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U.S. Dollar / Canadian Dollar

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USDCAD trade ideas

USD/CAD - Bearish Flag (04.06.2025)The USD/CAD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Bearish Flag Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.3645 2nd Support – 1.3605 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
60
USDCAD Price Rebounding from Key Support as CAD WeakensUSDCAD is showing signs of a potential reversal from key support around the 1.3700–1.3685 zone. The pair had been declining steadily but recent weakness in the Canadian Dollar — driven by soft economic data and oil market uncertainty — is starting to shift momentum back in favor of the U.S. Dollar. As long as support holds, there is room for a bullish continuation toward 1.3860 or higher in the near term. Technical Analysis (4H Chart) Trend Structure: After a strong impulsive drop earlier in May, USDCAD formed a rounded bottom near 1.3685, followed by a corrective bounce. The recent retracement toward the support area is forming a potential higher low setup. Support Zone: Primary Support: 1.3700–1.3685 This is a clean structure zone and previous demand level. Price tested this area on May 24–25 and rebounded sharply. Resistance Zone: Short-Term Target: 1.3849–1.3860 This is the next major horizontal resistance, and aligns with previous price congestion before the latest decline. Price Projection: The chart suggests a bullish wave may develop from the support zone, targeting the 1.3860 level. If broken, a further move toward 1.3920 (May swing high) is possible. Invalidation Level: A daily close below 1.3680 would negate the bullish bias and signal a deeper correction or trend continuation lower. Fundamental Analysis U.S. Dollar (USD) Drivers: Q1 GDP second estimate shows steady but modest growth. Consumer Confidence fell recently, capping upside for the USD short term. The Fed remains cautious, signaling that inflation risks persist — keeping interest rates elevated, which supports USD. U.S. Treasury yields have been stable to slightly higher, also helping support the dollar. Canadian Dollar (CAD) Drivers: Canada's balance of payments posted a larger-than-expected deficit in Q1 — a negative for CAD. Oil prices, which heavily influence CAD, have been under pressure from global demand uncertainty. Domestic demand is softening: flat retail sales and weak trade balance data reduce CAD appeal. Bank of Canada is showing signs of policy caution, especially as inflation slows faster than in the U.S. Conclusion Outlook: Short-term bullish USDCAD is likely to bounce from the 1.3700–1.3685 zone and retest 1.3849–1.3860 if CAD weakness continues. Trade Plan (if trading): Buy Zone: 1.3700–1.3685 Target: 1.3860 Stop Loss: Below 1.3680 (structure break) The pair is fundamentally supported by CAD weakness and technically primed for a rebound — but confirmation from price action near support is critical.
Long
by ultreosforex
18
USDCAD Rebound from Key Support – Bullish Setup in PlayUSDCAD pair has reached a technical inflection point at key support around 1.3700, where it is attempting a rebound after several days of bearish momentum. With recent Canadian data showing underlying economic strain and the U.S. dollar reacting to rate expectations and tariff news, this area becomes crucial for the next directional move. 🔍 Technical Analysis Support Level: Price has respected the horizontal support at 1.3700–1.3685, forming a possible double-bottom structure on the 4H chart. Bullish Reversal Zone: The latest candle shows a strong rejection wick at the support zone, suggesting bullish interest. The structure aligns with a classic bullish reversal pattern. Target Zones: First TP: 1.3849 (previous high / supply zone). Second TP: 1.3860–1.3870 (Fibonacci extension + minor resistance). Invalidation (SL): Below 1.3685, further downside may open to 1.3632. 🧠 Fundamental Context U.S. Side: GDP and NFP data have recently come out mixed, reducing the immediate pressure on the Fed to hike rates further. Tariff uncertainty and appeal plans by the Trump administration are increasing near-term USD volatility. US bond yields are firming again, giving the dollar mild support. Canada Side: Canadian Q1 GDP disappointed at 0.1%, lower than expected. BoC is likely to hold rates steady, but the economy shows weak business investment and softening consumption growth. Crude oil, Canada’s key export, is still under pressure, slightly weakening CAD. ✅ Conclusion This setup favors a short-term long on USDCAD from current levels, targeting the upper resistance zone at 1.3849–1.3860. A break and close above 1.3870 could extend toward 1.3900. However, caution should be exercised with upcoming U.S. labor and trade data that may fuel volatility.
