USD/CAD "The Loonie" Forex Bank Heist Plan (Swing/Day)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
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however I advise to Place sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level for Pullback entries.
Stop Loss 🛑:
📌Thief SL placed at the nearest/swing High or Low level Using the 4H timeframe (1.40500) Day/Swing trade basis.
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Target 🎯: 1.36000 (or) Escape Before the Target
USD/CAD "The Loonie" Forex Market Heist Plan (Day / Swing Trade) is currently experiencing a Bearish trend.., driven by several key factors.👇👇👇
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USDCAD trade ideas
After a huge move, USD/CAD may be due to reboundUSD/CAD has strengthened significantly over the past few days as markets have been shaken by President Trump’s new trade war with Canada and the rest of the world. That said, USD/CAD may be due for a pause in its recent rally and could consolidate somewhat, having reached some key technical indicators and support levels.
The loonie’s relative strength index fell to 29, while USD/CAD dropped below the lower Bollinger Band at CA$1.387. This magnitude of movement suggests that USD/CAD is currently oversold and may be due for either a short-term rebound or a period of sideways consolidation. The pair could also bounce back towards resistance at CA$1.416 or the 20-day moving average at CA$1.421.
However, if USD/CAD breaks support at CA$1.3870, it could signal that further strengthening lies ahead, with the potential to drop towards CA$1.359, which served as an important area of support and resistance between December 2023 and October 2024.
USD/CAD could continue strengthening against the dollar; the greenback has weakened versus multiple currencies, and any pause in the dollar’s current downtrend may be short-lived, due to possible massive deleveraging out of the US and capital flow back to their nations of origin. Still, after such a significant move, USD/CAD seems potentially due for at least a short-term period of consolidation before the uptrend resumes.
Written by Michael J Kramer, founder of Mott Capital Management
Disclaimer: CMC Markets is an execution-only service provider. The material (whether or not it states any opinions) is for general information purposes only and does not take into account your personal circumstances or objectives. Nothing in this material is (or should considered to be) financial, investment or other advice on which reliance should be placed.
No opinion given in the material constitutes a recommendation by CMC Markets or the author that any particular investment, security, transaction, or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. The material has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research. Although we are not specifically prevented from dealing before providing this material, we do not seek to take advantage of the material prior to its dissemination.
USDCAD Technical and Order Flow AnalysisOur analysis is based on multi-timeframe top-down analysis & fundamental analysis.
Based on our view the price will rise to the monthly level.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis can change anytime without notice and is only for assisting traders in making independent investment decisions. Please note that this is a prediction, and I have no reason to act on it, and neither should you.
Please support our analysis with a like or comment!
USDCAD-BUY strategy 12 hourly chart - Regression channelsThe pair seems to be in a corrective mode currently. The 90-min chart still has some underlying weakness, but overall we are improving. I feel we may have a chance to test 1.3990 and en-route 1.4078 recovery level.
Strategy BUY @ 1.3875-1.3900 and take profit near 1.4067 for now.
USDCAD 1 day time frame 📉 Overall Structure: Descending Channel
The price is moving within a clearly defined descending channel, indicating a downtrend.
Price is respecting both upper and lower boundaries of the channel, confirming strong bearish momentum.
📍 Key Levels:
🔻 Support Area (~1.3740–1.3800)
Price is currently hovering near the bottom boundary of the channel and just above a marked support zone.
Historically, this zone has triggered bullish reactions, making it a key level to watch for a potential bounce or reversal.
🔺 Resistance Area (~1.4150–1.4200)
Marked in purple, this zone aligns with previous swing highs and structure, making it a significant resistance level.
If price bounces from the current support, this is the first target area to watch.
📊 Volume
Notice the increased red volume bars as the price moved lower – this confirms strong selling pressure.
However, the recent candle shows a smaller body with lower volume, hinting at a potential exhaustion of sellers.
📉 RSI (Relative Strength Index) – Oversold
RSI is at 29.47, which is below the 30 level – indicating the pair is oversold.
When RSI dips this low, it often precedes a bounce or temporary bullish correction, especially if price is at a key support (which it is).
