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U.S. Dollar / Australian Dollar

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USDAUD trade ideas

Smart Money Play with Extreme POI MitigationTimeframe: 4H Risk-Reward: 4.66R (~5R) Entry Type: Smart Money Concept (SMC) Supply & Demand In this trade, I took a buy position after identifying a bullish market structure on the 4-hour timeframe. I mapped out two Points of Interest (POIs): 1. A close POI – a nearer demand zone where I initially looked for a reaction. 2. An extreme POI – a deeper demand zone where price could mitigate before continuing bullish. Trade Progression: Initially, price tapped into the close POI but failed to hold, leading to liquidity sweep and stop-loss breach. Price then moved further down to my extreme POI, where it found strong support and reversed. A major news event on USD acted as a catalyst, driving price swiftly to my Take Profit (TP) level. Key Takeaways: ✔ Liquidity Grab: The stop hunt at the close POI cleared weak buyers before moving in the intended direction. ✔ Extreme POI Respect: Smart money often mitigates deeper institutional zones before continuing trend direction. ✔ News-Driven Volatility: The USD event accelerated price movement, hitting my TP faster than expected (~5R trade). This trade perfectly aligns with Smart Money Concepts (SMC) and liquidity dynamics, reinforcing the importance of patience and POI selection. What’s your outlook on AUD/USD for the coming sessions? Share your thoughts below! #AUDUSD #SMC #ForexTrading #Liquidity #POI #PriceAction #SmartMoney
Long
by clever_jeph
AUDUSD InsightHello, subscribers! Please share your personal opinions in the comments. Don't forget to like and subscribe! Key Points - The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) kept its benchmark interest rate at 4.10%, citing uncertainties in leading economic indicators, including the impact of President Trump’s tariff policies. Markets expect the RBA to cut rates in May. - The Washington Post reported that White House staff have drafted a proposal to impose a 20% tariff on most U.S. imports. - European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen stated that the European Union has the power to negotiate with the U.S. and to retaliate if necessary. - The March ISM Manufacturing PMI came in at 49.0, indicating that the U.S. manufacturing sector has entered a contraction phase. Meanwhile, the February JOLTS Job Openings report showed 7.57 million job openings, missing market expectations, suggesting a gradual slowdown in the labor market. These two indicators hint at the formation of stagflation in the U.S. economy. Key Economic Events This Week + April 2: U.S. March ADP Nonfarm Employment Change + April 4: U.S. March Nonfarm Payrolls, March Unemployment Rate, Fed Chair Powell’s Speech AUDUSD Chart Analysis With the market frozen ahead of Trump's reciprocal tariffs, AUDUSD remains largely range-bound. Technically, a short-term rise to 0.63500 is likely, followed by a decline toward 0.60000. However, given potential variables, a breakout above 0.63500 is possible, which could extend gains toward 0.66000.
Long
by shawntime_academy
AUDUSD | APRIL 2025 FORECAST| This Next Move will be Massive!AUD/USD is shaping up for a critical month, with price action hovering around a key support zone near . The pair has been reacting to , influencing both bullish and bearish momentum. 🔹 Trend Analysis: The pair remains in a on the higher timeframe, with acting as dynamic support/resistance. 🔹 Key Levels: Support at , resistance at . 🔹 Momentum & Structure: A break above could trigger bullish continuation, while failure to hold may lead to a deeper retracement. With fundamentals aligning with technicals, this month could present solid trading opportunities. Will AUD/USD push higher, or are we in for a reversal? Drop your thoughts below! 🚀📊 #AUDUSD
by TLTurnerTV
AUD/USD - Confirmed Strong Bullish TrendHi all, Been having a very solid week and thank you all for the Support. Currently we have had a lovely push off this Support pushing into the 4th wave of Elliot's Wave. On higher TF price is displaying that all corresponding time frames have swept sell side Liquidity meaning we are bullish and looking to stay bullish.. With this amount of volume in todays market I would expect there to be alot of volatility over the next 24 hours and within that time I will be looking for a strong pull back towards the Support/Resistance area. Targets are Buy side Liquidity Good luck to all the traders that decide to follow
Long
by jamesibartram
No Rate Hike, No Mercy – AUD/USD Selling in Style!Riding the wave of bearish structure, AUD/USD continues to follow the macro trend with laser precision. After the RBA held rates steady, we’re seeing the typical post-news dump play out—fueled by the market’s disappointment and reduced sentiment. Technically, price respected the 4H Fair Value Gap (FVG) and showed strong displacement to the downside, confirming continuation. Key Targets: 🔻 0.62311 – Minor liquidity 🔻 0.62185 – 1H Sell-side liquidity 🔻 0.61703 – Ultimate short-term sell-side target Expecting the market to bleed lower unless major fundamentals flip the bias. Until then... the trend is your bestie. DYOR 🧠📉
Short
by INSIDER_INTEL
DeGRAM | AUDUSD growth in the channelAUDUSD is in an ascending channel between the trend lines. The price is moving from the support level, which has already acted as a rebound point, as well as from the lower boundary of the channel and the trend line. The chart maintains the local upward structure and has formed a harmonic pattern. On the 1H Timeframe, the indicators indicate that the chart is working out the formed bullish convergence. We expect the growth to continue in the channel. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
7
