Bullish continuation?AUD/USD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6499
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.6483
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 0.6537
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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USDAUD trade ideas
AUDUSD DistributionI will look for a valid entry from this 15m supply to enter a short to at least the range low of this model 1 distribution. This would then be a extended model 1 going over into a model 2 with a good return to zone so let's see. A entry would already be valid but i will either wait or skip for a better R/R.
AUDUSDTechnical Analysis:
Trend Context:
On H4 and Daily, AUD/USD is in a downtrend or corrective phase within a broader bearish structure.
Recent rallies have failed to break key resistance at 0.6550-0.6560, forming a double top/weak continuation.
Key Levels:
Resistance Zone: 0.6550 – 0.6565
Support Zone: 0.6460 – 0.6440
Next Major Support: 0.6400 (if 0.6460 breaks)
Trade Setup: AUD/USD Short at 0.65256
🔻 Position: Sell AUD/USD
🔹 Entry Price: 0.65256
🎯 Target: 0.64600 (Initial TP)
🛑 Stop-Loss: 0.65580
🔧 Risk:Reward Ratio: ~1:2
AUDUSD Follow the ascending channel selling now from resistanceOANDA:AUDUSD Technical Analysis
The AUD/USD pair is currently following a well-established ascending channel and is now selling off from a key supply zone at 0.65300.
Technical Targets:
1. First Target: 0.64800
2. Second Target: 0.64500
3. Third Target: 0.64100 (Bullish Order Block)
Time Frame: 1-Hour Chart 📊
Stay tuned for more updates, and don't forget to Like, Follow, and Comment for further insights. 🚀
Happy Trading! ✨
AUDUSD Distribution pt.2I haven't been active for the last 2 days, which probably caused me to miss out on the best setups in months. There where so many setups that just completed, but anyway.
The model 1 i was looking for turned out into a model 1 which gets completed with a model 2 as 2nd deviation. Since the technical target is the range low i will look for valid entrys that complete this distribution.(I don't like the supply above the range, but that should be saved for later if this model is intended to play out)
AUD/USD at Critical Resistance — Bearish Outlook Below 0.65381. Major Resistance Zone: 0.65380
Price is currently testing a strong horizontal resistance level at 0.65380, a level that has been tested multiple times (as shown by the pink circles).
This level has acted as a historical turning point, which increases its significance.
2. Price Structure: Lower Highs and Equal Highs
The chart reveals a potential double top or distribution pattern, forming under the 0.65380 resistance.
This suggests weakening bullish momentum and increases the probability of a bearish reversal.
3. Projected Bearish Path (White Dotted Lines):
If price fails to break above 0.65380 decisively, the expected move is a stepwise decline.
The projected path targets several support levels:
0.65003
0.64647
0.64213
0.63957
Final target: 0.63627, a key support from early May.
4. Support & Resistance Zones:
Resistance Levels:
0.65380 (Major)
0.65003
Support Levels (Sequential Targets):
0.64647
0.64213
0.63957
0.63627
5. Confluence with Fundamentals:
U.S. economic events (highlighted at the bottom with calendar icons) may act as volatility triggers, potentially accelerating this move.
✅ Summary & Trading Implications:
Bias: Bearish below 0.65380
Trade Idea: Watch for rejection at resistance or break below 0.65003 for confirmation.
Bearish Targets: Gradual move toward 0.63627 with key pauses at intermediate support levels.
Invalidation: Daily close above 0.65380 would negate the bearish setup and open potential for new highs.
AUDUSD: Market Sentiment & Price Action
Looking at the chart of AUDUSD right now we are seeing some interesting price action on the lower timeframes. Thus a local move up seems to be quite likely.
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AUD/USD Breakout Watch: Eyes on 0.6558 and BeyondThe AUD/USD daily chart has just confirmed a breakout from a sustained consolidation zone that had kept price action capped for nearly two months. The breakout clears the psychological and technical resistance near the 0.6500 level and puts bulls back in control.
🔍 Key Technical Highlights:
Ascending Triangle Breakout: Price had been coiling into an ascending triangle with a horizontal resistance at 0.6500 and rising trendline support. Today's daily close above this resistance confirms the bullish breakout.
Golden Cross Support: The 50-day SMA (currently ~0.6386) has turned higher and is approaching the 200-day SMA (~0.6437), creating a potential "golden cross" that could add momentum to the uptrend.
MACD Confirmation: MACD has crossed above the signal line and is now back in positive territory, supporting the bullish bias.
RSI Momentum: RSI is rising and holding just below 60, suggesting there's still room to the upside before the pair becomes overbought.
Fibonacci Resistance Levels:
Immediate resistance is seen at the 61.8% retracement of the July–October 2024 decline near 0.6558.
Above that, the 78.6% retracement at 0.6730 becomes the next major target.
This breakout, backed by trendline support and bullish momentum signals, suggests AUD/USD could be entering a fresh impulsive leg higher.
-MW
AUD/USD Bearish Setup – Key Rejection🔍 Market Context:
AUD/USD has shown an ascending structure followed by a potential bearish divergence. The recent high around 0.65437 is marked as the Invalidation Level — a break and close above this level would invalidate the current bearish scenario.
📌 Key Levels:
Resistance / Invalidation Zone: 0.65437
Support Target Zone: Near 0.64000
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📉 Bearish Scenario:
Price is expected to reject the resistance zone and move downward based on the current structure and possible exhaustion of bullish momentum. The red projected path illustrates a potential move lower if price fails to break above the invalidation level.
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📛 Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or a trading recommendation. All trading involves risk. Please conduct your own analysis or consult a financial advisor before making trading decisions.
Audusd 1h📅 June 11, 2025
📣 Forex Signal – AUD/USD
🧭 Timeframe, Setup & Zone:
1h (analysis), 30m (confirmation)
Price is testing a strong supply zone that has historically triggered sharp bearish reversals. This area aligns with the 88.6% Fibonacci retracement, often signaling exhaustion of bullish momentum. Candlestick structure shows weakening buying pressure, with upper shadows and diminishing volume. This sell limit setup targets a high-probability reversal zone with attractive risk-reward potential.
🎯 Setup:
Entry 0.65248
SL 0.65348 (−10.0 pips)
TP1 0.65103 (+14.5 pips) – scalping
TP2 0.64935 (+31.3 pips) – primary
TP3 0.64771 (+47.7 pips) – intraday
TP4 0.64586 (+66.2 pips) – swing
TP5 0.63945 (+130.3 pips) – extended
(RR: 1:1.4 / 3.1 / 4.8 / 6.6 / 13.0)
📊 Indicators (30m):
• RSI shows momentum flattening near the overbought zone, signaling potential reversal
• Stochastic is in overbought territory, preparing a bearish crossover – early signal of seller dominance
📰 Fundamentals & Sentiment:
• AUD remains under pressure from weak export data and concerns over China’s economic slowdown
• USD is steady ahead of tonight’s US CPI release – stronger inflation could boost USD demand
• Short-term sentiment favors USD strength, especially with supportive data
📌 Summary:
The entry zone is a key technical supply area, backed by bearish signals from both price action and indicators. With market sentiment leaning toward USD strength, this setup is ideal for a calculated sell limit strategy targeting both intraday and swing potential.
⚙️ Risk Management:
• Entry is active only upon touching 0.65248
• Max risk: 1–2% of total account balance
• Consider partial profit-taking starting at TP2
#audusd #sell
audusd sell signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
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P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
AUDUSD – Bearish Continuation Setup in PlayGiven the recent bearish shift on the 4-hour timeframe, the failure to break above the 4H high, and the formation of a flag pattern on the 15-minute chart in this zone, we expect the price to potentially drop toward the bottom of the 8-hour timeframe — which aligns with the first major support level.
AUD/USD Bulls Capped by Critical Resistance Aussie is trading into a critical resistance range into the start of the week at 6511/50- a region defined by the July close low and the 61.8% retracement of the 2024 decline. Note that the 75% parallel converges on this threshold this week – looking for possible inflection here with the near-term rally vulnerable while below.
A topside breach exposes a potential run towards the upper parallel / September low at 66222 and the 2019 low at 6670. Initial support rests with 52-week moving average and is backed by the February high-week close (HWC) at 6357. A break / close below the low-week close (LWC) / 38.2% retracement of the yearly range at 6290-6300 is needed to mark resumption of the broader downtrend.
-MB