USDCAD trade ideas
How will Canada react to Trump's tariff moves a month later ?When viewed from the monthly chart, I realised it takes approximately 4-5 years for the price action to reach the peak level, around 1.46.
There are many comments online saying that Canada should counteract with imposing tariffs on its energy to US and so on. Who's right , who's wrong ? I also dunno.
I am awaiting for a good opportunity to short this pair , how about you ?
Potential bullish bounce?The Loonie (USD/CAD) has bounced off the pivot which has been identified as pullback support and could rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.4295
1st Support: 1.4176
1st Resistance: .4405
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USD/CAD Next Move ?Does anyone think this is a blow-off top driven by the tariff news, or could it be a breakout retest leading to further gains?
I'd love to hear your thoughts. Personally, I’m leaning toward a blow-off top reversal, but nothing is certain—only time will tell. Let me know what you think!
USDCAD POSSIBLE BOUNCE OFF THE PULLBACK SUPPORT Price is heading towards a pullback support level of 1.41675 from that area , we may likely see a bounce in price to the upside. A buy opportunity is envisaged from that area. Fundamentally, a weaker USD will aid the possibility of price getting to that point
Price rejects at a 10 yrs old resistance zonePrice has rejected at a major resistance zone creating a triple top resistance
The market has also broken out of our ascending trendline signaling chances of a bear run occurring in the near future
Price can pullback to retest our broken trendline before falling further down
USDCAD - 5 Feb 2025 SetupUSDCAD market turn to slightly bearish on H1 timeframe and the all the ema's has broken to the downside. Spotted nearest supply area (Red Rectangle).we have a chance to take a short position from this area.
Entry Position : Short
Profit Target : 1:3 Shown on the chart image (Green Line)
Stop Loss : Slightly above supply area (Red Line)
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Coffee Trade Team
Breakout on USDCADUSDCAD Breakout Analysis
February 4, 2025
Technical Setup: Breakout Trade
Breakout confirmed after consolidation period
Previous resistance becoming support
Trade setup
Clear break above consolidation range
Strong momentum after breakout
Higher highs forming after breakout
Trade Opportunity
Entry: Support zone after break out
Stop Loss: Below breakout level
Targets: floating profit to catch major bullish trend
USDCAD Testing Key Demand Zone - Bullish Bounce ExpectedOANDA:USDCAD is trading at a significant demand zone, highlighted by prior strong price reactions. This area serves as a critical support level, where buyers have historically stepped in to push prices higher. The current market structure suggests a potential bullish reaction if momentum emerges.
I anticipate that if the price confirms a rejection from this demand zone, marked by bullish candlestick patterns or clear rejection wicks, the pair could move upward toward the 1.43960 level.
Let me know if you agree with this analysis or have additional insights! Feel free to share your thoughts in the comments.
USD/CAD may fall to 1.42608 - 1.42073Preference:
Short positions below 1.43895 with targets at 1.42608 and 1.42073 in extension.
As long as 1.43895 is resistance, look for choppy price action with a bearish bias.
Alternative:
If price stays above 1.43895, look for further upside with 1.44518 and 1.44873 as targets.
Fundamentals and upcoming headwinds is still supportiveYes tariffs delayed
but fundamentals and upcoming headwinds is still supportive, even if for a short while. making long scalps very attractive with potential catalyst to cause runners
Exhaustive wave down, corretive wave to start, whether distribution for further breakdown or accumulation for resumption of trend, long scalps are attractive at this level
information created and published doesn't constitute investment advice!
NOT financial advice
USD/CAD remains on the backfoot after tariffs delayThe USD/CAD has extended its drop after reversing sharply the day before on the back of Trump's U-turn on imposing tariffs on Canada, delaying it for at least a month. Today's weaker US JOLTS job openings data has further pressured the US dollar.
The FX pair had initially surged on Monday, breaking above both the March 2020 high of 1.4668 and January’s peak of 1.4690, reaching a session high of 1.4793 before swiftly reversing as news emerged of tariff delays. The resulting price action formed a long-legged inverted hammer candle—typically seen at major swing highs.
For the bears, a decisive move lower would now be needed to confirm that at least a near-term top has been established.
Crucially, the USD/CAD has breached the key 1.4400 pivotal zone, where prior support converges with the 21-day exponential moving average and a rising trendline. A daily close well below this level could open the door to fresh technical selling, potentially driving the pair below the recent low of 1.4261 in the days ahead, if not even lower.
On the upside, immediate resistance now comes in around the 1.4370-1.4400 area, with a more significant zone sitting around 1.4500, which was tested earlier in the session and has held—for now. Beyond that, the next key resistance area lies between the 2020 and 2016 highs, within the 1.4668-1.4690 range, making it a critical zone to watch.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
Dip Below 1.4450 Presents Buying OpportunityI anticipated the pair holding above 1.4450, but the recent dip below this level presents a renewed buying opportunity in my view. While this move might seem like a sign of reversal, I believe the US dollar's underlying strength, coupled with the contrasting monetary policies of the Federal Reserve (FED) and the Bank of Canada (BoC), suggest otherwise. Furthermore, the ongoing uncertainty surrounding potential tariffs, particularly those involving the US, puts additional pressure on the Canadian economy, which is already facing challenges on both the economic and political fronts. Therefore, I maintain a short-term bullish outlook for USDCAD, both technically and fundamentally, with a stop in the 1.440 - 1.435 zone.