USOIL
🔍 Bearish trend forming – short-term weakness spotted
🎯 Final Target: 64.50
📉 Room for downside movement
📊 Following resistance rejection and trend signals
🛑 Risk Management Comes First
📌 Always set a stop-loss before entering
💼 Risk only what you can afford to lose
🔒 Protect your capital – it’s your trading fuel
🧠 Emotionless trading wins over time
📈 Adjust lot size to match account risk plan
⚠️ Oil markets can move fast – stay alert
⏱ Timeframe: Intraday to short-term swing
🚫 Avoid revenge trading – trust your setup
🔁 Re-evaluate if structure changes
🔧 Use trailing stops once in profit
💬 Smart trades are protected trades
#USOIL #CrudeOil #SellSignal #Commodities #RiskManagement #OilTrade
US OIL Bullish Move is coming?Hi Traders.
MTF Correctional Structure but it seems that this is
not a correction to go further down instead a correction to reverse.
We see a clear Inverse HnS Pattern
Breakout and correction is forming
Wait for the current correction to finish to confirm
this bullish setup
CRUDE OIL (WTI): Pullback From Key Level
WTI Crude Oil looks overbought after a test of key daily horizontal resistance level.
A violation of a minor horizontal support on an hourly time frame after its test
provides a strong intraday confirmation.
I expect a retracement to 66.33 level.
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WTI Crude Oil 4H Chart – Bullish Setup from Demand Zone📈 Current Price: $61.74
🔵 Key Zones & Levels
🔹 Demand Zone (Buy Area):
🟦 $59.48 – $61.39
→ Price expected to bounce here
→ 🔄 Potential reversal zone
🔹 Entry Point:
🎯 $61.39
→ Ideal level to enter LONG
→ Just above demand zone
🔹 Stop Loss:
🛑 Below $59.48
→ Exit if price drops here
→ Protects capital
🔹 Target Point:
🚀 $67.00
→ Profit-taking zone
→ Strong resistance zone nearby:
* 66.63
* 66.75
* 67.60
📊 Indicators
📍 EMA (70): 🔴 61.40
→ Price trading above = bullish signal
→ EMA acting as support
📏 Trendline Channel:
🔼 Higher highs & higher lows
→ Supports uptrend continuation
📌 Trade Plan Summary
* Bias: 📈 Bullish
* Buy: At 61.39
* Stop: Below 59.48 🛑
* Target: 67.00 🎯
* Risk-Reward: ✔️ Favorable (~1:3)
🔍 What to Watch
* ✅ Bullish candles in demand zone
* 🔁 Retest of EMA or lower channel
* ❌ Avoid if it breaks below $59.48
USOUL:Go long near 65.5
USOIL:Crude oil broke through the watershed 64.85 after the emergence of strong unilateral bulls, daily cycle relying on short-term average to go even Yang form, rising space has opened, pay attention to the strong will continue at least a few trading days, short-term relying on 65 defense needs to be more, pay attention to 65.5 near the long, see 66.7-67
Trading Strategy:
BUY@65.5
TP: 66.7-67
↓↓↓ More detailed strategies and trading will be notified here ↗↗↗
↓↓↓ Keep updated, come to "get" ↗↗↗
"Go long on crude oil with strong unilateral pullback"The market is weighing the impact of global trade tensions on the global crude oil demand outlook. After two days of intense consultations in London, the Asian giant and the U.S. have reached a framework agreement on restarting trade talks. U.S. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick said after the negotiations that the framework still needs review and approval from President Trump. Crude oil continued to rise after a pullback correction, showing a single bearish candlestick retracement pattern on the daily chart. With price supported at the MA5 level, it continues to make new highs, and this rally could target the 67.0 level.
Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term.
Trading Strategy:
buy@64.0-64.5
TP:66.5-67.0
Crude Oil Surges on Summer Demand and Trade OptimismOn the weekly chart, crude oil trades above the mid-range of a descending channel that has been in place since the 2022 highs. The RSI remains just below the neutral zone, suggesting a cautiously bullish-to-neutral outlook while prices hover near the $65 resistance level.
From a daily perspective, oil prices are breaking out above the $65 resistance, and a firm hold could pave the way toward $66 and potentially retest the $71 and $73 levels.
On the downside, the psychological support at $60 remains critical. A break below $60—and more critically, below the $58 moving average—could reintroduce long term bullish positioning from $55 and $49.
- Razan Hilal, CMT
Bulls on the Loose: US Oil Spot/WTI Heist Strategy! 🚨💰 THE OIL VAULT HEIST: US OIL SPOT/WTI TRADING STRATEGY 💸🔫
🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers 🤑💰💸✈️
Based on our 🔥Thief Trading style analysis🔥 (both technical and fundamental), here’s the master plan to heist the US Oil Spot/WTI Energy Market. Follow the blueprint carefully—this strategy focuses on long entries, with a daring escape planned near the high-risk Red ATR line Zone where bearish robbers and consolidation traps await. 🏆💸 Take your profit and treat yourself, fellow traders—you earned it! 💪🏆🎉
🕵️♂️ Entry 📈
💥 The vault is wide open! Time to swipe that bullish loot—heist is on!
Place buy limit orders within the 15 or 30-minute timeframe, near swing lows/highs for pullback entries.
🛑 Stop Loss 🛑
📍 Thief’s SL—recent swing low and below the moving average (4H timeframe) for day/swing trades.
📍 Adjust SL based on risk, lot size, and number of orders.
🎯 Target
🏴☠️💥 69.000 (Aim for the big loot!) OR escape before the target
🔥 Market Heist Overview
The UK Oil Spot/Brent market is currently showing bullishness 🐂, driven by key factors—perfect for a day/scalping trade robbery! ☝☝☝
📰 Additional Tools & Analysis
📊 Get the Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Quantitative Analysis, Sentiment Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Future Targets—check our bi0 liinks 👉👉👉🔗🔗
⚠️ Trading Alert: News Releases & Position Management
📰 News can rattle the vault! 💥
✅ Avoid new trades during news releases.
✅ Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect profits.
💖 Supporting our heist plan?
💥 Smash the Boost Button 💥 to empower the robbery team.
Let’s make money every day in this market with the Thief Trading Style! 🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
👀 Stay tuned for the next robbery plan, thieves! 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
USOIL BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
USOIL SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 65.62
Target Level: 62.64
Stop Loss: 67.59
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 9h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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