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USDAUD trade ideas

AUDUSD Triangle Break Looms on Tariff RiskAUDUSD is trading inside a triangle pattern that's been forming for 83 days. A break below 0.6215 could trigger a 188-pip drop, with a 3.82 risk-reward setup. While the RBA held rates at 4.1%, upcoming US tariffs on Liberation Day may pressure the Aussie. Fundamentals and technicals align for a potential bearish move. This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information
Short
by ThinkMarkets
Market Analysis: AUD/USD Struggles to Sustain Gains—What’s Next?Market Analysis: AUD/USD Struggles to Sustain Gains—What’s Next? AUD/USD declined below the 0.6320 and 0.6300 support levels. Important Takeaways for AUD/USD Analysis Today - The Aussie Dollar started a fresh decline from well above the 0.6320 level against the US Dollar. - There is a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at 0.6300 on the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen. AUD/USD Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen, the pair struggled to clear the 0.6330 zone. The Aussie Dollar started a fresh decline below the 0.6300 support against the US Dollar, as discussed in the previous analysis. The pair even settled below 0.6280 and the 50-hour simple moving average. There was a clear move below 0.6270. A low was formed at 0.6269 and the pair is now consolidating losses. On the upside, an immediate resistance is near the 0.6295 level and the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.6312 swing high to the 0.6269 low. There is also a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at 0.6300. It is close to the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.6312 swing high to the 0.6269 low. The next major resistance is near the 0.6310 zone, above which the price could rise toward 0.6320. Any more gains might send the pair toward the 0.6330 resistance. A close above the 0.6330 level could start another steady increase in the near term. The next major resistance on the AUD/USD chart could be 0.6380. On the downside, initial support is near the 0.6270 zone. The next support sits at 0.6260. If there is a downside break below 0.6260, the pair could extend its decline. The next support could be 0.6200. Any more losses might send the pair toward the 0.6165 support. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
AUDUSD triangle pattern suggests a big move is comingAUDUSD has been consolidating in a triangle pattern, suggesting a breakout is near—likely within weeks. A bullish breakout could target 0.6393, with potential for a 229-pip move. A bearish break is also possible but less clear. The setup offers strong risk-reward, with examples showing a 5.6x ratio. This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information
by ThinkMarkets
7
AUD/USD BUY zone H4 chart analysisAUD/USD: Trade Setup Entry: 0.62517 Final Target (TP): 0.64963 Stop Loss (SL): 0.61800 (Below recent support to protect against invalidation) Support & Resistance Levels Support Levels: 0.62200 - 0.62500 (Potential demand zone) Resistance Levels: 0.64000 - 0.64963 (Major supply zone & upper trendline resistance) Trade Outlook Bullish Bias: Price is expected to rise from the support zone. Confirmation Signals: Look for bullish rejection wicks, engulfing candles, or a break above 0.63100 for momentum confirmation. Risk-to-Reward: Favorable setup with a good upside potential.
by JAMES_GOLD_MASTER_MQL5
AUDUSD Technical Analysis! SELL! My dear friends, My technical analysis for AUDUSD is below: The market is trading on 0.6377 pivot level. Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation. Target - 0.6324 Recommended Stop Loss - 0.6403 About Used Indicators: A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
1
AUD/USD Trend Before and After Tariff Announcement✍ ✍ ✍ AUD/USD news: ➡️ AUD/USD is struggling to extend its previous day's recovery and remains below the 0.6300 mark early on Wednesday, as markets await U.S. President Trump's tariff announcement later in the day. However, buyers continue to find support from optimism surrounding Chinese stimulus measures and the RBA's cautious stance on policy outlook. ➡️ Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve (Fed) faces a challenging task: ongoing trade tensions could drive higher inflation, potentially justifying prolonged rate hikes. However, early signs of a cooling U.S. economy suggests the need for restraint, even as labor market data remains solid. ➡️ During its March 19 meeting, the Fed kept its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 4.25–4.50% and reiterated its patient "wait-and-see" approach. Chairman Jerome Powell emphasized the need for caution, highlighting forecasts that indicate slower growth and slightly higher inflation—some of which could be exacerbated by the upcoming tariffs. Personal opinion: ➡️ The Australian Dollar has a 2-day winning streak, but this currency still depends on the developments of global trade tensions, China's growth prospects and central bank policy moves ➡️ Technically, AUD/USD has entered the overbought zone and is showing signs of decline. Therefore, it is difficult to maintain the upward momentum in the short term, especially with the upcoming US tariff announcement. ➡️ Analysis based on resistance - support levels and Pivot points combined with EMA to come up with a suitable strategy Plan: 🔆Price Zone Setup: 👉Sell AUD/USD 0.6295 - 0.6310 ❌SL: 0.6335 | ✅TP: 0.6255 - 0.6225 FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Short
