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USDCAD trade ideas

UCAD Bears Turn Liquid After 4% Decline From Feb. HighOANDA:USDCAD has been trading in a Sideways Consolidation for 2 months now and last week finally delivered a Breakout! After the massive rally to 1.47926, price immediately plummeted down to not only fall back into the Consolidation Range but to then Breakout of the Support of that Consolidation. This Breakout is followed by massive Bearish Volume on top of RSI breaking down below 50! Price has satisfied all the Breakout Rules determining its validity, now to wait for a Retest of the broken support around the 23.6% Fibonacci Level or approx. 1.43 area for potential Short Opportunities to take down to the 1.41 area! Fundamentally, USD: Tuesday - Empire State Manufacturing Index/ President Trump Speaks Wednesday - FOMC Meeting Minutes Thursday - Unemployment Claims/ Philly Fed Manufacturing Index/ Crude Oil Inventories Friday - Flash Manufacturing PMI/ Flash Services PMI/ Existing Home Sales CAD: Tuesday - CPI Friday - Retail Sales/ BOC Gov Macklem Speaks
Short
by Novi_Fibonacci
USDCAD SELL SETUPSELL Setup – High-Probability Trade (Valid IF price retraces into a premium zone & confirms bearish rejection.) 📌 Key Confluences for Sells: ✔ HTF Bearish Trend Confirmed. ✔ Unmitigated Bearish Order Block (OB) at 1.4250 - 1.4300. ✔ Fair Value Gap (FVG) & Mitigation Zone at 1.4230 - 1.4260. ✔ Premium Zone = Institutional Sell Area. ✔ Next Target = Sell-Side Liquidity Below 1.4150 & 1.4100. ✅ Sell Plan Entry Zone: 1.4230 - 1.4260 (Institutional Supply Zone). Stop Loss (SL): Above 1.4320 (Safe from stop hunts). Take Profits (TPs): TP1: 1.4150 (First Liquidity Pool). TP2: 1.4100 (Major SSL Target). TP3: 1.4050 - 1.4000 (Extended TP). Trade Type: Intraday / Trend Continuation Short. Confidence Level: HIGH (Strong HTF Confluence). 🔹 Execution Strategy: ✔ Option 1: Aggressive Sell → Limit Order at 1.4230 - 1.4260. ✔ Option 2: Confirmation Sell → Wait for bearish BOS under 1.4180, then enter on pullback.
Short
by jibkhan111
Heading into pullback resistance?USD/CAD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit. Entry: 1.4280 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 1.4404 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 1.4100 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
USDCAD USD/CAD is the currency pair that represents the exchange rate between the U.S. dollar (USD) and the Canadian dollar (CAD). It indicates how many Canadian dollars are needed to buy one U.S. dollar. This pair is heavily influenced by oil prices (since Canada is a major oil exporter), interest rate differentials between the U.S. Federal Reserve and the Bank of Canada, and overall economic conditions in both countries. When oil prices rise, the Canadian dollar strengthens, often causing USD/CAD to decline, and vice versa.
Long
by HavalMamar
Silver Breaks Key Level: Set to Outperform Gold?Silver prices breach major level and could be set to outperform gold as the dollar weakens. This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information
Long
by ThinkMarkets
USD/CAD H4 | Pullback resistance at 50% Fibonacci retracementUSD/CAD is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 1.4260 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level. Stop loss is at 1.4390 which is a level that sits above a multi-swing-high resistance. Take profit is at 1.4100 which is a swing-low support that aligns close to the 127.2% Fibonacci extension. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
USDCAD setting up for sell opportunitiesHello, USDCAD is gearing up for a potential drop on the 8-hour timeframe. From a technical perspective, the pair is currently in a corrective phase after a strong bearish move from the recent highs. As price nears key moving averages, we anticipate the correction to complete, paving the way for another leg down. The MACD is also approaching the zero line, signaling that sellers could be preparing to take control. On the fundamental side, this week is packed with high-impact events that could drive volatility. Key catalysts include: Wednesday: FOMC meeting minutes release & a speech from President Trump. Thursday: Initial jobless claims and crude oil inventory data. Friday: S&P Global Manufacturing PMI and Global Services PMI. These events are expected to influence the US dollar significantly. A weaker dollar could favor further downside in USDCAD. Additionally, trade policy remains a major market driver—Trump had initially imposed tariffs on Canada but later postponed them for a month, adding another layer of uncertainty. With both technical and fundamental factors aligning, we maintain a bearish outlook on USDCAD in the near term. You can trade this pair using brokers that integrate with TradingView. tradingview.com/brokers/ such as TradeNation. Good luck!
