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U.S. Dollar / Australian Dollar

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USDAUD trade ideas

Aussie H4 | Falling toward an overlap supportThe Aussie (AUD/USD) is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 0.6336 which is an overlap support. Stop loss is at 0.6255 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit is at 0.6499 which is a multi-swing-high resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by Tradu
Aussie Turns Bullish — All Eyes on RBACMCMARKETS:AUDUSD AUD/USD trades near 0.6448 ahead of the RBA rate decision, where a 25bps cut to 3.85% is widely expected. Technically, a breakout above the falling trendline suggests a potential bullish reversal. Immediate support lies at 0.6422–0.6406. A rejection near minor resistance at 0.6456 could trigger a pullback, while a sustained break above that level may open room for gains beyond 0.6500. Market direction hinges on RBA’s tone and Governor Bullock’s guidance on future easing. Resistance : 0.6456 , 0.6500 Support : 0.6422 , 0.6406
Short
by ATFX_Global
RBA to Cut 0.25% as AUDUSD Tests Key ResistanceAUDUSD is trading in a very support/resistance-heavy area ahead of tomorrow’s RBA decision. The RBA is widely expected to cut rates by 0.25%. The central bank is likely to factor in the government's extended electricity subsidies, and combined with weak GDP data, a rate cut appears almost certain. Since 2000, Australia's average quarterly GDP growth has been 0.7%. However, since Q3 2022, the figures have consistently come in below average, pointing to prolonged economic weakness. That said, recent data has shown some improvement. The most recent GDP came in at 0.6%, marking four consecutive quarters of growth in GDP. CPI held steady at 2.4%, beating the 2.2% forecast. Quarterly wage growth rose to 0.9% from 0.7%, and employment increased by 89k — nearly quadruple the forecast and triple the previous month’s figure. Despite the positive shifts, the combination of persistent weakness, electricity subsidies, and already high interest rates suggests the RBA will need to act. The market currently expects three cuts this year, including the one anticipated tomorrow. AUDUSD is caught between a weak U.S. dollar and a weak Aussie dollar, and the degree of dovishness from the RBA will be critical this week. A broad resistance zone is currently capping gains. The 0.6450–0.6550 range is key, as it has seen significant volume since August 2023, with multiple tops and bottoms forming within this area. If a breakout occurs, the longer-term trend channel (yellow line) could become the next upside target. On the downside, watch the 0.6350 support level and the area surrounding it for potential reactions or a clear break with following downward reaction.
by ftdsystem
Don't trade Aussie this week!Dear traders, Among the top 8 forex market currencies, tariffs war affects the Aussie most, because Australia is highly dependent on China. Rank Trading Partner Exports (A$ million) 1 China 185,141 2 Japan 119,889 3 European Union 31,816 4 United States 30,690 Uncertainty about China's future means, fluctuations in Aussie. I don't trade AUDUSD this week, only if everything goes well with negotiations between Trump and China, I might use confirmed break over zone of 0.64355 to take long trades. Regards, Ali
Long
by AliSignals
AUDUSD H4 | Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart analysis, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 0.64242, a pullback resistance that aligns close to the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Our take profit is set at 0.6407, a pullback resistance. The stop loss is placed at 0.6439, above the swing high resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by Tradu
AUD/USD - potential opportunity for a bullish trade On the daily chart we identify an upward channel in which price has been trading between for the past 130 days. The decisive break below the channel was due to the April 2025 tariff announcements which effected many different markets across the world. At the moment, the current trend is upward with price continuing to trade within this channel. Zooming down into the 1 hour, we see a failed head and shoulder reversal pattern. The neckline was broken and prices were heading downward but ultimately were stopped by the bottom channel trendline, reinforcing the bottom channel trendline as support. Prices then rallied back upward and caused the reversal pattern to fail. Notice the RSI and how it differs from price when the neckline was broken. At the point where price touched the downward trendline, the RSI did not create a new low. Yet the moment before price reached the downward trendline, prices have dropped considerably. This means that there is very little momentum behind these price movements, but this little momentum was enough to send prices downward a decent amount. In short, there is little interest in purchasing the security at this time, the demand is low. One would expect prices to continue falling at this point, but instead prices begin to rise. There are many reasons why this could happen, one of them may be that institutions and banks are intentionally supporting price and keeping it from falling below a certain point. This can be seen clearly in later price action. When price falls back to the bottom of the channel, prices rally quickly on volume that is declining. Normally, volume increases when prices go up. When that doesn't happen, it's important to look out for. A possible conclusion for this misalignment is that institutions and banks are keeping price within this channel for one reason or another. This aligns with the analysis performed on the daily chart which shows price trading within this channel for an extended period and continuing to do so. At this point, the most profitable decision is to place a trade on either end of the channel until a decisive break has occurred, retested the channel, and then broken away from it. Here is the trade I would take, placing the stop loss below the most recent low and a take profit at the other end of the trendline. This gives a risk to reward of 1 to 2.33 which is an excellent amount.
