Bearish drop for the Aussie?The price is reacting off the resistace level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and the 138.2% Fibonacci extension and could potentially drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6457
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and the 132.6% Fibonacci extension.
Stop loss: 0.6469
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 0.6418
Why we lik eit:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
USDAUD trade ideas
AUD/USD Analysis TodayAustralia's Unemployment Rate Remained Stable in April 📊
May 15 — Data released by the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) showed that after seasonal adjustment, Australia's unemployment rate stayed steady at 4.1% in April 2025 👏. The trend-based unemployment rate also held firm at 4.1%, matching the adjusted figure from March 📈.
Meanwhile, the AUD/USD is currently showing a strong upward trend 🔥, with continued bullish sentiment and a target price of 0.64800 🎯
⚡️⚡️⚡️ AUDUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Buy@ 0.64400 - 0.64500
🚀 TP 0.64750 - 0.64800
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
AUD/USD gearing up for a breakout ahead of RBAThe AUD/USD has been coiling in the last few weeks after making a v-shaped recovery following the tariffs announcement plunge. Is it now ready to finally resume higher?
From a purely technical point of view, the price action looks bullish as it the consolidation below the 200-day moving average and key resistance in the 0.6500 handle suggests price is gearing up for a potentially big breakout. The only issue is that the AUD usually falls when stocks decline, and it is for that reason that we are seeing a bit of hesitation by the by the bulls here.
The other reason could be because of the upcoming rate decision by the Reserve Bank of Australia in the early hours of Tuesday.
Ahead of the RBA rate decision, strong Aussie April job data last week added complexity to the policy outlook with the economy adding 89,000 jobs—well above forecasts—while the unemployment rate held at 4.1%. Despite this, analysts still anticipate another rate cut, following February’s 25 basis point reduction. With inflation stuck at 2.4%, just above the RBA’s 2% target, the bank faces a tricky balancing act.
Meanwhile, the US dollar weakened in early trading after Moody’s downgraded the US credit rating from Aaa to Aa1, reigniting concerns about the country's fiscal stability. The downgrade triggered a market reaction: haven assets rallied, long-term Treasury yields surged past 5%, and equity futures slipped. Interestingly, the AUD/USD rose despite higher US yields, as investors focused more on the growing risks around America’s ballooning debt. Moody’s projects US deficits could reach nearly 9% of GDP by 2035, driven by rising interest payments, entitlement costs, and stagnant revenue—factors compounded by political uncertainty and proposed unfunded tax cuts.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
AUDUSD Is Very Bullish! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for AUDUSD.
Time Frame: 30m
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 0.640.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 0.641 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Aussie H4 | Potential bullish bounceThe Aussie (AUD/USD) is falling towards a multi-swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 0.6394 which is a multi-swing-low support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 0.63330 which is a level that lies underneath a multi-swing-low support.
Take profit is at 0.6521 which is a swing-high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
AUD/USD Setup – Demand Zone Respect & USD WeaknessPrice continues to hold a clean range above a demand zone that previously triggered aggressive buying.
With USD showing broad weakness across the board (DXY strongly bearish), this setup becomes even more attractive.
🔹 Clear structure of accumulation
🔹 Buyers defending the zone on multiple touches
🔹 Clean RRR and upside potential aligned with macro sentiment
🔹 Ideal conditions for a bullish continuation move
This type of setup reflects a disciplined, smart money approach — no need to rush, no need to chase.
#audusd #forexsetup #smartmoneytrader #priceaction #demandzone #forexcommunity #tradingview #liquidityzone #telegramsignals #swingtrading
Tapped In & Tapped Out – Smart Money’s About to Dump AUDUSDAUDUSD has just executed a classic liquidity raid, sweeping a short-term high into a high-probability 1H Order Block (OB) — which also aligns with the continuation move that broke prior structure to the downside.
This OB sits directly above equal highs that served as a clear magnet for buy-side liquidity — a textbook inducement for retail breakout traders. Smart money logic suggests these stops were used to fill sell orders.
Notably, there’s a Fair Value Gap (FVG) resting just below, which increases the probability of a displacement move to the downside. We now expect price to deliver into the Sellside Liquidity (4H) resting beneath the equal lows, a highly attractive draw on liquidity from an institutional perspective.
Key Confluences
✅ 1H OB tapped with precision
✅ Buy-side liquidity swept via equal highs
✅ Clear FVG imbalance below
✅ Sellside liquidity target aligned with equal lows
✅ Weekly bias still leans bearish
This is a high-probability setup when following ICT/SMC principles — refined entry, defined target, clean structure.
