USDAUD trade ideas
AUDUSD SHORT IDEAUnder current market conditions, the area near 0.6398 has been identified as a critical resistance zone, where the AI model detects a high-probability trade setup.
From a technical perspective, a clear directional bias based on recent price action patterns. Suppose the market demonstrates increased volume and price stability above key moving averages in the 0.6398 area. In that case, traders are advised to monitor for trend-continuation entry opportunities in alignment with the prevailing momentum.
Profit targets are defined at 0.6372 and 0.6344, corresponding to logical technical support zones. These levels are designed for staged profit-taking across different trade management styles. Stop-loss should be strictly enforced at the designated level; once breached, the strategy is considered invalidated in order to limit potential downside.
AUDUSD buy ideaGiven that this pair is in a sustained uptrend, it would be prudent to align trades with the prevailing trend, potentially maximizing opportunities until the trend shows signs of reversal.
PS: Note that this is not financial advice. If you choose to act on this information, I strongly advise employing sound risk management strategies to mitigate potential losses.
AUDUSD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring AUDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.64100 zone, AUDUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.64100 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Aussie Rally Fizzles at ResistanceThe Australian Dollar staged an impressive V-shaped recovery month with AUD/USD surging more than 9% off multi-year lows. The advance has now extended into confluent resistance at 6408/29- a region defined by the 50% retracement of the 2024 decline and the February swing high. Note that the upper parallel of the descending pitchfork converges on this threshold over the next few days and further highlights the technical significance of this zone- looking for a reaction off this mark.
Initial support rests with the August / April lows at 6348/62- a break / daily close below this threshold would threaten a larger setback towards the 38.2% retracement / monthly open at 6245/47 with key support steady at the 2022 low / 2025 yearly open at 6170/88 (an area of interest for possible downside exhaustion / price inflection IF reached). Losses below this threshold would mark resumption of the broader downtrend.
Ultimately, a topside breach / close above the 200-day moving average near ~6465 would be needed to validate a breakout of the October downtrend / suggest a larger trend reversal is underway. Subsequent resistance is eyed at the 61.8% retracement at 6550 and the November high-day close (HDC) at 6680.
Bottom line: A 9% rally off multi-year lows takes AUD/USD into multi-month downtrend resistance- risk for possible topside exhaustion / price inflection here. From a trading standpoint, a good zone to reduce portions of long-exposure / raise protective stops- losses should be limited to 6245 IF price is heading higher on this stretch with a close above the 200-day moving average need to fuel the next leg of the advance.
-MB
AUDUSDAUD/USD Trade Directional Bias and Central Bank Impact
Current AUD/USD Overview (April 2025)
AUD/USD is will face 0.65362 a critical resistance zone which is also a break of demand floor ,after the weekly candle breaks 0.63675 that has capped gains throughout 2025. The pair faces mixed signals from central bank policies, technical levels, and geopolitical risks. Below is a breakdown of key drivers:
Central Bank Leaders and Policy Outlook
RBA Michele Bullock Cautiously dovish: Held rates at 4.10% in April but signaled openness to cuts if inflation eases. Prioritizes data dependency amid U.S. tariff uncertainty, RBA next meeting will be 7 May 2025 ) Rate cuts (expected in May/July) could weaken AUD.
Fed Jerome Powell Under political pressure: Trump criticizes Powell for "keeping rates too high." Markets price in 2025 rate cuts if U.S. inflation cool.the next fed meeting will be 14–15 May 2025 (Next FOMC) ,if feds remains Dovish ,Fed shifts would weaken USD, boosting AUD/USD.
Key Economic Calendar Events
RBA Meetings (7 May, 18 June, 6 August)
A 25 bps cut is 80% priced for May and fully priced for July.
Bullock’s cautious tone suggests cuts depend on inflation and tariff impacts.
U.S. Inflation Data (10 May, 12 June)
Softer CPI/PPI could accelerate Fed rate cuts, weakening USD.
U.S.-China Trade Developments
Escalating tariffs (e.g., Trump’s 10% levy on Australian imports) risk AUD downside, but de-escalation could boost risk sentiment.
Conclusion
AUD/USD’s bias leans cautiously bullish if Fed dovishness outweighs RBA easing, but bearish risks persist from tariff tensions and RBA cuts. Key levels to watch:
Monitor speeches by Bullock (RBA) and Powell (Fed), along with U.S. inflation data and RBA meeting outcomes, for directional cues.
Long trade
Trade Overview: AUDUSD – Long Position (Trade 2)
Entry Price: 0.63674
Take Profit: 0.64381 (+1.10%)
Stop Loss: 0.63421 (–0.40%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 2.79
🕕 Entry Time: 6:00 PM (New York Time)
📅 Date: Wednesday, 23rd April 2025
🌍 Session: NY to Tokyo Overlap (PM)
🧭 Higher Timeframe Structure: 1-Hour TF
⏱ Entry Timeframe: 5-Minute TF
Reasoning Narrative
AUDUSD maintained a bullish structure on the 1-hour timeframe, with price forming higher lows and consolidating just below a key resistance area before the session crossover.
