possibility of uptrendConsidering the price behavior within the current support range, possible scenarios have been identified.
The price is expected to consolidate above the support range, then the start of an uptrend is likely.
USDAUD trade ideas
AudUsd Trade IdeaAU seems to be respecting the higher time frame daily resistance level. I’m personally waiting on price to break from the range & shift structures. We can either expect price to crash below confirming the respect of the daily resistance or wait on the shift for buys where targets could be around the daily resistance. I’m personally waiting on shorts ! We’ll see what happens with news tomorrow.
AUDUSD FORECASTTrades! We have AUDUSD On board, however, this pair is not looking more clear. We need to be a little bit patient waiting for the market to give us clear picture of what it needs to do next.
As a trader you must understand the time that you need to be out of the market. You can't trade every single scenario that you see in the market you need to understand well what you need to see in the market before you capitalize
17-02-2025 _ Short Term Bullish Idea _ AUDUSD H41- Bullish Divergence followed by False Breakout.
2- Break of the Last High.
3- No Divergence against.
4- Anticipated ABCD Pattern.
AUDUSD InsightGreetings to all subscribers!
Please share your personal opinions in the comments. Don't forget to like and subscribe!
Key Points
- Friedrich Merz, leader of the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) and a potential candidate for German Chancellor, held a 1.5-hour meeting with Chancellor Olaf Scholz. During the discussion, they explored ways to bypass strict national debt limits and increase defense spending.
- The U.S. February CB Consumer Confidence Index fell by 7 points from the previous month to 98.3, raising concerns about stagflation as it coincided with a sharp rise in 12-month inflation expectations.
- ECB Executive Board Member Isabel Schnabel stated, "We can no longer confidently say that our policy is restrictive."
Key Economic Events This Week
+ February 27: U.S. Q4 GDP
+ February 28: Germany February CPI, U.S. January PCE Price Index
AUDUSD Chart Analysis
As anticipated last week, after surpassing the 0.63000 level, AUDUSD climbed to the 0.64000 resistance area, where it is now facing downward pressure. If this decline is short-term, the 0.63000 level should hold. However, if it fails to do so, a further drop toward the 0.60000 level is likely.
On the other hand, if an upward move breaks through the 0.64000 level, the pair may establish a new high around 0.66000.
AU Bullish Play - Multi-Timeframe Precision 4H is running bullish after breaking a major HH. I spotted an IDM, but mitigation to the 4H OB looked like it could take days or even weeks. Instead of waiting, I dropped to the 30M to hunt for bullish continuation.
On the 30M, price was still pushing, but I needed refinement. Spotted a major IDM from the 2H, then dropped back to the 30M to locate near-term structure. Instead of a clear OB, order flow stepped in—wicking into refined 15M levels. That was my cue.
Dropped to the 5M and waited for a clean CHoCH confirmation. Price followed through strong, locking in my entry. Now the 30M is pushing through, confirming bullish intent. TP is mapped—now it’s just execution and trade management.
When you stack timeframes the right way, the market lays out the moves for you. Let’s see how this one plays out.
#SMC #Forex #AUDUSD #OrderFlow #MultiTimeframeAnalysis
Bless Trading!..
Could the Aussie bounce from here?The price is reacting off the support level which is an overlap support ad could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6324
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.6301
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.6373
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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Australian dollar awaiting inflation dataThe Australian dollar is steady after two straight losing trading days. In the North American session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6343, down 0.09% on the day.
Australia releases the consumer price index for January on Wednesday. Inflation has been moving higher, as CPI accelerated in December to 2.5% y/y, up from 2.3% and its highest level since August. The market estimate for January stands at 2.6%.
Inflation remains within the Reserve Bank of Australia's target band of 2%-3% but the central bank remains concerned about upside risks to inflation. The RBA finally lowered rates last week after maintaining rates for over a year and joined most of the major central banks which are in the midst of an easing cycle. The RBA delivered a "hawkish cut" as the central bank stated it "remains cautious" on the possibility of further cuts and the markets aren't expecting a rate cut before May.
The latest headache for RBA policymakers is the Trump administration which has hit China with tariffs and threatened to apply tariffs to other trading partners. This could lead to another trade war with China which would likely raise inflation and hurt China's economy. China is Australia's largest trading partner and a slowdown in China would hurt Australia's key export sector.
The US releases the Conference Board consumer confidence index later today. The market estimate stands at 102.5 for January, down from 104.1 in December. The US consumer is spending, as retail sales for December rose 0.4% m/m and 5.5% annualized from November. The labor market is strong, wages are outpacing inflation and the economy is humming. This rosy picture means that the Federal Reserve isn't under pressure to lower rates and the markets aren't expecting another rate cut before June.
AUD/USD tested support at 0.6331 earlier. Below, there is support at 0.6314
0.6362 and 0.6379 are the next resistance lines
AUDUSD Waiting For Sell On 4hr TimeframeMonthly & weekly trending the same direction
Price currently heading toward weekly resistance at 0.65153
Next target will be monthly resistance at 0.66228
This is a 4-hour chart of AUD/USD with key technical levels and Market Analysis
Structure & Trend:
The market previously broke structure (BOS) to the upside, signaling an uptrend.
However, the price is now retracing toward a demand zone (gray area), possibly forming a higher low for continuation.
Key Levels:
Support (Demand Zone): 0.63250 – 0.63050
Resistance (Supply Zone): 0.64500
Liquidity & Order Blocks:
Buyers may step in at the demand zone (0.63250 - 0.63050).
Sellers will be active at 0.64500 if price reaches resistance.
📊 Trade Setup Recommendations
✅ Buy Setup (Long Position)
📍 Entry: 0.63250 (First level) or 0.63050 (Deeper pullback)
🎯 Targets:
TP1: 0.63650
TP2: 0.64000
⛔ Stop Loss: Below 0.62800
📌 Trade Idea:
Wait for bullish confirmations (engulfing candles, wicks rejecting support).
If price reacts strongly at 0.63250, enter with confidence.
❌ Sell Setup (Short Position)
📍 Entry: 0.64500 (Major Resistance)
🎯 Targets:
TP1: 0.63650
TP2: 0.63250
⛔ Stop Loss: Above 0.64700
📌 Trade Idea:
If price rallies and rejects the 0.64500 zone with bearish price action, short it.
Look for BOS confirmation and bearish engulfing candles.
📢 Final Thoughts
If 0.63250 holds, the market is bullish → Look for buys.
If price breaks 0.63250, expect further downside → Avoid longs.
Best setup: Buy at demand zone (0.63250) or short from 0.64500.
Analyzing the Australian Dollar: A Bearish Outlook for AUD/USDRecent developments in the Australian economy, particularly the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) decision to trim its policy rate by 25 basis points to 4.10%, have sparked discussions among traders and analysts regarding the future trajectory of the Australian Dollar (AUD), especially in relation to the US Dollar (USD). This move, while anticipated, has implications that could shape market sentiment in the coming weeks.
RBA Rate Decision: Implications for AUD
The RBA's decision to cut the interest rate signals a cautious stance towards Australia's economic conditions. Although the RBA specified that this rate reduction should not be interpreted as the onset of a broader easing cycle, the act of lowering rates typically suggests underlying concerns about economic growth and inflation. Lower interest rates can diminish the attractiveness of a currency, as they often lead to lower yields on assets denominated in that currency.
In the current environment, where other central banks may be maintaining or raising rates to combat inflation, the RBA’s rate cut could position the AUD unfavorably against its peers. Traders may interpret this move as a reflection of economic weakness, prompting a more bearish sentiment toward the AUD in the forex market.
Technical Analysis: AUD/USD Supply Area and COT Report
Recent technical analysis indicates that the AUD/USD pair has triggered a supply area, aligning with insights from the Commitments of Traders (COT) report. The COT report illustrates that retail traders are predominantly holding long positions on the AUD, suggesting a potential mismatch between retail sentiment and market dynamics. When retail traders are heavily long, it can sometimes signal exhaustion in upward momentum, setting the stage for a bearish reversal.
Furthermore, forecasting models indicate the possibility of an emerging bearish trend for the AUD/USD pair. Given these elements confluence—the RBA’s rate cut, the transition into a supply area on the charts, and the current positioning of traders—the market may be primed for a bearish impulse.
In conclusion, the AUD appears to be facing headwinds in the near term. The recent rate cut by the RBA, coupled with retail traders’ long positions and our forecasting indicators suggesting potential bearish momentum, paints a challenging picture for the Australian Dollar. Traders should remain vigilant and prepared to act on signals that suggest a continuation of this bearish trend.
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Bullish bounce?The Aussie (AUD/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance which has been identified as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 0.6323
1st Support: 0.6260
1st Resistance: 0.6402
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AUDUSD Downtrend to be continued??Hi Trade Lovers!!!
Does anyone see the chart as I do?
If we have a look on Weekly chart, and if we assume that our lines are valid, AUDUSD gonna be in a downtrend for a few weeks or a couple month, TARGETING 0.55000...
AUDUSD SHORTPrice has breakout support and retrace. looking for sell signal from this CCY pair.
waiting at 50% & 75% fibo level and will wait for a 2nd signal.
if the price go before 2nd signal it will consider as miss trade.
dont worry wait for another setup as my mentor always says there will be always a next time.
AUDUSD H4AUDUSD TF H4
The price is still moving in an uptrend and is currently starting to form a new swing low. You can take advantage of the buy opportunity with the setup:
SL: 0.63496
TP: 0.64436
Disclaimer ON!
Remember to keep setting risk limits and maintaining money management.
AUDUSD LONG Market structure bullish on HTFs DH
Entry at Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Daily Rejectiion at AOi
Previous Structure point Dally
Around Psychological Level 0.63500
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 5.36
Entry 90%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
AUDUSD wave structure analysis at 15 min 1 hour time frame1H swing is bullish.
M15 swing is bearish => current is pullback.
we can look for selling opportunities in this area according to the bearish structure of M15 time frame
AUD_USD LONG FROM SUPPORT|
✅AUD_USD will soon retest a key support level of 0.6320
So I think that the pair will make a rebound
And go up to retest the supply level above at 0.6380
LONG🚀
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AUD-USD Potential Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
AUD-USD is trading in a
Local uptrend and the pair
Will soon hit a horizontal
Support level of 0.6311
From where we will be
Expecting a local
Bullish rebound
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
AUDUSD What Next? BUY!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on AUDUSD and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 0.6361 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 0.6376
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Buy AUDUSDPrice pulled back to the trendline and has rejected it. Bullish momentum no apparent on the 4hr candle
AUDUSD ENTRY CHARTOn this Pair, we are expecting a continuation of trend to the upside, from the H4, price is hitting an area of structure which is in align with the D1 trend, also on the DXY, we expect more push to the downside, as the trend on the DXY is still BEARISH,we got a lower TF entry within the structure and we took the trade, Update will be giving in the UPDATE SESSION. Thank YOU.
