China's PPI slides, Australian dollar steadyThe Australian dollar is almost unchanged on Wednesday. In the European session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6532, up 0.03% on the day.
China's producer price index surprised on the downside in June, with a steep 3.6% y/y decline. TThe soft PPI report was driven by weak domestic demand and the continuing uncertainty over US tariffs. The lack of consumer demand was reflected in the weak CPI reading of 0.1% y /y, the first gain in four months. Monthly, CPI declined by 0.1%, following a 0.2% drop in May. There was a silver lining as core CPI rose 0.7% y/y, the fastest pace in 14 months.
The uncertainty over US President Trump's tariff policy continues to perplex the financial markets. Trump had promised a new round of tariffs against a host of countries on July 9 but he has delayed that deadline until August 1.
China, the world's second-largest economy after the US, has taken a hit from US tariffs, as China's exports to the US are down 9.7% this year, However, China has mitigated much of the damage as China's exports to the rest of the world are up 6%. There is a trade truce in effect between the two countries but the bruising trade war will continue to dampen US-China trade.
With no tier-1 events out of the US today, the FOMC minutes of the June meeting will be on center stage. The Fed held rates at that meeting and Fed Chair Powell, who has taken a lot of heat from Donald Trump to cut rates, defended his wait-and-see-attitude, citing the uncertainty that Trump's tariffs are having on US growth and inflation forecasts.his was below the May decline of 3.3% and the consensus of -3.2%. China has posted producer deflation for 33 successive months and the June figure marked the steepest slide since July 2023. Monthly, PPI declined by 0.4%, unchanged over the past three months.
USDAUD trade ideas
AUDUSD STARTED FORMING BEARISH TREND STRUCTUREAUDUSD STARTED FORMING BEARISH TREND STRUCTURE
Price started forming lower low, which indicates bearish trend.
price is expected to remain bearish in upcoming trading sessions.
on lower side market may hit the targets of 0.64500 & 0.63800.
On higher side 0.65900 level can act as a important resistance level.
AUDUSD trend reversal to the upside!!!# AUD/USD Long Trading Plan
## Setup
- **Pair**: AUD/USD
- **Direction**: LONG
- **Reason**: Breakout above major resistance indicating bullish trend.
## Entry
- Enter on confirmed break above resistance
- OR enter on retest on smaller time frame like 4h, 1h
## Stop Loss
- Below the broken resistance level
- Risk: 1-2% of account
## Take Profit
- **TP1**: Next resistance level (partial close) at 0.66825
- **TP2**: Extended target based on fib 1.618 at 0.68944
- **Risk:Reward**: Minimum 1:2
## Trade Management
- Move stop to breakeven after TP1 hit
- Trail stop as price moves in favor
- proper risk and reward
Aussie: Still Growing!
CAPITALCOM:AUDUSD
The bullish momentum continues after our last successful AUDUSD setup, and a move toward the 0.65900 resistance area looks probable now.
🪙 My Trading Plan:
🔼 BUY Stop: 0.65648
❌ Stop Loss: 0.65320
✅ Take Profit: 0.65965
💡 Why am I buying here?
✅ Price broke recent resistance at 0.65500, activating buy trades.
✅ RSI confirm ongoing bullish momentum 📊.
📰 Fundamental Situation:
🏦 RBA Rate Decision Supports AUD
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) surprised markets by holding rates steady at 3.85% 🏛️, diverging from expectations of a cut. This cautious stance reflects the RBA’s preference to wait for clearer signs of slowing inflation 📉 before adjusting policy further.
Governor Michele Bullock emphasized that inflation risks remain persistent ⚠️, driven by high labor costs and weak productivity, possibly requiring a longer period of restrictive policy ⏳. Deputy Governor Andrew Hauser noted the bank is closely monitoring global risks 🌐, especially US tariff developments, underscoring sensitivity to global headwinds that could impact trade and growth 📦.
🌎 Trade Tensions in Focus:
President Trump ruled out extending tariff deadlines beyond August 1 ⛔, announcing new duties:
🔹 50% on copper 🪙
🔹 Potential 200% on pharmaceuticals 💊
🔹 10% on goods from BRICS 🌐
These moves are likely to intensify global trade tensions ⚔️, potentially impacting commodity flows and inflation, which the RBA and markets will continue to monitor closely.
AUDUSD → Pre-breakout consolidation for trend continuationFX:AUDUSD may continue its upward trend. After another local distribution, the currency pair is consolidating and may repeat the cycle
The dollar index continues to fall, the global trend is clear, and the price is testing multi-year lows. After yesterday's speech by Powell, the decline may intensify amid expectations of a rate cut, which will only support AUDUSD.
AUDUSD is moving within an uptrend, stopping below resistance at 0.6583, but is not going to fall.
There was a false breakout (the zone was tested), the structure is not broken, and the price continues to squeeze towards resistance, which could lead to a breakout and growth
Resistance levels: 0.6583
Support levels: 0.6566, 0.6556
There is potential accumulation in the market, and the market is choosing growth against the backdrop of a falling dollar as its direction. Accordingly, the currency pair is one step away from a possible realization phase. Thus, if the price breaks 0.6583 and consolidates above this zone, it may continue to grow in the short and medium term.
Best regards, R. Linda!
AUDUSD SHORT & LONG FORECAST Q3 D11 W28 Y25AUDUSD SHORT & LONG FORECAST Q3 D11 W28 Y25
It’s Fun Coupon Friday! 💸🔥
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 👀
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Daily Order block identified
✅4H Order Block identified
✅1H Order Block identified
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
AUDUSD: Bullish Continuation is Expected! Here is Why:
The recent price action on the AUDUSD pair was keeping me on the fence, however, my bias is slowly but surely changing into the bullish one and I think we will see the price go up.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Australian dollar stabilizes after RBA's surpriseThe Australian dollar is in positive territory after a three-day skid, declining 1.5%. In the North American session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6532, up 0.50% on the day. The Australian dollar rose as much as 0.95% earlier before retreating.
The Reserve Bank of Australia blindslided the markets on Tuesday as the central bank held the cash rate at 3.85%. The markets had priced in a quarter-point cut at 96%, but the RBA had the last laugh. For the first time, the RBA published the vote tally, which was 6-3 in favor of maintaining the rate.
The rate statement was cautious, as members said "there are uncertainties about the outlook for domestic economic activity and inflation".
Governor Bullock tried to calm the markets, saying that the decision was about "timing rather than direction" and that the Bank would "wait a few weeks" to confirm that inflation was on track to ease and remain sustainably around 2.5%. Bullock said that "we don't want to end up having to fight inflation again".
Inflation is moving in the right direction but the RBA wants to see the second-quarter inflation report on July 30, ahead of the rate decision on Aug. 12. Headline CPI in May eased to 2.1% y/y from 2.4% in April. The core rate dropped to 2.8% from 2.4% in April, the lowest rate since early 2022.
The RBA will be hoping that waiting till August will provide some clarity with regard to US tariff policy. President Trump has pledged new tariffs against various countries but this move is not expected to have much impact on Australia's economy.
AUD/USD is testing resistance at 0.6513. Above, there is resistance at 0.6541
There is support at 0.6463 and 0.6435
AUDUSD SHORT & LONG FORECAST Q3 W28 Y25AUDUSD SHORT & LONG FORECAST Q3 W28 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 👀
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Daily Order block identified
✅4H Order Block identified
✅1H Order Block identified
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
AUDUSD SHORT & LONG DAILY FORECAST Q3 D7 W28 Y25AUDUSD SHORT & LONG DAILY FORECAST Q3 D7 W28 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 👀
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Daily Order block identified
✅4H Order Block identified
✅1H Order Block identified
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Bullish bounce off pullback support?The Aussie (AUD/USD) has bounced off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance, which lines up with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Pivot: 0.6567
1st Support: 0.6544
1st Resistance: 0.6603
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
AUD/USD Long Setup – 1H Demand to 4H Supply 🧠 Trade Breakdown:
Price tapped into a clear 1H demand zone and showed bullish reaction. The setup is targeting a 4H supply zone above. This is a classic demand-to-supply flow with room for clean upside.
⸻
📍 Key Confluences:
• Strong 1H demand (reaction zone clearly respected)
• Clear bullish structure: Higher highs + higher lows
• 4H supply zone above as natural target zone
• Momentum supported by clean bullish candles on the way up
• Entry aligns with a pullback to demand zone wick rejection
⸻
📈 Trade Setup:
• Pair: AUD/USD
• Entry: 0.65881
• Stop Loss: 0.65570 (below demand wick)
• Take Profit: 0.66583 (4H supply zone)
• Risk-to-Reward (RR): ~1:6
⸻
🧠 Mindset:
Let this setup breathe — it’s demand into higher timeframe supply. No need to panic on minor retracements. Trust your bias. Let the setup develop. Protect your capital, but don’t micromanage the trade.
“Trade Simple. Live Lavish.”
Australian dollar stabilizes after RBA's surprise The Australian dollar is in positive territory after a three-day skid, declining 1.5%. In the North American session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6532, up 0.50% on the day. The Australian dollar rose as much as 0.95% earlier before retreating.
The Reserve Bank of Australia blindslided the markets on Tuesday as the central bank held the cash rate at 3.85%. The markets had priced in a quarter-point cut at 96%, but the RBA had the last laugh. For the first time, the RBA published the vote tally, which was 6-3 in favor of maintaining the rate.
The rate statement was cautious, as members said "there are uncertainties about the outlook for domestic economic activity and inflation".
Governor Bullock tried to calm the markets, saying that the decision was about "timing rather than direction" and that the Bank would "wait a few weeks" to confirm that inflation was on track to ease and remain sustainably around 2.5%. Bullock said that "we don't want to end up having to fight inflation again".
Inflation is moving in the right direction but the RBA wants to see the second-quarter inflation report on July 30, ahead of the rate decision on Aug. 12. Headline CPI in May eased to 2.1% y/y from 2.4% in April. The core rate dropped to 2.8% from 2.4% in April, the lowest rate since early 2022.
The RBA will be hoping that waiting till August will provide some clarity with regard to US tariff policy. President Trump has pledged new tariffs against various countries but this move is not expected to have much impact on Australia's economy.
AUD/USD is testing resistance at 0.6513.
Above, there is resistance at 0.6541
There is support at 0.6463 and 0.6435
Surprise halt by the RBA. A positive for the AUD.After a surprise halt by the RBA, where the Bank kept the cash rate unchanged, MARKETSCOM:AUDUSD reversed sharply higher. Where it may go next? Let's dig in.
FX_IDC:AUDUSD
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
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Could the Aussie reverse from here?The price is rising towards the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 0.6598
1st Support: 0.6548
1st Resistance: 0.6628
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
AUD/USD Bearish Reversal SetupAUD/USD Bearish Setup:
Price is showing rejection near resistance around 0.65600 and has broken below the rising channel. A retest of the broken trendline may lead to a drop towards the support zone at 0.65307, and potentially further to the demand zone around 0.65057–0.65000.
Could we see bullish continuation?The Aussie (AUD/USD) is reacting off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance which aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Pivot: 0.6581
1st Support: 0.6562
1st Resistance: 0.6621
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish bounce?The Aussie (AUD/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and the 61.8% Fibonacci projection.
Pivot: 0.6562
1st Support: 0.6548
1st Resistance: 0.6613
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish continuation for the Aussie?The price has bounced off the support level which is a pullback support and could potentially rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.5537
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Stop loss: 0.6490
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
Take profit: 0.6623
Why we like it:
There is a resistance level at the 138.2% Fibonacci extension and the 61.8% Fibonacci projection.
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Could the price reverse from here?AUD/USD is reacting off the pivot, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could drop the 1st support.
Pivot: 0.6537
1st Support: 0.6359
1st Resistance: 0.6680
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
AUD/USD: The Rebound TradeThe Australian dollar (also known as the Aussie Battler) looks set to continue its recent bounce. Inflation is now under control and monetary easing will continue to support aggregate demand across the economy. While rate cuts are dovish, the underlying economy is still strong and, as we will explain below, the fiscal situation is shaping up better than expected. Stability is in.
The real action, though, is in the US. Unemployment is creeping up. Jobless claims are ticking higher. Existing home sales are falling. The US consumer is feeling the pinch. That puts pressure on the Fed. Rate cuts are back in the conversation. Markets are already pricing in the first move later this year. The US dollar is losing its grip.
AUD/USD recently tested its 200 day moving average and held firm. That’s more than just a technical level. It’s a psychological line in the sand. The Aussie held its ground.
There’s more. Australia’s fiscal position is likely to come in stronger than expected. Mining exports are holding up. Volumes are rising. That supports the budget bottom line and underpins the Aussie’s credibility as a resource backed currency. This is in stark contrast to most of the developed world, where peers are running large deficits.
This isn’t just about central banks. The global economy is shifting gears. China is stabilising. Industrial demand is returning. Commodity prices are finding a floor. That’s key for the Aussie. It’s still a commodity linked currency. As iron ore and copper pick up, the AUD should follow.
There’s a window here. Over the next twelve months, the AUD has room to move higher, testing the 0.7000 range. Not because Australia is booming, but also because the US is slowing. The Fed is running out of steam. That flips the dynamic. We’re moving from USD strength to USD softness.
The setup is clear. A soft landing in the US. A stable China. Commodities firming. And an RBA on hold. That’s a cocktail for AUD strength.
The bounce has just begun.
The forecasts provided herein are intended for informational purposes only and should not be construed as guarantees of future performance. This is an example only to enhance a consumer's understanding of the strategy being described above and is not to be taken as Blueberry Markets providing personal advice.