AUDUSD The Target Is DOWN! SELL!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for AUDUSD is below:
The market is trading on 0.6477 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 0.6446
Recommended Stop Loss - 0.6495
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
USDAUD trade ideas
AUDUSD Will Move Lower! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for AUDUSD.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 0.648.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 0.644.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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AUD/USD – Rejection at Major Supply | Downside Move Incoming? AUD/USD is dancing around the 0.6477 zone, right inside a well-respected supply area that has held since March. Each touch here has resulted in a strong bearish reaction. Is history about to repeat itself again?
🔵 Key Levels:
Supply Zone: 0.64500 – 0.64900 (Current rejection area)
Mid-level Support: 0.62422
Demand Zone: 0.59688 – 0.60000
⚠️ Price Action Insights:
Rejection from the top supply zone after repeated tests — suggesting supply is still strong.
Bearish pressure could send the pair back down to 0.6242 and potentially even lower to 0.5968 if sellers dominate.
Recent price behavior shows lower highs, and failure to break resistance = potential distribution phase.
🔻 Bearish Outlook:
Watch for bearish confirmation candles or break of intraday trendline support.
Target 1: 0.62422
Target 2: 0.59688
🧠 Pro Tip:
Look for divergence, volume spikes, or structure breaks around this area to catch a high-RR short entry. 📉
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💬 What’s your take? Are you shorting AUD/USD here or expecting a breakout this time?
Let’s hear your strategy 👇👇
#AUDUSD #Forex #PriceAction #SupplyAndDemand #LuxAlgo #4HChart #TechnicalAnalysis #SmartMoney #TradingView #DollarIndex
AUDUSD AnalysisLooking at two potential ideas.
Either Short down to 0.594 after a 1H reversal within the marked supply zone. This would loos something like a push up inot the zone with a 1 hour failure to break the 0.65382 area and then a reversal breaking the newly formed 1h low. As marked in the red path tool.
Long opportunity would be if it breaks above the current daily high of 0.65382 then I would expect a retraceemnt to the current demand at 0.64505 to gather some liquidity to push to the upside.
I would wait for a 1H reversal within the demand zone to go long stop loss below the demand and target at recent highs.
SHORT :
Entry : TBC
SL : 0.65448
TP : 0.59780
LONG :
Entry : TBC
SL : 0.64022
TP : 0.69360
AUDUSD Hello traders. Wishing everyone a productive week ahead!
Today, the U.S. Manufacturing PMI (May) and the ISM Manufacturing PMI (May) reports will be released — both are high-impact events for the markets. This week, in particular, is expected to be news-heavy.
That said, it’s wise to remain cautious with trades. My plan is to open a few trades before the news and close them beforehand. One of these opportunities has emerged on the AUDUSD pair. I’ve already taken a Buy trade, and it's currently active.
This setup has two key Take Profit zones:
First TP: 0.6487
Second TP: 0.65137
I’ve personally targeted the first TP level, so I’ll be sharing the details of that trade. However, the same structure applies to the second target as well if you choose to aim higher.
🔍 Trade Details:
✔️ Timeframe: 15-Minute
✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:1 / 1:1.50 / 1:2
✔️ Trade Direction: Buy
✔️ Entry Price: 0.64587
✔️ Take Profit: 0.64865
✔️ Stop Loss: 0.64446
🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. I’m simply sharing a trade I’ve taken based on my personal trading system, strictly for educational and illustrative purposes.
📌 Interested in a systematic, data-driven trading approach?
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AUDUSD: Complex Price Action with Bullish BiasAUDUSD: Complex Price Action with Bullish Bias
AUDUSD is exhibiting a complex price pattern, often characterized by small and choppy movements. The chart shows that the price has been repeatedly halted near the current zone.
If this level holds, the likelihood of a bullish continuation increases, with potential targets at 0.6455, 0.6495, and 0.6530, as indicated on the chart.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Aussie H4 | Potential bullish bounceThe Aussie (AUD/USD) is falling towards a multi-swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 0.6394 which is a multi-swing-low support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 0.63330 which is a level that lies underneath a multi-swing-low support.
Take profit is at 0.6521 which is a swing-high resistance.
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AUDUSD BULLISH RUNAUDUSD is expected to buy to complete the Deep crab pattern. With higher than expected CPI figures AUD is expected to bully the green-back which is struggling with low interest rate figures as a result of declining inflation figures nearing its 2024 inflation target of 2% and global trade wars.
expecting AUDUSD to hit around0.66000 psychological level
AUD/USD Setup – Demand Zone Respect & USD WeaknessPrice continues to hold a clean range above a demand zone that previously triggered aggressive buying.
With USD showing broad weakness across the board (DXY strongly bearish), this setup becomes even more attractive.
🔹 Clear structure of accumulation
🔹 Buyers defending the zone on multiple touches
🔹 Clean RRR and upside potential aligned with macro sentiment
🔹 Ideal conditions for a bullish continuation move
This type of setup reflects a disciplined, smart money approach — no need to rush, no need to chase.
#audusd #forexsetup #smartmoneytrader #priceaction #demandzone #forexcommunity #tradingview #liquidityzone #telegramsignals #swingtrading
Tapped In & Tapped Out – Smart Money’s About to Dump AUDUSDAUDUSD has just executed a classic liquidity raid, sweeping a short-term high into a high-probability 1H Order Block (OB) — which also aligns with the continuation move that broke prior structure to the downside.
This OB sits directly above equal highs that served as a clear magnet for buy-side liquidity — a textbook inducement for retail breakout traders. Smart money logic suggests these stops were used to fill sell orders.
Notably, there’s a Fair Value Gap (FVG) resting just below, which increases the probability of a displacement move to the downside. We now expect price to deliver into the Sellside Liquidity (4H) resting beneath the equal lows, a highly attractive draw on liquidity from an institutional perspective.
Key Confluences
✅ 1H OB tapped with precision
✅ Buy-side liquidity swept via equal highs
✅ Clear FVG imbalance below
✅ Sellside liquidity target aligned with equal lows
✅ Weekly bias still leans bearish
This is a high-probability setup when following ICT/SMC principles — refined entry, defined target, clean structure.
🔍 Watch for:
A clean bearish displacement from current levels
Potential lower timeframe confirmations (BOS/CHoCH) for tighter risk entries
📌 Target: 0.64071
🧠 Bias: Bearish
⚠️ As always — DYOR (Do Your Own Research). Institutional concepts work best with context and personal backtesting.
Week of 6/1/25: AU AnalysisA lot of consolidation from the prior week, all time frames are technically bullish and internal 1h structure is bullish. I am going to be cautious around the current level until there is a prime entry model to get in long.
Major news:
PMI - Monday
PMI/ADP NFP - Wed
Unemployment Claims - Thurs
NFP/Unemployment rate - Friday
AUD_USD POTENTIAL LONG|
✅AUD_USD fell down sharply
But a strong support level was hit around 0.6400
Thus as a rebound is already happening
A move up towards the target of 0.6463 shall follow
LONG🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
AUDUSD: weekly analysis Jun 1, 2025 – Jun 7, 2025Trump administration makes traders follow trades every single political news. Unpredictable about everything, if I want to describe the U.S president in one phrase. one day he decides to reduce tariffs, the other day he increases. One day wishes a good future for Iran, the other day he threatens Islamic republic with bombing. The same story with Russia, China and everything expects the Crypto. Okay let's get back to Aussie! any good news about China-Australia relations will increase the AUD.
The other important news this week is quarter to quarter GDP of the land of kangaroos.
After all, taking a look at weekly chart! A bullish week is more possible
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The indicated levels are determined based on the most reaction points and the assumption of approximately equal distance between the zones.
Some of these points can also be confirmed by the mathematical intervals of Murray.
You can enter with/without confirmation. IF you want to take confirmation you can use LTF analysis, Spike move confirmation, Trend Strength confirmation and ETC.
SL could be placed below the zone or regarding the LTF swings.
TP is the next zone or the nearest moving S&R, which are median and borders of the drawn channels.
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Role of different zones:
GREEN: Just long trades allowed on them.
RED: Just Short trades allowed on them.
BLUE: both long and short trades allowed on them.
WHITE: No trades allowed on them! just use them as TP points
AUD-USD Rebound Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
AUD-USD made a retest
Of the horizontal demand
Area around 0.6394 and
We are already seeing a
Nice bullish reaction from
The level so we are locally
Bullish biased and we will
Be expecting a further
Local bullish move up
On Monday
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
AUDUSDAUD/USD Analysis: Bond Yields, Interest Rate Differential, Carry Trade, and Upcoming Fundamentals
1. 10-Year Bond Yields and Interest Rate Differential (May 25–30, 2025)
Australian 10-Year Bond Yield: ~4.42% (as of May 23, 2025) .
US 10-Year Treasury Yield: ~4.51% (as of May 21–23, 2025) .
Interest Rate Differential:4.51% (US)−4.42% (AUD)=+0.09%
so the IRD is 4.51% (US)−4.42% (AUD)=+0.09%
The US held a slight yield advantage, though the spread narrowed due to RBA rate cuts and weaker Australian data.
2. Policy Rate Differential and Carry Trade Advantage
RBA Cash Rate: 3.85% (cut by 25bps in May 2025) .
Fed Funds Rate: 4.25% (lower bound) .
Interest Rate Differential:4.25% (US)−3.85% (AUD)=+0.40%
The USD held a carry trade advantage, incentivizing investors to borrow AUD (lower rate) and invest in USD assets (higher rate).
3. AUD/USD Price Action (May 25–30)
AUD/USD fell to 0.6425, down 1% weekly, pressured by:
Weak Australian retail sales (-0.1% MoM) and building permits .
RBA’s dovish pivot, signaling potential further cuts amid trade tensions and slowing inflation .
Reinstated US tariffs under Trump’s policies, boosting USD safe-haven demand .
4. Key Fundamentals for June 1–7, 2025
Australia:
Retail Sales (May 30): Weakness could reinforce RBA easing expectations .
Building Approvals (June 3): Further declines may pressure AUD .
RBA Rhetoric: Dovish guidance likely to persist, with markets pricing rates to 3% by early 2026 .
US:
Nonfarm Payrolls (June 6): Strong data may revive Fed rate hike bets, widening the USD yield advantage.
Tariff Developments: Escalating US-China/EU trade tensions could strengthen USD .
Global Risks: Stagflation fears and bond market volatility may amplify AUD/USD swings .
Summary Table
Metric Australia (AUD) United States (USD)
10-Year Bond Yield ~4.42% ~4.51%
Policy Rate 3.85% 4.25%
Interest Rate Differential +0.40% (USD over AUD) —
Carry Trade Bias USD favored —
Conclusion
May 25–30: AUD/USD weakened due to RBA dovishness and USD strength, with a +0.40% rate differential supporting USD carry trades.
June 1–7: Focus on Australian retail sales, building approvals, and US jobs data. A soft AU data mix and resilient US economy may extend AUD/USD’s downtrend toward 0.6360
Monitor RBA/Fed rhetoric and trade policy shifts for volatility.
#audusd