AUD/USD Recovery Amid Rate Cut ExpectationsHello,
OANDA:AUDUSD shows a slight recovery from multi-year lows, with AUD market expectations of a rate cut by the central bank. The Aussie experiences some relief, but risks remain skewed to the downside as key US inflation reports approach. Further downside is anticipated towards the strong monthly support at 0.600436.
No Nonsense. Just Really Good Market Insights. Leave a Boost
TradeWithTheTrend3344
AUDUSD LONG SIGNALUnder current market conditions, the area near 0.6407 has been identified as a critical support zone, where the AI model detects a high-probability trade setup.
From a technical perspective, a clear directional bias based on recent price action patterns. Suppose the market demonstrates increased volume and price stability above key moving averages in the 0.6407 area. In that case, traders are advised to monitor for trend-continuation entry opportunities in alignment with the prevailing momentum.
Profit targets are defined at 0.6437 and 0.6489, corresponding to logical technical resistance zones. These levels are designed for staged profit-taking across different trade management styles. Stop-loss should be strictly enforced at the designated level; once breached, the strategy is considered invalidated in order to limit potential downside.
AUD-USD Will Keep Growing! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
AUD-USD started the trading
Week with a strong bullish
Move up from the horizontal
Support of 0.6371 while trading
In an uptrend so we are bullish
Biased mid-term and we will
Be expecting a further bullish
Continuation, but its best to
Wait and see how the price
Interacts with the local
Key level of 0.6439 as
We might see a local
Pullback from this supply
Area giving us a better
Entry price for the long
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
AUDUSD A Fall Expected! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for AUDUSD is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 0.6418
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points High anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 0.6412
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
AUDUSD Short Position IdeaUnder current market conditions, the area near 0.6407 has been identified as a critical resistance zone, where the AI model detects a high-probability trade setup.
From a technical perspective, a clear directional bias based on recent price action patterns. If the market demonstrates increased volume and price stability above key moving averages in the 0.6407 area, traders are advised to monitor for trend-continuation entry opportunities in alignment with the prevailing momentum.
Profit targets are defined at 0.6367 and 0.6333, corresponding to logical technical support zones. These levels are designed for staged profit-taking across different trade management styles. Stop-loss should be strictly enforced at the designated level; once breached, the strategy is considered invalidated in order to limit potential downside.
AUD/USD SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
AUD/USD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 0.639
Target Level: 0.636
Stop Loss: 0.642
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Shorts BiasThe Australian dollar is currently under pressure against the U.S. dollar, trading below key resistance levels. Recent technical indicators suggest weakening bullish momentum, and upcoming Australian inflation data may increase the likelihood of the Reserve Bank of Australia implementing further rate cuts. This monetary policy outlook adds to the bearish sentiment for the AUD.
AUDUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W18 D28 Y25AUDUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W18 D28 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly 50 EMA
✅Intraday 15' order block
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
✅Intraday 5' & 15' order block trading levels
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
AUDUSD - BULL FLAG (Bullish)🧠 Technical Overview
Pair: AUD/USD
Timeframe: 4H
Current Price: ~0.63864
General Structure:
Strong prior uptrend leading into a consolidation phase.
Price is forming a classic bull flag pattern (bullish continuation).
Fibonacci extension levels are plotted from the recent impulse leg to project targets.
🔥 Pattern Analysis
Bull Flag:
Parallel, downward-sloping channel following a strong bullish move, indicating healthy retracement.
Price is currently testing the upper boundary of the flag (~0.6394).
Breakout Plan:
Break and close above the flag resistance would confirm bullish continuation.
Immediate target lies at 0.6508 (previous structure high and 1.0 Fibonacci extension).
Higher Fibonacci extension targets are located at:
1.618 Fib ≈ 0.6553
2.0 Fib ≈ 0.6573
2.618 Fib ≈ 0.6622
🔍 Indicators
(Indicators not shown in the image, but inferred from price action):
A breakout supported by higher volume would strengthen confirmation.
RSI pushing above 60 would further confirm bullish momentum.
🧩 Summary
Bias: Bullish
Key triggers:
A strong breakout and close above 0.6394–0.6400.
Retest and continuation move would offer a more conservative entry.
Risk:
Caution required if breakout occurs on low volume.
Invalidation of the setup if price falls below 0.6380 (flag base) or decisively below 0.6318 (key structural support).
✍️ Quick Trade Plan Example
Setup Details
Entry Break and close above 0.6400
Stop Loss Below 0.6380 (or tighter below 0.6368)
Take Profit 1 0.6508
Take Profit 2 0.6553
Take Profit 3 0.6622
Final tip:
If price breaks out impulsively, aggressive entries can be considered. If the breakout is slow and grinding, it would be safer to wait for a pullback and a confirmed bullish rejection.