by FM-ForexMastermind
1
Australian dollar rally continues, Trump tariffs loomThe Australian dollar has posted strong gains for a second straight day. In the European session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6306, up 0.47% on the day. The Reserve Bank of Australia maintained the cash rate at 4.10% on Tuesday, in a move that was widely expected by markets. Still, the Australian dollar reacted positively, gaining 0.48% on Tuesday. The RBA statement noted that underlying inflation continued to ease in line with the Bank's forecast, but the Board "needs to be confident that this progress will continue" so that inflation remains sustainable at the midpoint of the 2%-3% target band. The statement said there was "significant" uncertainty over global trade developments, pointing to the threat of further US tariffs and possible counter-tariffs from targeted countries. The central bank's decision was made in the midst of a hotly contested election campaign, and a rate cut would likely have been attacked by the opposition parties as political interference. In a press conference after the meeting, Governor Michele Bullock acknowledged the uncertainty over the global outlook due to US trade policy but sought to assure the markets by saying that Australia was "well placed" to weather the potential storm of a global trade war. US President Trump has not specifically targeted Australia with any tariffs but China is Australia's number one trading partner and a US-China trade war would inflict damage on Australia's economy. The new US tariffs are expected to be announced later today and take effect on Thursday. The financial markets remain volatile as investors look for some clarity from Washington about the tariffs, as it remains unclear which countries will be targeted and the extent of the tariff rates.
by OANDA
We’re bullish on AUDUSDTechnical Analysis AUDUSD lies below 50 - period SMA (0.6324, declining) and 100 - day SMA (0.6512, falling), indicating a downward trend yet short - term upside potential. January 2025 RSI bullish divergence shows weakening downward momentum. Break above 0.6340 could push it to 0.6400; otherwise, it may range 0.6131 - 0.6302. Economic Fundamentals Australia: Its economic growth, inflation and export prices affect the Aussie. Growth aids appreciation; inflation undermines it. Higher resource prices boost the currency. US: Strong US data strengthens the dollar, weakening AUD/USD; weak data has the opposite effect. Market & Geopolitical Factors High risk appetite benefits the Aussie; low appetite favors the dollar. Geopolitical tensions prompt a flight to the dollar, hurting the Aussie. 💎💎💎 AUDUSD 💎💎💎 🎁 Buy@0.62500 - 0.62800 🎁 TP 0.63500 - 0.64000 The market has been extremely volatile lately. If you can't figure out the market's direction, you'll only be a cash dispenser for others. If you also want to succeed，Follow the link below to get my daily strategy updates
Long
by BenGray9
2
AUDUSD Will Move Lower! Sell! Take a look at our analysis for AUDUSD. Time Frame: 1D Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is testing a major horizontal structure 0.630. Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 0.618 level soon. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
Bullish Setup on AUD/USD – Are You In?Hi traders ! , Analyzing AUD/USD on the 1H timeframe, spotting a potential long entry : 🔹 Entry: 0.62851 🔹 TP: 0.63934 🎯 🔹 SL: 0.61863 🔻 AUD/USD is respecting the lower boundary of the ascending channel and bouncing off support. If this trend continues, we could see a push toward 0.63934. RSI is neutral, leaving room for further upside. ⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice. Every trader makes their own decision.
Long
by FXOnTop
DeGRAM | AUDUSD back in the channelAUDUSD is in an ascending channel above the trend lines. The price is moving from the support level and has already returned to the channel. The chart has formed a harmonic pattern and is now holding above the 38.2% retracement level. The 30m Timeframe indicators have formed a hidden bearish divergence. We expect the growth to continue after the retest of the lower channel boundary. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
1
AUDUSD POTENTIAL LONG POSITION Q2 W14 Y25 FRIDAY 4TH APRIL 2025AUDUSD POTENTIAL LONG POSITION Q2 W14 Y25 FRIDAY 4TH APRIL 2025 Could well be the only position to provide fun coupons on a successful week of trading. The concept is quite simple but does lack a few of our favourite confluences. If this was the beginning of the week, we would perhaps wait for a 15' break of structure but this takes away the Tokyo range fill confluences. We require a tap into the 15' order block, followed by a bullish move from the point of interest. This in turn we wish to leave behind a void and order block creation. In the same breath, we require lower time frame breaks of structure since the break of 15' would not then give us enough time on an NFP Friday for price action to pull back to the low point of interest and a move long. Lets see how it plays. FRGNT x
Long
by JCFRGNT