AUD - looks to shortHello traders, please feel free to share your trading ideas, and please give a Boost if you agree with my trading plan. My trading strategy is Price Action, which is the simplest strategy of trading on the price movement. A key part of my discipline is Stop Loss set when opening a trading position, which ensures every trading is risk managed. My 1 to 1 trading training is available, please message. Trade well and good luck!
USDAUD trade ideas
Trade Setup for AUD/USD 1D - 4H - 1HTrade Bias: Bearish
The overall trend across all timeframes is clearly bearish. The daily chart shows a strong downtrend from previous highs of around 0.69, with price currently trading near 0.6203. The 4-hour and 1-hour charts confirm this bearish momentum, with the 1-hour chart showing a recent sharp decline without significant retracement.
Entry Price: 0.6230-0.6240
Looking for a short entry on a pullback to the 0.6230-0.6240 zone, which corresponds to recent support turned resistance levels visible on the 1-hour chart. This area may act as a rejection point within the overall bearish trend.
Stop Loss: 0.6275
Placing the stop loss above the recent swing high visible on the 1-hour chart provides protection while allowing enough room for normal market volatility.
Take Profit Levels:
Take Profit
Primary TP: 0.6160 (recent swing low visible on the 4-hour chart)
Extended TP: 0.6100 (psychological level and also aligns with previous support from the daily chart)
Risk-to-Reward Ratio:
Primary TP: 1:1.75 (35 pips risk, 60-70 pips reward)
Extended TP: 1:3.1 (35 pips risk, 110 pips reward)
Trade Rationale:
The daily chart shows a clear bearish trend with lower highs and lower lows
The current price (0.6203) is testing a potential support level, but the momentum is strongly bearish
No significant reversal patterns are present on any timeframe
Recent price action on the 1-hour chart shows aggressive selling with minimal pullbacks
AUD/USD has been on a significant decline since reaching highs around 0.69, with each rally being sold into
The suggested entry at 0.6230-0.6240 allows for a high-probability trade with a tight stop loss
The overall market structure suggests that sellers remain in control. This setup aims to capitalize on the established downtrend while managing risk appropriately with defined entry, stop-loss, and take-profit levels.
PEPPERSTONE:AUDUSD
AUDUSD: Bearish Outlook For Next Week Explained 🇦🇺🇺🇸
AUDUSD broke and closed below a significant daily horizontal support on Friday.
It feels like the pair is returning to a global bearish trend.
The market will most likely continue falling.
Next support - 0.61725
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AUDUSD: Is There Any Option Other Than Further Decline?In the previous analysis, we mentioned the possibility of further decline for this currency pair, and after touching 0.61, we saw some upward movement. On the daily timeframe, after reaching the supply zone and resistance at 0.64, a renewed decline is now occurring. The expected scenario is a break of the 0.61 support and a drop to the historic 0.60 support level.
Optimistic on AUD for 81-89 centThe Australian dollar has hit a five-year low, but I’m feeling optimistic about OANDA:AUDUSD potentially bottoming out right now. I’d love to see it reach the 81 to 89 cent range within the next couple of years.
This is not a financial advice. This is for entertainment only.
AUDUSD I Weekly CLS, Monthly FVG, Model1 to 50%AUDUSD I Weekly CLS, Monthly FVG, Model1 to 50%
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CLS represents the "smart money" across all markets. It brings together the capital from the largest investment and central banks, boasting a daily volume of over 6.5 trillion.
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Aussie H4 | Downward momentum accelerating?The Aussie (AUD/USD) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 0.6243 which is a pullback resistance.
Stop loss is at 0.6285 which is a level that sits above a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 0.6177 which is a multi-swing-low support.
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"AUD/USD Bullish Setup: Key Levels to Watch"🔹 Technical Analysis of AUD/USD (4H Chart)
🔹 Market Structure & Trend Analysis
▪️ The price is currently in an uptrend, respecting a rising trendline that has acted as dynamic support.
▪️ Multiple rejections from the trendline indicate strong bullish sentiment.
▪️ The market has broken past key resistance zones, turning them into support.
🔹 Key Support & Resistance Levels
▪️ Support Zones:
▪️ Point of Interest (POI) at 0.62900: A significant demand area where price is expected to react.
▪️ Lower Support at 0.62500: Potential fallback level if the POI fails to hold.
▪️ Resistance Zones:
- 1st Target at 0.64411: Next major resistance where sellers might step in.
- 2nd Target at 0.64972: A higher resistance level for extended bullish targets.
🔹 Price Action & Gaps
- A previous gap in price was filled, confirming strong bullish momentum.
- Retests of previous breakout zones suggest market structure is holding.
🔹 Expected Market Movement
▪️ Bullish Scenario:
- A potential pullback to the trendline & POI is expected before a continuation upward.
- If support holds, price may rally towards 0.64411 (1st Target) and then 0.64972 (2nd Target).
▪️ Bearish Scenario:
- If the price breaks below the trendline, a move towards 0.62500 support may occur.
- Further downside could invalidate the bullish bias.
🔹 Conclusion
▪️ Overall bias remains bullish unless the price breaks below the trendline support.
▪️ Watching the POI zone reaction will be crucial for potential buy opportunities.
▪️ Targets remain at 0.64411 and 0.64972 if bullish momentum continues.
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Not as refined as our direct trade setups. More for advanced active traders.
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I WAS WRONG FOR U.S DOLLAR AUDUSD - Based on performance i had two players to trade this week , Japanese Yen for buy and U.S Dollar for sell. U.S Dollar proved me wrong and it had very good performance with some pairs. The most clear pair for buy U.S Dollar is AUDUSD, as we can see the price is on very strong demand zone if the price will reject this zone we can make profit between the zones.
AUDUSD Wave Analysis – 27 February 2025
- AUDUSD falling inside wave b
- Likely to fall support level 0.6200
AUDUSD currency pair continues to fall inside the b-wave which started earlier from the major resistance level 0.6400 (former strong support from April and August of 2024).
The resistance level 0.6400 was strengthened by the upper daily Bollinger Band and by the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse from last October.
Given the strongly bullish US dollar sentiment and strong daily downtrend, AUDUSD currency pair can be expected to fall to the next support level 0.6200, the target price for the completion of the active wave b.
AUDUSD at Key Demand Zone – Potential Rebound?OANDA:AUDUSD has reached a significant demand zone, marked by historical price reactions and strong buying pressure. The recent decline has brought the price into this key support area, increasing the likelihood of a potential bullish reaction.
If buyers step in and confirm support within this zone, we could see a rebound toward the 0.63260 level, aligning with a corrective move after the recent sell-off. However, a break below this demand zone would invalidate the bullish bias and could signal further downside continuation.
Traders should watch for bullish confirmation signals such as rejection wicks, bullish engulfing patterns, or increased buying volume before considering long positions.
Do you agree with this analysis? Let me know your thoughts!
AUD/USD Confirms Bearish Wedge PatternAUD/USD Confirms Bearish Wedge Pattern
The AUD/USD pair has confirmed a bearish wedge pattern, suggesting that USD dominance may grow further as focus shifts back to peace talks between Ukraine and Russia. Let's hope for a positive outcome this time. This renewed focus is supporting the strength of the USD.
Additionally, lingering tariff issues continue to make the USD volatile, pushing it up and down, although overall, the US economy is performing well. Given the relatively empty economic calendar, AUD/USD may correct within its current zone before potentially moving down to the 0.6300 and 0.6250 levels.
You may find more details in the chart!
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AUDUSD STRONG FALL SOON OPPORTUNITY 1. Breakout Above Resistance
The analysis assumes a rejection at the resistance zone, leading to a downtrend. However, if bullish momentum builds, the price could break above resistance, invalidating the sell-off expectation.
2. Support Might Not Hold
The marked support zone might be weak if there is strong bearish sentiment, leading to a potential breakdown rather than a reversal from that level.
3. Range-bound Market
Instead of a clear breakout or breakdown, AUD/USD might stay within a sideways range, consolidating between support and resistance rather than making a decisive move.
4. Fundamental Factors
Economic data releases, central bank policies, or geopolitical events could override this technical setup, causing unexpected price movements in either direction.
Trading AUDUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 26/02/2025Last week the Judas Swing strategy had another action-packed week! As we took four trades across our selected currency pairs ( FX:GBPUSD , FX:AUDUSD , FX:EURUSD , OANDA:NZDUSD ), securing two wins and two losses, but still closing the week with a solid 2% gain.
Given the strategy’s consistency over the past few weeks and months, we were eager to see how it would perform this week. On Monday, we waited for a setup on FX:EURUSD , but it fell just a few pipettes short of meeting all the criteria on our checklist. Since one key requirement wasn’t met, we stayed disciplined and skipped the trade. Now, here’s the important part—although that trade ended up being a winner, it didn’t bother us. Why? Because it didn’t align with our strategy, and we don’t risk our hard-earned money on trades that don’t check all the boxes. If you find yourself entering random trades, it’s time to create a checklist and stick to it. Discipline is what separates consistent traders from gamblers.
Fast forward to Wednesday, we spotted a promising setup on FX:AUDUSD and we were eager to see how the session would unfold. After a sweep of liquidity at the lows, our focus immediately shifted to potential buying opportunities. Once we got a break of structure to the upside, all that was left was a retrace into the FVG before executing the trade. But patience was key—we reminded ourselves of Monday’s setup, where a similar scenario played out, yet the retrace never came. That trade had to be left behind, and we weren’t about to force an entry this time either
Finally, price retraced into the FVG, and as soon as that candle closed, we were ready to execute the trade. We risk 1% per trade with the goal of securing a 2% return ensuring our wins outweigh our losses over time. With this strategy’s win rate hovering around 50%, sticking to our rules keeps us on the path to long-term profitability
After entering the trade, we experienced a slight drawdown for less than five minutes, dipping just 2 pips nothing out of the ordinary. Our entry candle had closed in our intended direction, so we stayed patient. Soon after, price moved decisively in our favor, hitting our target in just 1 hour and 10 minutes. Our patience paid off this time with a solid 2% return on a trade where we had only risked 1%.