AUD/USD: A Temporary Rally Before Further Decline!Weak business activity data from China has put additional pressure on the Australian dollar. Last week's rise above 0.6300 was temporary, driven more by U.S. dollar weakness than by positive domestic factors.
In our previous analysis, we noted a short-term rally after breaking the trendline, but this move has proven to be temporary, as weakness in the Australian dollar persists. On the daily timeframe, a deeper decline is likely if the 0.63 support level breaks, increasing the chances of a drop toward 0.60.
USDAUD trade ideas
AUD/USD 4H - Bullish MSSHi all.. thanks all for the huge support following recently!
Here is my breakdown for AUD/USD from a 4H perspective..
Firstly the easy thing to notice is the 4H breakout from the Trend line. This large Bullish movement created a MSS. We then have had a very clean buying level left behind from that mitigation block before the breakout.
As you can notice the most recent supply zone is what kept the price down although we did see a lot of consolidation forming on that supply in my eyes telling me that structure level isnt going to hold another push.
The current price is at a very strong OTE zone which is another confluence to buy from. We also recently took out the most recent protected high so we very well could see a large movement from market open and if that is the case Id potentially be looking to buy straight into the next pullback.
For a strong buy setup, look for positions above the Monthly High Strong Time Frame.
Im targeting Buy side Imbalance giving us two clear targets.
Good luck to the traders that follow this setup.
Sideways Action in AUD/USD with Bearish Bias Amid RBA Rate Cut AUD/USD is expected to trade sideways in the near term, with a bearish bias overall. The market remains range-bound, and any rallies should be sold at resistance levels, as the broader trend is down. The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is anticipated to cut rates, which could put additional pressure on the Aussie, reinforcing the overall negative outlook for the pair. Watch for confirmation at key levels before entering trades, with the focus on selling at resistance.
AUD/USD - Crucial Support @ 0.62000 to 0.61700Dear Friends,
How I see it:
If support area holds, pair can potentially rally to 0.64000 -
in the near term.
It will also confirm the main swing support for the pair.
Up to 0.68000 in the long run.
I have indicated my buy zone, please see how price react first.
Keynotes:
1) If a 4HR candle body closes below 0.61600, I will not enter on that day.
2) To avoid confusion, price may test 0.61700 hard, but if the day candle
pulls back and still closes above 0.62000, we'll be golden.
I'm only creating a perfect scenario for an explanatory reason.
I am confident that you know we are NOT trading in a perfect market,
in la la land!
Thank you for taking the time to study my analysis.
AUDUSD Breakout And Potential RetraceHey Traders, in the coming week we are monitoring AUDUSD for a buying opportunity around 0.61600 zone, AUDUSD was trading in a downtrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 0.61600 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
AUDUSD buying Trading IdeaHello Traders
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Is There a Comeback for the AUD/USD Pair?Recently, the Australian dollar declined against the U.S. dollar to 0.6311, marking its lowest level since March 2020.
One of the main reasons behind this decline was the strength of the U.S. dollar, which has lost its upward momentum recently, increasing the chances of a rebound in the AUD/USD pair.
The recent positive rebound of the AUD/USD pair has broken the last lower high, which is considered a bullish signal and a shift in trend from bearish to bullish.
The current decline is seen as a correction, and based on the Fibonacci retracement tool, the 0.61742 level supports the possibility of another upward move, with a short-term target at 0.6282.
However, if the price falls below 0.61311 and records a daily close beneath this level, the bullish scenario will be invalidated, and the bearish outlook will regain control over the AUD/USD pair.
Fed messaging leaves something for everyone | FX ResearchThe FED decision has come and gone, and in the end, no major surprises. As expected, the central bank left rates on hold, with most of the market reaction coming from the Fed chair presser.
Jerome Powell gave something to everyone, leaving the net results rather balanced. On one side, he said the central bank was in no rush to cut rates, fueling hawkish sentiment and US dollar buying. On the other, he noted that rates remained meaningfully above the neutral rate, suggesting more rate cuts could be in the pipeline, leading to some offsetting dollar selling.
On politics, Powell, as expected, avoided commenting on the new administration’s policies, deferring instead to a wait-and-see approach and data dependency.
The market appears to be giving a slight edge to the doves, reflected in the overall risk-on reaction and higher US equities.
Earlier today in Australia, NAB adjusted its call for the RBA to cut rates in February instead of March, citing softer inflation data. In New Zealand, business confidence slumped.
Key events ahead on Thursday’s calendar include German import prices, German GDP, BoE consumer credit, UK mortgage approvals, Eurozone GDP, Eurozone unemployment, Eurozone sentiment data, the ECB policy decision, US GDP, initial jobless claims, and pending home sales.
Exclusive FX research from LMAX Group Market Strategist, Joel Kruger
Ghost's AUD/USD LTF Setup [LONG]Trump is signing executive orders in 3 hours, price has been very choppy today and looks at face value like it's about to mirror the move down back up, however, the risk of trump mentioning or doing anything with Tariffs is high and for that reason I think it's possible the liquidity below around .621 may get manipulated before the move up.
AUDUSD - 4H Why we need to Buy?!The FX:AUDUSD has shown strong bullish momentum after hunting liquidity below the 2022 low on the daily and weekly timeframes.
✅ Breakout & Retest: The pair successfully broke the descending channel's resistance and is now pulling back to the breakout zone, confirming its strength.
✅ Higher High Formation: A higher high structure supports the bullish bias, indicating potential continuation towards previous highs and beyond.
📌 I expect another bullish push from this key support zone.
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