✅ Trade Idea / Potential Setup
Bullish Reversal Setup Possible:
The confluence of:
Oversold RSI,
Major support,
Bottom of the descending channel,
makes this a potential area for a long (buy) position.
Target: Resistance area around 1.4150–1.4200 (2.5% gain).
Stop-loss: Below the channel/support zone to limit risk.
🧠 Summary:
USDCAD is in a downtrend but currently testing a major support area at the channel bottom.
RSI is oversold, suggesting limited downside.
Look for bullish confirmation (e.g., bullish engulfing candle or a break of short-term structure) before entering long.
USDCAD INTRADAY bearish below 1.4060The USDCAD pair is exhibiting a bearish sentiment, reinforced by the ongoing downtrend. The key trading level to watch is at 1.4060, which represents the current intraday swing low and the falling resistance trendline level.
In the short term, an oversold rally from current levels, followed by a bearish rejection at the 1.4060 resistance, could lead to a downside move targeting support at 1.3825, with further potential declines to 1.3700 and 1.3540 over a longer timeframe.
On the other hand, a confirmed breakout above the 1.4060 resistance level and a daily close above that mark would invalidate the bearish outlook. This scenario could pave the way for a continuation of the rally, aiming to retest the 1.4160 resistance, with a potential extension to 1.4270 levels.
Conclusion:
Currently, the USDCAD sentiment remains bearish, with the 1.4060 level acting as a pivotal resistance. Traders should watch for either a bearish rejection at this level or a breakout and daily close above it to determine the next directional move. Caution is advised until the price action confirms a clear break or rejection.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
USD/CAD bears eyeing deeper downside flushUSD/CAD bears will be eyeing a meaningful downside flush with the pair breaking and closing beneath the 200-day moving average on Thursday, hitting fresh year-to-date lows in the process.
The price now finds itself below 1.3947, the high set in August last year. The break may encourage others to join the bearish move, generating a setup where shorts could be established with a stop placed above the level for protection.
1.38115 screens as an initial target, with other minor levels such as 1.3748, 1.3700 and 1.3647 also in play. Momentum indicators favour retaining a bearish bias, with RSI (14) trending strongly lower but not yet oversold. MACD further bolsters the bearish signal.
If the price were to reverse back above the 200DMA, the overall bearish bias would be invalidated.
Good luck!
DS
Weekly Buy Trade Plan – USD/CAD (April 2025)This is a weekly timeframe bullish setup on USD/CAD, focusing on a high-probability buy opportunity based on key support structure and RSI dynamics.
🧠 Technical Outlook:
Price has strongly rejected a major historical support zone around 1.37781 – 1.38800, highlighted by the green horizontal line.
This level has acted as strong support multiple times in the past, making it a key demand zone for potential reversal.
After a strong bearish leg, the current price action suggests exhaustion in selling pressure, indicating a likely bounce from this level.
💹 Why Long?
Price is sitting right above the support zone, with buyers stepping in around the 1.38800 level.
This area aligns with previous structure and is a likely zone where institutional buyers may accumulate.
📊 RSI Analysis:
RSI (14) is at 39.99, entering the oversold territory and showing early signs of potential reversal.
Although momentum is still bearish, this is where contrarian entries often occur—anticipating a bounce back toward midline (50+) or higher.
✅ Trade Setup Details:
Entry: Around 1.38800 zone (current support zone)
Stop Loss: Below 1.37781 (to protect against deeper correction)
Take Profit: Targeting the 1.42000 – 1.43000 resistance zone
Risk-Reward Ratio: Around 1:2.5 or better, offering a solid return potential if price rebounds
⚠️ Trade Management Tips:
Watch for bullish confirmation candles on the daily or H4 for added confluence.
Monitor USD and CAD fundamentals for short-term volatility (e.g., interest rate decisions, oil prices).
Secure partial profits near 1.41000 and trail your stop.
USDCAD Trendline Breakout Ready for a Long SellHello Traders
In This Chart EURUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
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This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
USDCAD downside target 1.3900On the daily chart, USDCAD fell back after testing the resistance near 1.430. The current market is running below the downward trend line. The current support below is around 1.4027. If it falls below, it will continue to fall. The support below is around 1.3900. At present, you can pay attention to the short-selling opportunities in the 1.4200-1.4220 area.