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USDAUD trade ideas

AUD/USD Sell SetupOANDA:AUDUSD Timeframe: m30 Entry: 0.66151 SL: 0.66266 TP1: 0.66033 TP2: 0.65914 TP4: 0.65681 📊 Setup Rationale 🔺 Channel Top Rejection (8H Overlay) Price has touched the upper boundary of a descending channel visible on the 8-hour chart. This zone has historically acted as a strong resistance, increasing the probability of a reversal. 🧱 Local Structure (30min) Entry aligns with a minor double top (in lower TFs) and bearish momentum. The tight SL allows for a high R:R profile. 🔄 Momentum Shift Watch for bearish engulfing or rejection wick on lower timeframes to confirm entry. #MJTrading #Forex #AUDUSD #Sell Psychology always matters:
Short
by MJElahifx
2
AUDUSD Will Go Lower! Sell! Please, check our technical outlook for AUDUSD. Time Frame: 9h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is approaching a significant resistance area 0.645. Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 0.637 level. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
2
AUDUSD BUYThe AUD/USD pair is trading around 0.6520 on Tuesday. The daily chart’s technical analysis indicates a prevailing bullish bias as the pair remains within the ascending channel pattern. However, the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) has moved below the 50 mark, indicating that a bearish bias is active. Additionally, the pair is positioned below the nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), indicating that short-term price momentum is weaker. The US and EU reached a framework trade agreement on Sunday that sets 15% tariffs on most European goods, taking effect on August 1. This deal has ended a months-long stand-off, per Bloomberg. Traders keep their eyes on further developments in the US-China trade talks. The discussions are set to resume on Tuesday after top economic officials from both nations held over five hours of negotiations in Stockholm on Monday. The purpose of this meeting is to resolve ongoing disputes and extend their trade truce by another three months. US Treasury Chief Scott Bessent met with China’s Vice Premier He Lifeng at Sweden’s Rosenbad government offices. The meeting comes ahead of an August 12 deadline to finalize a long-term tariff agreement with the Trump administration, building on preliminary deals reached in May and June that had helped ease tensions. The US Federal Reserve (Fed) is widely expected to keep the benchmark interest rate steady between 4.25% and 4.50% at its July meeting. The FOMC press conference will be observed for any signs that rate cuts may start in September. The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is expected to closely watch the June labor force data and second-quarter inflation figures before deciding on a potential rate cut. Both the monthly and quarterly CPI reports are scheduled for release later this week. SUPPORT 0.65593 SUPPORT 0.65424 SUPPORT 0.65593 RESISTSNCE 0.65050 RESISTANCE 0.64973
Short
by Mark804
1
AUDUSD My Opinion! BUY! My dear subscribers, AUDUSD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details: The market is trading on 0.6455 pivot level. Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation. Target - 0.6512 About Used Indicators: The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
1
AUDUSD H4| Bearish reversal off 38.2% Fibonacci resistanceAussie (AUD/USD) is rising towards the sell entry, which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse to the take profit. Buy entry is at 0.6541, which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss is at 0.6580, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit is at 0.6467, which is a swing low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by Tradu
AUDUSD looks promising for a continuationThis pair presents a potential trade opportunity in the form of a short continuation. The price did reach a significant Area of Interest (AoI) in form of an expanding 3-touch structure before turning around. Price did close outside the structure on the H4 with a candlestick reversal pattern and printed a bearish high-test candle on the daily timeframe. This clearly shows a shift in momentum and I am now waiting for a lower time frame (LTF) continuation pattern to confirm the direction and a valid candlestick pattern for entry. 📈 Simplified Trading Rules: > Follow a Valid Sequence > Wait for Continuation > Confirm Entry (valid candlestick pattern) > Know When to Exit (SL placement) Remember, technical analysis is subjective; develop your own approach. I use this format primarily to hold myself accountable and to share my personal market views. ⚠ Ensure you have your own risk management in place and always stick to your trading plan.
Short
by kalganid
Australian dollar down, eyes US GDP, Australian CPIThe Australian dollar is down for a third straight trading day. In the North American session, the US dollar has posted gains against most of the major currencies, including the Aussie. The greenback received a boost after the US and the EU reached a framework trade agreement after protracted negotiations. The data calendar is bare on Monday, with no events out of the US or Australia. Things get very busy on Wednesday, with Australian inflation, US GDP and the Federal Reserve rate decision. Even with no US releases, the US dollar has posted gains against most of the major currencies, including the Aussie. The greenback received a boost after the US and the EU reached a framework trade agreement after protracted negotiations. President Trump had threatened to impose 30% tariffs on European goods if a deal was not reached by Aug. 1. With the deal, a nasty trade war between the world's two largest economies has been avoided and the US will tariff most EU products at 15%. The deal with the EU comes on the heels of a similar agreement with Japan, bringing a sigh of relief from the financial markets that have been worried about the economic fallout from Trump's tariff policy. The agreements remove a great deal of uncertainty and investors are hopeful that the US and Chinese negotiators will wrap up their talks with an agreement in hand. The Federal Reserve meets on Wednesday and is virtually certain to maintain interest rates for a fifth straight meeting. It will be interesting to see if President Trump, who has been sharply critical of Fed policy, reacts to the decision. The money markets are expecting at least one cut before the end of the year, with the money markets pricing in a 61% likelihood a cut in September, according to FedWatch's CME.
