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U.S. Dollar / Canadian Dollar

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USDCAD trade ideas

NFP-How NFP Will Play Out Today?The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released the January 2025 Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report today, February 7, 2025, at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time. The report indicates that the U.S. economy added 170,000 jobs in January, with the unemployment rate holding steady at 4.1%. This reflects a moderation in job growth compared to December's addition of 256,000 jobs. REUTERS.COM Analysts attribute the slowdown in job growth to disruptions caused by wildfires in California and cold weather conditions, which are estimated to have reduced job numbers by approximately 40,000, particularly in sectors like accommodation, food services, and construction. REUTERS.COM Additionally, this month's report includes significant annual benchmark revisions, incorporating updated population weights and seasonal adjustment models. These revisions have led to a downward adjustment of previous employment estimates, indicating that fewer jobs were created in 2024 than initially reported. BUSINESSINSIDER.COM Financial markets have shown minimal movement in response to the report, as the figures align closely with economists' expectations. Futures linked to Wall Street's main indexes remained steady, with investors having anticipated a slowdown in job growth due to the aforementioned disruptions. REUTERS.COM In summary, while the January 2025 NFP report indicates a deceleration in job growth, the labor market remains resilient. However, potential challenges such as federal hiring freezes and trade tensions could impact future employment trends. APNEWS.COM
Long
by jshafx
USDCAD at a crucial support.USDCAD - Intraday The selloff has posted an exhaustion count on the intraday chart. We expect a reversal in this move. Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels. A move through 1.4350 will confirm the bullish momentum. The measured move target is 1.4425. We look to Buy at 1.4300 (stop at 1.4260) Our profit targets will be 1.4400 and 1.4425 Resistance: 1.4350 / 1.4400 / 1.4425 Support: 1.4300 / 1.4275 / 1.4250 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distribut
Long
by OANDA
USDCAD Is Bearish! Sell! Here is our detailed technical review for USDCAD. Time Frame: 12h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The price is testing a key resistance 1.431. Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 1.413 level. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
USDCAD: Tariffs delayedThe elephant in the room The focal point of late has undoubtedly been US President Trump’s proposed tariffs on Canadian goods shipped to the US. A 25% universal tariff rate would be troublesome for the Canadian economy—despite the exemption for energy products. But it would also have a notable stagflationary effect on the US—making it an expensive strategy for Trump. Further, Canada laid out its retaliation strategy which is designed to respond in kind. We still think the tariffs will not be implemented in that form and “deal making” will remain key in the Trump administration’s strategy. Canada not in a good place to begin with Canada remains in a weak negotiation spot politically without a functioning government in place and new elections likely later in 2Q. Moreover, the economy is hurting given its high interest-rate sensitivity and elevated Bank of Canada (BoC) policy rates for some time. Accordingly, the BoC struck a cautious tone in their policy meeting last week and noted their readiness to react to any economic shock in relation to US tariffs. This would be much needed given fiscal stimulus is unlikely to come to the rescue given Parliament remains prorogued until March. USDCAD to retest 1.46 highs—even without tariffs The market reaction to Trump’s proposed tariffs was rather benign and was completely reversed following the delay in implementation. From here, we do not see much of a risk premium priced into USDCAD and, rather, the pair trades below what rates differentials suggest. While we do not expect the tariffs to be implemented in the aforementioned form, a risk of some adverse trade action remains. We think USDCAD can test 1.46 again in the coming months before edging lower later in the year. Broader USD strength might also be enough to get there—even in the absence of tariffs on Canada.
Long
by AccuTrade2000
USDCAD Could move 1,064pips up the next month.The reasons why I strongly believe this move will happen are the following: According to the CFTC non-commercials are shorting CAD. Non-commercials have 20,388 positions long and 68,914 positions shorts. This means that they are selling more CAD than they actually buying it. According to this info we could expect a move to the upside. From a monthly perspective there is plenty of buy side liquidity in USDCAD. If you look at the chart you will see two blue circles and a dollar bill between them . Those highs have not been liquidated yet. The price is aggressively chasing those highs. According to the explanation provided the price is extremely bullish because is moving to a strong liquidity area. From monthly perspective the price already liquidates sell side liquidity. If look at the chart you will see a yellow circle . The yellow circle represents the sell side liquidity that was liquidated by the price. The price has bullish structure. The price is making higher highs will doing so liquidating sell side liquidity. There is a lot of optimists about the dollar getting stronger in the near future. DXY has bullish structure. The DXY is currently making a retracement. It is currently at 50%. We could assume that is very close to be ready because it took sell side liquidity as well. In other words, the CAD is getting weaker and the USD stronger.
Long
by Wiiso
2
USDCAD BEARISH MOMENTUM The price has been in an uptrend since September, making higher highs and higher lows. A sharp rejection from the recent high indicates potential bearish pressure. The price is currently hovering near a support leveL , The chart also indicates a possible head and shoulders reversal pattern. If the price breaks below the (support), it may continue down towards the 1.38542 level. If the price bounces from the support zone, a temporary bullish retracement could occur before further downside.
Short
by MIRZA_TRADS
1
USDCAD Wave Analysis – 6 February 2025 - USDCAD reversed from the support zone - Likely to rise to resistance level 1.4400 USDCAD currency pair recently reversed from the support zone between the pivotal support level 1.4290, which has stopped the previous corrections A, C , as can be seen below and the lower daily Bollinger Band. The upward reversal from this support zone created the daily Japanese candlestick reversal pattern Doji, which stands near the 50% Fibonacci correction of the previous upward impulse from November. Given the clear daily uptrend, USDCAD currency pair can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 1.4400.
Long
by FxProGlobal
Trump proposes Canada to become the 51st stateOn February 1 , Donald Trump signed an executive order imposing 25% tariffs on imports from Mexico and Canada, along with 10% tariffs on Chinese goods. In response, Canada announced retaliatory tariffs of 25% on $155 billion worth of U.S. goods, with an initial phase of $30 billion taking effect on February 4. Mexico also implemented counter-tariffs. Trump reaffirmed his intention to impose tariffs on European imports but did not specify the details. On February 2 , Trump stated that if Canada wants to avoid tariffs and taxes, it should become the 51st state of the United States. He argued that the U.S. should not be subsidizing Canada with hundreds of billions of dollars, as the country does not rely on Canadian resources. According to Trump, the U.S. has “unlimited energy resources,” sufficient timber supplies, and a growing domestic automobile industry. He added that without U.S. subsidies, Canada would struggle to remain economically viable, whereas joining the U.S. would provide lower taxes, better military protection, and exemption from tariffs. On February 3 , during the European session, the following market trends were observed: U.S. stock futures declined by 1.5–2.5%. The U.S. Dollar Index rose 1%, reaching 109.50. EUR/USD opened with a major bearish gap, dropping to 1.0210, losing over 1%. GBP/USD fell below 1.2250 due to dollar strength. In Australia, December retail sales fell by 0.1%, which was better than expected but failed to support the AUD. As a result, AUD/USD dropped 1.2%, falling below 0.6100. USD/CAD surged significantly to 1.4792, the highest level since 2003. USD/MXN hit 21.2882, marking a three-year high. After reaching a record $2,800 on Friday, gold corrected lower on Monday, trading below $2,775.
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
USD/CAD Exchange Rate StabilisesUSD/CAD Exchange Rate Stabilises As we reported on 3 February, the decision by the US president to impose 25% tariffs on goods imported from Canada sent the USD/CAD rate soaring to a 22-year high. However, after a round of negotiations between Donald Trump and Justin Trudeau, the tariff implementation was postponed by a month, which was reflected in the USD/CAD exchange rate chart. Current USD/CAD Chart Analysis: → The price has retreated from the upper boundary of the ascending channel identified three days ago and has now dropped below its lower boundary. → The price has returned to and remains within the broad 1.4270 – 1.4460 range. → The ATR indicator has reversed from its peak and is trending downward. Given these factors, it is reasonable to say that USD/CAD is stabilising after recent volatility. But what lies ahead? The exchange rate may fluctuate within the 1.4270 – 1.4460 range, reacting sensitively to any news on Trump’s tariff policies and his startling suggestion of making Canada the 51st US state. Trade on TradingView with FXOpen. Consider opening an account and access over 700 markets with tight spreads from 0.0 pips and low commissions from $1.50 per lot. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
2