DOUBLE BOTTOM BREAKOUT On M30 timeframe indicates a double bottom is currently forming from a bullish momentum after the price had deeply plummeted so the breakout confirms the Buy signal
USDAUD trade ideas
Silver Bullet Strategy AUDUSD | 17/12/2024At 9:55 EST, we arrived at our trading desk to scout for trades using silver bullet strategy. We focused on these pairs EURUSD, AUDUSD, GBPUSD, and USDCAD, hoping to get favorable trading conditions during the session.
After 15 minutes, our first FVG formed on GBPUSD, indicating a buying opportunity when price retraces into the FVG on this currency pair. Five minutes later, a similar setup to that which formed on GBPUSD appeared on USDCAD as well indicating that we also look for buying opportunities on this pair when we get a retrace into the FVG. Shortly, a FVG formed on AUDUSD, suggesting a selling opportunity when the price retraces into the newly formed FVG.
Immediately after identifying the FVG on AUDUSD, the next candle entered the FVG fulfilling all the requirements for our entry criteria. We executed the trade and monitored the other pairs to check if any of them met the entry criteria. However, none of them had at that time, so we entered one trade and waited to see others would give us an entry.
We had only 25 minutes to enter the two other setups we observed, otherwise, we would not be able to take those trades due to our trade deadline being at 11:00 EST. We checked USDCAD and realized we got a retrace, but it failed to go lower to give us an entry, so we did nothing. A similar situation was encountered on GBPUSD.
We failed to get an entry on the other pairs, however, the positive aspect was that our trade on AUDUSD was progressing well in our intended direction. After waiting a while, we checked on the position again to assess its performance only to realize it had retraced back to our entry point. An ideal situation? No, but this was the reality, we remained unfazed because we had only risked an amount we were comfortable losing.
The trade consolidated around our entry price for a while, but we were in no rush. We had three options:
1. Trade reaches the take profit
2. The trade hits the stop loss
3. We manually close the trades at 16:00 EST
These are the rules we have on our checklist and we intend to stick by them
This trade neither hit our TP nor SL, so we decided to manually close it at 16:00 EST for a small profit, which we’re perfectly okay with. Remember, simply following your trading rules is a win on its own. Your rules exist for a reason!
AUDUSD: Price at Extreme Zone – Awaiting ReactionWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** AUDUSD Analysis !
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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uptrendThe downtrend is expected to fluctuate within the current support range and then we will see the start of the uptrend. Breaking the resistance trend line will be a confirmation of the uptrend
AUDUSD H1 OUTLOOK (23/11/2024)The chart suggests a pullback into the FVG and POI zone, expecting a bearish continuation targeting the low at 0.62100.
AUDUSD - Look for a sell !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on AUDUSD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for a short. I expect price to continue the retracement to fulfill the imbalance and then to reject from bearish OB + institutional big figure 0.63000.
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Update levels AUDUSD 11.12.24I had to modify this analysis a little because I interpreted the closing triangle here which was wrong, plus I added some levels here and overall I think the market will go a little lower around the price of 0.62700, we could finally create an SFP from this zone, we could move somewhere for the price, easily around the level of 0.67, which is also the point where there is poc level suppor and the fibo level of 0.618, but for now it's still just a matter of waiting.
possibility of uptrendConsidering the price behavior in the resistance range, possible scenarios have been identified.
It is expected that the downward trend will continue
audusdAUDUSD has not fallen to these prices in the demand zone since March 2020. For now, the daily candle seems to have reacted from this area. If the daily candle closes above this area, it could be a nice long position.
AUDUSD buy Trading IdeaHello Traders
In This Chart AUDUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today AUDUSD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (AUDUSD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity onAUDCAD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Chart
AUDUSDA huge drop, three corrections, v-vofrmation and consolidation. If it closes below the white line on 5m time frame, it will be a sell sign for me for a tp 2
AUDUSD POSSIBLE BUY OPPORTUNITY!Price dropped significantly In recent time to a level of 0.62509 a button level. A good price to go long! I anticipate a bullish trend to develop away from that level. My target profit is 0.65519.
posibility of uptrendIt is expected that a trend change will form within the current support range and we will witness the beginning of an upward trend.
