Get started

U.S. Dollar / Australian Dollar

No trades
See on Supercharts
Overview News
Ideas
Discussions Technicals Seasonals Economic Calendar

USDAUD trade ideas

AUDUSD-The first interest rate cut is postponed until next year?The AUDUSD currency pair is below the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is moving in its downward channel. In case of a valid failure of the channel ceiling, we can see the supply zones and sell within those zones with the appropriate risk reward. The loss of the drawn support range will pave the way down for this currency pair. The Australian government’s plan to reform the central bank by splitting its board into two divisions is close to becoming law.Prime Minister Anthony Albanese’s administration is pushing through dozens of bills in the Senate during the final parliamentary session of the year to implement these major reforms. In this process, the government and the minority Green Party reached a last-minute agreement to revive stalled legislation. Previous negotiations had failed because the Greens demanded an immediate interest rate cut by Treasurer Jim Chalmers, which critics argued could undermine the central bank’s independence. Now, with sufficient political support, these long-awaited reforms are set to be enacted soon, potentially reshaping Australia’s monetary and economic policies. Australia’s four major banks—ANZ, Commonwealth Bank, National Australia Bank, and Westpac—have adjusted their forecasts for when the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will make its first interest rate cut. Westpac and NAB now expect this to occur in May 2025, while CBA and ANZ continue to anticipate a February 2025 cut, albeit with caution. The next RBA meeting is scheduled for December 9–10, 2024. S&P Global Ratings, in its outlook for the global economy in Q1 2025, stated, “Risks are increasing as the new U.S. administration’s policies are likely to heighten inflationary pressures and tighten financial conditions.” The agency predicts global GDP growth of about 3% in 2025, with U.S. economic growth dropping below 2% and China moving toward 4% growth. According to Bloomberg, economists anticipate that China’s exports will hit a record high this year as international customers place orders early to avoid potential tariffs threatened by Trump. Meanwhile, Australia, known as a safe haven for heavy-duty pickup trucks, is set to experience its most significant automotive shift in years, with new models arriving, including the first off-road hybrid vehicle from China’s BYD. Australia, famous for its love of SUVs and petrol-fueled pickups, remains one of the laggards in adopting electric vehicles. According to the Australian Automobile Association, EV sales in Q3 dropped by 25% compared to Q2, accounting for just 6.6% of the market—the lowest share since 2022. However, the arrival of new hybrid models like the BYD Shark 6 could transform Australia’s automotive market and boost demand for electric and hybrid vehicles. Meanwhile, a spokesperson for China’s Ministry of Commerce reiterated the country’s opposition to unilateral U.S. tariffs. He urged the U.S. to adhere to World Trade Organization (WTO) rules and emphasized that imposing tariffs would not solve America’s economic challenges. China’s stance against unilateral tariff increases, including those threatened by Trump, remains consistent. On the other hand, the U.S. economy grew at a robust pace in Q3, primarily driven by a significant surge in consumer spending as inflation continued to ease. GDP rose at an annual rate of 2.8% during this period. Consumer spending, the primary engine of economic growth, increased by 3.5%, marking the highest rate this year. According to the GDPNow model, the real GDP growth rate (seasonally adjusted annual rate) for Q4 2024 was revised to 2.7% on November 27, up from 2.6% on November 19. Following the release of the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis’ Personal Income and Outlays report, real personal consumption expenditures growth for Q4 was revised upward from 2.8% to 3.0%.
Short
by Ali_PSND
AUDUSD AUD/USD maintains its offered tone below 0.6500, looks to FOMC minutes for fresh impetus The AUD/USD pair struggles to capitalize on its intraday bounce from the 0.6435-0.6430 area, or its lowest level since August 5 touched earlier this Tuesday and keeps the red through the first half of the European session. Spot prices currently trade around the 0.6480 region, down for the second straight day, and seem vulnerable amid renewed US-China trade war fears.The AUD/USD pair fell sharply after failing to break above the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 0.6540, suggesting that the bulls are unable to stage a recovery. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is below 50, indicating that the bears are in control. However, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is green, indicating that there is still some bullish momentum. Overall, the technical outlook is mixed, with the bears having the upper hand in the short term. If the AUD/USD pair breaks below the 0.6400 support level, it could fall further toward the 0.6300 level. On the other hand, if the pair can break above the 0.6540 resistance level, it could rally toward the 0.6600 level.
Short
by KingForex078
TradeCityPro | AUDUSD Analysis Preparing for Movement👋 Welcome to the TradeCityPro channel! Let’s examine the key triggers for AUDUSD, which appears poised for an interesting move. 🌍 Fundamental Overview: Supported by stable commodity prices, especially iron ore, a key driver of Australia's economy. Recent Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) comments suggest a balanced stance with no immediate rate hikes. Bolstered by strong economic data and expectations of prolonged higher interest rates by the Federal Reserve. Mixed global risk sentiment keeps the USD favored as a safe-haven currency. ⏱ 4-Hour Timeframe AUDUSD has been in a long-term downtrend, losing multiple supports and forming successive lower highs and lows. However, the price has recently stabilized, ranging between 0.64501 and 0.65412. 📉 Short Position Trigger: After breaking the 0.64501 support, initiate a short trade targeting 0.62910. 📈 Long Position Trigger: In case of a false breakdown of the support or prolonged consolidation within the range, open a riskier long trade above 0.65412 , Safer long entries can be considered once higher highs and lows are confirmed. 📝 Final Thoughts This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice. Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
by tradecitypro
2
Uptrend for AUDUSD, upto 0.69, Is my analysis wrong? {27/11/202}Educational Analysis says AUDUSD may move UP from this range, according to my technical. Broker - FXCM Why BULL RUN? Because this pair has been juggling around for months in this range, I finally changed the character to show a sign of an uptrend, and I am looking to buy and hold this position on this pair. Let's see what this pair brings to the table for us in the future. Please check the comment section to see how this turned out. DISCLAIMER:- This is not an entry signal. THIS IS ONLY EDUCATIONAL PURPOSE ANALYSIS. I have no concerns with your profit and loss from this analysis. I HAVE NO CONCERNS WITH YOUR PROFIT OR LOSS, Happy Trading, Fx Dollars.
Long
by VishalBudhrani
Will AUD/USD Sink or Surprise This Week?Alright, traders, let’s break this down in simple terms and get straight to the point. AUD/USD is sitting at a critical level across all timeframes, so we need to stay sharp. On the weekly and daily charts, the trend is bearish—lower highs and lower lows, with price dancing under the 21 EMA and 200 SMA. Key levels to watch are 0.6515 (resistance) and 0.6471–0.6446 (support). If price breaks below 0.6471, it’s game on for the bears, and I’d target 0.6446 first, then stretch for 0.6361 if momentum stays strong. Now, zooming into the 4-hour and 1-hour charts, things get spicy. Price has been rejecting 0.6515 repeatedly, showing sellers still have the upper hand. If we see a clean break and close below 0.6471, I’m looking to short this pair. My entry would be below 0.6471, stop loss just above 0.6515, and first target at 0.6446. If you’re feeling confident and the trend continues, let part of the position ride toward 0.6361—that’s where the real money is. On the flip side, if price breaks above 0.6515 with conviction, we could see a bullish push toward 0.6580, so be ready to flip your bias if the market demands it. Remember, patience and confirmation are everything. We’re not here to guess—we wait for the setup to come to us. Stay disciplined, follow the plan, and let’s make it happen!
Short
by SheenaL
AUDUSD - Short Trade IdeaThis is a short idea on AUDUSD. I'm anticipating lower prices towards a higher timeframe ascending trendline, after price took out buyside liquidity from a descending trendline and then displacing lower. The trendline in the image is one isolated to around these timeframes, and not the HTF narrative. Besides that, I'm basing it off a Daily iFVG and Daily -OB. First target is the most recent low that price made. Stoploss at immediate swing high, but completely possible for price to come up during a high impact news event to take out the buyside liquidity above. Either a sweep, or this idea is completely wrong. Good luck and safe trading. - R2F
Short
by Road_2_Funded
2
1-hr AUD/USD: Sellers are in Control The USD is exhibiting notable strength while the AUD continues to decline sharply. The presence of a Death Cross pattern—a classic bearish signal—underscores the prevailing downward momentum. This occurs when a short-term moving average crosses below a long-term moving average, signaling sustained selling pressure. Despite the strong bearish trend, oversold conditions often attract short-term buyers. As a result, we observed a retest of immediate resistance near the 23% Fibonacci retracement level. This pullback is expected to extend further upward, potentially revisiting the 0.6533 zone, which corresponds to the critical 38% Fibonacci retracement. For traders looking to align with the broader downtrend, this higher level could present an optimal entry point, offering improved risk-to-reward opportunities. Monitoring price action around these resistance levels is key, as it provides insight into whether bearish momentum will resume after the retracement concludes.
Short
by Trendsharks