USDCAD trade ideas
USDCAD -- Wait to see which way...Hello,
The weekly for the USDCAD is showing a potential bounce from around 1.37805. However, price is below 200 MA for D, 4HR & 1HR; Weekly and Monthly are still strong bullish for 200 MA.
I would like to see a hammer followed by a bullish engulfing candle as in past weeks - that would put me in a buy position targeting ~1.43566.
Price currently is trying to bust out of resistance set from Oct of 2022.
For the short game, price is almost touching the Hourly 200 MA.
As always, we'll wait and see and go with the flow!
USDCAD Bullish Setup – Watching Key Breakout LevelUSDCAD has tested the lower trend line and is showing signs of a potential reversal. The overall trend remains bullish, but additional confirmation is needed before entering. I’ll be looking to go long above 1.39734, which would signal a strong breakout continuation.
🔹 Trend: Bullish
🔹 Entry Idea: Long above 1.39734
🔹 Confirmation Needed: Break and retest or strong bullish momentum
🔹 Support Zone: Around the trend line
🔹 Resistance: Monitor previous highs once breakout occurs
Let me know your thoughts or drop your chart in the comments below!
Heading into 61.8% Fibonacci resistance?USD/CAD is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3894
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.3985
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 1.3752
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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Potential bullish rise?The Loonie (USD/CAD) has reacted off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance that aligns with the 71% Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: 1.3792
1st Support: 1.3688
1st Resistance: 1.3905
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NNFX USDCAD Short Full Signal Signal: Short — Full Signal
Context: Price Breaks through with Volume, Full Signal 2 days behind C2
Probability: Normal to Weak - Signal 2 candles into C2 but huge volume short
Risk: Base 1%
R:R Plan: 0.72R, 75% scale-out at TP - Huge Range to Trend into 2R and opportunity to severely reduce risk within the first 24 hours.
Notes:
At first glance the R is not too great, but this is mainly due to breakout meaning stops are placed at full 1.5x ATR Away from entry but supported by the candle structure.
The range for this trade is large though, beyond 1xATR and even beyond 2x ATR. Opportunity to reduce risk to the order zone halfway through the candle which will make the R instantly positive. Reduced Risk to match the lower probability of this trade and other USD pending trades.
USD/CADThe pair has been in a clear downtrend, forming a bottom around the 1.3665 area, followed by a noticeable bullish rebound with consecutive bullish candles.
Key Support Zone:
1.3665 – Represents the recent bottom and a significant reversal point.
Upcoming Resistance Levels:
1.3818: A horizontal resistance that has been tested multiple times and is close to the current price.
1.3860 – 1.3880: A strong resistance zone, marking a previous reversal point.
1.3920 – 1.3950: The next resistance zone after a breakout, corresponding to a prior lower high.
Bullish Scenario (currently more likely):
If the upward momentum continues, price may reach the 1.3860 zone and potentially break above it toward 1.3920, provided it stabilizes above 1.3818.
Bearish Scenario (if the rally fails):
If the price forms a reversal candle near 1.3818 and fails to break through, a pullback may occur toward 1.3730, and possibly retest 1.3665.
USD/CAD Bulls Emerge at Confluent SupportUSD/CAD has responded to confluent support at 1.3714/29 - a region defined by the 78.6% retracement of the September rally and the 38.2% retracement of the 2021 advance. Note that the 25% parallel of the descending pitchfork converges on this threshold over the next few days and a break / close below is needed to fuel the next leg of the decline / mark downtrend resumption.
Initial resistance is eyed with the 61.8% retracement of the late 2023 advance / May open at 1.3794/98 and is backed closely by the median-line. Rallies should be limited to this slope IF price is heading lower on this stretch with a break / close below this pivot zone exposing subsequent objectives at 1.3590- 1.3614 and 1.3504/23 . Broader bearish invalidation extends into the 200-day moving average at 1.3990-1.4019 .
-MB
USD/CAD Defends Support but Bears Still LurkingUSD/CAD is clinging to key horizontal support around 1.3780 after a recent sharp decline:
Support Retest: Price briefly dipped below the 1.3780 area before buyers stepped in, forming a potential short-term base.
Downtrend Intact: Price remains well below both the 50- and 200-day SMAs, which are beginning to fan out—an increasingly bearish configuration.
Momentum Weak: MACD is negative and RSI is hovering just above oversold territory (~38), suggesting continued bearish pressure despite the bounce.
Critical Levels: A break below 1.3780 could open the door to 1.3420 (October support), while upside recovery would need a move above the 200-day (~1.40) to shift the broader tone.
The bounce may offer a short-term reprieve, but unless bulls reclaim trend-defining moving averages, the bears remain in control.
-MW
USDCAD: Strong Bearish Confirmation ?! 🇺🇸🇨🇦
I see an important sign of strength of the sellers on USDCAD
on an hourly time frame after a release of the today's US fundamentals.
The price violated a support line of a horizontal range and is retesting
that at the moment.
I believe that the price may drop at least to1.374 level soon.
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Hourly bearish retraceFibonacci tool pegged to a high and low where the retrace levels have confluence with previous swing support and resistances.
RSI getting close to overbought levels.
The recent higher lows and higher highs could be setting up for a bear flag.
How high will this bearish retrace go?
Trading Opportunity: USDCAD Long SetupGood morning All,
I've been analysing the USDCAD pair and noticed it's been oversold for some time. It just reached the midband of the falling channel yesterday, which suggests a potential long opportunity to me. I believe this setup offers a favourable risk-to-reward ratio of 1:2. Here are the details:
- Entry Point: 1.3734
- Take Profit (TP): 1.3888
- Stop Loss (SL): 1.3657
Wishing you all the best with your trades!
Ehsan
SNAP SHORT USDCAD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W22 D27 Y25🔥👀USDCAD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W22 D27 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅4H Order block
✅4H 50 EMA
✅Intraday bearish breaks of structure
✅15’ order block identified
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X