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U.S. Dollar / Canadian Dollar

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USDCAD trade ideas

USD/CAD 4H Timeframe AnalysisUSD/CAD 4H Timeframe Analysis Trend Analysis: The USD/CAD pair remains in an uptrend on the 4-hour timeframe. The price recently broke above the minor key resistance at 1.4400, forming a strong bullish candle that closed above this critical level. However, an inverted hammer followed, signaling potential market hesitation and a possible reversal. The price entered a manipulation phase, moving lower to grab stop-loss orders below the minor resistance level before showing signs of recovery. The trendlines plotted for key support and resistance levels suggest potential opportunities for reversals or breakouts in either direction. Price Action Expectation: Our objective is to wait for the price to break above the minor key resistance at 1.4400 again, confirming bullish continuation: Entry Plan: Place a buy stop order at 1.44020 to ensure entry upon confirmation of the breakout. Stop Loss: Position below the liquidity grab at 1.43340 for risk management. Take Profit: Target the next resistance at 1.45400, yielding a favorable risk-to-reward ratio of 2:1. Fundamental Insights: The US Dollar (USD) regains some positive traction after Friday’s pullback from a two-year high, buoyed by the Federal Reserve’s hawkish shift, signaling a slower pace of rate cuts in 2025. This outlook supports elevated US Treasury yields, providing a tailwind for the greenback. Conversely, the Canadian Dollar (CAD) continues to face pressure due to domestic political uncertainties and the Bank of Canada’s dovish stance. The BoC recently projected slower growth in Q4 and highlighted concerns about potential new tariffs on Canadian exports to the US, creating an unclear economic outlook. Moreover, Statistics Canada reported weaker-than-expected retail sales for October and stagnation in November. However, an uptick in crude oil prices lends some support to the commodity-linked CAD, potentially capping USD/CAD’s upside. News Consideration: Later today, the Canadian GDP m/m report is scheduled, with a forecasted growth rate of 0.2%. This release could significantly impact the USD/CAD pair, as any deviation from the forecast may trigger volatility. Trade Setup: Trade Type: Buy Stop Entry Price: 1.44020 Stop Loss: 1.43340 Take Profit: 1.45400 Additional Considerations: Key Levels: Monitor price behavior around 1.4400 and 1.43340, as these levels will guide short-term direction. Risk Management: Use proper position sizing to maintain a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, considering the potential volatility from the GDP release. Conclusion: USD/CAD shows bullish potential if the price confirms a breakout above 1.44020. The fundamental backdrop supports USD strength, while CAD remains vulnerable to political and economic concerns. Watch for price confirmation and market reactions to the GDP release to optimize trade execution. Targeting the 1.45400 resistance level offers a compelling opportunity, provided risk is managed effectively.
Long
by RebornFXTrader
USDCAD Will Move Higher! Buy! Please, check our technical outlook for USDCAD. Time Frame: 3h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is testing a major horizontal structure 1.437. Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 1.445 level soon. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
1
USD/CAD - Buy Limit Opportunity at Key Liquidity ZoneUSD/CAD has swept liquidity below a significant support level, creating a high-probability buy limit setup. This price action suggests that the market has absorbed selling pressure, signaling a potential bullish reversal from this zone. Key Observations: Liquidity Grab: A dip below a key support level cleared stop-losses, trapping sellers and setting the stage for a bounce. Market Structure: Early signs of bullish rejection and a shift in momentum suggest a recovery is imminent. Optimal Entry: A buy limit at targets the liquidity zone for a potential upward move. Trade Plan: Entry: Buy limit at , anticipating a bounce from the liquidity zone. Stop Loss: Below the recent liquidity sweep to manage risk effectively. Take Profit: Targeting resistance levels around to capture the bullish move. Risk Management: This setup takes advantage of liquidity dynamics for a strategic entry, but disciplined risk management is key. Keep position sizing appropriate and monitor price action for additional confirmation of bullish intent.
