AUD/USD SELLAUD/USD Javelin trade is setting up nicely with a Sell opportunity. Good R/R . Nice tight stop.
USDAUD trade ideas
Idea on a TradeThe Australian dollar has rallied slightly during the trading session on Monday as we continue to dance around the 50 day EMA. However, the 50 day EMA of course, has been an area that the market comes back and forth from. So, I think we’re still looking at the market as one that is very much stuck in the same range it’s been in for quite some time between the 0.62 level on the bottom, and the 0.64 level on the top.
Fibonacci Retracements - Gauging a Dip in Price Part 2 In a previous post on February 19th, we highlighted 2 ways to gauge the extent of a dip in the price of a particular instrument, after a phase of upside strength. This post outlined concepts related to relatively limited and shallow corrections in price, such as those where prices are moving back down to old highs, or a 10-day moving average. You can find this report on our timeline, so please take a look.
The next challenge comes when the price of a particular instrument sees a more extended up or downside move, then the question becomes, is there anything that might aid us to gauge this type of price activity?
Technical analysts and traders will often use Fibonacci retracements as a tool to identify possible levels of support and resistance in financial markets. However, due to their calculation, these are commonly used when a more extended price move materialises.
The good news is that these are available on the Pepperstone charting system and can be utilised within any timeframe that you may wish to analyse.
Using Fibonacci Retracements:
Whether you are looking at a move to the up or downside, Fibonacci retracements can be helpful to identify support levels that may halt a price sell-off of a particular instrument within an on-going uptrend, or resistance levels that may cap any recovery within an on-going downtrend.
However, if these support or resistance levels are broken on a closing basis, they can also be useful in providing insight into whether there is an increased potential for a more sustained move in the direction of that break.
From a trading standpoint, Fibonacci retracements can provide valuable insights into market behaviour and can assist traders to make more informed decisions. The support and resistance levels they identify may be used to determine potential entry and exit points for trades, as well as areas to set stop-loss and take-profit orders for existing positions.
What to Know About Fibonacci Retracements:
Leonardo Fibonacci was a 12th century mathematician who developed the Fibonacci number sequence. Certain ratios are derived from the sequence, including 0.618, which is also known as the Golden mean. This is an important ratio that occurs throughout art, the natural world and even the human body.
Within financial markets, we use 3 set percentage retracements obtained from ratios within the Fibonacci sequence, to measure the potential extent of price declines or rallies. We use the 38.2%, the 50% (which isn’t a true Fibonacci retracement, but has become accepted by traders, as it highlights half the original move), and the 61.8%.
While there are other percentages available on all charting systems, these are the main one’s technical analysts focus on when looking at potential retracement calculations.
Downside Move: Significant High to Significant Low
In a downside move, we run the Fibonacci retracement from a significant price high to a significant price low. These are levels that stand out to you as being important extremes on the chart of the instrument you are focused on; within whatever timeframe you are analysing.
The Pepperstone charting system will then automatically calculate the 3 set percentages and provide you with 3 potential resistance areas that may cap any upside recovery in price. (See chart above).
Upside Move: Significant Low to Significant High
Within an upside move, we run the Fibonacci retracement analysis from a significant price low to a significant price high. Here the Pepperstone system will automatically calculate 3 potential support areas that may halt any downside correction in price. (See chart above).
Using Retracement Levels to Trade:
While there is no guarantee that Fibonacci retracements will identify support or resistance levels that work every time, they can offer traders levels that are worthwhile monitoring.
This can be useful if an instrument is trading within a confirmed uptrend, and we are looking to use a dip in the price as an opportunity to buy at a lower level.
Or, if an instrument is trading within a downtrend, and we are looking to use any recovery in price as an opportunity to sell at a higher level.
Traders may also use Fibonacci retracements to place stop losses just above the identified resistance level or below the support.
This is because, if for example a 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level is broken on a closing basis, it can highlight the potential of a more sustained move in the direction of the break, which could potentially be to the 50% retracement, and if this is in turn breached, on to the 61.8% level, as seen in the chart above.
In the example above, if the decline in price continued and the 61.8% support was broken on a closing basis, the Fibonacci rule suggests a more sustained phase of price weakness maybe seen towards the significant low used within the original calculation (100% retracement).
If such activity is seen within an on-going downtrend in price, the opposite is true. A sustained rally that closes above the 61.8% potential resistance, could lead to a more sustained phase of price strength towards the significant high originally identified after a downside move in price (100% retracement).
In Conclusion:
Whatever timeframe you utilise on your charts; the Fibonacci retracement can be a useful tool in highlighting support or resistance levels during a correction or recovery phase in price.
Initiating trading decisions as a retracement level is neared, can sometimes offer opportunities to establish a position before the original move is resumed. However, equally, it also allows stop losses to be placed relatively close to an entry point, as confirmed breaks of a retracement level can suggest a price moves may continue further.
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Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
AUDUSD Long H4Remember, successful trading relies on proper risk management and a disciplined approach. Use stop-losses to safeguard your assets and carefully plan each trade. Analysis is the key to making informed decisions. Stay updated and continue refining your strategies!
check the trendThe current resistance level is expected to change and a downtrend is likely to begin. If the price breaks through the resistance level, a continuation of the uptrend is likely.
Market Analysis: AUD/USD Could Continue HigherMarket Analysis: AUD/USD Could Continue Higher
AUD/USD is correcting gains from the 0.6365 zone.
Important Takeaways for AUD USD Analysis Today
- The Aussie Dollar started a downside correction from 0.6365 against the US Dollar.
- There is a key bullish trend line forming with support at 0.6300 on the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen.
AUD/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen, the pair started a fresh increase from the 0.6185 support. The Aussie Dollar was able to clear the 0.62550 resistance to move into a positive zone against the US Dollar.
There was a close above the 0.6275 resistance and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, the pair tested the 0.6365 zone. A high was formed near 0.6363 and the pair is now correcting gains.
There was a move below the 0.6320 level. The pair declined below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 0.6186 swing low to the 0.6363 high. On the downside, initial support is near a key bullish trend line at 0.6300.
The next major support is near the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 0.6186 swing low to the 0.6363 high at 0.6274.
If there is a downside break below the 0.6270 support, the pair could extend its decline toward the 0.6255 level. Any more losses might signal a move toward 0.6185.
On the upside, the AUD/USD chart indicates that the pair is now facing resistance near 0.6320. The first major resistance might be 0.6365. An upside break above the 0.6365 resistance might send the pair further higher.
The next major resistance is near the 0.6420 level. Any more gains could clear the path for a move toward the 0.6450 resistance zone.
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AUDUSD AnalysisExpected Structure Formation ...For now,don't look out for Sell Only Buys..Note that the Analysis is Invalid when Price Break below 0.62809
AUDUSD SELL - Multiple Timeframe Confluence!!!Trader Tom, a technical analyst with over 16 years’ experience, explains his trade idea using price action and a top down approach. This is one of many trades so if you would like to see more then please follow us and hit the boost button.
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Potential bearish drop?The Aussie (AUD/USD) has reacted off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support which is a pullback support.
Pivot: 0.6335
1st Support: 0.6203
1st Resistance: 0.6401
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AUDUSD Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring AUDUSD for a buying opportunity around 0.62100 zone, AUDUSD is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.62100 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
AUDUSD H4 I Bearish Drop Based on the H4 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 0.6331, a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
A rejection at this level could drive prices lower toward our take profit at 0.6261, a pullback support that aligns close to the 61.8% Fibo retracement.
The stop loss is set at 0.6373, a pullback resistance.
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AUDUSD Buy - Take it or leave itAUDUSD / 10/03/2025 - 14/03/2025 / High impact news for USD on 11.12.13.14/03/2025.
AUDUSD Hello traders, please feel free to share your trading ideas, and please give a Boost if you agree with my trading plan. My trading strategy is Price Action, which is the simplest strategy of trading on the price movement. A key part of my discipline is Stop Loss set when opening a trading position, which ensures every trading is risk managed. My 1 to 1 trading training is available, please message. Trade well and good luck!
