USDCADHello Traders!
What are your thoughts on USD/CAD?
After its recent decline, USD/CAD has reached the bottom of the descending channel and a key support zone.
This area may act as a strong support, and we expect a bullish reaction from here.
We anticipate a bounce from this support zone, with the price potentially rising at least toward the specified target level.
Will USD/CAD hold the support and rebound, or break lower? Share your thoughts below!
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USDCAD trade ideas
USD/CAD Breakout Pattern (15.04.2025)The USD/CAD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 1.4034
2nd Resistance – 1.4131
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#USDCAD: We took the Swing Sell, Now let's focus on Swing Buy! The USD/CAD exchange rate experienced a significant decline, reaching its all-time high against the USD. This decline is primarily attributed to the ongoing trade dispute between China and the United States, which has led to a depreciation of the USD and resulted in a yearly low.
However, we anticipate a potential reversal in the price trajectory. We identify a favourable area where the price may stabilise and address the liquidity gap it has created.
We have established three targets, and to effectively utilise these targets, we recommend executing small entries with each target set based on a predetermined take-profit level.
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USDCAD DUE FOR RELIEF THIS WEEKUSDCAD is approaching major weekly support after the multiple weeks of a sell of off; in line with a .618 fibronacci retracement. Although as price rest on this level of demand, it will need a few days to mature.
-On the daily time frame we see an overextension to the downside as the RSI nears 30 with levels in line with weekly as well.
-Personally I'll be waiting for price to mature on the 4hr timeframe to take entry on some buys.
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USDCAD Selling not over yet.Last time we looked at the USDCAD pair (March 21, see chart below), we got the most optimal sell entry that easily hit our 1.4000 Target:
As the price broke below its 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) having made a significant correction since the February 03 High, we believe there is more selling to be made at least on the short-term.
That is because the Higher Lows Zone that started on the May 2021 market bottom, hasn't yet been tested and since December 2023, the market always broke inside it before rebounding.
As a result, we expect a new rejection on the 1D MA200, delivering a 1.38200 Target.
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USDJPY and USDCAD analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
USDCAD - Long-Term Long!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈USDCAD has been overall bullish from a macro perspective trading within the rising blue channel.
This week, USDCAD has been in a correction phase trading within the falling red channel.
Moreover, the green zone is a strong resistance turned support.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of support and lower red/blue trendlines acting non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #USDCAD approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
3 Tips to Make Trading EasierTrading is such a strange beast—both extremely difficult and unparalleled in its simplicity.
Sometimes, we find ourselves floating in effortless flow. Other times, we’re stuck in a storm of confusion, frustration, or overconfidence.
And it’s in these oscillations—the swing between extremes—where the true difficulty lies.
On one end, we show the market less respect than it demands.
On the other, we freeze in fear or get swept away in frustration and rage.
Managing these extremes is part of the trader’s job.
Managing them well… is an art form.
Here are 3 foundational tools that have helped me:
⸻
1. Find. Your. Rhythm.
Each of us is wired differently. Our biochemistry, personality traits, and preferences are all unique—and they absolutely affect how we trade.
Some traders thrive on high-frequency scalping.
Others wait patiently for a single swing setup.
Some feel energized after 6 hours of screen time.
Others burn out after one intense hour.
If you don’t understand your personal rhythm, you’ll constantly be misaligned—not just with your strategy, but with your life.
Workaholics may get bored and start forcing trades.
Laid-back traders may overcommit and burn out fast.
Rhythm isn’t just about preference—it’s about sustainability.
⸻
2. Practice Tolerating Discomfort.
Trading is uncomfortable.
Let’s be real—90% of it ranges from mildly uneasy to outright agonizing.
Practicing discomfort outside of trading has made a huge difference for me:
Cold plunges.
Sadhu boards.
Early morning wake-ups.
Cardio.
Even practicing restraint during family arguments.
These things teach you to sit with that gnawing feeling and not act impulsively.
They train your nervous system to stay stable under pressure.
Trading may not get “easier,” but your capacity for difficulty increases—so it starts to feel easier.
⸻
3. Plan Is Everything.
Trading becomes way simpler when you just show up to execute a plan.
If your plan says there are no trades today—then walk away.
If your plan says take two trades—then take them.
Win or lose, outsource the result to the plan, not to your self-worth.
Then, at the end of a set period (ideally written into the plan), review your execution.
Were you compliant?
What can be adjusted?
A good plan + rhythm alignment + discomfort tolerance = consistency.
⸻
Trading is obviously more complex than three bullet points can capture—but the foundation you can build from these is immense.
Thanks for reading.
Happy trading.
—Lightwork_
Could the Loonie bounce from here?The price is currently at the pivot which is an overlap support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.3876
1st Support: 1.3602
1st Resistance: 1.4147
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USD/CAD H4 | Potential bearish continuation?USD/CAD could rise towards a swing-high resistance and potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 1.3969 which is a swing-high resistance.
Stop loss is at 1.4070 which is a level that sits above the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement and a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 1.3839 which is a swing-low support.
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USDCAD FORCAST BULLISH 100PIPSThe USDCAD pair could be poised for a 100-pip bullish move based on current technical and fundamental factors. Here’s the analysis:
Key Reasons for a Bullish Outlook:
Technical Setup:
Support Holding: If USDCAD is bouncing off a key support level (e.g., 1.3500 or 1.3600), a rebound toward 1.3700-1.3750 (+100 pips) is possible.
RSI/Oversold Bounce: If the RSI was near 30 (oversold), a reversal could trigger a short-term rally.
Break of a Downtrend Line: A breakout above a descending trendline could signal bullish momentum.
Fundamental Drivers:
Stronger USD: If the Fed maintains a hawkish stance (delaying rate cuts), the USD could strengthen.
Weaker CAD: If oil prices decline (CAD is oil-linked) or Canadian economic data disappoints, USDCAD could rise.
Price Action & Key Levels:
Entry Zone: 1.3600-1.3650 (if holding as support).
Target: 1.3700-1.3750 (+100 pips).
Stop Loss: Below 1.3550 (if support breaks).
Trade Plan:
Buy Zone: 1.3600-1.3650
Take Profit: 1.3700-1.3750 (+100 pips)
Stop Loss: 1.3550 (50-pip risk)
Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2 (favorable).
Caution:
USDCAD - Bank of Canada keeps interest rates unchanged!The USDCAD pair is below the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is in its descending channel. The continuation of the downward movement of this pair will provide us with a buying position with a good risk-reward ratio. If the correction continues, we can sell within the specified supply zone.
On Wednesday, oil prices climbed by approximately 1%, driven by renewed optimism in the markets regarding potential trade talks between the United States and China. However, lingering concerns about the trade war’s negative effects on global energy demand limited further gains in oil prices.Initially, oil prices declined, but market sentiment shifted after Bloomberg reported—citing an anonymous source—that China was seeking greater respect from the Trump administration before agreeing to new negotiations. The same source also stated that China had requested a new outreach from the U.S. to initiate the discussions.
Giovanni Staunovo, an analyst at UBS, commented that easing trade tensions between the two nations could help reduce constraints on economic growth and energy demand, potentially exerting downward pressure on oil prices.
Meanwhile, the International Energy Agency (IEA) reported that global oil demand is expected to rise by just 730,000 barrels per day this year—well below both its previous projections and those of OPEC.
In a new report, the Fitch rating agency warned that the intensifying global trade war has significantly weakened the outlook for economic growth. According to the report, China’s economic growth will fall below 4% in both this year and the next, while the eurozone is projected to grow by less than 1%.
Fitch further estimates that global economic growth in 2025 will fall below 2%, marking the weakest performance since 2009 (excluding the COVID-19 pandemic period).
Despite the sharp decline in the U.S. growth outlook, Fitch expects the Federal Reserve to delay any interest rate cuts until Q4 of 2025. Conversely, deeper rate cuts are anticipated for the European Central Bank and emerging market economies.
In the energy sector, Fitch lowered its short-term oil price forecast due to risks stemming from weaker demand and trade disruptions but left its natural gas price forecast unchanged.
Additionally, the Bank of Canada maintained its policy rate at 2.75%. Highlights from the Bank’s monetary statement include:
• Tariffs and logistical challenges are driving price increases.
• New U.S. trade policies have heightened uncertainty, slowed growth, and sparked inflation fears.
• The Bank supports economic growth with inflation control but urges caution due to elevated domestic risks.
• Both upside risks (higher costs) and downside risks (weaker growth) to inflation are under close watch.
• Beginning in April, the removal of carbon taxes and cheaper oil are expected to temporarily lower inflation for about a year.
• The recent rise in inflation reflects renewed commodity price growth and the end of temporary sales tax relief.
• Due to high uncertainty related to U.S. trade tariffs, the Bank is refraining from issuing an economic forecast.
• The output gap in Q1 2025 was estimated between 0% and -1%.
• Annualized GDP growth for the same quarter was 1.8%, down from the January forecast of 2%.
• Two scenarios are under consideration: one involving tariff reduction via agreement, and another involving a prolonged global trade war.
• In the first scenario, Canadian and global growth temporarily decline, inflation drops to 1.5%, and later returns to the 2% target.
• In the second, the global economy slows sharply, inflation surges, and Canada enters a severe recession. Inflation surpasses 3% by mid-2026 before returning to the 2% target.
• In both scenarios, the neutral interest rate is estimated to be around the midpoint of the 2.25%–3.25% range.