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U.S. Dollar / Canadian Dollar

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USDCAD trade ideas

Is it time to Sell USDCAD? Interest Rate aheadThe USDCAD pair has been trending upwards steadily since 24 September, achieving a notable gain of 3.22% without any significant retracement. It is now approaching a key resistance level of 1.3880, the most significant resistance region since 2022. USDCAD overbought? The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicated a reading of 75.53 on 21 October, suggesting a potential overbought condition for USDCAD. The RSI is a widely used indicator in technical analysis, employed to identify possible overbought or oversold scenarios. Classic Bearish Divergence on H4: On the 4-hour chart, USDCAD has formed a classic bearish divergence, signalling the potential influx of selling pressure. A classic bearish divergence occurs when the price makes higher highs while the RSI fails to keep pace, forming lower highs. This is a powerful bearish reversal pattern, particularly relevant following a significant upward movement, as is the case with USDCAD at this time. Technical Analysis Summary: From a technical analysis standpoint, we have identified several key factors: 1. A directional upward movement, accumulating 3.22% in USDCAD. 2. The RSI indicates signs of buyer exhaustion on the H4 chart. 3. The presence of a classic bearish divergence on the H4 chart. These elements collectively support the notion that USDCAD may be in an overbought situation, potentially creating selling opportunities. Sell trigger with 9-period Moving Average Recent price action has remained above the 9-period moving average, indicating a slight uptrend in the short term. However, if the price crosses below the SMA9 on the H4 chart, this could act as a sell trigger, leading to a potential decline towards the 1.3690 region within a few days. Impact of CAD Interest Rate Decisions: The Bank of Canada is currently adopting a more dovish stance, gradually lowering interest rates as inflation moves closer to control. This has been evidenced in recent meetings, with a consistent 0.25% cut implemented at each meeting. The next interest rate decision is scheduled for 23 October, with the market anticipating a potential 0.50% cut. However, given that the last three meetings resulted in 0.25% reductions, a 0.50% cut appears unlikely at this stage. If the interest rate cut is smaller than expected, the CAD may appreciate in the short term, which could further contribute to a decline in USD/CAD. Monitoring Key Developments In summary, as USDCAD approaches a critical resistance level amid signs of overbought conditions, traders should monitor these technical indicators and market sentiments closely. With potential selling opportunities pending and the influence of interest rate decisions looming, it will be crucial to stay alert to market developments moving forward. Disclaimer: 74% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK.
Short
by Marketscom
1
Best Level to Short USDCAD TP +260 pips🔸Hello traders, let's review the 8hour chart for USDCAD today. Strong V-shape recovery in progress off the lows, however sentiment getting extremely overbought and also we are closing in on heavy overhead supply. 🔸Key mirror S/R detected at 3620, bears will target this level on the re-test so it's a logical target for the short sellers from overhead resistance. 🔸Recommended strategy for USDCAD traders: focus on short selling high near 3880 price cluster SL fixed at 60 pips TP1 +140 pips TP2 +260 pips final exit at 3620. Expecting rejection from overhead resistance and re-test of the mirror S/R level at 3620. good luck traders. 🎁Please hit the like button and 🎁Leave a comment to support our team! RISK DISCLAIMER: Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss. Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
Short
by ProjectSyndicate
20
USD/CAD Nears Key Resistance Ahead of Canadian Rate DecisionUSD/CAD is hovering just below a key resistance zone, setting the stage for potential high volatility as the Bank of Canada prepares for its next rate decision. Let’s break down what this could mean for the pair, from both a fundamental and technical perspective. BoC Expected to Slash Rates as Inflation Continues to Cool On Wednesday, the Bank of Canada (BoC) is widely expected to slash its key policy rate by 50 basis points, marking the fourth consecutive rate cut this year. This move would bring the benchmark rate down to 3.75%, its lowest level in over 15 years outside the pandemic, as the central bank attempts to spur economic growth amidst slowing inflation and weak consumer spending. As Canadian inflation continues to cool—hitting just 1.6% in September—economic indicators like stagnant GDP growth and a faltering housing market have added urgency to the central bank's decision-making process. The rate cut, if realised, could trigger a strong reaction in USD/CAD, given its proximity to long-term resistance and the likelihood of volatility leading up to the decision. Multi-Timeframe Analysis Let’s take a trip through the timeframes, starting with the weekly candle chart. On this higher timeframe, USD/CAD has moved into a key area of long-term resistance, where a cluster of five major swing highs since October 2022 has formed a formidable resistance zone. What makes this level even more significant is that USD/CAD has carved out two higher swing lows over the last year, creating a broad ascending triangle pattern. This classic bullish setup signals that a breakout higher could be on the horizon, especially with the rate decision serving as a potential catalyst. USD/CAD Weekly Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Moving down to the daily timeframe, the price action shows USD/CAD reacting to the resistance zone, but the reaction has been cautious. We're starting to see negative divergence on the RSI from overbought territory, suggesting that momentum is weakening. However, despite this divergence, the pair hasn’t shown a sharp pullback, which indicates that the bulls still have a foothold. The upcoming rate decision could either fuel a breakout above the resistance or lead to a deeper retracement if market sentiment shifts. USD/CAD Daily Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Zooming in on the hourly chart, we get an even more detailed view. The market’s response to the resistance zone has been a low-volatility pullback, lacking the aggressive selling one might expect at such a key level. This suggests that USD/CAD could still make another push higher, testing deeper into the resistance zone before Wednesday’s decision. With volatility likely to ramp up as the rate announcement nears, all eyes are on how the pair handles this crucial level. USD/CAD Hourly Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents. Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 82.67% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
by Capitalcom
Bearish drop?USD/CAD is reacting off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 1.3849 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Stop loss: 1.3946 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Take profit: 1.3750 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
USDCAD H1 | Bearish Drop Based on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price has just reacted off our sell entry at 1.3833, which is an overlap resistance. Our take profit will be at 1.3804, an overlap support level. The stop loss will be placed at 1.3849, which is a swing high resistance level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
USDCAD with two probabilities for 10/22/2024USDCAD with a high probability to make the decision for 10/22/2024 ✅️ : 🔸️If the price exceeds the green bar 🟩, with the bar closing in the hour above: there will be a high chance of entering a purchase as indicated in the chart, respecting the day, news and the stop loss. 🔸️If the price exceeds the red bar 🟥, with the bar closing in the hour below: there will be a high chance of entering a sale as indicated in the chart, respecting the day, news, and the stop loss.
Short
by Abderrahmane_24
Revisión Histórica sobre compra USDCAD Uptrend is identified in 30 Min. Last Swing from London opening is evaluated. We evaluate higher liquidity zone remaining from London zone. Common zone of both previous points is denoted, possible buying zone. A possible profit zone is estimated according to percentage extensions with Fibbo. It is evident that the price is moving away from the zone of higher demand, heading to the previously exposed zone of the London Market. There is a moment of return to the liquidity zone, once the breakout is confirmed, it was expected to place purchases up to the 1.68 Fibbo point. During this trade we mainly use the liquidity tools Fixed Range Volume Profile and Anchored Volume Profile. . These tools allow us to measure buy and sell positions not in terms of time, but in terms of price, which allows us to better analyze prices actively, and to identify areas of overbought or oversold positions, which will be exploitable at some point in the future due to the liquidation of remaining orders. In addition to this, Fibbo is used to structurally analyze the movements and possible market returns to price.
by alan1402
USD/CAD Buyers Push for Extended Control Amid Oil WeaknessTechnical Analysis The USD/CAD pair remains in bullish territory, with buyers pushing the price higher amid a supportive backdrop of falling oil prices and expectations of a dovish BoC. A decisive move above 1.38190 could pave the way for further gains, while a break below 1.37970 would signal a shift in momentum. Market participants should stay alert to upcoming BoC policy announcements and U.S. economic data for cues on the next potential move. Market Overview On Monday, the USD/CAD pair continued to gain traction, driven primarily by two influential factors: a decline in oil prices and increased speculation that the Bank of Canada (BoC) may increase its pace of interest rate reductions.
Short
by Errante
USD/CAD "The Loonie" Bank Money Heist Plan on Bullish SideHola! My Dear Robbers / Money Makers & Losers, 🤑 💰 This is our master plan to Heist USD/CAD "The Loonie" Bank based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Long entry. Our target is Red Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is overbought / Consolidation / Trend Reversal / Trap at the level Bearish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich. Entry : Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Buy Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe Recent / Nearest Swing Low Stop Loss 🛑 : Recent Swing Low using 2H timeframe Attention for Scalpers : If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money 💰. Warning : Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️ comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss. Don't Enter the market at the news update. Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target. Support our Robbery plan we can easily make money & take money 💰💵 Follow, Like & Share with your friends and Lovers. Make our Robbery Team Very Strong Join Ur hands with US. Loot Everything in this market everyday make money easily with Thief Trading Style. Stay tuned with me and see you again with another Heist Plan..... 🫂
Long
by Thief_Trader
USDCAD : Two probabilities for 10/21/2024USDCAD with a high probability to make the decision for 10/21/2024 ✅️ : 🔸️If the price exceeds the green bar 🟩, with the bar closing in the hour above: there will be a high chance of entering a purchase as indicated in the chart, respecting the day, news and the stop loss. 🔸️If the price exceeds the red bar 🟥, with the bar closing in the hour below: there will be a high chance of entering a sale as indicated in the chart, respecting the day, news, and the stop loss.
Short
by Abderrahmane_24
1