Long
by ultreosforex
10
USD/CAD..1Week chart pattern.potentially significant breakdown on the USDCAD weekly chart—if price has decisively broken below a long-standing ascending trendline, that can be a strong signal of trend reversal or deeper correction. Let's assess your trade setup: --- 🟦 Trade Plan Summary Entry: Short at 1.3700 (current position) Trigger: Confirmation of trendline break 1st Target (TP1): 1.3020 2nd Target (TP2): 1.2500 Stop Loss (Suggested): Ideally somewhere above 1.3750–1.3800, depending on volatility/tolerance. --- 📊 Technical Breakdown 1. Trendline Break (Weekly): If the trendline held since 2021–2022 was broken, this confirms a structural shift. Weekly closes below the trendline reinforce the signal; daily retests that reject it would strengthen your case. 2. 1.3020 Target Zone: This is a strong support area, previously tested multiple times (May 2023 and early 2022). It aligns with fib retracement zones and horizontal demand. 3. 1.2500 Target: A more aggressive downside target, likely needing a strong USD selloff or major CAD strength (e.g., oil rally or BoC hawkishness). --- 🔍 Key Considerations Risk-Reward: From 1.3700 to 1.2500 is a 1,200 pip move. Even to 1.3020 gives ~680 pips. Depending on SL, this can be a 3–6:1 RR. CAD Drivers: Crude oil strength boosts CAD. Watch Bank of Canada rate decisions and inflation data. USD Factors: A shift in Fed tone toward rate cuts will weaken USD. Upcoming NFP, CPI, and Fed meetings are key. --- ✅ Trade Management Tip If price breaks decisively below 1.3600 with strong volume and doesn't reclaim that level, consider: Scaling in (if not fully positioned), Trailing stop loss as it approaches 1.3300 (mid-support), Taking partial profit at 1.3020 and letting the rest ride to 1.2500. Would you like a chart analysis or trade calculator for this setup? I can also generate a chart with key levels marked if you upload your chart screenshot or describe the trendline.
Short
by Algo_Trading_Mql5
17
USD/CAD) Bearish trand analysis Read The captionSMC trading point update Technical analysis of USD/CAD on the 3-hour timeframe reflects a bearish market outlook. Here’s a breakdown of the idea: --- Trend Overview: The pair is in a clear downtrend, confirmed by: Lower highs and lower lows Price trading below the 200 EMA A bearish flag pattern in play --- Key Zones & Levels: 1. Resistance Zones (Yellow boxes): Upper zone (~1.3835 area): Previously tested and rejected (marked by the red arrow). Mid-zone (~1.3745 area): Labeled as a resistance level, previously support turned resistance. 2. Support Zone: The price is heading toward a projected target point at ~1.35584, which aligns with previous support. --- Bearish Confirmation: The price attempted a retracement but failed to break above the resistance level. The structure shows a bearish continuation pattern, suggesting a move downward is likely. --- Indicators: RSI (Relative Strength Index): Currently near 37, not oversold yet, but suggests bearish momentum is still strong. Also shows slight bearish divergence (lower highs on RSI while price was consolidating). --- Projection/Trade Idea: Scenario: Break and retest of the current level (~1.3679), with a continuation to the target at 1.35584. Risk Areas: Any break above 1.3745 could invalidate the setup. Confirmation: A clean bearish candle below the minor support could confirm entry for short sellers. Mr SMC Trading point --- Summary: This is a supply-and-demand + structure-based bearish setup. The market is showing weakness below resistance, and the next logical target is 1.35584, barring any macroeconomic reversal (e.g., USD or CAD news). Please support boost 🚀 this analysis)
Short
by SMC-Trading-Point
12
USD/CAD..30M chart bearish flag pattern.Looking at the chart I'm provided, here's a quick technical breakdown: --- 📉 Chart Analysis Pair: Likely USDCAD (based on visible digits and style). Pattern: Bearish rising channel has broken down. Breakdown Confirmed: Price has clearly broken below the lower channel support, with bearish continuation signs. Ichimoku Cloud: Price has moved below the Kumo (cloud), which confirms downside momentum. Red Arrows & Levels: You've drawn a zigzag-style projection with two target zones marked. --- 🎯 Identified Target Levels (approximate) Based on your chart's drawing and current price (1.3710): 1. Target 1: Around 1.3660 2. Target 2: Around 1.3620 These correspond to the two red horizontal lines marked "TARGET" in your chart. --- ✅ Summary Sell Bias Active Target 1: 1.3660 Target 2: 1.3620 Invalidation (Stop Loss suggestion): Above 1.3745–1.3755 zone (back inside channel or Kumo) Would you like a more precise projection using Fibonacci levels or a cleaned-up chart version with these targets plotted clearly?
Short
by RSI_Trading_point
9
USDCAD MARKET ANALYSIS AND PRICE PREDICTIONUSDCAD , has retested the rejection and order zone. Price has already grabbed the Sell Side liquidity and upward movement is mostly certain. An institutional Buy order is going to push the price up. The first target is the breaker block at the renegotiation trend line at 1.37837, and the second target is the renegotiation resistance at 1.38595 to clear off the Buy side liquidity. Entry is now. Entry, take profits and stop loss are clearly stated on the chats. GOOD LUCK GUYS! DIDCLAIMER This analysis might fail due to market uncertainties. Take full responsibility of your capital and manage your own risk!
Long
by Akpambang
5
USDCAD: Bearish After the News 🇺🇸🇨🇦 USDCAD looks bearish after a release of today's fundamental news. A bearish breakout of a rising channel on a 4h time frame and a strong selling reaction after its retest provide a reliable bearish continuation. I think that the price may drop to 1.3743 support. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by VasilyTrader
2
A Different Way To Use the RSI To Trade Deceleration Patterns A deceleration pattern is a pattern that forms at the end of a directional move as it starts to lose steam. 2 good ones to learn are the rising/falling wedge & channel. The problem wit these patterns however, is that it can sometimes be difficult to tell when that final reversal may come backing it hard to place stops. Lately, and by that I mean for the past year or so, I've been tracking a very specific pattern on the RSI (Relative Strength Index) indicator to help me with these situations. Please LIKE & SHARE and if you have any questions or comments, leave them below Akil
Long
by Akil_Stokes
4
USDCAD Makes Retest At 200 EMA After Bull Trap BreakoutOANDA:USDCAD here on the 1Hr Chart has printed an Ascending Channel and Bears have made a Breakout! Price currently looks to be on its way to retesting the Breakout of the Channel with the 200 EMA and Upper Bollinger Bands sitting at the Rising Support adding some heavy Bearish Pressure. Fundamentally, BOC will be releasing GDP m/m ( Gross Domestic Product ) numbers tomorrow morning at 0730 AM CST with analysts forecasting a .3% Increase at .1% with Previous being -0.2%.
Short
by Novi_Fibonacci
4
Bearish momentum to meet support on USDCAD: Looking for a bounceEvening, just wanted to share what I’m seeing on the USDCAD chart Price on USDCAD has been in clear bearish momentum, but we’re now approaching a strong support zone, that’s held firm multiple times before, as I marked it on my chart. Price is approaching the zone again and I am taking it into account for a potential bounce. I’ll be watching for bullish confirmation as usual requirement before entering. If that support holds, I’m targeting 1.38400 , totally achievable if momentum shifts. BUT, if this zone breaks with momentum, I’ll reassess it and stay flexible. 💡 Reminder: Patience is power, no entry until price shows me something worth reacting to. This is not financial advice.
Long
by TrendDiva
12
Falling towards overlap support?The Loonie (USD/CAD) is falling towards the pivot, which has been identified as an overlap support and could bounce to the 1st resistance, which is a pullback resistance. Pivot: 1.3602 1st Support: 1.3420 1st Resistance: 1.3843 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
1
USD/CAD downhill from here?C$1.3945 was made short work of in April and retested as resistance in May, following a fourth consecutive month in the red. Technically speaking, the scope to explore deeper water is evident on the monthly scale until C$1.3534, followed by another layer of support from C$1.3242. In view of this, as well as the lack of bullish intent evident from trendline support on the daily chart last week, extended from the low of C$1.2007, a breakout lower here could trigger further downside towards a daily support area between C$1.3550 and C$1.3601. Written by FP Markets Chief Market Analyst Aaron Hill
Short
by FPMarkets
2
USDCAD massive breakout on Friday? - superswingI´m expecting massive breakout of this pair on Friday due to US (and CAD) NFP. If you decide to trade this pair, you can enter now at current market price 1,38218 or wait for premium-rejection zone at 1,39300-600. Personally I will use the 1. option and average higher if market let me. Use logical size to trade this idea. Every red line is a rejection zone, so TP your trade partially at these line. Do not try to reach the final target with full size. You can consider to trail your profit by moving the SL continuously down when red line is reached. Wish you good luck.
Short
by Rendon1
1
USD/CAD Holds Near 2025 LowUSD/CAD Holds Near 2025 Low As the chart shows, the USD/CAD exchange rate hit its lowest level of 2025 on 2nd June, nearing the 1.3680 mark. Although there was a partial recovery on 3rd June, it was not substantial. These fluctuations reflect market participants’ cautious sentiment ahead of key announcements scheduled for today, 4th June: → At 15:15 (GMT+3), the ADP Employment Change figures will be released, offering insight into the US employment situation. Traders are concerned as the previous reading was only +61K — a sharp contrast to the consistent triple-digit increases seen throughout 2024. → At 16:45 (GMT+3), the Bank of Canada will announce its interest rate decision. According to ForexFactory, analysts expect the overnight rate to remain unchanged at 2.75%, though surprises cannot be ruled out. Technical Analysis of USD/CAD Since the second half of April, the price has been moving within a downward channel (marked in red), largely influenced by tariff-related developments in US-Canada trade relations. Bulls are attempting to prevent further decline, taking advantage of the support provided by the channel’s lower boundary. Note the sharp rebound following a failed bearish breakout (marked with an arrow), which suggests strong demand around the 1.3700 level. On the other hand, bears have gained control over the 1.3800 level, based on the following: → The exchange rate found local support at this level on 29th May, but it was breached on 30th May. → The drop from 30th May was notably aggressive, indicating strong selling pressure. Given the above, it is reasonable to assume that if, following today’s news, the USD/CAD rate remains within the 1.3700–1.3800 range, it may signal that supply and demand have reached a stable balance. This could suggest that the pair is ready to stabilise after the intense volatility seen in the first half of April. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen