USD /CAD) bearish reversal analysis Read The captionSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of USD/CAD pair on the 2-hour timeframe, suggesting that the price is likely to drop toward the support zone. Here's the detailed idea behind the analysis:
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Chart Breakdown (2H – USD/CAD)
1. Resistance Zone (Yellow Box - Top):
Marked as a strong supply area where price has repeatedly been rejected (highlighted by red arrows).
Acts as a key zone where sellers are in control.
Also aligns with a descending trendline, reinforcing bearish pressure.
2. Support Zone (Yellow Box - Bottom):
This is the target point marked at 1.35387, which previously served as a demand zone.
The chart suggests this level as the next significant area where price might find buyers.
3. Trend Context:
Price is moving within a descending channel (black trendlines), confirming the overall downtrend.
The 200 EMA (1.36834) is acting as dynamic resistance, keeping price under pressure.
4. Projected Move (Blue Box):
Shows a potential drop of ~91 pips toward the support level.
A bearish wave is anticipated as per the black zigzag line on the chart.
5. RSI Indicator:
RSI is near neutral (49.02 and 49.70) — suggesting no overbought/oversold conditions, but confirming lack of bullish momentum.
RSI is aligned with price trending down.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Summary:
Bias: Bearish
Entry Zone: Near current price or minor pullback (1.364–1.365)
Target: 1.35387 (support zone)
Invalidation: Break and close above resistance level / 200 EMA (~1.3685)
Trend: Downtrend within channel
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USDCAD trade ideas
USDCAD I Weekly CLS I Model 1I Target 3M CLS LowHey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument
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is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range.
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USDCAD: Very Bearish PatternThe USDCAD has created a head and shoulders pattern at a significant intraday horizontal resistance.
A bearish breakout from this neckline indicates strong selling pressure, suggesting that the pair is likely to continue declining, potentially reaching at least the 1.3600 level.
USDCAD Bearish Reversal Trade Setup – 3H Chart Analysis (June 26 Entry Zone: 1.37279 – 1.37554
🔹 Stop Loss: 1.37934
🔹 Target: 1.35278
🔹 Risk-to-Reward (RR): ~1:2.5
🧠 Technical Breakdown
Trend Overview:
Overall trend shows a downtrend from earlier June, followed by a corrective bullish move.
Price failed to sustain above the 200 EMA (blue line), indicating continued bearish pressure.
Trade Line Break:
A steep bullish trendline was broken, signaling a potential trend reversal or deeper pullback.
Bearish Rejection Zone:
The purple zone (1.37279 – 1.37554) acted as resistance.
Price formed a lower high and rejected this zone, confirming selling interest.
Entry Strategy:
Short entry is ideally within or just below the rejection zone.
Aggressive entry already in play at current market price (1.36909) after confirmation.
Target Zone:
Projected towards 1.35278, aligning with previous support and fib retracement zone.
Large purple support zone near the target suggests a potential reversal area.
⚠️ Risk Notes
Be cautious of USD volatility due to upcoming economic events (noted with icons on the chart).
Stop loss above previous swing high minimizes risk of fakeouts.
✅ Summary:
This is a bearish swing setup aiming for a significant drop toward 1.35278. The clean rejection from resistance and trendline break supports a high-probability short opportunity with favorable risk-reward.
USDCAD: Price Approaching Buying Zone, Will DXY Bounce Back? The USDCAD pair has dropped significantly in recent times, particularly as the DXY index has plummeted. The extremely bearish nature of the DXY suggests that the price of USDCAD is melting. Both fundamental and technical indicators indicate a potential bullish price reversal for this pair, which could potentially hit our first take-profit area. This is a swing analysis, so please give time for the trade to get activated and for it to work out in our favour.
Please note that this analysis does not guarantee that the price will move as suggested. Before trading, it’s essential to conduct your own research.
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Weekly Forecast Based on Simplified Wave Analysis for USD/CADThe downward wave that formed on the USD/CAD chart tis year has been followed by a corrective move since late May. The pair is largely confined to a sideways price channel. The current wave structure remains incomplete, lacking final segment.
Forecast:
The pair may decline further in the coming days, reaching the support zone. A reversal and upward movement from support may follow. The resistance zone reflects the upper boundary of the pair's expected weekly volatility.
Potential Reversal Zones
Resistance: 1.3800/ 1.3850
Support: 1.3640/ 1.3590
Recommendations:
Selling: Possible intraday in small volumes, not beyond the support zone.
Buying: Consider only after confirmed reversal signals appear near support.
USDCAD long trade setup for this week📈 USDCAD Long Setup Idea – Weekly Play 💯
Here’s a clean bullish setup on USDCAD (2H timeframe) I’m eyeing for this week:
🔹 Key Zones:
- Demand Zone: Strong reaction from the 1.35500–1.36000 area, with price respecting this grey support block multiple times.