AUD/USD (1H) Analysis & Key Levels📊 AUD/USD (1H) Analysis & Key Levels 🔵 Current Price: 0.62900 🟢 Demand Zone (Support): 0.6250 - 0.6275 🔴 Resistance Levels: 0.63060 (Breakout level) 0.63628 (Major resistance/target) 🔍 Possible Scenarios: 1️⃣ Bullish Case: If price breaks and retests 0.63060, it could push towards 0.63628 as the next resistance. 2️⃣ Bearish Case: If price fails to break above 0.63060, it may retrace back to the demand zone (0.6250 - 0.6275) for another attempt. 💡 Trading Plan: ✅ Look for bullish confirmations at 0.63060 for a long position. ✅ Watch for rejection at resistance for potential pullbacks. ✅ A strong rejection at 0.63628 could signal a reversal. #FxFOREVER #FXF #AUDUSD #Priceaction
Long
by FXFOREVER_87
WHY AUDUSD IS BEARISH ?? DETAILED ANALYSIS AUD/USD is currently trading at approximately 0.6290 and is forming a bearish flag pattern—a technical indicator suggesting potential continuation of the prevailing downtrend. This pattern typically emerges after a sharp decline, followed by a brief consolidation phase resembling an upward-sloping channel or flag. A decisive break below the flag's support often signals the resumption of bearish momentum, potentially leading to a significant price drop. Fundamental factors are reinforcing this bearish outlook. Australia's employment data for February 2025 revealed an unexpected decline of 53,000 jobs, contrary to forecasts predicting an increase of 30,000 positions. Despite this, the unemployment rate remained steady at 4.1%. This unexpected contraction in employment could prompt the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to consider interest rate cuts in upcoming meetings to stimulate economic activity. Additionally, escalating global trade tensions, particularly due to increased U.S. tariffs under the new administration, are contributing to economic uncertainty. These developments have led to downgraded growth forecasts by organizations like the OECD and Fitch Ratings, further weighing on the Australian dollar. Given these technical and fundamental factors, the AUD/USD pair appears poised for a bearish breakout from the flag pattern. Traders should monitor key support levels, such as the March low of 0.6186 and the 2025 trough at 0.6087. A sustained break below these levels could pave the way toward the psychologically significant 0.6000 mark, aligning with the anticipated 200-pip decline. In this context, adopting a short position on AUD/USD may be advantageous. However, it's crucial to implement robust risk management strategies, including setting appropriate stop-loss orders, to mitigate potential market volatility.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
4
AUD/USD at a Crossroads: The Battle of Breakouts and SupportsTrade frictions remain a headwind in the market. US trade measures have triggered concerns, and the Australian economy, which is dependent on exports to China, may be impacted. Meanwhile, inflation triggered by tariffs conflicts with concerns about a slowdown in the US economy. The Federal Reserve has maintained the interest rate unchanged and adjusted its economic forecasts. The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) cut interest rates in February, and future actions will depend on inflation data. Employment positions decreased in February while the unemployment rate remained stable. The upcoming release of the monthly CPI indicator for February is of great concern. The net short - positions of the Australian dollar have increased, and market sentiment is bearish. Technically, if the AUD/USD breaks through key levels, there is upward potential. If the bears dominate, there are multiple support levels. Momentum indicators show mixed performance. AUDUSD sell@0.63500-0.63000 tp:0.62500-0.62000 I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate for a whole month in a row. If you also need them, please click on the link below the article to obtain them.
Short
by JohnGonzalez7
1
AUD/USD Bullish Breakout Setup – Key Levels & Trade PlanThe 4H timeframe shows AUD/USD trading within an ascending triangle, indicating a potential bullish breakout. The price is respecting the rising trendline, showing strong demand at support levels. Key resistance at 0.6402 is a crucial breakout level for further bullish momentum. Trade Setup & Levels: Entry Zone: Above 0.6320 (trendline support) Target 1 (TP1): 0.6402 (previous high & resistance) Target 2 (TP2): 0.6686 (Fibonacci 70% extension) Stop Loss (SL): Below 0.6195 (structure support) Bullish Confirmation Factors: ✅ Breakout above key resistance will confirm a bullish rally. ✅ Trendline support holding strong, preventing deeper pullbacks. ✅ Higher lows formation, signaling continued upward pressure. Conclusion: A breakout above 0.6402 will confirm further upside potential. If the price sustains above this level, we expect a move toward 0.6686, aligning with Fibonacci confluence and historical resistance. 🚀
Long
by ultreosforex
AUD/USD BUY zone @0.63000 H4 chart analysisHere’s a structured signal you can share with your client: AUD/USD Trade Setup Entry: 0.63000 Stop Loss: 0.62363 Target 1: 0.64000 Target 2: 0.65117 Analysis: Price is respecting the ascending channel, with support holding strong around the lower trendline. A bullish breakout is expected. Manage risk accordingly. Based on the provided chart, here are the key support and resistance levels: Resistance Levels 0.65117 (Major resistance / Upper channel boundary) 0.64000 (Key resistance / Previous swing high) 0.63500 (Intermediate resistance / Recent rejection zone) 0.63137 (Current price resistance) Support Levels 0.63000 (Entry point / Minor support) 0.62363 (Stop loss zone / Strong support) 0.62000 (Previous low support) 0.61000 (Major support / Channel bottom boundary) These levels align with the trend structure, respecting previous price actions and key zones. Let me know if you’d like further analysis or trade insights.
Long
by JAMES_GOLD_MASTER_MQL5