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USDCAD trade ideas

USDCAD - Is History Repeating Itself?Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈 USDCAD has been overall bullish , trading within the rising wedge pattern marked in blue. Today, USDCAD broke above its previous major high (marked in red). 🏹 As it retests this previous high, it will also intersect with the lower blue trendline, which acts as a dynamic support level. 📚 According to my trading style: As #USDCAD approaches the red zone, I'll be watching for bullish reversal setups—such as a double bottom pattern, a trendline break, and more. 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by TheSignalyst
5
US Dollar demand persists....for now | FX ResearchUS durable goods and consumer confidence data came in softer on Tuesday but did nothing to prevent the US dollar from rallying. In the end, everything has come down to tariff talk out of the US government, and with the Trump Administration continuing to talk tough on tariffs, the US dollar is the natural play. It is also worth noting that many market participants were quick to highlight a solid US durable goods reading when the volatile transportation components were stripped out. Moving on, there have been concerns about the German growth outlook, the Bank of Canada announced a new repo facility, the BOJ minutes showed more room for additional rate hikes, and Aussie inflation data came out on the softer side. Looking at the calendar for the remainder of the day, key standouts include German consumer confidence, the US Advanced Goods trade balance, wholesale inventories, a BOE Bailey speech, the Bank of Canada policy decision, and the FOMC decision late in the day. Exclusive FX research from LMAX Group Market Strategist, Joel Kruger
by BlackBull_Markets
USD/CAD "The Loonie" Forex Market Bullish Heist PlanDear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the USD/CAD "The Loonie" Forex market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the breakout (1.45100) then make your move - Bullish profits await!" however I advise placing Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest. Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 4H period, the recent / nearest low or high level. Goal 🎯: 1.48000 (or) Escape Before the Target Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, Sentimental Outlook: 🟣 Fundamental and Macroeconomic Analysis US Dollar (USD): The USD remains strong due to the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance. The Fed has signaled potential rate hikes or prolonged higher rates to combat inflation, which supports the USD. Recent US economic data (e.g., strong labor market, resilient GDP growth) reinforces the Fed's tightening bias. Upcoming US CPI and PPI data will be critical. Higher-than-expected inflation could further boost the USD. Canadian Dollar (CAD): The CAD is influenced by oil prices (Canada is a major oil exporter). Crude oil prices have been volatile due to geopolitical tensions and OPEC+ production cuts, but recent stabilization around 80−85/barrel provides some support. The Bank of Canada (BoC) has paused rate hikes, citing slowing inflation and economic growth. This dovish stance weakens the CAD relative to the USD. Canada’s upcoming employment and GDP data will be key. Weakness in these metrics could further weigh on the CAD. Key Drivers: Interest Rate Differential: The Fed’s hawkishness vs. the BoC’s dovishness favors USD strength. Oil Prices: A sustained rise in oil prices could support the CAD, but current levels are not enough to offset USD strength. Economic Data: Strong US data vs. weaker Canadian data could widen the USD/CAD upside. 🟢 Commitments of Traders (COT) Report The latest COT data shows: Commercial Traders (Hedgers): Increasing long positions in the CAD, suggesting they expect some CAD strength or USD weakness in the medium term. Non-Commercial Traders (Speculators): Net long on USD, reflecting bullish sentiment toward the USD. Retail Positioning: Retail traders are heavily short on USD/CAD, which often acts as a contrarian indicator, suggesting further upside potential for USD/CAD. 🔵 Market Sentiment and Positioning Sentiment: The market is broadly bullish on the USD due to the Fed’s stance and strong US economic data. The CAD is viewed as vulnerable due to the BoC’s pause and reliance on oil prices, which are not currently providing enough support. 🟤 Positioning: Institutional investors are net long USD/CAD, aligning with the fundamental outlook. Retail traders are net short, which could lead to a squeeze higher if the USD continues to strengthen. 🔴 Market Sentiment and Positioning: COT Data: Non-commercial traders (speculators) are net long on USD, reflecting bullish sentiment. Retail traders are net short on USD/CAD, which often acts as a contrarian indicator (bullish for USD/CAD). Institutional Positioning: Institutional investors are net long USD/CAD, aligning with the fundamental outlook. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions. 📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. 💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤗
Long
by Thief_Trader
2
USDCAD Bullish Flag Breakout and Uptrend PotentialUSDCAD is currently trading at 1.45200, showing a bullish outlook. The expected target price is 1.48590, indicating a potential gain of 300+ pips. A bullish flag pattern has already broken out, confirming strong upward momentum. This breakout suggests that buyers are in control and may push the price higher. The price action aligns with technical analysis, supporting a continued uptrend. Traders anticipate further bullish movement toward the target. Proper risk management is essential to navigate any pullbacks. Monitoring key resistance levels and market conditions is crucial. A sustained rally above the breakout zone can strengthen bullish confidence. Patience and discipline will be key in managing this trade effectively.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
1
Market Insights with Gary Thomson: 27 - 31 JanuaryMarket Insights with Gary Thomson: BoC, Fed & ECB Interest Rates, PCE Price Index, Earnings Reports In this video, we’ll explore the key economic events, market trends, and corporate news shaping the financial landscape. Get ready for expert insights into forex, commodities, and stocks to help you navigate the week ahead. Let’s dive in! In this episode: - BoC Interest Rate Decision - Fed Interest Rate Decision - ECB Interest Rate Decision - US PCE Price Index - Corporate Earnings Statements Don’t miss out—gain insights to stay ahead in your trading journey. 🌐 FXOpen official website: www.fxopen.com CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing your money.
by FXOpen
3
USD/CAD Daily AnalysisPrice has been moving in a steady uptrend since the last quarter of 2024 with the big number 1.4600 next in sight. However, an observation to note is that that the MACD has recently made a lower high, contradicting what is happening with price. We call this divergence and it's a sign that in this case buyers may be losing their grip of the market. We could see either a short term or longer term sell off, but while price remains above the swing low of 1.42612, it would be advisable to remain patient and wait for a sell setup below this key price point.
by FusionMarkets
1
Trump’s Tariffs Push USD/CAD to a 22-Year HighTrump’s Tariffs Push USD/CAD to a 22-Year High As promised during his election campaign, US President Donald Trump introduced tariffs just two weeks after his inauguration: → 25% on goods from Canada and Mexico, prompting both countries to vow retaliatory measures. → 10% on Chinese goods, with China announcing plans to challenge the decision at the World Trade Organization. The tariffs will take effect on 4 February. Trump acknowledged potential economic pain but justified the measures as necessary to combat illegal immigration and drug trafficking, arguing that the long-term benefits would outweigh the costs. Trump’s decision: → Led to a decline in US stock indices, as analysts fear a potential trade war and global stagflation (sluggish economic growth amid high inflation). Further tariffs on Europe may follow. → Strengthened the US dollar, which gained around 1% against major currencies. According to the USD/CAD chart, the Canadian dollar is trading around 1.4700 against the US dollar—a level last seen in early 2003. On 30 January, our USD/CAD technical analysis highlighted the significance of a key trendline supporting the uptrend since last autumn. Now, by drawing a parallel line through December’s peak (A), we can identify a resistance level where the pair is currently stabilising. A large bullish gap has also formed on the chart. The lower boundary around 1.4600 may act as technical support in the short term, though broader price movements will likely be driven by fundamental factors. Trade on TradingView with FXOpen. Consider opening an account and access over 700 markets with tight spreads from 0.0 pips and low commissions from $1.50 per lot. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
USD/CAD Chart Analysis Following Bank of Canada’s Rate CutUSD/CAD Chart Analysis Following Bank of Canada’s Rate Cut Unlike the Federal Reserve, which opted to leave its monetary policy unchanged, the Bank of Canada cut its interest rate yesterday. According to Forex Factory, as expected by analysts, the Overnight Rate was lowered by 25 basis points from 3.25% to 3.00%. According to Reuters: → The Bank of Canada reduced interest rates to support the economy ahead of anticipated US trade tariffs. → This weakened the Canadian dollar, as the gap between Canadian and US bond yields widened. → Market participants estimate a 41% probability that the Bank of Canada will cut rates again in March. → The depreciation of the Canadian dollar is also influenced by oil prices (one of Canada’s key export commodities), which have fallen by over 8% since their mid-January peak. Technical analysis of the USD/CAD chart indicates that the Canadian dollar’s exchange rate against the US dollar is forming a “Megaphone” pattern, with price action demonstrating the presence of selling pressure. On 21 January, sellers sharply pushed the price down from the psychological level of 1.4500, and yesterday, the price made a bearish reversal from 1.4450. There is a possibility that seller activity could drive USD/CAD lower towards a key trendline (marked in grey) that has been forming since the second half of 2024. Trade on TradingView with FXOpen. Consider opening an account and access over 700 markets with tight spreads from 0.0 pips and low commissions from $1.50 per lot. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
USD/CAD: Will the CAD Recover After Trump's Tariff Plans?A bombshell announcement from US President Donald Trump sparked chaos in the foreign exchange markets, as he hinted at imposing 25% tariffs on imports from Canada and Mexico as early as February. The news sent the Canadian Dollar plummeting to multi-year lows against its US peer, while the US Dollar staged a modest recovery from its overnight slump. The Canadian Dollar (CAD) found itself under intense selling pressure as investors scrambled to reassess the country's economic prospects in light of Trump's protectionist policies. The currency's decline raised fresh concerns about the country's trade relationships and the potential impact on economic growth. Meanwhile, the US Dollar (USD) rallied, shrugging off its overnight dip to a two-week low. Market analysts expect Trump's policies to fuel inflation and force the Federal Reserve (Fed) to maintain its hawkish stance, which could boost the value of the US currency. From a technical perspective, the CAD's price chart is currently trading near a critical supply area around 1.4425. Our analysis suggests that the price has reached a turning point after rejecting the key resistance level of 1.4500. We are looking for a bearish reversal, which could set the stage for further declines in the Canadian Dollar. The implications of Trump's tariff threat are far-reaching and have significant implications for Canada's economy. As the situation continues to unfold, investors will be watching the markets closely for any signs of a bearish reversal in the Canadian Dollar. ✅ Please share your thoughts about USD/CAD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Short
by FOREXN1
14
USDCAD: Channel Up negated. Bearish reversal started.USDCAD is marginally bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 56.879, MACD = 0.003, ADX = 32.215) as it is still being supported by the 1D MA50, but since January 20th, it crossed under the 4 month Channel Up and today it retested it from below and is so far failing. This is an early signal that the medium term trend has shifted to bearish. We are short, targeting the 1D MA200 near the S2 level (TP = 1.39650). See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Short
by InvestingScope