USDCAD Bearish Momentum Ahead ?The USDCAD is currently situated within a downward trend channel, having broken through its horizontal support zone, which has now turned into resistance. If the price attempts to surpass this horizontal resistance, it might face rejection at the upper channel resistance. Let's observe what happens.
USDCAD trade ideas
USDCAD Downtrend Hinges on This SupportFenzoFx—USD/CAD is trading bearishly and failed to form a new higher high above the 1.4297 resistance. A new bearish wave could be triggered if selling pressure drives the price below the 1.4143 support level.
In this scenario, the next bearish target will likely be 1.4028. Please note that the bearish outlook should be invalidated if USD/CAD exceeds 1.4297.
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USDCAD downtrend continuation below 1.4300The USDCAD pair is exhibiting a bearish sentiment, reinforced by the ongoing downtrend. The key trading level to watch is at 1.4300, which represents the current intraday swing high and the falling resistance trendline level.
In the short term, an oversold rally from current levels, followed by a bearish rejection at the 1.4300 resistance, could lead to a downside move targeting support at 1.4020, with further potential declines to 1.3900 and 1.3830 over a longer timeframe.
On the other hand, a confirmed breakout above the 1.4300 resistance level and a daily close above that mark would invalidate the bearish outlook. This scenario could pave the way for a continuation of the rally, aiming to retest the 1.4370 resistance, with a potential extension to 1.4420 levels.
Conclusion:
Currently, the USDCAD sentiment remains bearish, with the 1.4300 level acting as a pivotal resistance. Traders should watch for either a bearish rejection at this level or a breakout and daily close above it to determine the next directional move. Caution is advised until the price action confirms a clear break or rejection.
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USDCAD On The Rise! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for USDCAD below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.4161
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 1.4266
Recommended Stop Loss - 1.4101
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
USDCAD IS DRROPPING. DETAILED TECHNICAL AND FUNDAMENTALSUSDCAD is currently trading around 1.4200 after a clean retest of a previously broken support zone, which has now turned into a strong resistance level. Price action is confirming the bearish structure as we see a gradual yet consistent drop from the highs of 1.4540. With the rejection seen from the supply zone and recent lower high formation, momentum is shifting further in favor of the sellers. I am now targeting 1.3800 for the next key level, aligning with both technical confluence and fundamental sentiment.
Technically, the structure is clear: we had a failed breakout above 1.4450, followed by a decisive bearish engulfing move. The market then completed a textbook retest at the 1.4340–1.4450 supply zone before resuming the downside move. The current formation on the 12H chart shows a lower low and lower high sequence intact, signaling a trend continuation to the downside. The highlighted zones also provide ideal reward-to-risk setups for continuation traders.
From a fundamental perspective, the Canadian dollar is gaining strength due to rising oil prices, with WTI crude now climbing back above the $85 mark. This directly supports the loonie given Canada’s oil-export-driven economy. Meanwhile, US economic uncertainty around upcoming CPI data and shifting Fed rate cut expectations continue to weigh on the dollar’s upside momentum. Additionally, recent risk-on sentiment in global markets is pushing flows into commodity-linked currencies like CAD.
With technicals and fundamentals aligning, I remain firmly bearish on USDCAD. As long as price remains below the 1.4340 resistance, I’m looking for continuation toward the major demand zone near 1.3830–1.3800. This setup offers a clean 1:3+ risk-to-reward profile, and I will be scaling in further on bearish confirmations as the market progresses.
USD/CAD(20250409)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
The U.S. Customs and Border Protection Agency reiterated that the specific tax rates for each country will be announced at 12:01 a.m. on April 9.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
1.4227
Support and resistance levels:
1.4353
1.4306
1.4275
1.4178
1.4147
1.4100
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 1.4275, consider buying, the first target price is 1.4306
If the price breaks through 1.4227, consider selling, the first target price is 1.4178
USDCAD SHORT Market structure bearish on HTFs 3
Entry at Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Daily Rejection At AOi
Daily EMA retest
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 1.42500
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 5.89
Entry 105%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
USDCAD: Bulls Will Push Higher
Looking at the chart of USDCAD right now we are seeing some interesting price action on the lower timeframes. Thus a local move up seems to be quite likely.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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USD/CAD Bearish Setup: Trendline Rejection & Supply Zone Trade📉 Trendline & Market Structure
🔵 Descending Trendline: The price has respected this trendline multiple times (🔴 red dots mark rejection points). This confirms a bearish structure.
📦 Supply Zone (Sell Area)
🟦 Blue Zone (Supply Zone): This is a strong resistance area where sellers may push the price down.
🚀 Price Rejected Here: Market reaction suggests potential bearish momentum.
⚠️ Stop Loss & Target 🎯
❌ Stop Loss (1.42308): If the price breaks above, the bearish setup is invalid.
🎯 Target (1.40437): Marked with a blue arrow 📉 indicating a downward move.
✅ Trade Plan
🔽 Sell Entry: Inside the supply zone
🛑 Stop Loss: Above the supply zone
🎯 Take Profit: At the lower blue level
This setup suggests a high-risk reward ratio favoring short positions. 📊 Keep an eye on the trendline and market reaction!