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U.S. Dollar / Canadian Dollar

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USDCAD trade ideas

USD/CAD Ascending Triangle BreakoutUSD/CAD was hit hard during the Q2 sell-off in the USD. And with the almost decade long range still in-play for the pair, with the reversal around 1.4500 in February, that makes sense. The problem quickly became sentiment as sellers jumped on the move so aggressively, and since mid-June bears have had trouble breaking down to any fresh lows. We can even see an element of this from May, when prices found support at 1.3750 and sellers were suddenly stalled despite a clear downside trend. This is a great illustration of why sentiment is so important - if anyone that wants to sell or that can sell the pair already has - even the worst news in the world would have trouble pushing fresh lows. Because if there's no supply coming into the market and there's more demand, well, then prices will go up just given basic supply/demand dynamics. And with a heavy built in short position following a clean downside trend, there will be some sellers looking to take profit which is what generates the start of that demand. And then more shorts will be motivated to take profit as they see price rising even with negative news flow, when prices should be falling. This can continue all the way until we get to a point that is attractive again to draw fresh sellers into the market and in USD/CAD, that was the 1.4000 handle that held a clean show of resistance in mid-May, and that ushered in another wave of selling. But in mid-June, as price got close to the 1.3500 handle, a similar type of thing started to happen as sellers began to shy away from chasing the move. Initially that allowed for pullback to that same 1.3750 level that was support in May. Sellers took another shot and even as the USD was setting fresh three-year-lows on the first day of Q3, USD/CAD was setting a higher-low above the prior swing. The trendline produced from those two lows came into play just last week - and when combined with the 1.3750 level made for a textbook ascending triangle formation. Those setups are often tracked with aim of bullish breakout as it's essentially showing a line in the sand that sellers have defended, in this case at 1.3750; but there's a diminishing impact of that resistance as shown from the increasingly higher-lows. The thought is that, eventually, sellers will give way to the buyers that have been defending higher-lows and that will lead to a breakout and fresh highs. This is what's taking place now in USD/CAD. This doesn't necessarily mean that bears are done for, as the big question here is the same from back in May, whether we get to a resistance level that's appealing enough to draw fresh shorts into the market. From the chart attached, I've outlined three areas of interest for such, with 1.3900 nearby and 1.4000 above that. If we do see a prolonged push of USD-strength, there's a zone of support-turned-resistance around 1.4151-1.4178 that becomes of interest for bigger-picture scenarios. - js
by FOREXcom
USDCAD Analysis week 31🌐Fundamental Analysis The Canadian dollar continued to decline against the US dollar on Friday. Trump returned to threatening tariffs on Canada as trade deals remain limited. The August 1 deadline for tariffs is approaching and Canada has not made much of a move so far. 🕯Technical Analysis USDCAD continues to rally towards the 1.4000 resistance zone. A recovery of the pair to 1.365 is a good momentum for USDCAD to break the trendline and break 1.37700. The trading strategy for next week is mainly to look for BUY points when there is a recovery of the wave structure. If the important support of the week 1.357 is broken, the uptrend will reverse. 📈📉Trading Signals BUY USDCAD 1.365-1.363 Stoploss 1.360 BUY Break out 1.37700
by TVS-Trader
USDCAD H4 I Bearish Reversal OffBased on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 1.3739, which is a pullback resistance. Our take profit will be at 1.3689, an overlap support level. The stop loss will be placed at 1.3775, the swing-high resistance level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by Tradu
USDCAD Buyers In Panic! SELL! My dear subscribers, This is my opinion on the USDCAD next move: The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.3704 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 1.3660 About Used Indicators: On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
3
USDCAD(20250808)Today's AnalysisMarket News: ① Trump nominated Stephen Milan, Chairman of the White House Council of Economic Advisers, to serve on the Federal Reserve Board, with a term ending January 31, 2026. ② Waller is reportedly a leading candidate for the next Fed Chair. ③ U.S. Treasury Secretary Bensont stated that the interview process for the Fed Chair has begun. ④ Bostic stated that the July jobs report did change the Fed's outlook on its employment goals. Technical Analysis: Today's Buy/Sell Levels: 1.3746 Support and Resistance Levels: 1.3798 1.3778 1.3766 1.3726 1.3713 1.3694 Trading Strategy: If the price breaks above 1.3746, consider a buy entry, with the first target price being 1.3766. If the price breaks below 1.3726, consider a sell entry, with the first target price being 1.3713.
by NicolaZhu