USDAUD trade ideas
Bullish bounce?AUD/USD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6397
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Stop loss: 0.6365
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 0.6463
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
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AUDUSD Is Very Bullish! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for AUDUSD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 0.650.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 0.653.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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EURUSD,GBPUSD and AUDUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Bearish reversal for the Aussie?AUD/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6464
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.6499
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly below the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.6397
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
AUDUSD Bearish Signal | Technical + Custom Algo Smart Trend Signal | Technical Analysis + Custom Algorithm
This signal is the result of a combination of classic technical trend analysis and a proprietary software I personally developed.
The system first identifies market trends purely based on technical indicators — no emotions, no subjective analysis.
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AUDUSD pullback on the m15AUDUSD - with a pullback on the M15 timeframe, and confirmation on the 1-minute timeframe, we expect it to rise to its previous high. This setup offers a very good risk/reward ratio of 1:5.
Please note in the description that you should not risk more than 2% of your account and take full responsibility for your trades."
AUDUSD – Recoil Back into the Range After Failed BreakoutOn Monday, AUDUSD briefly threatened a breakout from its May trading range, evident between 0.6356 (May 12th low) up to 0.6514 (May 7th high) with an early push up to a new monthly peak of 0.6537 on the Asia open. However, that move failed quickly after news of President Trump’s decision to extend the deadline for 50% tariffs on the EU from June 1st to July 9th hit the newswires.
While this update boosted risk sentiment and global stock prices, it removed the immediate downside pressure that had been starting to build again on the US dollar. AUDUSD has since fallen victim to position rebalancing which saw prices fall as low as 0.6407 on Wednesday, before a slightly higher than expected Australian CPI reading, led to some fresh buying.
Looking forward, with their short term trade concerns alleviated further this morning by a US Court ruling that the vast majority of President Trump's global tariffs were illegal, the question for traders into the end of the week, is whether AUDUSD can hold current levels and push higher again, or if it could retest the bottom of its May trading range at 0.6356, perhaps even further.
After all, market pricing currently places the chances of another rate cut from the RBA at their next meeting in early July at about 70%, which continues to weigh on AUDUSD if any new strength is seen.
Friday’s release of the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge (PCE Index) could also be relevant to the direction of the dollar (and therefore impact AUDUSD) into the weekend. Traders are waiting to see if inflation is still moderating or whether there are signs that President Trump’s tariffs are starting to push prices higher again.
Technical Update – More Balanced Themes Emerge
It might have been argued that on May 26th 2025, AUDUSD was attempting to break higher, especially as moves above 0.6519, the May 7th previous price high were seen.
However, as the chart below shows, this proved to be a failed breakout, as selling pressure quickly emerged, meaning the 0.6519 upside extreme held on a closing basis.
An inability of AUDUSD buyers to extend recent price strength is suggested by this activity, resulting in the development of a possible sideways price range.
This also appears to be supported by the current Bollinger Bands set-up, where the mid-average is flat and the bands are parallel to it.
This highlights something of a decision-making process between both buyers and sellers, with a closing breakout of either required to suggest the direction of the next more sustained phase of price activity.
What technical levels might AUDUSD traders find useful to watch?
Potential Resistance Levels:
Upper extremes of the current sideways range could now be marked by 0.6519/37, which is combination of the May 7th and May 26th price highs, levels where sellers have previously been active and may be again.
While any close above the 0.6519/37 resistance is not a guarantee of further upside, it may then lead to price strength towards 0.6688, the November 7th 2024 high.
Potential Support Levels:
With current evidence suggesting AUDUSD is developing a more balanced range, traders may well be focusing on the last correction price low, as the lower limit of the range. If this is the case, 0.6357 the May 12th 2025 session low, might be the support to monitor.
Closes under 0.6357, if seen, may then be an indication of a deeper decline in price, possibly towards 0,6298, which is equal to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of April 9th to May 26th 2025 strength, even the 50% retracement level which stands at 0.6224.
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Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
Aussie H4 | Potential bullish bounceThe Aussie (AUD/USD) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 0.6464 which is a pullback support.
Stop loss is at 0.6377 which is a level that lies underneath a multi-swing-low support and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 0.6556 which is a resistance that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
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RBA Could Still Cut Despite Higher AU CPI: AU paid in focusToday I take a quick look at Australia's inflation figures and outline why I think the RBA could still cut in July, before moving on to charts for AUD/USD, AUD/NZD, EUR/AUD and AUD/JPY.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
AUDUSD BULLISH RUNAUDUSD is expected to buy to complete the Deep crab pattern. With higher than expected CPI figures AUD is expected to bully the green-back which is struggling with low interest rate figures as a result of declining inflation figures nearing its 2024 inflation target of 2% and global trade wars.
expecting AUDUSD to hit around0.66000 psychological level
AUDUSD has experienced a failed breakout on the 4-hourConsidering the price's attempt to break the 4-hour resistance and its failure, along with confirmation of a decline on the 30-minute timeframe, we expect the price to drop to the 8-hour low.