If the price crosses the green support range, the continuation of the downward trend will be likely
A TITLE ChatGPT said: ChatGPT "AUD/USD: Pullback to Resistance
**AUD/USD Analysis**:
The price has broken a support zone and is now pulling back toward it, potentially testing it as resistance. Given the descending trendline, the bearish structure is intact. A reversal from the resistance area could lead to a continuation of the downtrend toward lower targets.
Would you like a chart illustration for thi
AUD/USD Trading Plan Long/Short Swing TradeThe pair has reached a 2 years low (0.6200).
There are two scenario's that I will be following.
Scenario 1 Long
To trigger a long entry there are a few thing I wish to see before I enter go long.
1. Break of the down slopping trend line around 0.6300 level
2. Creation of new HH and HL (New up-slopping trendline)
3. Break of the resistance level at 0.6350
4. re-test of the level or a fundamental catalyst to give the power for a strong break out
5. Cross of the EMA100
For this entry I will target the 0.6550 level and SL bellow the last HL
Scenario 2 Short (Following the current down trend)
the only additional confirmation I will need for a short entry is the break and re-test of 0.6200 level, also a look on the volume indicators.
The level I will target is 0.6000 super old support level(4.5 years)
For my Day trade position I will be using the same levels as reference, using more of chart/candle patterns on 1 and 4h hours time frames for 30-40 pips targets.
I hope you enjoyed or find useful this information, feedback is always welcome.
Merry Christmas and Happy New Year!
AUDUSD: Bullish Potential Above 1D ResistanceHello,
For further upside movement in OANDA:AUDUSD , it needs to establish itself above the strong 1D resistance level. If this confirmation is achieved, we can expect price action to move toward the 1W pivot point.
No Nonsense. Just Really Good Market Insights. Leave a Boost
TradeWithTheTrend3344
AUD/USD Approaching Key Long-Term Support ZoneChart Analysis:
The Australian Dollar has fallen sharply and is now approaching a key support level near 0.6172, last tested in October 2022.
1️⃣ Support Zone:
The horizontal level at 0.6172 represents a critical long-term support area. A test of this level could attract significant attention from market participants.
2️⃣ Fibonacci Retracement:
The 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of the larger upswing sits around 0.6042, which could act as an extended support level if the current zone is breached.
3️⃣ Moving Averages:
50-day SMA (blue): The pair remains well below this level, currently at 0.6524, signaling strong bearish momentum.
200-day SMA (red): Positioned at 0.6615, reflecting a broader downtrend in play.
4️⃣ Momentum Indicators:
RSI: At 30.54, nearing oversold territory, which could signal a potential short-term bounce or pause in the downtrend.
MACD: Deep in negative territory, with no clear signs of reversal as the MACD line continues to trend downward.
What to Watch:
Price action near 0.6172: Will the level hold, or will a break open the door for further declines toward 0.6042?
RSI divergence or bullish patterns near support could indicate the possibility of a rebound.
AUD/USD remains under significant pressure, with momentum favoring bears as the pair approaches a pivotal support zone.
-MW
AUDUSD - What message will the Federal Reserve's dotplot have?!The AUDUSD currency pair is below the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is moving in its downward channel. In case of a valid failure of the channel ceiling, we can see the supply zones and sell within those zones with the appropriate risk reward. If the downward momentum decreases, we will look for buy positions on the midline and bottom of the channel.
Investors are cautiously anticipating the key decisions from the U.S. Federal Reserve’s upcoming policy meeting. It is widely expected that the central bank will announce its third rate cut of the year and provide projections for 2025.
Giovanni Staunovo, an analyst at UBS, noted that market participants are eagerly awaiting updates from the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) and any hints regarding the trajectory of future rate cuts. He stated, “We expect the Federal Reserve to implement a 25 basis point rate cut this week, followed by four additional cuts next year.”
The Federal Reserve’s two-day meeting is anticipated to confirm a quarter-point rate reduction while also providing updated projections for potential rate cuts in 2025 and possibly 2026.
Meanwhile, the U.S. services sector has expanded at its fastest pace since October 2021, injecting fresh momentum into the economy, even as the manufacturing sector faces a deeper downturn. The S&P Global services index rose from 56.1 to 58.5 in December, while the manufacturing PMI fell to 48.3, marking its lowest level in 55 months.
These figures highlight a widening gap between sustained growth in the services sector and further declines in manufacturing. Factory output and order volumes have dropped at a faster pace, while the cost of imported raw materials from China has risen due to concerns over potential tariffs from the Trump administration.
Following the release of this data, projections for real private gross investment growth in the fourth quarter dropped from 2.4% to 1.2%, while forecasts for real government spending growth in the same period rose from 2.4% to 2.6%. Additionally, U.S. holiday retail sales for 2024 are expected to reach a remarkable $979 billion.
According to a recent report by Fitch Ratings, declining demand poses the most significant risk to global commodity markets if the U.S. imposes new tariffs and affected countries retaliate.
Fitch has warned that potential U.S. tariffs on China, Canada, and Mexico could weaken global economic growth, particularly in China, the world’s largest consumer of commodities. This could exert significant pressure on base metals, chemical products, and oil markets.
However, Fitch also noted that China’s economic stimulus measures could offset some of this pressure. At the same time, new tariffs on specific goods, such as steel and aluminum, could increase price volatility and disrupt trade routes.
Bloomberg reported that J.P. Morgan believes the upward trend in European government bonds is nearing its end. The firm now views Australia as the next promising market for stronger performance.
Kim Crawford of J.P. Morgan explained that there is limited room for further gains in Europe, as swap markets have already priced in the potential rate cuts by the European Central Bank. He also highlighted that the Reserve Bank of Australia’s stance, which has yet to reduce rates in this cycle, positions Australian bonds for stronger growth compared to other developed markets.
Playing Both Sides of the Upcoming USD Monetary Policy DecisionTwo trading opportunities for the price of one today as we look at difference scenarios that may play out from out upcoming US monetary policy announcement this Wednesday.
The first trading opportunity on the NZDUSD is a bearish trend continuation/breakout trade that would take advantage of US Dollar strength in the market.
The second trading opportunity on the AUDUSD is a bearish gartley pattern that would complete if the reaction to Wednesday's decision provided us with US Dollar weakness.
I personally would not recommend trading through these news events, rather waiting for the outcome (confirmation) and making a decision afterwards, but it's your money and you can do whatever you want with it! lol
If you have any questions, comments or want to share you views, please do so below as I love reading through them.
Akil
Short trade
1Hr TF Entry
Mon 16th June 24
9.30 am
LND to Tokyo Session AM
RR 2.83
Entry 0.63567
Profit level 0.62712 (0.48%)
Stop level 0.63869 (1.35%)
Sell-side
Reason: Chasing buyside liquidity with directional bias mitigated on the 4Hr TF.
AUDUSD SHORT - (Short + medium term direction prediction)Higher Timeframe trend = Sell
Retail trader bias = Buy
Institutional bias = Sell
Short term target = retail trader stoploss zone
I would like to clarify that I dont trade with extended targets like the secondary and tertiary ones marked. This might be handy for people who leave runners on their trades.
Also keep in mind that I am only providing my own SUBJECTIVE potential target levels here. The best thing to do would be to drop down to lower timeframes and look for good areas of value to enter that are part of your own plan.
S : -7
C : 26,74 - 56,44
R : 73,27
AUDUSD 2025 ANALYSISThe AUD/USD currency pair represents the exchange rate between the Australian Dollar (AUD) and the US Dollar (USD). As one of the most traded currency pairs globally, it is closely watched by traders, economists, and investors alike.
The USD has been relatively strong in recent months, driven by the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance on interest rates and global economic conditions. This has placed downward pressure on the AUD/USD pair, but any shifts in US monetary policy could cause sudden reversals.
The AUD/USD pair is highly sensitive to a variety of economic, geopolitical, and market factors. For traders, keeping an eye on global economic trends, commodity prices, and central bank decisions is key to navigating this dynamic currency pair.
SELL SELL SELL SELL!