🔍 Watch for:
A clean bearish displacement from current levels
Potential lower timeframe confirmations (BOS/CHoCH) for tighter risk entries
📌 Target: 0.64071
🧠 Bias: Bearish
⚠️ As always — DYOR (Do Your Own Research). Institutional concepts work best with context and personal backtesting.
Week of 6/1/25: AU AnalysisA lot of consolidation from the prior week, all time frames are technically bullish and internal 1h structure is bullish. I am going to be cautious around the current level until there is a prime entry model to get in long.
Major news:
PMI - Monday
PMI/ADP NFP - Wed
Unemployment Claims - Thurs
NFP/Unemployment rate - Friday
AUDUSD: weekly analysis Jun 1, 2025 – Jun 7, 2025Trump administration makes traders follow trades every single political news. Unpredictable about everything, if I want to describe the U.S president in one phrase. one day he decides to reduce tariffs, the other day he increases. One day wishes a good future for Iran, the other day he threatens Islamic republic with bombing. The same story with Russia, China and everything expects the Crypto. Okay let's get back to Aussie! any good news about China-Australia relations will increase the AUD.
The other important news this week is quarter to quarter GDP of the land of kangaroos.
After all, taking a look at weekly chart! A bullish week is more possible
*******************************************************************
The indicated levels are determined based on the most reaction points and the assumption of approximately equal distance between the zones.
Some of these points can also be confirmed by the mathematical intervals of Murray.
You can enter with/without confirmation. IF you want to take confirmation you can use LTF analysis, Spike move confirmation, Trend Strength confirmation and ETC.
SL could be placed below the zone or regarding the LTF swings.
TP is the next zone or the nearest moving S&R, which are median and borders of the drawn channels.
*******************************************************************
Role of different zones:
GREEN: Just long trades allowed on them.
RED: Just Short trades allowed on them.
BLUE: both long and short trades allowed on them.
WHITE: No trades allowed on them! just use them as TP points
Australian Dollar Consolidation Which Way From Here?Hey traders so today we are going to look at the Austrailian Dollar which is now in chart pattern called a Symetrical Triangle.
So how do we know which way to trade the market right now?
We don't so why guess when instead we can wait for the market to confirm which way it wants to go.
These are normally known as a consolidation patterns, and normally they can break out in the direction of the prevailing trend which appears to be bullish. However they can also break against the trend so the best way to trade it is watch which side it breaks then place an order to enter on the side that market breaks out of. The the other side can then become your stop loss because most likely the market won't go to the other side.
For profit target you can measure the distance of the triangle from top to bottom so in this example 183 pips or ticks.
Always use Risk Management! (just in case your wrong in your analysis)
Hope This Helps Your Trading
Clifford
Trading AUDUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 26-28/05/2025Incase you're new to the Judas Swing Strategy and want to know what the strategy is about, it is a classic price manipulation concept where the market fakes a move in one direction (the “Judas” move), only to reverse and trend in the opposite direction. It’s common during 00:00 - 08:30 EST openings, often used by smart money to trap retail traders. It’s especially powerful when paired with liquidity grabs above/below key highs or lows, followed by a reversal into a FVG confirmation
On Monday, we identified a clean Judas Swing setup. Price spiked below previous lows, giving us a bias to look for potential buying setups after what looked like a classic liquidity grab. We got a break of structure and a reversal into the FVG created.
However, after entry, price failed to reject meaningfully and instead continued lower only after taking out the low, hitting our stop loss before any major move up. We lost 1% on this trade and the lesson all traders need to learn here is that even valid setups will fail and you'll lose money at some point when trading.
Fast forward to Wednesday
We saw a similar manipulation as price spiked below recent Judas swing zones during NY session, grabbing sell-side liquidity before reversing sharply. We waited for confirmation a strong bullish engulfing and break of minor structure. Entry was taken long, with stop loss 10 pips below the liquidity grab and target at previous structure highs.
The trade ran smoothly into profit, validating the setup and recovering the week's earlier loss.
Trade Outcome: Win
Risk-Reward: Clean 1:2
Notes traders need to take from this trade:
- Perfect Judas Swing after liquidity sweep
- Patience for confirmation paid off
- Structure shift confirmed smart money reversal
AUD/USD - Two possible Scenarios lining upPrice is trapped in a tight range between two daily supply zones, coiling for a strong move. Here are your two potential trade options:
✅ Bullish Scenario
If price breaks above the upper daily supply zone with strong momentum:
Entry: On breakout & retest above supply zone
Confluence: Channel breakout + MACD shift to bullish + reclaim of 200 EMA
Target: Move toward higher daily supply zone near previous highs
Confirmation: Strong bullish candle close above structure
❌ Bearish Scenario
If price rejects the upper supply and breaks the trendline support:
Entry: Break and retest of ascending trendline + daily demand zone flip
Confluence: MACD bearish crossover + clean rejection from upper supply
Target: Drop toward lower demand zone in the $0.63–0.64 range
Confirmation: Rejection from resistance + break below trendline and demand
AUDUSD consolidation phase bullish from supportOANDA:AUDUSD Analysis 🦘💵 | 4H Timeframe
Pair is currently consolidating, creating a solid base around 0.63400 – key support level holding strong. Entered long from support, targeting 0.65400 resistance zone.
📈 Trend bias: Bullish
🟢 Entry: 0.63400 (Support zone)
🎯 Target: 0.65400 (Key resistance)
🔐 Invalidation: Break and close below 0.63000
Also keeping eyes on the bullish Order Block at 0.59500 on higher timeframe – strong liquidity area if price revisits.
Let the market breathe, plan your trade, and trade your plan. Patience pays 💅
— Livia 😜📊
#Forex #PriceAction #AUDUSD #TradeSetup #SmartMoney #FXQueen
Aussie: Dependent to ChinaHello Traders, any problems between US and China regarding the tariffs means weaker Aussie,
Zones for this pair are near together, so use smaller patterns for you confirmation.
The indicated levels are determined based on the most reaction points and the assumption of approximately equal distance between the zones.
Some of these points can also be confirmed by the mathematical intervals of Murray.
You can enter with/without confirmation. IF you want to take confirmation you can use LTF analysis, Spike move confirmation, Trend Strength confrimation and ETC.
SL could be placed below the zone or regarding the LTF swings.
TP is the next zone or the nearest moving S&R, which are median and borders of the drawn channels.
*******************************************************************
Role of different zones:
GREEN: Just long trades allowed on them.
RED: Just Short trades allowed on them.
BLUE: both long and short trades allowed on them.
WHITE: No trades allowed on them! just use them as TP points
AUD/USD: Bullish Reversal Expected From 0.6430 Support The AUD/USD 15-minute chart reveals a potential bullish reversal setup forming near the 0.6430 support zone. Following a clean Break of Structure and prior Inducement, price action is now testing a minor demand zone marked by a blue box. This level coincides with a sweep of short-term lows and rejection from the lower boundary, indicating a possible accumulation phase. The descending trendline has already been breached, suggesting weakening bearish momentum.
Traders may look for a long entry around 0.6430–0.6435, targeting the key resistance level at 0.6466, which aligns with a previous supply area and structural high. This level also represents the most immediate liquidity zone and offers a favorable risk-reward ratio. Confirmation may come through bullish candlestick patterns or lower timeframe breakouts above minor internal highs.
The overall setup reflects smart money concepts, where price typically returns to a mitigation block before continuing in the direction of the dominant trend. As long as the 0.6415 valid low holds, bullish continuation remains the preferred scenario. A break below that level would invalidate the setup and shift bias bearish.
This analysis is ideal for intraday traders looking to capitalize on a high-probability reversal with defined entry and target levels.
AUD/USD - Bullish outlook with smaller sell side movement📈 AUD/USD – Daily Time Frame Bullish Outlook
We’re currently in a clear impulsive wave structure with Elliott Wave (1)-(5) unfolding within a rising wedge formation — signaling potential strength but also the need for confirmation at key resistance levels.
🔹 Wave Structure:
Price is completing or near completion of Wave (5), indicating bullish continuation unless structure breaks.
Volume is increasing at the lows, suggesting strong accumulation followed by impulsive pushes upward.
🔹 Fibonacci & Support Zone:
The recent bounce originated from a long-term demand zone aligned with the 71% Fibonacci retracement, confirming strong buyer interest at discounted levels.
🔹 Volume Insight:
Sharp spike in volume during the initial reversal suggests smart money stepping in.
"Increase of selling pressure" was observed in the highlighted zone, but price held firm, hinting at absorption.
🔹 EMA Resistance:
Price is approaching dynamic resistance around the 200 EMA — a key level to watch for short-term pullbacks or breakouts.
🔹 Target Levels:
Target 1: 0.65984
Target 2: 0.66952
Target 3: 0.67200
These levels align with historical price imbalances and potential liquidity zones — offering attractive bullish targets if momentum continues.
AUD_USD SHORT FROM RESISTANCE|
✅AUD_USD has been growing recently
And the pair seems locally overbought
So as the pair is approaching a horizontal resistance of 0.6515
Price decline is to be expected on Monday
SHORT🔥
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.