AUDUSD1#AB=CD is complete reversal pattren.
2#and bulish Divergence at 4h time frame .
BUY stop:0.62912
Stop loss:0.61731
TP:0.64102
RRR: 1:1
USDAUD trade ideas
AUD_USD BEARISH BREAKOUT|SHORT|
✅AUD_USD is trading in a
Downtrend and the pair
Broke the key horizontal
Level of 0.6200 which reinforces
Our bearish bias and we will
Be expecting a further
Bearish move down
SHORT🔥
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AUDUSD SHORTMarket structure Bearish on HTFs 3
Entry at Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Daily Rejection At AOi
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychologiical Level 0.62000
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 5.92
Entry 95%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King
AUDUSD - stronger dollar, what consequences will it have for us?The AUDUSD currency pair is below the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4-hour timeframe and is moving in its downward channel. In case of a valid failure of the support range, we can see the bottom of the downward channel and buy in that range with a suitable risk reward. If the downward momentum decreases, we will look for buy positions on the support range.
According to the official data released by the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) on Thursday, Australia’s retail sales index increased by 0.8% in November compared to the previous month. In October, the index had grown by 0.5% after being revised down from an initial 0.6%. However, this growth fell short of market expectations, which had predicted a 1.0% rise.
Additionally, newly released foreign trade data from the ABS on Thursday showed that Australia’s trade surplus reached AUD 7,079 million in November, surpassing the market forecast of AUD 5,750 million and the previous month’s revised figure of AUD 5,670 million (adjusted from AUD 5,953 million).
Details of the report indicate that Australian exports rose by 4.8% month-over-month in November, compared to a revised 3.5% in October. Meanwhile, imports grew by 1.7% in November, compared to a flat 0% growth in October (adjusted from 0.1%)Meanwhile, JPMorgan reported that the US dollar has maintained its value contrary to expectations and may continue to do so. However, the bank’s analysts believe further appreciation of the dollar is limited.
Key Factors Influencing the US Dollar
• Global Growth Divergence and Central Bank Policies:
Disparities in global economic growth have led to significant differences in monetary policies. Additionally, the yield gap between US 10-year bonds and those of key trading partners has reached its highest level since 1994.
• Sustained Strength of the US Dollar:
Despite two rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in 2024, the US dollar appreciated by 7%. The real effective exchange rate (REER) also remains near its historical peak.
• Reasons Behind Dollar Strength:
1. Economic Growth Disparity: The US economy grew by 2.7% in 2024, compared to 1.7% growth in other developed markets.
2. Monetary Policy Differences: The limited rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (44 basis points projected for 2025) compared to larger cuts by the European Central Bank (110 basis points) and rate hikes by Japan (47 basis points) have sustained the yield gap.
3. Policy Shifts: New government policies, such as domestic production support, tariffs, and deregulation, could bolster economic growth and strengthen the dollar.
• Long-term Constraints on Dollar Strength:
1. The US dollar is historically overvalued (two standard deviations above the 50-year average), indicating limited room for further appreciation.
2. Structural issues, such as the US trade deficit (4.2% of GDP as of September 2024), could eventually pressure the dollar downward.
• Impacts of Dollar Strength:
1. Challenges for US-Based Investors: A strong dollar could reduce the performance of international companies and increase export costs.
2. Negative Effects on US Companies with Extensive International Operations: These businesses might suffer due to the dollar’s strength.
Assessing risks related to the dollar’s strength is essential for investors. While the dollar may continue to rise in the short term, structural factors and historical trends suggest significant downward pressure in the long term.
AUDUSD-Buy Opportunity 500 Pips ! Low RiskDear Traders,
price Move slowly around bottom of Descending channel,
i expect price will be bounce of to Target
1- Midline of Channel
2- Top of channel
Dont Miss opportunity :)
If you enjoyed this forecast, please show your support with a like and comment. Your feedback is what drives me to keep creating valuable content."
Regards,
Alireza!
AUD/USD📊 AUD/USD 4H Chart Update
The price is approaching a significant supply zone between 0.63356 and 0.63499, indicating a potential area for bearish reactions.
Key Scenarios:
🔸 Bullish Move: If the price breaches the supply zone, we could see further upside momentum.
🔸 Bearish Rejection: A strong rejection at this level might push the price lower toward the 0.62000 region.
Key Levels to Watch:
✅ Resistance: 0.63499
✅ Support: 0.62165
Where do you think AUD/USD is heading next? Let us know! 📉📈
AUDUSD - ANALYSISHello, everyone! I hope you're all doing well. Today, I want to share my personal view on the Australian Dollar (AUDUSD) with you.
Considering how the weekly candle closed and the daily candle closures, I expect the Australian Dollar to move upward.
My first target for this bullish move is 0.63368 .
Don’t forget, we have Australia’s inflation data coming out next week, which could impact the market! Stay tuned!
Trade safe
AUD USD Swing High Using basic swing market structure, expecting a bullish trend to indicated angles.
AUDUSD SHORTI believe the CPI data coming out will not be good news for the AUD. However we will have an initial shot to the bullish side followed by a move to the downside for the rest of the week. All my analysis shows that DXY is ready to pump back to that 111 range.
OPPORTUNITY TO BUY AUDUSDKey Indicators Supporting a Buy Opportunity:
• Support Levels: Aligned with Yearly, 6-Month, 3-Month, and 1-Month lows.
• Low Trading Volume: Suggests potential for continuation in the current direction.
• Historical Support: Echoes previous strong support observed in 2008 and 2020.
Defined Goals for the Trade:
TP 1 = 80 pips
TP 2 = 200 pips
TP 3 = 400 pips
Where is AUDUSD Headed Now - Fxdollars - {10/01/2025}Updating my previous Idea, Let's see how it goes.
Educational Analysis says AUDUSD may move UP or DOWN from this range, according to my technical.
Broker - FXCM
AUD & EURO are the two currencies that have been getting stronger against USD for months in this range, It finally did liquidity has taken out on buy-side orders to show a sign of a downtrend, and I am looking to counter-trend this position.
If this continues, AUDUSD will be around 0.35 from early 2027 to 2030.
Let's see what this pair brings to the table for us in the future.
Please check the comment section to see how this turned out.
DISCLAIMER:-
This is not an entry signal. THIS IS ONLY EDUCATIONAL PURPOSE ANALYSIS.
I have no concerns with your profit and loss from this analysis.
I HAVE NO CONCERNS WITH YOUR PROFIT OR LOSS,
Happy Trading, Fx Dollars.
AUDUSD Scenario 1.1.2025The trade is still going according to plan, I'm just not sure if we have the SFP confirmed or not, after the SFP is set below the low, we can consider a long position, I'm still out of the market for now.
USDAUD - Aussie to fall 30% against the DXYLet's look at some FX pairs
First up the Aussie
We have a #HVF
@TheCryptoSniper
Already Triggered to the upside approaching target 1 ..
The full Target 3 ... (linear Target) lines up with the high's of peak dollar strength at the turn of the millennium
AUDUSD Will Go Up From Support! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for AUDUSD.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 0.621.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 0.633 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Potential Counter Trend Trade for a possible longFX:AUDUSD has been on a steady drop looking at it on the monthly time frame. However it has come to a major Monthly support area and showing some significant slow down in momentum. It is very more than likely to see price bounce off that area and start a bullish move.
I will however wait for a break of an immediate structure on the H4 TF retest the area before taking a trade. I recommend proper risk management if considering this trade.
Past results does not guarantee future results
AUDUSD will head lowerAUD is weak but done intentionally by the RBA.
Canadian dollar and NZ dollar also moving lower while USD showing more strength against these currencies.
AUD is almost reached the lower bound
of its historical lows around 58 cents.
RBA will not raise rates until AUD makes
new lows (under 50 cents)
RBA is trying to create higher inflation in Australia by keeping the AUD weak.
Petrol is still cheap at about $2/litre.
Still cheaper than a coffee from cafe.
Still much cheaper than a bottle of water
or a can of coke.
Don't know why the news focuses on petrol prices when the reality is petrol in real terms is cheaper than in the 1980s.
AUDUSD Outlook: Reversal or Continuation?Hello,
AUDUSD has reached a new 1-year low at 0.61791, and for now, we could see an upward move towards 0.625159. If we encounter another rejection at this level, further downside could follow. However, if price breaks above and holds above this level, a potential reversal may be in play.
No Nonsense. Just Really Good Market Insights. Leave a Boost
TradeWithTheTrend3344
AUD/USD POSSIBLE LONG MOVE!
Certainly! Here's the analysis in English:
AUD/USD Long Trading Setup Analysis
Trade Entry:
The price of AUD/USD shows signs of stabilizing, as it has failed to break through lower levels. Recent price action suggests a potential rebound, making the long position an attractive option. The market has not yet broken any significant support levels, indicating that an upward movement is more likely than continued downward pressure.
Technical Analysis:
From a technical standpoint, the support level around the current price seems to be holding steady. The market has failed to break the bottom, suggesting a potential bounce from this level. This presents a good opportunity to enter a long position.
Risk-Reward Ratio:
This setup offers a good risk-reward ratio (R:R). For a successful trade, it's recommended to maintain a ratio of at least 1:2, meaning for every unit of risk, we aim for a minimum of two units of profit. This provides reasonable security with significant profit potential.
Stop Loss and Risk Management:
Remember to place a stop loss at a reasonable distance from the current price level to limit potential losses in case of unexpected market moves. The stop loss should be set at a level that indicates the market has reversed its direction, should a key support level be broken. Effective risk management is crucial for successful trades.
Conclusion:
Based on the current technical indicators and the stability of the support level, it seems that a long position is a favorable choice at this point. The risk-reward ratio is solid, and with proper risk management and following the strategy, there is potential for profit.
Good luck to all traders!
AUD/USD at Support into 2025 OpenAUD/USD is testing downtrend support here into the start of the month / year at the lower parallel. The focus is on possible inflection off the 2022 low / yearly open at 6170/88 over he next few days.
Bottom line: Rallies would need to be limited to 6348/62 IF price is heading lower here with a close below this pivot zone exposing the 61.8% extension of the 2021 high / 78.6% retracement of he 2020 advance at 6022/45.
Published a more in-depth review of this AUD/USD setup earlier today.
MB
AUDUSD BUYFundamentally, we should be seeing some buys kicking in for days from here, my top down analysis from monthly support to 1H support has confirmed that for me.
AUD_USD SWING LONG|
✅AUD_USD is set to retest a
Strong support level below at 0.6171
After trading in a local downtrend from some time
Which makes a bullish rebound a likely scenario
With the target being a local resistance above at 0.6224
LONG🚀
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AUDUSD : Nxt Move For This PairHello Traders, this is how I'm watching the FX:AUDUSD for some potential longing opportunities.
Structurally, the market has struggled to break the most recently created support at the 0.6207 region and we've seen bullish structure print, so 'd be going in for a short-term buy trade.
What do you think guys ?