Long
by Vusizwe_Capital
USDCAD - Short + medium term direction predictionHigher Timeframe trend = Buy Retail trader bias = Sell Institutional bias = Buy Short term target = retail trader stoploss zone I would like to clarify that I dont trade with extended targets like the secondary and tertiary ones marked. This might be handy for people who leave runners on their trades. Also keep in mind that I am only providing my own SUBJECTIVE potential target levels here. The best thing to do would be to drop down to lower timeframes and look for good areas of value to enter that are part of your own plan. S : 10 C : 56,44 - 9-91 R : 28-72
Long
by Gamblers-Fallacy
USDCAD: HTF DT OPPORTUNITYThis is an UPDATE to the previous analysis. Read the notes from the previous analysis (see link below) Due to yesterday's BIG NEWS regarding lower USD interest rates, PA on this pair spiked to the upper Resistance (distal) before showing signs of the DT we anticipated earlier. HIGH TIMEFRAME DOWNTREND Pivot High @ 1.46685 Resistance, Major @ 1.4463 Resistance, Major @ 1.4209 SLO2 @ 1.4536 ⏳ SSO1 @ 1.4270 ⏳ SLO1 @ 1.4188 📉 TP1 @ 1.3763 TP2 @ 1.3337 TP3 @ 1.3024 TP4 @ 1.2539 Support, Minor @ 1.33858 Support, Major @ 1.32522 BLO1 @ 1.2422 ⏳ BLO2 @ 1.2140 ⏳ Pivot Low @ 1.2007
Short
by ProfessorCEWard
USDCAD (4D) HIGH-RISK OPPORTUNITY, DTA Cautious Downtrend Retracement in an Upward Trend The USDCAD pair is currently experiencing a short-term retracement within a longer-term uptrend. While the overall trend remains bullish, it's important to exercise caution as we approach key support and resistance levels. Key Levels to Watch: Pivot High @ 1.4238 Resistance, Major @ 1.4209 SLO2 @ 1.4188 📉 SLO1 @ 1.4087 ⏳ TP1 @ 1.3894 TP2 @ 1.3733 TP3 @ 1.3614 TP4 @ 1.3430 BLO1 @ 1.3386 ⏳, minor support BLO2 @ 1.3279 ⏳, above major support Support, Major @ 1.3252 Pivot Low @ 1.32286 Trading Strategy: Consider buying or taking long positions below 1.3386. Be aware of the potential for a sharp reversal. Maintain a bullish bias. Be prepared to adjust your position based on market developments. Risk Management: A tight stop-loss order is crucial to limit potential losses. Manage your risk by avoiding over-leveraging your positions. Remember, technical analysis is a valuable tool, but it's not foolproof.
Short
by ProfessorCEWard
USD/CAD steady ahead of retail salesThe Canadian dollar is showing limited movement on Friday. In the European session, USD/CAD is trading at 1.4384, down 0.11% at the time of writing. On Thursday, the Canadian dollar fell to its lowest level since March, touching 1.4435. Canada retail sales have risen for four consecutive months and the trend is expected to continue today, with a market estimate of 0.7% m/m. The economy outlook remains gloomy and the Bank of Canada is expected to continue lowering rates in order to boost the weak economy. The BoC has been aggressive, cutting rates five times since June for a total of 175 basis points. The central bank slashed the benchmark rate by 50 basis points to 3.25% last week but signaled that it plans a "more gradual approach to monetary policy", which means we can expect 25-bp increments in rate cuts if there are no surprises in inflation or employment data. The "gradual approach" sounds a lot like what we're hearing from the Federal Reserve, which surprised the markets on Wednesday when it lowered its forecast to just two rate cuts in 2025, compared to four cuts in the September projection. The US dollar soared after the rate announcement and the Canadian dollar took it on the chin with losses of around 1% on Wednesday. The incoming Trump administration could be a major headache for Canada, as Trump has pledged to slap tariffs on Canadian products. The Canadian government  has announced enhanced security measures at its border with the US, hoping these moves will encourage Trump to suspend his tariff plans. Canada's Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland resigned earlier this month after a bitter row with Prime Minister Trudeau, which has added political uncertainty that could weigh on the wobbly Canadian dollar. USD/CAD tested resistance at 1.4404 earlier. Above, there is resistance at 1.4463 1.4341 and 1.4282 are the next support levels
by OANDA
USDCAD Is Still BullishAfter the USDCAD had recently risen significantly, the exchange rate is now correcting. This healthy movement offers us the opportunity to enter a new long position in the bullish order block. The momentum in USDCAD is clearly pointing upwards in the medium to long term and retailer sentiment is decidedly bearish, which suggests a further bullish impulse. A bearish order block just below the recent highs would be a good price target for a long trade.
Long
by Ochlokrat
USD/CAD -Volume Spread AnalysisHere is a perfect example of Pushing Up through Supply. As shown, when up-trending markets experience the phenomenon created by Market Makers in which supply us introduced to the market. (Notice the Pivot Highs at 1.41942 and 1.41968 which are 4 pips apart) These levels of supply are known by the market makers and are used to lock in bullish traders. As the market moves against the locked in traders we notice Ultra High Volume (UHV) shows up. As we analyze the volume it suggests professional supply has entered the market and is confirmed by the following Wide Spread and Excessively UHV. This confirms the intention of the professionals to lock in bullish traders and create an over head supply zone. The following price movement has UHV as well but less than the previous bar and it also closes bullish but inside the larger UHV bar. Peculiar for a market that is doomed to fall to the abyss don't you think? Looking back to the previous 40 price bars we notice price held support above the level of the previous pivot low at 1.40926. The supply diminishes from this point as price creates a Lower High (LH) then a Higher Low (HL). We also notice the spread bodies of the bars leading to the pivot low at 1.41304 are smaller than any other downward push since the consolidation period on the 10th of December. This implies supply has diminished until we come back in contact with the supply created by the Market Makers. The UHV suggests supply is present. However, the next bar shows demand is also present and supply has suddenly diminished at the resistance as well. Prices then proceed to "Push up Through Supply" volume diminishes and prices rise through the supply which is termed and "ease of movement". This is an aggressive BUY SIGNAL which implies prices will not come back to retest the previous area of resistance turned support known as the backup to the edge of the creek. You have to be aggressive at these moments because prices will not return to the retest the structure as the handling maneuver is completed a as it leaves the re-accumulation area.
Education
by JHair20