Long
by TAandFA
AUDUSD 4HFollowing our previous analysis, buyers failed to sustain momentum, leading to a confirmed bearish move. The market is now progressing toward the predefined mathematical targets: 0.6356 0.6290 Main target 0.6250 potential final target The zone around 0.6250 is a key area where we will re-evaluate the price action for a possible reversal, depending on updated market structure and data. As always, we rely on geometric principles and calculated movement — not guesswork. Let the market confirm the math.
Short
by GreyFX-NDS
1
AUDUSDThe interest rate differential between the U.S. and Australia is a key driver of the AUD/USD exchange rate, influencing capital flows, investor demand, and currency valuation. Here’s how it impacts AUD/USD: How Interest Rate Differential Affects AUD/USD Higher Australian Rates vs. U.S. Rates Strengthen AUD: When the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) sets interest rates higher than the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed), the yield advantage attracts global investors seeking better returns. This leads to increased demand for the Australian dollar, causing AUD/USD to rise as investors sell USD to buy AUD. This phenomenon is often called the "carry trade." Higher U.S. Rates vs. Australian Rates Strengthen USD: Conversely, when the Fed’s rates are higher than the RBA’s, investors shift capital into U.S. assets for better yields, boosting the USD and weakening AUD/USD. Since 2022, Fed rate hikes relative to the RBA have correlated with AUD weakness. Capital Flows and Market Expectations: The interest rate differential influences international capital flows. Expectations of future rate changes by either central bank, reflected in futures markets and rate trackers, can cause AUD/USD to move ahead of actual policy shifts. For example, anticipated RBA cuts or Fed hikes typically weaken the AUD/USD. Trade and Economic Context: The impact of interest rate differentials is moderated by other factors such as commodity prices (Australia’s major exports), trade relations, and global risk sentiment. For instance, U.S. tariffs on China and other countries indirectly pressure the AUD by affecting Australia’s trade environment. Summary Scenario AUD/USD Impact Explanation RBA rates higher than Fed rates AUD/USD rises Higher Australian yields attract capital Fed rates higher than RBA rates AUD/USD falls Higher U.S. yields attract capital Market expects RBA cuts AUD/USD falls Anticipated lower yields reduce AUD appeal Market expects Fed hikes AUD/USD falls Anticipated higher yields boost USD In essence: The interest rate differential between Australia and the U.S. is a fundamental determinant of AUD/USD movements. A wider gap favoring the U.S. dollar tends to weaken the AUD/USD pair, while a narrowing or reversal in this gap can support AUD gains. Traders closely should monitor central bank policies, inflation data, and rate expectations to anticipate shifts in this differential and its effect on the currency pair.
Short
by Shavyfxhub
2
AUDUSD(20250516)Today's AnalysisMarket news: Fed Chairman Powell: The Fed is adjusting its overall policy-making framework. Zero interest rate is no longer a basic situation. The wording of underemployment and average inflation rate needs to be reconsidered. PCE is expected to drop to 2.2% in April. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 0.6416 Support and resistance levels: 0.6484 0.6458 0.6442 0.6391 0.6375 0.6349 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 0.6416, consider buying, the first target price is 0.6442 If the price breaks through 0.6391, consider selling, the first target price is 0.6375
Long
by Toml1314
AUDUSD bullish sideways consolidation supported at 0.6355AUDUSD maintains a bullish bias, supported by the prevailing upward trend. Recent intraday movement indicates a corrective pullback toward a key consolidation zone, offering a potential setup for trend continuation. Key Support Level: 0.6355 – previous consolidation range and pivotal support Upside Targets: 0.6470 – initial resistance 0.6500 and 0.6550 – extended bullish targets on higher timeframes A bullish breakout from 0.6355 would suggest continuation of the uptrend, confirming buying momentum. However, a decisive reversal and daily close below 0.6355 would invalidate the bullish structure, opening the door for further retracement toward 0.6310, with additional support at 0.6235 and 0.6195. Conclusion AUDUSD remains bullish above 0.6355. A bounce from this level supports further gains. Traders should watch for confirmation signals before positioning for the next move. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
AUDUSD Massive Short! SELL! My dear friends, My technical analysis for AUDUSD is below: The market is trading on 0.6454 pivot level. Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation. Target - 0.6420 About Used Indicators: A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals