AUDUSD Will Go Up From Support! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for AUDUSD.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 0.653.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 0.657.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
USDAUD trade ideas
AUD/USD Bearish Setup – Rejection from Supply ZoneAUD/USD is showing signs of bearish pressure after getting rejected from the key 0.65420 supply zone, marked by strong historical resistance and a high-volume node. Price tested this area multiple times but failed to break above, forming a potential lower high – a classic signal of institutional distribution.
🔵 Key Levels:
Resistance (Supply Zone): 0.65420
Mid-range support: 0.65040
Demand Zone: 0.64649 – 0.64400
🔻 Bearish Outlook: If price holds below 0.65420, we anticipate a drop first toward 0.65040, and potentially down to 0.64649, where a demand zone is likely to react. The previous bounce from demand suggests smart money accumulation below.
📌 Watch for:
Bearish engulfing or rejection wick candles near 0.65400.
Break below 0.65040 to confirm short continuation.
Confluence with macroeconomic events (FOMC, US data on the 17th–18th).
💬 Are you shorting AUD/USD from the supply zone? Drop your thoughts👇
#AUDUSD #Forex #SmartMoney #SupplyDemand #PriceAction #LuxAlgo #ForexTrading #TradingView #MarketStructure
AUDUSD Coiling Near Key Resistance, Big Move Ahead?After a long period of sideways chop, AUD/USD is finally showing signs of strength. Price has been pressing against the key resistance zone, and we’re now seeing a tightening wedge breakout structure forming just beneath it.
A key moment on the chart is where sellers got trapped during that sharp downside wick. Since then, price has been recovering in a steady, controlled manner.
Now, with higher lows forming and momentum building near resistance, a parabolic move could be on the horizon if price manages to break out cleanly.
This is a classic setup where patience could pay off, the structure is bullish, and breakout confirmation may unlock strong upside potential.
DYOR, NFA
AUDUSDDOLLAR INDEX on a dramatic twist of reversal on friday june 13th 00;00 time asian session at demand floor 97.621.
dollar reclaims 98.360 by londom session putting pressures on EURUSD,AUDUSD ,USDJPY,GBPUSD ,NZDUSD.
3:00pm
USD
Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment
53.5 52.2
USD
Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations
6.6%
The University of Michigan (UoM) Consumer Sentiment and Inflation Expectations data will influence the US Dollar Index (DXY) and Federal Reserve policy expectations based on whether the prints exceed or miss forecasts.
Scenario 1: Better-Than-Expected Data
Consumer Sentiment greater than 53.5 and Inflation Expectations > 6.6%:
DXY Reaction: Likely to rise as stronger sentiment and sticky inflation expectations reduce odds of near-term Fed rate cuts. Traders may price out dovish bets, supporting the dollar.
Fed Implications: Elevated inflation expectations (above 6.6%) would reinforce the Fed’s cautious stance, delaying rate cuts until late 2025 or 2026.
Key Levels: DXY could retest 99.206 –99.00 resistance.
Scenario 2: Worse-Than-Expected Data
Consumer Sentiment less than 53.5 and Inflation Expectations < 6.6%:
DXY Reaction: Likely to decline as softer sentiment and easing inflation fears boost bets on Fed rate cuts. Markets could price in a September cut more aggressively.
Fed Implications: Lower inflation expectations (e.g., 6.0–6.5%) would align with recent CPI/PPI cooling, giving the Fed confidence to ease policy sooner.
Key Levels: DXY may drop toward 97.954
Scenario 3: Mixed Data
Sentiment beats, inflation misses (or vice versa):
DXY Reaction: Range-bound or choppy. For example, higher sentiment but lower inflation could offset, keeping DXY in a range bound
Fed Implications: The Fed would emphasize the inflation component over sentiment, as price expectations directly influence policy.
Contextual Factors
Recent Trends: May’s UoM sentiment hit a 2025 low (50.8), while 1-year inflation expectations spiked to 7.3% (later revised to 6.6%). June’s data will test whether inflation fears are easing.
Fed’s Focus: The Fed views inflation expectations as critical to actual inflation trends. A sustained rise above 6% could delay cuts despite softer CPI/PPI.
Broader Risks: Trade tensions (Trump’s tariffs) and political pressure on the Fed add volatility to dollar dynamics.
Conclusion
The dollar’s reaction hinges most critically on inflation expectations. A print above 6.6% would signal lingering price pressures, bolstering the Fed’s hawkish resolve and supporting DXY. Conversely, a drop below 6.0% could accelerate dollar selling as markets bet on earlier easing. Traders should also watch for revisions to May’s inflation expectations (previously revised down from 7.3% to 6.6%), which could amplify volatility.
#audusd
AUD/USD 2H | MAKE OR BREAK (Key Edge)🟡 AUD/USD 2H Analysis – June 19, 2025
Bias: Neutral → Reactive (Awaiting Breakout Direction)
Timeframe: 2H
🔍 Market Overview:
AUD/USD is approaching a make-or-break level at the confluence of an ascending trendline and a minor horizontal support around 0.6460–0.6470. This comes after price was rejected from the 2025 high (0.6555) — a significant technical ceiling, labeled as a Possible Reversal Point.
✳️ Technical Structure:
🔵 Upper wedge resistance rejected price twice (0.6555)
🔵 Support trendline has been respected since late May
🟠 Current zone (0.6460) = last line of bullish defense
🔻 Breakdown risk is rising due to lower highs & compression
🔼 Bullish Playbook (Bounce Scenario):
Trigger: Bullish reaction from 0.6460 with strong momentum candle or engulfing
Entry: 0.6465–0.6475
Stop: Below 0.6440
Target 1: 0.6515
Target 2: 0.6555 (2025 High / Upper Wedge Edge)
R/R: ~2.0+
🔽 Bearish Playbook (Breakdown Scenario):
Trigger: 2H close below 0.6455 + retest rejection
Entry: 0.6450–0.6445 on retest
Stop: Above 0.6480
Target 1: 0.6400 (demand zone)
Target 2: 0.6300
R/R: ~2.5+
The next 4–8 candles could define the near-term structure. Respect the edge — react, don’t predict.
Zoom in:
Please Manage Your Risk...
#AUDUSD #MJTRADING #TRADINGVIEW #Chart #Analysis #Forex #Forexsignal #FXSignal
AUDUSD H1 I Bearish Reversal Based on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price is trading near our sell entry at 0.6533, which is a pullback resistance aligning with a 61.8% Fib retracement.
Our take profit will be at 0.6513, an overlap support.
The stop loss will be placed at 0.6552, a swing high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
AUDUSD LONG & SHORT FORECAST Q2 W25 D19 Y25AUDUSD LONG & SHORT FORECAST Q2 W25 D19 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside intraday confirmation & breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 🔥
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅4H Order block identified
✅1H Order block identified
✅15’ order block
✅Intraday bullish breaks of structure
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
AUD/USD SELL SCENERIOThis chart illustrates a potential bearish trade setup based on Smart Money Concepts (SMC). The setup begins with the formation of equal highs, which are typically seen as liquidity pools by institutional traders. These highs are swept, as shown by the wicks that briefly break above them (highlighted with orange circles), signaling a liquidity grab intended to trigger retail buy stops. Following this liquidity sweep, price reverses and breaks a significant structure low, marked as the Break of Structure (BOS), confirming a shift from bullish to bearish order flow. This BOS acts as a key signal that the market is likely to move downward. This creates a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. Overall, this setup reflects a textbook SMC trade structure that leverages liquidity manipulation, structural shifts, and refined entry zones for a high-probability short position from fvg.
AUDUSD – Intraday/Swing LongSetup: Intraday entry with swing target. Watching for long opportunity on AUDUSD
Bias: Bullish – based on structure and support zone from higher TF.
This exact setup was tested over 300+ trades across the last 2.5 years. It showed:
– ~42% win rate
- Profit Factor 2.9
– Average R:R = 4:1
– Profitability proven on major FX pair AUDUSD
- Losing Streak 5
- Winning Streak 4
Execution: Limit order active until 0.64950 – will cancel if price reaches that level.
⚠️ Disclaimer ⚠️
This is not financial advice or an investment opportunity. I’m sharing my own approach based on long-term data and personal strategy development.
If you want to trade like this – start with proper backtesting and understand your strategy's edge. Almost any strategy can be profitable – the key is in understanding the data and how to manage risk.
💡 For more trading ideas and insights, feel free to follow me here on TradingView!
AUDUSD H1 I Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart, the price could rise toward our sell entry level at 0.6499, a pullback resistance.
Our take profit is set at 0.6468, a support level.
The stop loss is set at 0.6524, a swing high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
AUDUSD Will Fall! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for AUDUSD.
Time Frame: 3h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 0.650.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 0.647 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
AUD/USD BULLISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| LONG
Hello, Friends!
AUD/USD pair is in the downtrend because previous week’s candle is red, while the price is clearly falling on the 15m timeframe. And after the retest of the support line below I believe we will see a move up towards the target above at 0.651 because the pair oversold due to its proximity to the lower BB band and a bullish correction is likely.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
AUDUSD → Correction after a false breakout before growthFX:XAUUSD continues to rise amid uncertainty surrounding the dollar, which continues to consolidate. The currency pair is preparing to test resistance at 0.6537
The dollar is stuck in place due to market uncertainty. At the same time, the Australian dollar is strengthening and is ready to test the liquidity zone
Within the current trend, the currency pair is heading towards resistance and the liquidity zone. We opened far away, and as we move towards the target, the potential for further growth may end. A false breakout of 0.6537 could trigger a correction
Resistance levels: 0.6537
Support levels: 0.6509, 0.6479
A sharp move towards resistance without the possibility of further growth could cause a false breakout of 0.6537. Price consolidation below this level could trigger a correction before growth.
Best regards, R. Linda!
AUD/USD Aims Steady IncreaseAUD/USD Aims Steady Increase
AUD/USD started a decent increase above the 0.6450 and 0.6500 levels.
Important Takeaways for AUD USD Analysis Today
- The Aussie Dollar rebounded after forming a base above the 0.6400 level against the US Dollar.
- There is a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at 0.6510 on the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen.
AUD/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen, the pair started a fresh increase from the 0.6450 support. The Aussie Dollar was able to clear the 0.6500 resistance to move into a positive zone against the US Dollar.
There was a close above the 0.6500 resistance and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, the pair tested the 0.6535 zone. A high was formed near 0.6533 and the pair recently started a consolidation phase.
There was a move below the 0.6520 level. The pair dipped below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 0.6489 swing low to the 0.6533 high.
On the downside, initial support is near the 0.6510 level. There is also a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at 0.6510. It is close to the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 0.6489 swing low to the 0.6533 high.
The next major support is near the 0.6480 zone. If there is a downside break below the 0.6480 support, the pair could extend its decline toward the 0.6450 level.
Any more losses might signal a move toward 0.6420. On the upside, the AUD/USD chart indicates that the pair is now facing resistance near 0.6535. The first major resistance might be 0.6550. An upside break above the 0.6580 resistance might send the pair further higher.
The next major resistance is near the 0.6600 level. Any more gains could clear the path for a move toward the 0.6650 resistance zone.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Lingrid | AUDUSD sideways Action at Monthly ResistanceThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea . OANDA:AUDUSD has broken below the short-term range and upward trendline near 0.6510, suggesting weakness after failing to hold the breakout. The price is now testing support from the lower boundary of the broader upward channel. A breakdown below 0.6475 may confirm a bearish swing toward deeper support levels.
📉 Key Levels
Sell trigger: confirmed rejection from 0.6510
Buy zone: 0.6460–0.6475 for rebound attempt
Target: 0.6475
Buy trigger: recovery and hold above 0.6510 with bullish momentum
💡 Risks
Reclaiming 0.6510 invalidates breakdown thesis
Channel support bounce could trap sellers
Upcoming macro data may trigger whipsaws in either direction
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
Bullish bounce off 38.2% Fibonacci support?The Aussie (AUD/USD) is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 0.6483
1st Support: 0.6447
1st Resistance: 0.6537
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.