- Supply Flip: Previous structure zone turned potential demand.
🔹 Entry:
- Long position placed after liquidity grab and bullish rejection within the demand zone.
- Market structure is beginning to shift bullish after consecutive lower highs and lows broke.
🔹 Risk Management:
- SL below the demand zone at ~1.35512
- TP set near previous high around 1.37960 (resistance zone)
🔹 RRR (Risk to Reward Ratio):
- Solid risk/reward potential on this play – targeting a 3R move if momentum holds.
🔹 Trade Bias:
- Looking for a deeper retracement continuation up, aligning with possible DXY pullback.
- Watching for confirmations like bullish engulfing or structure break for entry trigger.
📊 Stay patient, follow price action, and manage risk properly.
USDCAD 4-hour chart
USDCAD is consistently trading within a clearly defined descending price channel, indicating a prevailing downtrend.
Price action is characterized by a series of lower highs and lower lows, respecting both the upper and lower boundaries of this channel.
The pair has recently encountered resistance near the upper channel boundary, leading to a turn lower.
Based on the established channel, the current price trajectory suggests a potential move towards the lower boundary of the descending channel.
Disclaimer:
The information provided in this chart is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Trading and investing involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this chart does not guarantee any specific outcome or profit and is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this information. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use this information at your own risk. This chart has been created for my own improvement in Trading and Investment Analysis. Please do your own analysis before any investments.
USDCAD Strongest long-term Sell in the market right now.At the beginning of the year (January 15, see chart below), we made an unpopular bearish call at the time, hinting that the USDCAD pair was approaching its Resistance Zone, hence a multi-year Top was in order:
As you can see, the moment the price hit that Resistance Zone, it got instantly rejected and a new Bearish Leg started, which has extended up to this day. This time we view this on the 1M time-frame where the Support levels are more clearly illustrated.
More particularly, the 1M MA50 (blue trend-line) poses as the first one, in fact it has been holding since September 2022. Our Target is still located at 1.26000, which is marginally above the 0236 Fibonacci level, which has been the 1st Target during both previous Bearish Legs. Also it is where the 1M MA200 (orange trend-line) is headed to, and there are high chances of a long-term bounce there.
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Should we keep an eye on it?!Hello friends..
This week we should be more on the chart, because most of the charts are in an attractive range for trading.
What our team sees is that the chart (US Dollar to Canadian Dollar) has hit a good range that we previously identified in the daily time frame and has managed to change the trend from a bearish to an upward trend. In the 4-hour time frame, the price shows us the trend change. Now we have to wait and look for a buy trade in the specified range.
The target for this trade can also be 1.3924.
It should be noted that as long as the price does not break the swing low (the line at the bottom) with the candle body, the trend remains upward.
So this week you can put this chart on your watch list.
You can follow our page to see more analysis.
Lingrid | USDCAD Support Level Bounce OpportunityThe price perfectly fulfilled my last idea . FX:USDCAD is attempting to stabilize after a sharp drop from the 1.3696 resistance area, approaching the lower boundary of the falling wedge pattern. The price is testing the 1.3600–1.3550 support band, aligned with the blue descending trendline and historical pivot zones. A bullish rebound here could push the pair back toward 1.3696, while failure to hold exposes 1.3500 and lower.
📈 Key Levels
Buy zone: 1.3550–1.3600
Sell trigger: breakdown below 1.3550
Target: 1.3696
Buy trigger: breakout and retest of 1.3625–1.3650 zone
💡 Risks
Bearish momentum continuation toward 1.3500 if bounce fails
Weak volume recovery may trap buyers near 1.3620
Rejection near descending red trendline can maintain bearish pressure
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Bearish continuation?The Loonie (USD/CAD) has rejected off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 1.3732
1st Support: 1.3431
1st Resistance: 1.3974
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Falling towards 50% Fibonacci support?The Loonie (USD/CAD) is falling towards, the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could bounce to the 61.8% Fibonacci resistance.
Pivot: 1.3623
1st Support: 1.3579
1st Resistance: 1.3695
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish bounce?USD/CAD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3553
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension.
Stop loss: 1.3510
Why we like it:
There is a support level at the 78.6% Fibonacci projection.
Take profit: 1.3661
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bearish drop?USD/CAD is reacting off the resistance level which is pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3690
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.3797
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
Take profit: 1.3555
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
#USDCAD: 1000+ Pips Big Bullish Move With Three TargetsThe USDCAD is currently in a bearish trend since the day has dropped significantly and is still falling. We anticipate the price to drop slightly more before it reaches our entry zone. There are two entry points, and you can choose either one that aligns with your views. There are three targets, and you can set take profit targets that suit you best.
Good luck and trade safely.
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