USDAUD trade ideas
RBA minutes hawkish, Aussie edges higherThe Australian dollar has edged higher on Tuesday. AUD/USD is trading at 0.6243 in the European session, up 0.28% on the day.
The Reserve Bank of Australia's minutes from the February meeting reiterated the central bank's cautious stance. The meeting marked a milestone as the RBA pressed the rate-cut trigger for the first time in four years, after maintaining the cash rate at 4.35% for over a year. The decision was a "hawkish cut" with a message for the markets not to expect a series of rate cuts.
In the minutes, members said the rate cut did not "commit them to further rate cuts", a warning that the easing cycle could be short. The RBA remains concerned about inflation even though it has dropped to 2.4%, in the mid-range of the RBA's target band of 2%-3%. Governor Bullock has said that the RBA is keeping a close eye on the labor market, which has been resilient and not supportive of further rate cuts.
Another headache for the RBA is the threat of US tariffs, in particular the specter of another US-China trade war. Both countries have imposed new tariffs on the other, and a damaging trade war would hurt Australia's export industry, as China is Australia's largest trading partner.
Australia's retail sales posted a turnaround in January, with a gain of 0.3% m/m. This matched the market estimate and followed the 0.1% decline in December. The driver of the gain was food-related spending and most sub-categories showed an increase in spending. The outlook for consumer spending has improved, with the RBA rate cut, the drop in inflation and cuts to income tax.
AUD/USD is testing resistance at 0.6228. Above, there is resistance at 0.6251
0.6200 and 0.6177 are providing support
AUDUSDOn HTF(Weekly and Daily Chart) price tested a key level (OB) with a liquidity that took the old low on Daily TF, On LTF (M15) MSS was formed and an OB to take the 1st enrty but price has already run. And have OB that cause another CHOCH to upside. Imbalance in the chart waiting for inducement and test of the OB for Buy entry.
This is just for educational purpose. Apply proper risk management.
AUDUSD BULLISH AUDUSD is currently in a bearish trend. However, a bullish divergence has formed on the RSI, signaling potential weakening of the downside momentum. I will look for a buy opportunity with a buy stop order placed above the most recent lower high (LH). The trade setup will be activated only if price breaks above the LH, confirming a possible shift in structure and validation of the divergence signal."
Optional TradingView-style Idea Title:
"AUDUSD | Watching for Bullish Reversal on RSI Divergence and LH Break"
EURUSD, AUDUSD and GBPUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Aussie H4 | Strong downward momentumThe Aussie (AUD/USD) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 0.6215 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 0.6240 which is a level that sits above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 0.6175 which is a support level that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci extension.
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Could the Aussie bounce from here?The price is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6225
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.6177
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that line sup with the 71% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.6296
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Sell AUDTrade Setup for AUD/USD
Trade Bias: Bearish with Caution
The broader trend remains bearish based on the 4H chart showing a clear downtrend from late February. However, I notice potential bullish divergence forming as price makes a temporary bottom around 0.6155-0.6160.
Entry Price: 0.6215
Looking at the current price (0.6156), I recommend waiting for a retracement to around 0.6215 for a better entry, which aligns with previous support that should now act as resistance.
Stop Loss: 0.6245
Place stop loss above the recent swing high on the 1H chart to protect against false breakouts while giving sufficient breathing room.
Take Profit Levels:
Take Profit
Primary TP: 0.6140 (previous swing low support)
Extended TP: 0.6100 (psychological level and projected support)
Risk-to-Reward Ratio:
Primary target: 1:2.5 (30 pips risk for 75 pips reward)
Extended target: 1:3.8 (30 pips risk for 115 pips reward)
Trade Rationale:
The 4H chart confirms the strong bearish trend since Feb 21st, where price fell from 0.6400 to current levels
Multiple timeframes align in showing a downtrend, though we're seeing short-term consolidation
The 1H timeframe shows we're near support with some buying interest, suggesting a potential short-term bounce before continuation
Major cryptocurrencies showing bearish pressure (visible in the sidebar) typically correlates with risk-off sentiment affecting AUD
The higher timeframe resistance around 0.6215-0.6220 provides a clear zone for selling opportunities
Additional Considerations:
Consider splitting your position: 50% at primary target and let 50% run for extended target
Monitor price action at 0.6215 for rejection patterns (bearish engulfing, evening star, etc.) to confirm entry
The upcoming RBA interest rate decision or US economic data could impact this pair, so be aware of fundamental catalysts
If price breaks above 0.6245 with conviction, be prepared to reassess the bearish bias
AUDUSDAUD/USD is showing strong bullish momentum, breaking key resistance levels with increasing buying pressure. The pair is supported by a weaker USD, improving risk sentiment, and strong commodity prices, particularly in Australia's export sector. Technical indicators suggest further upside potential, with sustained demand and higher lows confirming the bullish trend. A break above recent highs could signal continued gains toward the next resistance zones.
AUDUSD Is Bullish! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for AUDUSD.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 0.622.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 0.632 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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AUDUSD: BULLS ARE CONQURING NEW HIGHAfter a bearish spell the RSI showed a bullish divergence. Consequently the pair has also showed the HH and LH. Therefore, we may initiate a long position when it crosses the recent high.
For convenience the SL, TP1 and TP2 has been marked on the chart.
Pl do share your thought about it.