The risk-to-reward ratio will be around 1:6. However, please ensure to maintain a 2% risk of your account balance and do not risk more than that. Always take responsibility for your trades.
AUDUSD INTRADAY sideways consolidation supported at 0.6360The AUD/USD pair maintains a bullish bias, underpinned by a steady rising trend on the higher timeframes. However, recent intraday price action shows consolidation, indicating a pause in upward momentum as the market awaits a fresh catalyst.
Key Technical Levels:
Support:
0.6360 – Critical near-term support and prior consolidation zone. A successful retest could reinforce the bullish setup.
0.6320 – Next support level; a break below 0.6360 may trigger a deeper pullback.
0.6280 – Broader downside support zone; loss of this level would signal a shift in trend.
Resistance:
0.6500 – Primary upside target on continuation of bullish momentum.
0.6530 – Secondary resistance; break above would confirm strength.
0.6570 – Long-term resistance zone; potential target if bullish momentum accelerates.
Technical Outlook:
A pullback to 0.6360 followed by a bullish rebound would suggest continuation of the current uptrend, opening room for gains toward 0.6500, 0.6530, and 0.6570 over the medium term. On the downside, a daily close below 0.6360 would invalidate the bullish setup, exposing the pair to a potential decline toward 0.6320 and 0.6280.
Conclusion:
AUD/USD remains in a bullish structure, but near-term direction depends on the 0.6360 level. A rebound from support keeps the upside scenario in play, while a confirmed break lower may lead to a corrective retracement. Traders should watch for price behavior around 0.6360 for confirmation of the next move.
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Australian inflation higher than expected, Aussie extends lossesThe Australian dollar has extended its losses on Wednesday. AUD/USD is trading at 0.6415 in the North American session, down 0.44% on the day.
Australia's inflation rate remained unchanged in April at 2.4% y/y for a third straight month, matching the lowest rate since Nov. 2024. The reading was slightly higher than the market estimate of 2.3% but remained within the central bank's inflation target of 2%-3%. Trimmed mean inflation, the central bank's preferred indicator for underlying inflation, edged up to 2.8% from 2.7% in March.
The inflation report was mildly disappointing in that inflation was hotter than expected. Underlying inflation has proven to be persistent which could see the Reserve Bank of Australia delay any rate cuts.
The markets have responded by lowering the probability of a rate cut in July to 62%, compared to 78% a day ago, according to the ASX RBA rate tracker. A key factor in the July decision will be the second-quarter inflation report in late July, ahead of the August meeting.
The Reserve Bank lowered rates last week by a quarter-point to 3.85%, a two-year low. The central bank left the door open to further cuts, as global trade uncertainties are expected to lower domestic growth and inflation.
The Federal Reserve releases the minutes of its May 7 meeting later today. At the meeting, the Fed stressed that it wasn't planning to lower rates anytime soon and the minutes are expected to confirm the Fed's wait-and-see stance.
US President Trump has been zig-zagging on trade policy, imposing and then cancelling tariffs on China and the European Union. Fed Chair Powell said at the May meeting that the economic uncertainty due to tariffs means that the appropriate rate path is unclear and that message could be reiterated in the Fed minutes.
Time to buy some Aussie Dollars The weekly chart shows that the worst may be over for the Aussie dollars after suffering a huge sell down on 31/03/25, going down below 0.60, revisiting the low of 20/4/20 candle.
I am more in favour of catching the up or downtrend but not necessarily the beginning of it since that is more of a luck than skill, imo. So, with a good risk/reward ratio, the US dollar losing its value , people are dumping US bonds , spiking yields to 5% and possibly higher , it is ripe to go LONG on the Aussie dollars.
Best of luck and see you at 0.67 level.
As usual, please DYODD
Lingrid | AUDUSD sideways Market POTENTIAL Short EntryThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea . FX:AUDUSD facing resistance near the 0.6450–0.6460 area, marked by a lower high under the descending red trendline. After a breakout from the triangle pattern, price showed strength but failed to sustain above the swap zone. Now it's forming a potential lower high setup, suggesting weakening momentum. If price fails to clear resistance, it could rotate back toward 0.6412 support and below.
📉 Key Levels
Sell trigger: rejection near 0.6450
Buy zone: 0.6412
Target: 0.6368
Buy trigger: reclaim of 0.6460 with strong bullish candles
💡 Risks
A break above the descending trendline would shift structure bullish.
U.S. dollar weakness could invalidate the bearish thesis.
Data surprises may cause sharp volatility spikes.
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