AUD/USD at Critical Support – Breakout or Breakdown? 🔍 AUD/USD Daily Chart Analysis – March 9, 2025
Key Observations:
Ascending Channel 📈
The price is moving within an upward channel, indicating a short-term bullish trend.
Support & Resistance Zones 🟦🟥
Support: Around 0.6231 - 0.6200 (blue zone). A breakdown below this could push the price lower toward 0.6129 (orange zone).
Resistance: The 0.6460 - 0.6584 level is the next major hurdle for bulls.
200-Day Moving Average (Red Line) 🔴
The price is currently below the 200-MA, indicating a long-term bearish sentiment. However, a breakout above this level could signal a trend reversal.
Potential Scenarios 📊
✅ Bullish Case: If the price sustains above 0.6231, we could see a bounce towards 0.6460 - 0.6584 in the coming weeks.
❌ Bearish Case: A break below 0.6231 could push the price toward the 0.6129 - 0.6100 region before finding support.
Trade Plan 🎯
Buy Zone: Around 0.6231 with a stop-loss below 0.6200.
Sell Zone: If price rejects 0.6460, a short position could be considered with a stop above 0.6584.
📊 Conclusion: AUD/USD is at a key decision point. Bulls need to hold support for further upside. A breakdown could trigger a bearish move.
#AUDUSD 1DAYAUDUSD (1D Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price has successfully broken above the trendline resistance, indicating a potential shift towards bullish momentum. This breakout suggests that buyers are gaining strength and further upward movement can be expected.
Forecast:
A buy opportunity may arise as long as the price sustains above the broken trendline, confirming the breakout.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: Consider a buy position after a successful retest of the broken trendline or upon confirmation of bullish momentum.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Placed below the retest level or recent swing low to manage risk.
- Take Profit: Targeting key resistance levels based on historical price action.
Market Sentiment:
The breakout above the trendline resistance signals a positive market sentiment. A retest and sustained move above the breakout level can strengthen the bullish outlook.
Bearish drop?AUD/USD is rising towards the resistance level which his a pullback resistance that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6331
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that line sup with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.6372
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 0.6262
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that line sup with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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AUDUSD on its way to retest the weekly high. Looking at AU chart for the past week price broke the Mayor Level ( 0.62500 ) where after the break, price gave us a nice Key Level that price rejected after attempting to go lower, meanwhile rejecting the Key Level price started to make Higher Lows and Broke Structure to the upside, Currently price is retracing giving us a nice FIB to look for an entry and the 27ext. lines up with the weekly high ( 0.64000 ). I do believe price is either gonna retest the demand zone ( 0.62750 ) where price confirmed the reversal to the upside or price is gonna start pushing at the 0.63000 level because i can see price is exhausting and wanting to start pushing up.
AUDUSD TRADE SETUPWait for retest the entry level then take a trade for Buy otherwise skip this setup
AUDUSD SHORT INTRADAY This is my analisys for the upcoming week. I m expecting to hit the resistance on 78.2 FIbbo and after that to get down to the -27 level Fibbo.
AUD/USD BullishAUD/USD Weekly Forecast-Bullish Outlook with Key Levels Identified.
Based on my technical analysis for the upcoming week, I anticipate a bullish move in AUD/USD. Despite the expected retracement trades, my primary focus remains on the larger trend.
Technical Analysis.
-timeframe:H4
-key support level (S level): 0.62501
-POI/Target level: 0.63653
-Risk/Reward Ratio: 2.4%
Market Structure & Entry plan.
-The market is currently showing signs of respecting the S level at 0.62501, supported by CHoCH. Although there remains unswept liquidity below this level, I am positioning my entry at 0.62501 with the expectation of a bullish reaction.
Before this move unfolds , R level that could trigger a retracement . This retracement will likely occur to grab liquidity around 0.62708 and 0.62668 before price moves toward our QML . Once the liquidity has been collected , I anticipate price to push toward our entry zone , setting up a strong bullish trade.
Trade Expectations
-entry price: 0.62501
-liquidity grab at : 0.62708 and 0.62668
-expected reaction: After liquidity is taken, price should move toward the QML and then confirm the bullish move toward our target 0.63653
-estimated trade duration: Approximately 2 days.
