AUDUSD SELL & BUY TRADE PLAN🔥 AUD/USD TRADE PLAN
📅 Date: 17 April 2025
🔖 Plan Type:
Dual-Sided Swing Setup
→ Bearish Reversal (Active)
→ Bullish Re-entry Setup (Not Yet Active)
📈 Bias & Trade Type:
Primary Bias: 🔻 Bearish Reversal from Supply (LTF weakness forming)
Secondary Bias: 🔼 Bullish Re-engagement from deeper HTF OB zones
🔰 Confidence Level:
Sell Plan: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (80%) – Active structure + rejection forming
Buy Plan: ⭐⭐⭐ (70%) – Pending price retrace to HTF demand
📌 CURRENT TRADE STATUS:
AUD/USD is trading at 0.6337, just under intra supply zone (0.6345–0.6365)
✅ Sell Setup = Active: Price showing rejection, divergence forming on M15–H1
❌ Buy Setup = Not yet valid: Lower zone untested
⚠️ If price consolidates without clean rejection or BOS → Neutral zone
📍 ENTRY ZONES:
🔴 SELL PLAN – Bearish Reversal
🟥 Primary Sell Zone: 0.6345 – 0.6375
→ (M15–H1 bearish OB + imbalance fill + premium structure zone)
🔁 Confirmation: LTF bearish engulfing, divergence, or wick re-entry below 0.6345
🟥 Secondary Sell Zone: 0.6390 – 0.6415
→ (Unmitigated H4 imbalance top + structure sweep zone)
🔁 Entry only on rejection with wick trap or supply re-entry
❗ Stop Loss: Above 0.6435
→ Invalidates HTF bearish scenario, breaks OB stack
🎯 Take Profits:
🎯 TP1: 0.6280 → Local support cluster
🎯 TP2: 0.6235 → H4 demand + FVG
🎯 TP3: 0.6205 → Weekly OB tap zone (HTF liquidity pocket)
🟢 BUY PLAN – Bullish Continuation Setup
🟩 Primary Buy Zone: 0.6230 – 0.6265
→ (Clean demand block + unfilled FVG + previous BOS)
🔁 Confirmation: Bullish LTF reclaim + OB absorption
🟨 Secondary Buy Zone: 0.6175 – 0.6205
→ (Weekly OB sweep zone + deeper liquidity trap)
🔁 Entry only with wick + D1 support reclaim
❗ Stop Loss: Below 0.6150
→ Invalidates HTF bullish structure
🎯 Take Profits:
🎯 TP1: 0.6320 → Supply gap re-entry
🎯 TP2: 0.6370 → Previous high + fair value
🎯 TP3: 0.6425 → Weekly resistance / liquidity wick
🧠 CONFLUENCE SNAPSHOT:
🔻 Bearish Setup Confluences:
✅ OB rejection zone (H1–H4 supply)
✅ Price hit premium zone with no follow-through
✅ M15–H1 divergence & wick exhaustion
✅ Trendline break signs + weakening upside momentum
✅ Macro USD stabilization adds weight
🔼 Bullish Setup Confluences:
✅ Unmitigated HTF demand zone (0.6230–0.6265)
✅ Prior BOS with imbalance left behind
✅ USD still structurally soft overall
⚠️ Await volume spike + LTF reclaim to activate
📏 Risk–Reward Estimate:
Sell Setup: Up to 1:3.5 depending on entry precision
Buy Setup: Up to 1:4.0 if from deeper OB
🧠 Management Guidelines:
📍 Move SL to BE after TP1
📍 Scale partials at TP1/TP2
📍 Leave 25–30% to run for HTF expansion
🔁 Re-entry optional if BOS confirmed again from OB
🌐 Fundamentals:
AUD supported by China resilience & risk-on rebound
USD volatile post CPI but showing short-term recovery signs
No major red-tier events today, but Fed speakers + risk sentiment pivotal
⏳ Validity:
48 hours from trigger or until OB structure is invalidated
📋 Final Summary:
AUD/USD currently showing signs of short-term exhaustion at supply. A well-structured bearish reversal setup is live with clean entry zones and TP targets. HTF bullish scenario may activate only upon a deeper retracement to unfilled demand zones. Confirmation critical. Trade both sides if confluence triggers separately.
USDAUD trade ideas
AUDUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W16 D17 Y25AUDUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W16 D17 Y25
GM GM.
Summary
+ Daily high rejection
+ Weekly order block rejection
+ Weekly 50 EMA edging closer to price action
+ 4H bearish close
+ 1H continued short
+ 15' intraday breaks of structure
Just a few confluences mentioned.
Entry Model
Tap
Lower time frame break of structure/ Bearish candle stick formation from point of interest.
FRGNT X
AUDUSD InsightHello to all our subscribers!
Please share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to hit the booster and subscribe.
Key Points
- White House spokesperson Caroline Leavitt stated, “The ball is in China’s court, and China needs to negotiate with us,” indicating that the U.S. expects China to come to the negotiation table first.
- In its first tariff talks with the United States, the European Union focused on mutual zero tariffs on automobiles and the issue of Chinese steel overcapacity.
- China requested joint action with Australia regarding tariff issues, but Australia refused, emphasizing its intention to reduce dependence on China and strengthen ties with countries like Indonesia, India, and the United Arab Emirates.
Major Economic Events This Week
+ April 16: U.K. March CPI, Eurozone March CPI, U.S. March Retail Sales, Bank of Canada Rate Decision
+ April 17: ECB Rate Decision, Fed Chair Powell’s Speech
+ April 18: Easter
AUDUSD Chart Analysis
Previously, the pair showed strong downward momentum, breaking below the 0.60000 level. However, it successfully rebounded and is now retesting resistance at the 0.64000 level. This area is a strong resistance zone, so a downward move is more likely. If the pair faces resistance as expected, a pullback to the 0.60000 level is anticipated. On the other hand, if it breaks through this resistance, a rise toward the 0.66000 level can be expected.
Turn or Burn Deep retracement within this current TR. Volume price analysis suggest manipulation as price is rising but demand volume is declining, Either supply is deeply diminished allowing ease of movement or is this slow profit taking by larger interest.
In a bullish scenario price creates momentum to push, close, and maintain above .64080. In what my opinion is more favorable based on market conditions, price takes out one of the previous highs in this range near .64000 where liquidity rest and resumes the htf downtrend. Catalyst being AUD unemployment rates and Fed Powell Speech, FOMO would likely induce a buy trap / false breakout.
AUDUSD: Detailed Support & Resistance Analysis 🇦🇺🇺🇸
Here is my latest structure analysis for AUDUSD
for this week.
Resistance 1: 0.6385 - 0.6430 area
Resistance 2: 0.6455 - 0.6470 area
Resistance 3: 0.6518 - 0.6560 area
Support 1: 0.6078 - 0.6135 area
Support 2: 0.5914 - 0.5954 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading!
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AUDUSD A Fall Expected! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for AUDUSD below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 0.6314
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 0.6202
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
AUDUSD is ready to push againNo comment needed. All information is in the chart analysis.
Steps to follow:
Analyze yourself.
Take the position with SL and Take Profits.
Wait, it may take a couple of days, so take a break and step away from the screen from time to time, just like I do :)
Get the result.
I will update the trade every day.
Like, comment with your good mood or viewpoint, share with your circle. It’s together that we get stronger!
Good trades, Traders!
The golden bear
Week of 4/13/25: AUDUSD AnalysisDaily bias is bullish, prior week ended bullish with a V shape recovery showing that bulls are in control. As always our MTF internal structure dictates our immediate bias (bullish) and until it breaks, we're continuing our longs.
Price is reaching an important level at the extreme of the HTF supply level so once price gets there, it's good to see what happens next.
Major News: Unemployment Claims - Thursday
AUDUSD: Expecting Bearish Movement! Here is Why:
The analysis of the AUDUSD chart clearly shows us that the pair is finally about to tank due to the rising pressure from the sellers.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
AUUSD Weekly Forecast
"AUUSD Weekly Forecast
Get ready for a potential swing trade!
Waiting for:
Sell-side liquidity to be taken
Stop hunt to play out
Then, we'll be looking for a LONG-TERM BULLISH reversal!
Stay tuned for updates and get ready to ride the trend!
#AUDUSD #WeeklyForecast #SwingTrade #TradingView #MarketAnalysis"
AUDUSD INTRADAY bullish breakout AUDUSD maintains a bullish bias, supported by the prevailing upward trend. Recent intraday movement indicates a corrective pullback toward a key consolidation zone, offering a potential setup for trend continuation.
Key Support Level: 0.6355 – previous consolidation range and pivotal support
Upside Targets:
0.6470 – initial resistance
0.6500 and 0.6550 – extended bullish targets on higher timeframes
A bullish breakout from 0.6355 would suggest continuation of the uptrend, confirming buying momentum.
