AUDUSD READY TO LAUNCH: HTF Bias + OB + FVG + PRIME SETUPBias:
We’re operating within a clear bullish higher time frame bias, confirmed by previous swing structure and continuous displacement to the upside. Price has consistently made higher highs and higher lows on the 4H and Daily chart.
Entry Zone:
✅ 4H Fair Value Gap (FVG) — a clean imbalance from prior bullish displacement. Price has now retraced into this inefficiency, a key area where smart money typically looks to re-accumulate.
✅ 1H Order Block (OB) — precisely overlapping the 4H FVG, strengthening the setup. This is the last bearish candle before the bullish move that created a market structure shift, now acting as a support zone.
This dual confluence—FVG + OB at a retracement level—marks a premium setup.
USDAUD trade ideas
MarketBreakdown | AUDUSD, EURAUD, US100, CHFJPY
Here are the updates & outlook for multiple instruments in my watch list.
1️⃣ #AUDUSD daily time frame 🇦🇺🇺🇸
The pair has completed a bullish accumulation and violated
a resistance line of a horizontal range on a daily.
A new higher high higher close confirms a strong bullish sentiment
and a highly probably continuation of an uptrend.
2️⃣ #EURAUD daily time frame 🇪🇺🇦🇺
The price has recently violated a significant daily support cluster.
After a breakout, the price dropped but did not manage
to reach any important demand zone so far.
The closest one is based on 1.742 level.
It will most likely be the next goal for the sellers.
3️⃣ #US100 daily time frame
The market is currently retesting a recently broken
massive daily demand cluster.
I believe that the growth will resume soon
and the price will reach 20300.
4️⃣ #CHFJPY daily time frame 🇨🇭🇯🇵
The pair is currently testing a critical contracting demand
zone based on a rising trend line and a horizontal support.
I will expect a strong bullish reaction to that.
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AUD USDAUD/USD – Re-entry Setup in Play
Price has offered a re-entry opportunity at 0.64653, aligning with previous structure. This setup remains valid for those who were stopped out or took partial profits earlier.
Entry: 0.64653
Stop Loss: 0.65144
Target: 0.62680
We're watching for a continuation lower as long as price remains below 0.65144. Maintain risk management.
#AUDUSD #forex #priceaction #technicalanalysis
AUD vs Majors: Diverging Paths in a Tumultuous Cycle (2019–2025)The Australian Dollar (AUD) has significantly diverged in performance across major currency pairs since 2019. The AUD/JPY (yellow line) stands out with a strong +14.01% gain, reflecting both risk-on sentiment and yen weakness. Meanwhile, AUD/USD and AUD/CAD have both suffered steep declines of -10.24% and -8.85%, respectively, underlining AUD’s vulnerability to global tightening cycles and commodity-related headwinds. Notably, AUD/NZD has remained relatively flat, highlighting the tight correlation between the two regional economies.
This divergence suggests that AUD’s performance is being increasingly shaped by its counterpart's macro narrative—whether it's U.S. monetary policy, Japanese yield control, or New Zealand's economic synchronization.
AUDUSD H1 I Bullish Bounce Off 61.8% Fibo Based on the H1 chart analysis, the price is falling toward our buy entry level at 0.6417, a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Our take profit is set at 0.6488, a swing high resistance.
The stop loss is placed at 0.6355, a swing high resistance.
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Australian dollar hits five-month high after Australian electionThe Australian dollar continues to impress and has posted strong gains on Monday. European session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6491, up 0.72% on the day and its highest level since early December 2025.
Prime Minister Anthony Albanese cruised to a resounding victory in Saturday's national election. Albanese' centre-left Labor Party increased its majority and thumped the Liberal Party opposition. The coalition's defeat was marked by its leader, Peter Dutton losing his own seat.
The long shadow of US President Donald Trump was a factor in the election. Dutton adopted right-wing policies such as promising tougher immigration laws and establishing a platform to reduce the waste of public funds. The similarities between Dutton and Trump hurt the Liberal leader as many voters were upset with Trump's 10% tariffs on Australia.
At the start of the year, Albanese was trailing badly in the opinion polls. However, he struck a receptive chord among voters on domestic issues such as health care and housing, and benefited from the anti-Trump sentiment, which proved to be a winning recipe.
US nonfarm payrolls, a key gauge of the US labor market, dipped slightly to 177 thousand in April, down from a revised 185 thousand in March. This easily beat the market estimate of 130 thousand. The positive unemployment report points to a resilient labor market which remains strong despite the US economy declining in the first quarter.
The markets have responded by lowering the odds of a rate hike in June to 33%, down sharply from 60% a week ago, according to the CME's FedWatch. The Federal Reserve meets on Wednesday and is virtually certain to maintain the benchmark rate of 4.25%-4.5%.
AUD USD Long Position. Audusd is at the highest point in the last 3 months and also is at an imbalance (low volume node). The weekly (last week) and daily market profiles from last week (friday) suggested a reversal in price due to demand drying up, but the aggressive surplus of buy imbalances marked by the 2hr footprint chart show sellers are being absorbed and demand is still willing to go higher.
Trade snapshots for proof:
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AUDUSD Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow Analysis !In this video I will be sharing my AUDUSD analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.
AUDUSD: Short Signal with Entry/SL/TP
AUDUSD
- Classic bearish formation
- Our team expects pullback
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short AUDUSD
Entry - 0.6477
Sl - 0.6503
Tp - 0.6429
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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AUD/USD continue with the UptrendOn AUD/USD , it's nice to see a strong buying reaction at the price of 0.64470 .
There's a significant accumulation of contracts in this area, indicating strong buyer interest. I believe that buyers who entered at this level will defend their long positions. If the price returns to this area, strong buyers will likely push the market up again.
Strong S/R zone from the past + Uptrend and high volume cluster are the main reasons for my decision to go long on this trade.
Happy trading
Dale
GBP/JPY Short, GBP/USD Short, AUD/CAD Short and AUD/USD ShortGBP/JPY Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• If structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it.
GBP/USD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Corrective tap into area of value.
• 4H risk entry or 1H risk entry after 2 x 1H rejection candles.
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
AUD/CAD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
AUD/USD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• 1H impulse down below area of interest.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
AUDUSD Short PotentialTechnical Analysis
The AUDUSD pair is currently trending upwards due to USD weakness. The pair seems overbought based on stochastics > 80%
Fundamental Analysis
The RBA is widely expected to cut interest rates at its upcoming 20th May meeting. Inflation has fallen substantially based on previous RBA meeting minutes which warrants a current 25 basis points rate cut with more expected in the future.
Trade Setup
Short positions are preferred based on the current AUDUSD strength with a potential entry around .6547 which is near the 61.8% Fib level with a S/L at .6562 and T/P at the 50% Fib level around .6437.
AUDUSD LONG FORECAST Q2 W19 D5 Y25
AUDUSD LONG FORECAST Q2 W19 D5 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly 50 EMA
✅Intraday 15' order block
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
✅Intraday bullish breaks of structure to be confirmed
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
AudUsd Expanding TriangleAudUsd is making a bullish structure in the more recent timeframes. Based of specific patterns, I'd say this inclines to be an expanding triangle, which price just broke above, and it seems to stay above, after failing to go lower lows near the top. Price broke above, made a retest and I think it is more wise to buy after it made a positive reaction to this well known expanding triangle pattern.
Aussie Perks Up As Asia NapsAUD/USD closed last week at the highest level of 2025 and has extended the move today, pushing above the key 200-day moving average. The rally coincides with further strength in the offshore-traded Chinese yuan, which also finished last week at 2025 highs against the U.S. dollar.
While the price action is undeniably bullish—mirrored by strengthening momentum indicators—light turnover due to holidays across much of Asia warrants caution. The European open may offer a clearer read on whether this break above the 200DMA will stick.
If there’s no immediate reversal during European trade, traders may consider establishing longs with a tight stop below the 200DMA, targeting resistance near .6550. Alternatively, a move back beneath the 200DMA—echoing Friday’s reversal—could open the door for shorts, with uptrend support around .6370 and the 50DMA below that as possible downside targets.
Good luck!
DS
Potential bullish rise?The Aussie (AUD/USD) has bounced off the pivot which is a pullback support and could rise to the 1st resistance which has been identified as an overlap resistance.
Pivot: 0.6391
1st Support: 0.6258
1st Resistance: 0.6647
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