CAUTION 50'EMA NOT ON SIDE AUDUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W21 D22 Y25CAUTION 50'EMA NOT ON SIDE AUDUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W21 D22 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅4H Order Block
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
✅15' order block identified
✅Weekly 50 EMA forecasting rejection
✅Daily 50 EMA target
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
USDAUD trade ideas
AUDUSD Sell Setup- look for EU buy
- enter only if entry setup given
- refine entry with smaller SL for better RR, if you have the strategy
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AUDUSD InsightHello to all our subscribers.
Please share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to like and subscribe!
Key Points
- U.S. President Trump is strongly pushing for the passage of a “mega bill” that includes massive tax cuts, despite opposition within the Republican Party. This is heightening concerns over the U.S. fiscal deficit.
- Amid these concerns, the yield on the 20-year U.S. Treasury bond was set at 5.047% in a $16 billion auction, triggering a “Sell USA” phenomenon.
- During the G7 finance ministers meeting, which runs through May 22, the U.S. and Japan are reportedly planning to hold currency discussions. There is speculation that the U.S. may pressure Japan to strengthen the yen.
Major Economic Events This Week
+ May 22: U.S. May Manufacturing PMI, U.S. May Services PMI
+ May 23: Germany Q1 GDP
AUDUSD Chart Analysis
Despite increased U.S. dollar volatility and the Reserve Bank of Australia's rate cuts, AUDUSD volatility remains largely unchanged compared to last week. However, after breaking through resistance recently, the long-term outlook suggests potential for a rise toward the 0.69000 level. As long as the support level at 0.63000 holds, we maintain a bullish view.
AudUsd Trade IdeaAudUsd is currently BULLISH on all higher time frames. Price came back down into a higher time frame HL with structures flipping back bullish on the 15m time frame supporting the overall bullish trend. I've decided to go long on this pair with price giving a bullish engulfing candle after retesting the structure flip. If all goes well price could tap back into the higher time frames high and potentially create a new high. I'll be looking for a 1:3rr on this set up. We'll see how price moves.
AUD/USD Sentiment Sours (But There May Better Shorts)Asset managers increased their net-short exposure last week - and as these are 'real money' accounts, they are a group of traders worth listening to. But as always, timing as key, and there may be better setups for bears than AUD/USD over the near term. Today I pick out for AUD crosses to consider.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
AUDUSD Testing Resistance—Clean Setup, Clear RiskPrice is approaching a familiar resistance zone and showing signs of exhaustion. I’m positioned for a short here, with a tight stop above recent highs. If price rejects cleanly, I’ll be targeting a drop back toward the moving average zone below.
Risk-to-reward lines up. Now we wait to see if the reaction holds.
AUDUSD Losing Bullish StrengthHi there,
AUDUSD appears stagnant around the 0.64556 level, which keeps the price confined within a bearish range.
The low point at 0.63928 supports bullish momentum toward the current high, but that high is losing bullish strength.
I anticipate a bearish continuation down to 0.64046, with a target bias of 0.63561.
Happy trading! Hope you have a great and fruitful week.
K.
Not trading advice
AUD's appeal boosted by rallying metals and yuan Following the dovish RBA rate cut on Tuesday, the AUD/USD has bounced back. The US dollar has fallen across the board, while the Aussie has been boosted by rallying prices of precious metals and a firmer yuan.
While equity markets have been relatively subdued, the commodities space has seen some notable action — particularly in precious metals. Platinum and palladium have each surged more than 10% this week, while silver is showing renewed strength after breaking out of a prolonged consolidation phase and climbing above its bearish trend line. Gold is also on the move, rising for the third consecutive session and reclaiming the $3,300 level.
With the AUD being sensitive to metals prices, this is clearly a bullish signal.
The AUD/USD itself has been consolidating its recent gains, as it potentially gears up for a breakout. Today it has more than made up for yesterday's mild losses that were driven in part by a dovish RBA. With resistance at 0.6460 broken, the AUD/USD could be heading to 0.6500 and beyond in the days ahead. Watch out for a breakout in this pair.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
AudUsd Trade IdeaAU is currently sitting at a level that price has respected before. 15m shows price flipping from bullish to bearish but than flips back to bullish. I'll need to see the break and retest below 64370 in order to execute shorts on this pair. That would confirm price respecting the level of resistance once more and expect price to tap back into 63900. We'll see what happens.
IF THE SHOE FITS... AUDUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W21 D21 Y25AUDUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W21 D21 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅4H Order Block
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
✅15' order block identified
✅Weekly 50 EMA
✅Daily 50 EMA
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
audusd sell signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
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P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
Bearish reversal off pullback resistance?The Aussie (AUD/USD) is rising towards the pivot which is a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 0.6433
1st Support: 0.6391
1st Resistance: 0.6458
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AUD/USD Struggles at Resistance- Moment of Truth for the BullsAussie has held below resistance for nearly five-weeks now with multiple breakout attempts failing at the 52-week moving average.
Weekly resistance now stands with the 2025 high-close / 50% retracement of the September decline at 6429/45 and is backed again by the yearly moving average, currently near ~6485. Critical resistance is eyed with the July close low / 61.8% retracement at 6511/50 and a breach / close above this threshold is needed to fuel the next leg of the advance towards the 2019 low at 6671.
Weekly support rests with the 38.2% retracement of the yearly range / 2025 low-week close at 6286/91. Note that the median-line converges on this zone over the next few weeks and a weekly close below would be needed to suggest a more significant high is in place. Subsequent support seen at 6143/79- a region defined by the 61.8% retracement and the 2024/2022 swing lows.
Bottom line : The Australian Dollar rally has been halted at resistance and the focus is on a breakout of this multi-week range just below. From a trading standpoint, losses would need to be limited to 6285 IF price is heading higher on this stretch with a close above the 52-week moving average needed to fuel the next leg of the advance.
-MB
Head and Shoulders An incomplete Head and Shoulders pattern appears to be forming, along with a prolonged consolidation. It can be assumed that if the price breaks above the consolidation range with a candlestick close and confirms with a retest, a strong upward movement may be expected. However, if there are any significant fundamental shifts in the market, the opposite scenario may occur.
AUDUSD: Bullish Forecast & Bullish Scenario
The recent price action on the AUDUSD pair was keeping me on the fence, however, my bias is slowly but surely changing into the bullish one and I think we will see the price go up.
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AUDUSD Rejected From Supply Zone – Bearish Slide Incoming?The Aussie dollar (AUDUSD) is showing signs of weakness after repeated rejections at the 0.6470 supply zone. Price has struggled to break this area, forming a solid distribution pattern on the 1H chart. With momentum fading, the pair now looks poised for a potential downside move.
Technical Overview:
Strong Supply Zone: 0.6470 (marked by heavy distribution and LuxAlgo’s visible range)
Current Price: 0.6412
First Target (Support): 0.6221
Second Target (Demand Zone): 0.5986–0.5900
Bias: Bearish unless price breaks and closes above 0.6470 with strength
Confluences Supporting Bearish Outlook:
Prolonged sideways structure near supply = likely distribution
Multiple failed breakout attempts above 0.6470
AUD under pressure from commodity softness + stronger USD
Clean downside levels: 0.6221 (minor support), 0.5986 (major demand)
Trade Setup Idea:
Entry Zone: 0.6410–0.6440 (on rejection candles or breakdown)
Stop Loss: Above 0.6480
Targets:
1. TP1 – 0.6221
2. TP2 – 0.5986
R:R Potential: ~3R if both targets hit
Macro Watch:
Upcoming US data releases could fuel USD strength (FOMC, CPI)
Aussie impacted by China economic data and commodity demand outlook
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Will AUDUSD collapse from here or surprise us with a breakout? Let me know your outlook in the comments!
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