by OANDA
Australian inflation lower than forecast, Fed up nextThe Australian dollar is showing limited movement. In the European session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6500, down 0.15% on the day. Australia's inflation rate for the second quarter came in lower than expected. Headline CPI dropped to 2.1% y/y, down from 2.4% in the prior two quarters and falling to its lowest level since Q1 2021. This was just below the market estimate of 2.2%. Quarterly, CPI rose 0.7% in Q2, down from 0.9% in Q1 and below the market estimate of 0.8%. Services inflation continued to decline and fell to 3.3% from 3.7%. The drop in CPI was driven by a sharp drop in automotive fuel costs. The RBA's key gauge for core CPI, the trimmed mean, slowed to 2.7% from 2.9%, matching the market forecast. This was the lowest level since Q4 2021. The positive inflation report is a reassuring sign that inflation is under control and should cement a rate cut at the Aug. 12 meeting. The Reserve Bank of Australia stunned the markets earlier this month when it held rates, as a quarter-point cut had been all but certain. Bank policymakers said at that meeting that they wanted to wait for more inflation data to make sure that inflation was contained and today's inflation report should reassure even the hawkish members that a rate cut is the right move at the August meeting. The Federal Reserve meets today and is widely expected to maintain the benchmark rate for a fifth straight meeting. Investors will be looking for clues regarding the September meeting, as the markets have priced in a rate cut at 63%, according to CME's FedWatch.
by OANDA
AUDUSD 4Hour TF - July 27th, 2025AUDUSD 7/27/2025 AUDUSD 4hour Bullish idea Monthly - Bearish Weekly - Bearish Dailly - Bullish 4hour - Bullish AUDUSD is holding steady in this weekly channel but has been showing signs of high volume ranging over the last month. Going into this week we’re looking mostly bullish but we have some minor zones that could slow price action down. Here are two scenarios we are looking out for, for the week ahead: Bullish Continuation - This is our ideal scenario as we want the trend to continue so we can have the best quality trade. For us to get comfortable going long AU we need to see structure above our 0.65800 zone. We want to see price action use this zone as support and establish structure (the next higher low). If this happens we can look to target higher toward major resistance levels and key fib levels. Bearish Reversal into range - If we fail to see bullish conviction at the current zone it’s possible price action will fall back into the range. This is a likely scenario as we have seen price action bounce between 0.65800 and 0.65000 multiple times over the last month. I wouldn’t recommend trading this scenario as I don’t like trading ranges but we could see price action head lower to 0.65000.
Long
by ForexLeague
AUDUSD InsightHello to all subscribers. Please share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to like and subscribe! Key Points - According to the U.S. June Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS), the seasonally adjusted number of job openings was 7.437 million, a decrease of 275,000 from the previous month, falling short of the market expectation of 7.55 million. - During high-level talks between the U.S. and China held in Stockholm, Sweden, both sides reportedly agreed to extend the tariff suspension measure for an additional 90 days. - While the Federal Reserve is expected to hold rates steady in the July FOMC meeting, there is growing anticipation for a dovish stance suggesting a possible rate cut in September. This Week's Major Economic Events + July 30: Germany Q2 GDP, U.S. ADP Nonfarm Employment Change (July), U.S. Q2 GDP, Bank of Canada rate decision, FOMC meeting results announcement + July 31: Bank of Japan rate decision, Germany July Consumer Price Index (CPI), U.S. June Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index + August 1: Eurozone July CPI, U.S. July Nonfarm Payrolls, U.S. July Unemployment Rate AUDUSD Chart Analysis The pair recently climbed above the 0.66000 level but has since reversed, giving back gains. However, both higher highs and higher lows are being established, suggesting the current pullback is part of a gradual uptrend. A continued bullish outlook is expected over the long term, with a projected high around the 0.69000 level.
Long
by shawntime_academy
AUDUSD Still early days 20% in me: Unless strong bullish fundamentals present themselves or the big boys with the big bucks drive a bullish push anywhere from 0.65784 or resistance, I would be looking to sell. Buy outside the resistance box TP:0.66600 new immediate high? Please also consider price action as there are 2 previous rejections in the 0.65784 price area. 80% in me: -Australia is heavily tied to China via exports RBA rate cuts? Falling iron ore prices... -Perfect price action channel trade. SELL at resistance BUY at support. Bullish long term, bearish short term. -fib 0.382 downward continuation and close below 0.65784 -Looking for a break below the upward sloping trendline HARD sell -safer option: wait for a 0.65780 retest, below the upward sloping trendline sells and make bank. TP: 0.6500 THOUGHTS?
Short
by Mmoremi
AUD/USD: Rising Wedge Breakdown Signals Bearish ShiftAUD/USD has broken down from a rising wedge formation after rejecting near the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement at 0.6558. This pattern, typically bearish, suggests the recent uptrend is losing steam — a view reinforced by Friday’s strong bearish candle closing below both the wedge support and the 50-day SMA (0.6510). The price action now sits just above the 200-day SMA (0.6397), a level that could act as a short-term buffer. If this moving average gives way, focus shifts to the prior horizontal support at 0.6170. Meanwhile, upside attempts may find resistance at the broken wedge support and Fib zone near 0.6550. Momentum indicators support the bearish case: MACD is flat but biased lower, hovering near the zero line. RSI has dipped below 50 (currently ~47.7), indicating weakening bullish momentum. Unless AUD/USD quickly reclaims 0.6550, the path appears tilted toward further losses, potentially targeting the 0.63–0.62 zone. Bias: Bearish breakdown with downside pressure while below 0.6550. Watch 0.6397 and 0.6170 as key support levels. -MW
by FOREXcom