AUDUSD InsightHello to all subscribers.
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Key Points
- U.S. President Trump commented on the proposed meeting between the Presidents of Ukraine and Russia in Türkiye on the 15th, suggested by Saudi Arabia, saying, “They could achieve a very good result.”
- The U.S. Department of Labor reported that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.2% from the previous month and 2.3% year-on-year, marking the lowest level since February 2021 and coming in below expectations.
- In last week's Australian general election, the Labor Party, capitalizing on anti-Trump sentiment, achieved a landslide victory and succeeded in extending its term in office.
Key Economic Events This Week
+ May 14: Germany April Consumer Price Index
+ May 15: U.K. Q1 GDP, U.S. April Retail Sales, U.S. April Producer Price Index, Fed Chair Powell’s speech
+ May 16: Japan Q1 GDP
AUDUSD Chart Analysis
The pair has broken above a resistance level and is showing upward momentum. If it breaks through the recent high at the 0.65000 level, it may trigger a full-fledged rally, with 0.69000 being a likely target. However, if it fails to break above the previous high, the trend could shift, and in that case, we will formulate a new strategy.
USDAUD trade ideas
AUD/USD "The Aussie" Forex Bank Money Heist (Bullish)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
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📍 Thief SL placed at the nearest/swing low level Using the 2H timeframe "Big Money buy" SL at (0.64000) & "Institutional Buy" SL at (0.62000) Swing trade basis.
📍 SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
🏴☠️Target 🎯: 0.67000
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As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
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Avoid taking new trades during news releases
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AUDUSD H4 I Bullish ContinuationBased on the H4 chart analysis, the price could fall toward our buy entry level at 0.6433 a pullback support.
Our take profit is set at 0.6515, a swing high resistance.
The stop loss is placed at 0.6354, below a swing low support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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Losses can exceed deposits.
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LONG AUDUSD breaking major resistance# AUDUSD Buy Setup Trading Plan
**Entry:**
- Buy on first pullback on smaller timeframe after resistance breakout
- Confirm with bullish candlestick pattern or moving averages
**Stop Loss:**
- Place below broken resistance level
- Approximately around 0.63262
**Take Profit:**
- Target 1: Previous swing high
- Target 2: Next major resistance level (1:2 risk-reward)
**Risk Management:**
- Risk 1-2% of account per trade
- Consider partial profit taking at Target 1
Always confirm breakout with multiple timeframes before entering.
AUDUSD(20250514)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
The U.S. unadjusted CPI annual rate unexpectedly dropped to 2.3% in April, the lowest since February 2021.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
0.6435
Support and resistance levels:
0.6552
0.6508
0.6480
0.6390
0.6362
0.6318
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 0.6480, consider buying, the first target price is 0.6508
If the price breaks through 0.6435, consider selling, the first target price is 0.6390
Bullish momentum to extend?The Aussie (AUD/USD) is falling towards the pivot, which has been identified as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance, which aligns with the 145% Fibonacci extension.
Pivot: 0.6445
1st Support: 0.6408z
1st Resistance: 0.6514
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
AUDUSD Technical & Order Flow AnalysisOur analysis is based on multi-timeframe top-down analysis & fundamental analysis.
Based on our view the price will rise to the monthly level.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis can change anytime without notice and is only for assisting traders in making independent investment decisions. Please note that this is a prediction, and I have no reason to act on it, and neither should you.
Please support our analysis with a boost or comment!
AUD/USD) Technical Analysis Read The ChaptianSMC-Trading Point update
Technical analysis of the AUD/USD currency pair on the 1-hour timeframe. Here's the idea behind the analysis:
Key Elements:
1. Support and Resistance Levels:
Resistance zone: Around 0.64350–0.64450
Support zone: Around 0.63450–0.63550
2. EMA (200):
The price is currently below the 200 EMA (0.64259), indicating bearish momentum.
3. RSI (Relative Strength Index):
RSI is around 50, indicating neutral momentum, but recently crossed down, hinting potential bearish continuation.
4. Two Scenarios Proposed:
Bullish Scenario:
If the price breaks above the resistance zone (~0.64400), a bullish rally toward the upper target at 0.65139 is expected.
Bearish Scenario:
If the price gets rejected from the resistance and breaks below the current support zone, a bearish move toward 0.63461 is expected.
5. Current Bias:
Slight bearish bias as the price is below both the resistance zone and the 200 EMA, with a possible setup for a breakdown.
Mr SMC Trading point
Conclusion:
This is a classic breakout or breakdown setup. The price is near a decision point, and the next move will likely depend on whether it breaks above the resistance or below the support zone.
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow
AUDUSD SELL TRADE PLANAUDUSD – May 13, 2025
📋 Plan Overview Table
Plan Type Direction Confidence R:R Status
Main Swing Plan Sell 🔶 84% 3.2R ✅ Active
📈 Market Bias & Type
Bias: Bearish
Type: HTF Continuation Sell after failed bullish attempt into resistance (breaker + supply)
🔰 Confidence Level
84% Total Confidence
* HTF Structure Break + Shift: 25%
* Fresh H4 Supply Zone with imbalance: 20%
* D1 Trendline break & retest: 15%
* Confluence with NY Session rejection: 12%
* USD Index correlation supportive: 12%
📍 Entry Zones
* Primary Zone (Optimal):
0.6420 – 0.6430 → H4 fresh supply zone + liquidity sweep
* Secondary Zone (Deeper POI, if spiked):
0.6440 – 0.6455 → Last D1 supply engulf before sell-off
❗ SL with Reasoning
* Stop Loss: 0.6470
* Reasoning: Above final wick and imbalance; invalidation of HTF supply and D1 rejection structure.
🎯 TP1/TP2/TP3 Targets
* TP1: 0.6365 → H1 mid-range structure
* TP2: 0.6320 → D1 equal lows + liquidity pool
* TP3 (Extended): 0.6285 → Full H4 liquidity run below multi-week range
🧠 Management Strategy
* Risk: 0.5% per entry zone
* Scale: Add 0.25% on secondary zone if triggered
* Breakeven: On clear break of 0.6365 with momentum
* Trail: Trail manually after 0.6320 touch with volatility logic
⚠️ Confirmation Checklist
* ✅ H1 Bearish Engulfing at entry
* ✅ Volume spike or wick rejection (preferably NY session)
* Optional: Internal BOS on M15 near entry adds further weight
⏳ Validity
* Swing Trade: Valid for 48–72 hours
* Review zone daily for continuation or rejection invalidation
❌ Invalidation Conditions
* Clean close above 0.6468 on H4 or Daily
* Break in bearish HTF structure
* DXY sharp reversal invalidating USD strength
🌐 Fundamental & Sentiment Snapshot
* AUD: Bearish due to weaker CPI outlook, RBA dovish tones
* USD: Bullish momentum from sticky CPI + Fed hawkish repricing
* Sentiment: Risk-off continues favoring USD gains against risk currencies like AUD
📋 Final Trade Summary
AUDUSD presents a textbook swing continuation short from a premium supply area backed by macro USD strength, technical structure break, and session rejection. Favoring strong reward with tight invalidation, it's positioned for a 2–3 day hold targeting March–April liquidity pockets.
AUDUSD Will Move Lower! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for AUDUSD.
Time Frame: 7h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 0.642.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 0.635 level soon.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
AUD/USD BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
It makes sense for us to go short on AUD/USD right now from the resistance line above with the target of 0.638 because of the confluence of the two strong factors which are the general downtrend on the previous 1W candle and the overbought situation on the lower TF determined by it’s proximity to the upper BB band.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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AUDUSD Short on this trade AUDUSD has been moving to the downside where we saw price breaking the daily high and pushing back to the downside.
where we started to see price creating an impulsive move to the downside on the 4hour timeframe and a three touch ascending channel first touch second touch which is the middle section waiting for the last touch to complete the channel.
now we wait for price to sweep the $ hour timeframe hook point and take a short position
or wait for a push flag either 1 hour or 15min flag stop loss in place 0.40% would be better to move price to the downside.
Long-Term Buy On The AussieThe most straightforward interpretation is that the down move that started back in February 2021 (red rectangle) was a correction of the previous rally (green rectangle) and ended at 0.5914. If this is correct, then we are in the early stages of a large upward move on the Aussie in the long-term that should reach at least the previous highs of 2021. This view will be in jeopardy if we break back below the previously mentioned support and will be completely negated on a break of the 2020 lows at 0.5510.
AUDUSD BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISAUDUSD is currently trading at 0.6400 and forming a clear inverse head and shoulders pattern on the 12-hour timeframe, a well-known bullish reversal structure. The neckline breakout is nearing, and the recent price behavior shows strong bullish volume support, indicating growing confidence among buyers. With a projected target of 0.6700, this setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio as we transition into a potential trend shift in favor of the Aussie.
On the fundamental front, the Australian dollar is benefiting from a more resilient macro backdrop. Recent Australian jobs data came in stronger than expected, and the RBA remains cautious on rate cuts, especially with inflation pressures still lingering. Meanwhile, US inflation remains sticky, but with the Fed leaning toward a “higher-for-longer” stance rather than aggressive tightening, the greenback has shown signs of exhaustion against risk-linked currencies like AUD.
Technically, the price has respected the 0.6350 support level and is now forming higher lows. The breakout of the neckline around 0.6450 could accelerate bullish momentum, especially if accompanied by a strong candle close and continued volume confirmation. The next resistance lies at 0.6550, with the larger structure aiming for a test of 0.6700. This aligns with broader market sentiment rotating into commodity currencies, particularly as China stimulus hopes and improving risk appetite lift AUD.
AUDUSD remains one of the more technically clean setups among the majors right now. With a bullish pattern forming, supportive fundamentals, and improving sentiment across risk assets, this is a setup that deserves close attention from traders looking to ride the next impulsive leg to the upside.
Bullish bounce for the Aussi?The price is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st, pullback resistance.
Pivot: 0.6352
1st Support: 0.6292
1st Resistance: 0.6502
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
AUD/USD: Bearish Momentum Loading !!AUD/USD: Bearish Momentum Loading !!
Hey Traders,
Price is now on a major level that was rejected multiple times
We expect price to :
Target : 0.63713
(Not financial advice)
#AUDUSD #Forex #FXTrading #PriceAction #ChoCH #BearishSetup #TechnicalAnalysis #AustralianDollar #USDollar #TradeIdeas
short trade
🟥 Sellside Trade Log
📉 Pair: AUD/USD
🏷️ Type: Intraday | Tokyo Session AM
🧠 Setup: Breakdown from Ascending Channel
🆔 Trade ID: #AUDUSD
📅 Date: Monday, 12th May 2025
🕐 Time: 1:00 AM
🔹 Entry Price: 0.64382
🔹 Profit Target: 0.63714 (-1.04%)
🔹 Stop Loss: 0.64630 (+0.39%)
🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio: 2.69
🔍 Reasoning:
Sellside trade based on a breakdown below an ascending channel. Price failed to sustain support near the upper boundary and broke below the channel, signalling a shift in market structure. This setup confirmed the potential for a move lower, with entry positioned near the breakdown point, targeting the next level of support below the channel.
AUDUSD The Target Is UP! BUY!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on AUDUSD and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 0.6385 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 0.6401
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK