USDCAD trade ideas
Bullish bounce?USD/CAD has bounced off the support level which is a pullback support and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.4297
Why we lik eit:
There is a pullback support level.
Stop loss: 1.4275
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Takeprofit: 1.4362
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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USDCAD Analysis: Tariff Impact & Technical Outlook
Looking at the USDCAD chart, we've seen interesting price action that I believe presents a trading opportunity.
The significant breakout on February 3rd pushed price above the 1.44 level with strong momentum. This wasn't random - it coincided with increasing tariff speculation, as trade policy uncertainty typically impacts the USD-CAD relationship substantially given their close economic ties.
Currently trading around 1.43, USDCAD has pulled back from recent highs but remains in a solid uptrend, as confirmed by the ascending trendline EMA200 (pink). I'm watching for a potential bounce from current levels, as any new tariff announcements could reignite USD strength.
The COT data shows institutional positioning has decreased recently, but remains net long overall. This suggests big players haven't abandoned their bullish USD outlook despite the recent consolidation.
Key levels I'm monitoring:
Support 1.42 zone
Resistance: Previous high near 1.44-1.45
VRVP shows significant interest around the 1.43-1.44 area
I believe if upcoming tariff news triggers volatility, we could see a retest of range highs with potential for further upside. The fundamentals support continued USD strength in this environment, especially if global uncertainty increases.
USDCAD INTRADAY rising support retestUSDCAD remains in a bullish trend, supported by the prevailing uptrend. The recent price action indicates a corrective pullback toward a key support zone.
Key Level: 1.4300
This level represents the previous consolidation range and serves as a crucial support area.
Bullish Scenario: A bounce from 1.4300 could reinforce the uptrend, with potential targets at 1.4370, followed by 1.4420 and 1.4490 over the longer term.
Bearish Scenario: A break below 1.4300 with a daily close under this level would weaken the bullish outlook, leading to further declines toward 1.4250, 1.4220, and 1.4180.
Conclusion:
USDCAD remains bullish unless it loses support at 1.4300. Traders should watch for a bounce or a breakdown at this level to determine the next move.
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Market Analysis: USD/CAD DipsMarket Analysis: USD/CAD Dips
USD/CAD declined and now consolidates below the 1.4350 level.
Important Takeaways for USD/CAD Analysis Today
- USD/CAD started a fresh decline after it failed to clear the 1.4415 resistance.
- There was a break below a major bullish trend line
USD/CAD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of USD/CAD at FXOpen, the pair climbed toward the 1.4420 resistance zone before the bears appeared. The US Dollar formed a swing high near 1.4415 and recently declined below the 1.4350 support against the Canadian Dollar.
There was also a close below the 50-hour simple moving average and 1.4310. There was a break below a major bullish trend line with support at 1.4310.
The bulls are now active near the 1.4300 level. The pair is now consolidating losses below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.4415 swing high to the 1.4288 low. If there is a fresh increase, the pair could face resistance near the 1.4330 level.
The next key resistance on the USD/CAD chart is near the 1.4350 level and the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.4415 swing high to the 1.4288 low.
If there is an upside break above 1.4350, the pair could rise toward the 1.4400 resistance. The next major resistance is near the 1.4415 zone, above which it could rise steadily toward the 1.4450 resistance zone.
Immediate support is near the 1.4290 level. The first major support is near 1.4260. A close below the 1.4260 level might trigger a strong decline. In the stated case, USD/CAD might test 1.4240. Any more losses may possibly open the doors for a drop toward the 1.4400 support.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
USD/CAD(20250402)Today's AnalysisToday's buying and selling boundaries:
1.4337
Support and resistance levels
1.4454
1.4410
1.4382
1.4293
1.4265
1.4221
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 1.4337, consider buying, the first target price is 1.4382
If the price breaks through 1.4293, consider selling, the first target price is 1.4265
Bullish bounce?The Loonie (USD/CAD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.4278
1st Support: 1.4247
1st Resistance: 1.4333
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
UC UpdateGiven that forex prices often reflect all known information, the technical bearish trend appears to outweigh the mixed fundamental signals and unclear sentiment in the short term. Absent major news or data releases in the next few days (which are unknown here), the recent momentum suggests USD/CAD will continue its downward trajectory from its current range (likely around 1.42-1.44 based on late March levels).Therefore, I expect USD/CAD to move lower in the next few days
Bullish bounce?USD/CAD is reacting off the support level which is a pullback support that line sup with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.4328
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.4283
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.4375
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that line sup with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
USD/CAD Trend Before Tariffs Announced🔔🔔🔔 USD/CAD news:
➡️ The USD/CAD pair extended its rally for the third consecutive day on Monday, climbing toward 1.4360 as investors anticipate the impact of reciprocal tariffs imposed by U.S. President Donald Trump on Canada, set to take effect on Wednesday, also known as "Liberation Day."
➡️ Last week, President Trump indicated that Canada would face tariffs, but both he and Prime Minister Carney expressed optimism regarding their weekend trade discussions. Reports suggest that Carney has reassured provincial leaders that the tariffs imposed on Canada might be lower than initially feared and may not be applied broadly across the entire economy.
➡️ For now, the Canadian dollar is in a waiting game ahead of Wednesday's announcement, followed by potential negotiations to mitigate or avoid the tariffs altogether.
Personal opinion:
➡️ Before Wednesday this week, negative sentiment will weigh on CAD. Until there is information about tariff easing or the two sides have a separate agreement, then the situation will be reviewed. In short, USD/CAD is still supported by Trump's tariff news in the short term
➡️ Currently, the bRSI of this pair is in the overbought zone, so there will be a technical pullback. So consider strong support levels to be able to buy at a good price
➡️ Analyze based on important resistance - support levels and Fibonacci combined with SMA to come up with a suitable strategy
Plan:
🔆 Price Zone Setup:
👉 Buy USD/CAD 1.4335– 1.4345
❌SL: 1.4300 | ✅TP: 1.4380 – 1.4430
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
USDCAD Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow Analysis !In this video I will be sharing my USDCAD analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.
USD/CAD Trend Today - Waiting for US Tariff News🔔🔔🔔 USD/CAD news:
➡️ The USD/CAD pair reached a two-and-a-half-week high on Tuesday, though it struggled to gain acceptance or extend its intraday advance beyond the 1.4400 mark. Nevertheless, spot prices held onto their recent recovery gains as traders awaited U.S. President Donald Trump’s announcement on reciprocal tariffs before making fresh directional bets.
➡️ Meanwhile, the U.S. dollar’s modest strength provided support for the USD/CAD pair. In contrast, the Canadian dollar (CAD) weakened amid escalating risks of a U.S.-Canada trade war. Additionally, domestic political uncertainty ahead of the snap election on April 28 was seen as putting pressure on the CAD, further bolstering the currency pair.
Personal opinion:
➡️ The CAD is increasingly likely to be volatile, so the USD/CAD uptrend is likely to continue in the near term.
➡️ However, the pair’s RSI is diverging, so it will decline in the short term. In addition, the sellers are waiting for the US tariff policy, so they will pause to evaluate the data. so this could be the time to buy USD/CAD at a good price.
➡️ Analyze based on resistance - support levels combined with pivot points and EMA to come up with a suitable strategy
Plan:
🔆 Price Zone Setup:
👉Buy USD/CAD 1.4370 – 1.4360
❌SL: 1.4330 | ✅TP: 1.4400 – 1.4440
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
USD/CAD Pulls Back After Hitting 1.4400FenzoFx— The USD/CAD pair hit 1.4400 but lost momentum, pulling back from resistance. Technically, USD/CAD may dip toward the 50-period SMA near 1.4330 before resuming its uptrend.
However, if USD/CAD drops below 1.4330, the bearish momentum may extend to the 1.4250 support, invalidating the bullish outlook.
Tue 1st Apr 2025 Daily Forex Charts: 4x New Trade SetupsGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified 4x new trade setups this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the charts for my thoughts on these setups. The trades being a CAD/JPY Sell, GBP/CAD Buy, EUR/AUD Buy & a USD/CAD Buy. I also discuss some trade management. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
USD/CAD breaks out of falling wedgeUSD/CAD closed higher for a fourth day on Monday, on the even of Trump's liberation day. It also accelerated away from its 50-day EMA after establishing support around its 100-day EMA last week.
This has also seen USD/CAD break trend resistance, and a falling wedge pattern now appears to be in play. This suggests an upside target near the 1.4550 cycle highs.
Bulls could seek dips towards the 50-day EMA and retain a bullish bias while prices remain above last week's low.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
Fundamental Weakness in a Strong Uptrend – Reversal Ahead
🍁 USDCAD has experienced a strong bullish trend, with an aggressive push to higher prices. However, key fundamental indicators are signaling weakness:
- **Inflation** – Negative
- **Employment Change** – Negative
- **Unemployment Rate** – Negative
Despite the current uptrend, these bearish fundamental factors suggest that momentum could shift. At the very least, a strong pullback is likely, and a full trend reversal remains a possibility. Monitoring price action at key levels will be crucial in the coming sessions.
I placed my SL on Key LvL clusters
USD/CAD trandline breakout 4h bullish setup USD/CAD currency pair on the 4-hour timeframe with a bullish setup. Here's a breakout of key elements:
Analysis:
Entry Point: Around 1.43100 (breakout of the trendline).
Targets:
Target 1: ~1.43827
Target 2: ~1.4500
Final Target: ~1.4700
Stop Loss: Below 1.4236 (marked in red).
Support Levels:
1.4183 (key support)
1.4236 (another major support level)
Resistance Levels:
1.4382
1.4500
Trade Idea:
A breakout above the trendline signals a bullish move.
Entry confirmation could come from retests or bullish candlestick formations.
Ensure risk management with a proper stop-loss placement.
Would you like me to refine this based on any specific indicator or confirmation strategy?
USD/CAD rejection of lower pricesOn USD/CAD , it's nice to see a strong buying reaction at the price of 1.42520.
There's a significant accumulation of contracts in this area, indicating strong buyer interest. I believe that buyers who entered at this level will defend their long positions. If the price returns to this area, strong buyers will likely push the market up again.
Rejection of lower prices and high volume cluster are the main reasons for my decision to go long on this trade.
Happy trading
Dale
USDCAD -Weekly Forecast,Technical Analysis & Trading Ideas
Technical analysis is on the chart!
No description needed!
OANDA:USDCAD
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Be sure to leave a comment; let us know how you see this opportunity and forecast.
Have a successful week,
ForecastCity Support Team