Short
by thesharkke
USDCAD Drills into SupportUSD/CAD is responding to confluent support this week a the 38.2% retracement of the 2023 December advance at 1.4176- Looking for possible price inflection off this mark. Resistance now back at the 38.2% retracement of the recent decline at 1.4396. Rallies should be capped by this level IF price is heading lower on this stretch. Ultimately, a close above the 75% parallel is needed to threaten uptrend resumption towards key resistance at 1.4538/47. A break / close below the median-line would suggest a more significant high was registered this month / a larger trend reversal is underway. Subsequent support at the 2016 high-week close (HWC) at 1.4115 and 1.3985. -MB
by FOREXcom
USD/CAD Trend During US Trading SessionUSD/CAD news: 🔆The USD/CAD pair rose to 1.4200 during the European session on Friday, after hitting a three-day low of 1.4166. The pair gained momentum as the US dollar recovered, with the US Dollar Index bouncing back near 106.65 after hitting a yearly low of 106.30 the previous day. 🔆However, the greenback's recovery appears to be temporary, as its risk premium eases while investors assess US President Donald Trump's tariff policies 🔆On monetary policy, Federal Reserve officials kept interest rates at current levels, citing uncertainty over Trump's trade and tax plans. 🔆Investors are now awaiting Canada's December Retail Sales data and a speech by BoC Governor Tiff Macklem at an event in Mississauga, Ontario. Personal opinion: 🔆The dollar continues to decline, mainly due to President Trump's unclear tariff policies. Although traders still believe that the Bank of Canada (BoC) will further loosen monetary policy. Technical analysis: 🔆Based on important support - resistance and Fibonacci levels combined with SMA indicator Plan: 🔆 Price Zone Setup: 👉Sell USD/CAD 1.4198 – 1.4215 ❌SL: 1.4255 | ✅TP: 1.4160 – 1.4120 – 1.4080 FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Short
by FM-ForexMastermind
1
Short I opened a short position based on the following reasons: 1)  Daily candle on the 13th Feb decisively broke and closed below the support line around 1.430 zone and created fair value gap.   2) The price retraced to the FVG area and closed below the area this morning (I am looking at 4H and 1H for this).    3) Both MACD and RSI in Daily and 4H are in the bear zone. 4) 4h MACD has just crossed in the bear zone and is moving to the downside.  5) 4H MACD is also showing hidden divergence which indicates the continuation of the down trend.  6) 4H EMA is below EMA 200 and the candle closed below EMA 21.  Entry price 1.4190 Stop Loss: 1.43 (just above EMA 200 in 4H.  It is a general stop and I will move it soon if the price moves to the downside) Profit target:  1.3975  (I might manually close it if the price struggles to go below 1.4000)  Risk: Reward is 1:1.65
Short
by EbonyFalcon
USDCAD key trading level at 1.4260The USDCAD currency pair intraday sentiment appears bearish, supported by the confirmed loss of support of the longer-term sideways consolidation trading range. However, since the spike caused by the possible tariff announcement on 03rd February 2024, the USDCAD price action is displaying signs of bearish behaviour. The key trading level is at 1.4260. An oversold rally from the current level and a bearish rejection at 1.4260 level could target additional downside support at 1.4150 followed by the 1. 4100 and 1.4025 levels over the longer timeframe. Alternatively, an oversold rally from the current levels and a confirmed breakout above 1.4260 resistance and a daily close above that level would negate the bearish outlook opening the way for a further rally and a retest of 1.4300 resistance followed by 1.4350 and 1.4400 levels. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation