AUDUSD – Swing Point Failure Sell Setup (AUTH Model)AUDUSD just rejected from a significant swing point — not by accident, but through exhaustion. Price tapped into residual liquidity, failed to break continuation structure, and is now reverting to the dominant bias.
Market Breakdown
• Swing Failure: Price attempted to reverse at a key swing high but failed to hold. This is not a pause — it’s a confirmation of bearish control
• AUTH Context: Liquidity was swept above the swing, triggering a sell-side response
• Structure: Clean rejection wick + lower timeframe shift confirms bearish entry logic
• Bias: Weekly and H4 remain bearish, with price likely to return toward value and imbalance zones
Execution Logic
• Entry: After confirmation (internal structure break or supply wick)
• Invalidation: Hold above the failed swing = setup void
• Target: Move into inefficiency, previous demand zones, or deeper support structure
USDAUD trade ideas
AUDUSD InsightHello to all our subscribers.
Please share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to like and subscribe.
Key Points
- Fed Chair Jerome Powell, during his testimony before the House, responded to a question regarding Governor Christopher Waller’s suggestion of a possible July rate cut by stating, “There are a range of possible paths. It’s a possible scenario.” However, the overall tone of the testimony emphasized a wait-and-see stance.
- While there was some noise around the Israel-Iran conflict, it has been confirmed that a ceasefire was agreed upon. The Israeli side stated, “The focus will shift back to Gaza. We will bring the hostages home and dismantle the Hamas regime.”
- Due to the effects of de-dollarization, Australia’s bond market is gaining attention, and Australian government bond yields are on a downward trend.
Major Economic Events This Week
+ June 25: Testimony by Fed Chair Jerome Powell
+ June 26: U.S. Q1 GDP
+ June 27: U.S. May PCE Price Index
AUDUSD Chart Analysis
After a brief pullback, the AUD/USD pair fell to the 0.64000 level but rebounded from that support zone and is now showing an upward trend. A gradual climb is expected to continue, with the anticipated high near the 0.69000 level. However, there is minor resistance around the 0.67000 level, which could lead to a short-term decline, so caution is advised.
Australian dollar jumps on Israel-Iran cease fireThe Australian dollar is up sharply on Tuesday. In the North American session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6504, up 0.70% on the day.
Investors' risk appetite is higher today after Israel and Iran agreed to a ceasefire in their 12-day war. The markets have reacted favorably to lower oil prices as fears that Iran would close the Straits of Hormuz, which would have disrupted global oil supplies, have diminished. Risk appetite has returned and risk currencies like the Australian dollar have posted strong gains today.
The Israel-Iran war has triggered sharp swings in oil prices and there are fears of an oil price shock if the fragile ceasefire does not hold. An oil price shock would send petrol prices higher and boost inflation, complicating the Reserve Bank of Australia's plans to lower interest rates.
Australia CPI expected to ease to 2.3%
Australia releases the May inflation report early on Wednesday. Headline CPI has been stuck at 2.4% for three consecutive months, within the Reserve Bank of Australia's target of 2-3% and its lowest level since Nov. 2024. The market estimate for May stands at 2.3%. Trimmed Mean CPI, a key core inflation indication, edged up to 2.8% from 2.7% in April.
The Reserve Bank will be keeping a close eye on the inflation report, with the central bank making a rate announcement on July 8. The RBA trimmed rates by a quarter-point in May and has shifted to a more dovish stance - the Board discussed a jumbo half-point cut at the May meeting.
Fred Chair Powell appears before Congress today and Wednesday and is likely to defend the Fed's wait-and-see stance. The Fed is concerned about President Trump's tariffs and the Israel-Iran war threatens stability in the Middle East, hardly the recipe for further rate cuts. Still, there appears to be some dissent within the Fed, as two members, Michelle Bowman and Christopher Waller, have suggested that the Fed could lower rates as early as September.
AUD/USD is testing resistance at 0.6490. Above, there is resistance at 0.6522
There is support at 0.6400 and 0.6342
AUDUSD Sellers In Panic! BUY!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the AUDUSD next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 0.6427
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 0.6462
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
AUD/USD 2H | MAKE OR BREAK (Key Edge)🟡 AUD/USD 2H Analysis – June 19, 2025
Bias: Neutral → Reactive (Awaiting Breakout Direction)
Timeframe: 2H
🔍 Market Overview:
AUD/USD is approaching a make-or-break level at the confluence of an ascending trendline and a minor horizontal support around 0.6460–0.6470. This comes after price was rejected from the 2025 high (0.6555) — a significant technical ceiling, labeled as a Possible Reversal Point.
✳️ Technical Structure:
🔵 Upper wedge resistance rejected price twice (0.6555)
🔵 Support trendline has been respected since late May
🟠 Current zone (0.6460) = last line of bullish defense
🔻 Breakdown risk is rising due to lower highs & compression
🔼 Bullish Playbook (Bounce Scenario):
Trigger: Bullish reaction from 0.6460 with strong momentum candle or engulfing
Entry: 0.6465–0.6475
Stop: Below 0.6440
Target 1: 0.6515
Target 2: 0.6555 (2025 High / Upper Wedge Edge)
R/R: ~2.0+
🔽 Bearish Playbook (Breakdown Scenario):
Trigger: 2H close below 0.6455 + retest rejection
Entry: 0.6450–0.6445 on retest
Stop: Above 0.6480
Target 1: 0.6400 (demand zone)
Target 2: 0.6300
R/R: ~2.5+
The next 4–8 candles could define the near-term structure. Respect the edge — react, don’t predict.
Zoom in:
Please Manage Your Risk...
#AUDUSD #MJTRADING #TRADINGVIEW #Chart #Analysis #Forex #Forexsignal #FXSignal
AUD/USD finally ready to take off?Following the collapse in oil prices and the rally in all risk assets, the AUD/USD created a hammer candle on the daily time frame yesterday as it held key support and the 200-day average in the shaded blue area on the chart. We have seen some further upside so far today, suggesting that the AUD/USD may finally be ready to lift off from the congestion zone it has been stuck inside for several weeks now. Immediate upside target is the liquidity resting above 0.6552. Break that then 0.6600 handle will come into focus next. Bias will turn bearish if we close below the shaded blue area in the coming days.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
AUDUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W26 D24 Y25AUDUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W26 D24 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Daily order block
✅1H Order block
✅Intraday breaks of structure
✅4H Order block
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
New Bullish Setup on AUD/USD – Targeting 130+ PipsA new BUY signal has emerged on the AUD/USD chart, signaling potential upward movement.
BUY Signal: Activated at 0.64214, indicating a possible reversal from the recent downtrend after price tapped into a higher-timeframe demand zone.
TP Zones:
TP1: 0.64656
TP2: 0.65097
Final TP: 0.65538
This setup offers a potential profit range of 40 to 130 pips.
Market Structure: Price has broken multiple internal lows, creating BOS (Break of Structure) on the way down, but now shows a possible shift in momentum from a fresh demand zone. The setup suggests a bullish correction or reversal toward the imbalance and supply area above.
Remember to manage your trades carefully and ensure this setup fits your overall strategy. Stay sharp and trade responsibly!
AUDUSD I Monthly CLS I Model 1 I TR - LiquidityHey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument
If you’ve been following me, you already know every setup you see is built around a CLS Footprint, a Key Level, Liquidity and a specific execution model.
If you haven't followed me yet, start now.
My trading system is completely mechanical — designed to remove emotions, opinions, and impulsive decisions. No messy diagonal lines. No random drawings. Just clarity, structure, and execution.
🧩 What is CLS?
CLS is real smart money — the combined power of major investment banks and central banks moving over 6.5 trillion dollars a day. Understanding their operations is key to markets.
✅ Understanding the behavior of CLS allows you to position yourself with the giants during the market manipulations — leading to buying lows and selling highs - cleaner entries, clearer exits, and consistent profits.
📍 Model 1
is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range.
"Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own."
— David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
AUDUSD – Type 2 AUTH Sell Setup (Weekly Bias | Tight Execution)Price is rejecting from a precision-based Type 2 Area of Liquidity (AOL) — a textbook scenario under the AUTH model, backed by higher-timeframe direction.
Breakdown
• Bias: Weekly momentum remains bearish with clean lower highs and fresh structure breaks
• AOL Type 2: Price taps into refined supply zone within premium, mid-volume zone — no excess, no noise
• Execution: Entry confirmed on lower timeframes after micro shift or rejection wick
• Stop Loss: 7 pips only — precise risk, nothing emotional
• Target: Continuation into inefficiency zones and previous internal demand
• Invalidation: Close above AOL structure – no hesitation, no negotiation
Disclaimer: This setup is shared for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Always apply proper risk management and trade responsibly.
AUD/USD Trade Zone!Firstly, we are in a news market right now and news is everything to understanding price action.
After a busy international weekend, AUD/USD opened strong to the sell side. We got the first initial push down last week when Iran attacked Israel. Then, this weekend, Trump struck Iran.
With Trump striking Iran, markets opened bearish initially. After the good news of Iran and Israel coming to peace, we are seeing markets start to rebound a bit.
Where we are currently in the markets is a good structural spot to make some moves. The market has been following a downtrend structure following the Lower-Low, Lower-High pattern and we are currently at the next lower high if the market is going to respect its current market structure.
I am preparing for sells in an overbought market, which is unsure of future international tensions. I am either waiting for a structure break where the gold line indicates or for the market to respect the current structure to play to the low side.
I will be back with future updates.
Precision Rejection: AUD/USD Short in MotionBias: Bearish
Date: June 23, 2025
Timeframe: 1-Hour
⸻
Market Context:
AUD/USD has retraced back into a 1H supply zone between 0.6480–0.6500, where strong institutional selling occurred previously. The recent bounce from 0.6372 appears corrective, driven by short-term USD softness, but the broader structure remains bearish.
This current move is setting up for a liquidity grab above recent highs, creating the ideal conditions for a lower high rejection and a possible selloff back into a large imbalance zone resting below.
This area holds:
• Buy stops from breakout traders
• Trapped long entries from the recent retracement
• Institutional sell-side liquidity
• A visible imbalance gap down to the 0.61143 region, waiting to be filled
⸻
My Analysis and Bias:
I believe AUD/USD is setting up for a liquidity sweep above 0.6480, followed by a sharp rejection. After confirming a lower high and bearish momentum, I’m expecting a clean break of 0.6430 support and continuation toward the imbalance fill at 0.61143.
This is a smart money setup:
1. Price taps into supply and rejects
2. A lower high forms after sweep
3. Bearish structure breaks below 0.6430
4. Price fills imbalance resting around 0.61143
⸻
Entry Plan:
• Primary Entry: 0.6482–0.6485 after rejection from supply
• Confirmation Tools: Rejection wick, bearish engulfing candle, or break of minor structure
• Stop Loss: Above 0.6517 (protective stop above liquidity sweep zone)
⸻
Take Profit Levels:
• TP1: 0.6430 – Breaker structure
• TP2: 0.6380 – Major support
• TP3: 0.6300 – Secondary liquidity pool
• TP4: 0.61143 – Imbalance fill (final target)
⸻
Execution Plan Summary:
• Entry: 0.6482 after rejection or clear confirmation
• SL: ~0.6517
• TPs: 0.6430 → 0.6380 → 0.6300 → 0.61143
• Risk/Reward: ~10:1 potential based on charted range
⸻
Final Thoughts:
“This is a premium setup built around smart money concepts. Market structure, supply rejection, and imbalance alignment are all here. Once confirmation hits, I’ll execute — no guessing.
Trade simple. Live lavish.”
Bullish momentum to rise?The Aussie (AUD/USD) is reacting off the pivot which acts as an overlap resistance and could rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 0.6457
1st Support: 0.6388
1st Resistance: 0.6546
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
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Potential bullish rise?AUD/USD has bounced off the support level which is a pullback support and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6406
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Stop loss: 0.6359
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 0.6512
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
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Trade Idea: Sell AUDUSD (Short-Term Weakness Setup) **📉 Trade Idea: Sell AUDUSD (Short-Term Weakness Setup)**
**Bias:** 🔻 Bearish (Short-Term) | ⚖️ Medium-Term Neutral
**Idea:** Aussie looks shaky — and USD weakness isn’t enough to carry it higher right now
---
### **💡 Why Sell?**
**🇦🇺 AUD Struggling:**
* RBA cut rates to 3.85% and left the door wide open for more 🔓
* China slowdown = bad news for Aussie’s export-linked economy 🐉📉
* Mixed commodity prices (iron ore stable, but others lagging) = no strong support 🛢️⛏️
* Market leaning bearish — rising net shorts and soft sentiment 🧊
**🇺🇸 USD Weak But Still Present:**
* Fed is pausing, not panicking — still no full shift to dovish 🧘
* Real yields down, but not crashing → USD not collapsing 💵
* Safe-haven demand quiet but intact = mild USD cushion 🛡️
---
### **📊 Technical Feel (Not Precise Levels, Just Chart Logic):**
* **Lower highs forming:** Price keeps failing to make new pushes up — structure bending 🧱
* **Weak rallies:** Bulls trying, but no follow-through — candles fading fast 🎈
* **Price hovering near a breakdown zone:** Feels like a floor’s about to give way ⛳
* **Momentum flattening:** RSI & MACD both soft — energy’s draining ⬇️
* **Small body candles stacking:** Choppy indecision = no conviction from buyers 📉
* **Volume light on up-moves:** Nobody’s chasing — a bad sign for continuation 📭
---
### **⚠️ Invalidation Clue:**
> If bulls step in hard with strong green candles and wide ranges → stand aside 📛
> But unless they do, short-term drift lower looks more likely
---
### **🎯 Summary:**
AUDUSD looks unmotivated. AUD is soft across the board, and USD doesn’t need to be strong to take advantage.
If momentum stays weak, this pair likely **grinds lower** before finding any real support.
AudUsd Trade IdeaAU is currently bearish on higher time frames with smaller time frames still respecting a Lower High. If price can give the pullback to retest the LH then we could expect price to continue with bearish structures where a 1:3rr could come into play. We could even expect price to tap back into the previous low or even hit the level I have marked below. We'll see what happens.
Australian Dollar Consolidation Which Way From Here?Hey traders so today we are going to look at the Austrailian Dollar which is now in chart pattern called a Symetrical Triangle.
So how do we know which way to trade the market right now?
We don't so why guess when instead we can wait for the market to confirm which way it wants to go.
These are normally known as a consolidation patterns, and normally they can break out in the direction of the prevailing trend which appears to be bullish. However they can also break against the trend so the best way to trade it is watch which side it breaks then place an order to enter on the side that market breaks out of. The the other side can then become your stop loss because most likely the market won't go to the other side.
For profit target you can measure the distance of the triangle from top to bottom so in this example 183 pips or ticks.
Always use Risk Management! (just in case your wrong in your analysis)
Hope This Helps Your Trading
Clifford