U.S. Dollar / Canadian Dollar

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U.S. Dollar / Canadian Dollar forum


USD/CAD 4-Hour Technical & Fundamental Analysis

USD/CAD has dropped below a key support level, pressured by both technical and fundamental bearish drivers as the U.S. dollar weakens and the Canadian dollar gains strength. The 4-hour chart structure shows a potential distribution phase followed by a liquidity grab, signaling smart money manipulation before a possible continuation to the downside.

Price broke down below the minor support at 1.36800, triggering short entries. However, a sharp reversal followed, hunting stop-losses and liquidating early sellers. This false breakout indicates a manipulation phase, where price seeks liquidity before choosing direction.

If the price closes below 1.36700 with a solid 4H candle body, it confirms bearish intent and opens the door for a continuation down to the next key support, aligning with broader USD weakness and CAD strength.
Snapshot

USDCAD this might be a solid reversal point, if so then my ultimate target will be equal high liquidity 40164, day trader can easily target 37627
Snapshot




USDCAD

🌟 **USDCAD Patch Idea – SNR Technique in Action** 🌟

In this trading setup, I'm combining my own “patch” method with a classic **Support and Resistance (SNR)** technique. The chart shows how price recently broke through a resistance zone and is now pulling back into that same area, which I’ve highlighted in **yellow**. This zone is key because it’s where I expect buyers to step in again — turning old resistance into new support.

📍 I’ve also marked important price levels with **red lines**, especially the **open price of June 9**. This level acts as a psychological anchor — if price respects it, it could confirm that bulls are in control. The **yellow zone** is where I plan to look for entries. If price dips into this area and shows bullish signs (like wicks or a strong candle), I’ll consider buying.

🔑 The idea is simple: wait for price to react at the **support zone**, and then follow the move upwards. My target is around **1.3715 or higher**, and my stop loss would go just below the support, around **1.3682**. This gives a clean structure: entry on retest, stop below structure, and a clear bullish path if all goes well.

🎯 Overall, this patch helps me stay focused on clean market structure, key levels, and price behavior. No need to rush — I just wait for the market to come to me. 📊
Snapshot

USDCAD A combination of downbeat US macroeconomic data, investors’ frustration amid a lack of progress on US trade negotiations, the uncertain tariffs scenario, and rising concerns about US debt keeps feeding a “sell America” trade that has hammered the Dollar over the last two months.

USDCAD The US Dollar’s recovery has been short-lived. A frail rebound witnessed on Wednesday’s late US market session was capped below 1.3700, and the pair resumed its broader downtrend on Thursday to test year-to-date lows, at 1.3650.

USDCAD The US Dollar drops across the board as the specter of a US recession returns. Weak US data is feeding hopes of a Fed rate cut in September. A “hawkish hold” by the BoC provided fresh support for the CAD on Wednesday.

USDCAD - 1 HR Chart
Position Opened @ 1.3669 - Buy