However, a decisive reversal and daily close below 0.6355 would invalidate the bullish structure, opening the door for further retracement toward 0.6310, with additional support at 0.6235 and 0.6195.
Conclusion
AUDUSD remains bullish above 0.6355. A bounce from this level supports further gains. Traders should watch for confirmation signals before positioning for the next move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
AUDUSD(20250425)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
Federal Reserve-①Hamack: If economic data is clear, the Fed may cut interest rates in June
②Waller: It will take until July to get a clearer understanding of how tariffs affect the economy. If tariffs lead to higher unemployment, interest rate cuts may be initiated. ③The Atlanta Fed GDPNow model predicts that the US GDP growth rate in the first quarter will be -2.5%. ④Kashkari: The frequent announcements from Washington have brought challenges to policymakers and everyone.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
0.6387
Support and resistance levels:
0.6454
0.6429
0.6413
0.6361
0.6344
0.6319
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 0.6413, consider buying, the first target price is 0.6429
If the price breaks through 0.6387, consider selling, the first target price is 0.6361
AUDUSD 30M CHART PATTERNThis chart shows a bearish pattern setup on the AUD/USD 30-minute timeframe. Here’s a breakdown of what the chart indicates:
Pattern Type: It looks like a bearish double or triple top pattern with clear swing highs (marked with orange circles) and lows.
Entry Point: The price appears to be rejecting a resistance zone around 0.6447, which is where the short position is initiated (marked by the red arrow).
Stop Loss: Set just above the resistance zone, around 0.6450.
**Take
Long trade
Trade Overview: AUDUSD – Long Position (Trade 2)
Entry Price: 0.63674
Take Profit: 0.64381 (+1.10%)
Stop Loss: 0.63421 (–0.40%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 2.79
🕕 Entry Time: 6:00 PM (New York Time)
📅 Date: Wednesday, 23rd April 2025
🌍 Session: NY to Tokyo Overlap (PM)
🧭 Higher Timeframe Structure: 1-Hour TF
⏱ Entry Timeframe: 5-Minute TF
Reasoning Narrative
AUDUSD maintained a bullish structure on the 1-hour timeframe, with price forming higher lows and consolidating just below a key resistance area before the session crossover.
AUD/USD DTF Time Frame – Technical & Fundamental AnalysisAUD/USD DTF Time Frame – Technical & Fundamental Analysis
Technical Outlook:
On the daily time frame, AUD/USD has been consolidating after a strong bearish move that drove price down to the 0.59000 level. Following this, significant buying pressure led to a breakout above the anticipated major key resistance at 0.63500.
Currently, price action is indicating accumulation above this critical level, confirmed by a bullish engulfing candle. This suggests that buyers may continue to gain momentum in the near term.
However, it’s worth noting that liquidity has not yet formed, which indicates the potential for a liquidity hunt between defined zones. Based on this, our current strategy is:
Buy Limit Order: 0.63080 (within the liquidity zone) to capitalize on the opportunity, aiming for a higher reward with a 1:4 risk-to-reward ratio.
Stop Loss: 0.62560
Take Profit: 0.65230 (next minor key resistance)
Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:4
This setup aligns with the broader bullish structure forming on the daily time frame.
Fundamental Outlook:
Australia’s positive fundamentals are contributing to a bullish outlook for AUD/USD:
Commodity Price Recovery: A significant rebound in global commodity prices, especially for iron ore, coal, and copper, has supported Australia’s key exports, boosting demand for the AUD.
China’s Economic Rebound: As Australia’s largest trading partner, China’s economic recovery—marked by increased industrial output and government stimulus—has led to a surge in export demand, which is also strengthening the Australian dollar.
Domestic Stability in Australia: The Australian economy is showing signs of stabilization, with stronger-than-expected employment data and rising consumer confidence. These developments reduce the likelihood of aggressive rate cuts by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA).
On the other hand, the U.S. fundamentals are showing some weakness:
Weaker-than-Expected Unemployment Claims: The latest U.S. Unemployment Claims came in at 222K, higher than the forecast of 215K and previous 215K, indicating a slight softening in the U.S. labor market. This adds further downward pressure on the USD, especially as concerns over economic momentum rise.
Conclusion:
Given the strong bullish technical setup and positive fundamentals for the Australian dollar, combined with the recent weakness in U.S. employment data, the outlook for AUD/USD remains bullish.
📌 Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. As always, wait for proper confirmation before executing trades. Manage your risk wisely and trade what you see, not what you feel.