USDCHF: Could be telling a story of break-retest-reversalThe price action on the USDCHF presents an opportunity of structural transition. The descending trendline has acted as dynamic resistance, has contained each rally attempt beautifully. This trendline is marked by multiple rejections, reflected bearish dominance, a controlled downtrend in motion.
The recent movement though could signal a shift. The market has started to break above this descending structure, and it could early suggest that bearish momentum is weakening.
I will be waiting for the price to return to the broken trendline, treating former resistance as newfound support. It’s a confirmation pattern in order to filter false moves, a structure retest that reinforces breakout reliability.
From this base, I am expecting it to target the 0.81900 level, as shown. This area coinciding with horizontal resistance that aligns with previous reactions. Such levels as natural “gravitational pivots”.
An ideal approach here would involve observing the character of the pullback. If the market returns to the trendline with declining bearish volume and forms higher lows on lower timeframes, it strengthens the bullish case.
The trendline break on the chart is not just a signal, it’s a storyline unfolding. It marks a shift with a story. And if volume, price structure, and timing align as they appear poised to, this move could be the first move in a broader upside correction or trend reversal.
Just sharing my thoughts for the charts, this isn’t financial advice. Always confirm your setups and manage your risk properly.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
USDCHF trade ideas
USDCHF – Reversal Setup Building Above 0.79 SupportUSDCHF has broken out of its steep downward channel and is now forming a potential bullish reversal base above the key support zone at 0.7940–0.7870. Price action suggests momentum could be shifting in favor of the bulls, with upside targets sitting at 0.8100 (Fibonacci 38.2%) and 0.8210 (previous resistance and 61.8% retracement).
🔍 Technical Structure:
Clean descending channel now broken.
Price holding above May–June lows, forming a potential higher low.
First target: 0.8100 zone.
Final target: 0.8210 resistance.
Stop: Below 0.7870 structure low.
🧠 Fundamentals:
USD Outlook: Bullish tilt as Fed members push back against early cuts. Markets eye July 11 CPI, which could confirm inflation stickiness and reinforce USD strength.
CHF Outlook: Weak bias, as the SNB has turned more dovish. With safe-haven demand easing and growth outlook softening, CHF is losing favor across the board.
Global sentiment: Risk appetite improving as geopolitical concerns (e.g., Strait of Hormuz, Iran) temporarily ease—removing upward pressure on CHF.
⚠️ Risk Factors:
A surprise drop in U.S. CPI this week could shift USDCHF sharply lower.
Renewed geopolitical tensions may revive CHF demand suddenly.
Fed speak and yields must remain supportive for this structure to play out.
🔁 Asset Dynamics:
USDCHF tends to lag behind DXY and USDJPY. Watch those pairs for confirmation. It can also follow moves in US10Y yields and react inversely to Gold volatility (safe-haven flow shifts).
✅ Trade Bias: Bullish
TP1: 0.8100
TP2: 0.8210
SL: Below 0.7870
Event to Watch: 🇺🇸 U.S. CPI – July 11
📌 If CPI confirms sticky inflation, USDCHF could rally toward the upper retracement zones quickly. Watch for confirmation candles near breakout.
USDCHF Forming Descending ChannelUSDCHF is currently moving within a well-defined descending channel on the daily timeframe. The structure has been respecting this pattern for several months, and we are now approaching a potential breakout zone. Price recently tapped the midline of the channel and showed early signs of bullish rejection. I'm closely monitoring this pair as it builds momentum for a possible bullish reversal, either from a deeper retest at the lower channel boundary or directly breaking above the upper trendline.
On the fundamental side, today's shift in sentiment around the US dollar is quite clear. After a series of weaker US inflation reports and growing market anticipation of a Fed rate cut, USD has come under pressure. However, the Swiss franc is also showing signs of weakness, especially after the Swiss National Bank became the first major central bank to cut interest rates earlier this year and is likely to remain dovish through the remainder of 2025. This monetary policy divergence creates space for USDCHF to rally as investors price in a potential stabilization or rebound in the dollar.
Risk sentiment also plays a role here. With global equities slightly pulling back and geopolitical tensions simmering, safe haven demand is mixed. While CHF typically benefits in risk-off environments, the lack of recent SNB hawkishness gives USDCHF bulls a clearer edge, especially if US data stabilizes or improves.
Technically, I’m anticipating a potential false break to the downside before a sharp bullish wave toward 0.8300 and beyond. Momentum indicators are flattening, and with volume starting to pick up on bullish candles, this setup has potential. I’ll be looking to add further confirmation as price approaches the lower trendline or breaks out with clean structure. Keep a close eye — this setup could turn into a strong profit opportunity in the coming days.
USD/CHF Tests Critical Resistance at 0.804FenzoFx—USD/CHF is testing the critical resistance level at 0.804, a demand zone that coincides with the descending trendline.
A new bearish wave would form if the price remains below this level. In this scenario, USD/CHF will likely retest the previous support level at 0.787.
USD/CHF Breakout Done , Long Setup Valid To Get 100 Pips !Here is my opinion on USD/CHF , We have a clear breakout and the price now above my support area , i`m waiting the price to go back to retest it and then give me any bullish price action and i will enter a buy trade , the reason for cancel this idea , if we have a daily closure again below my area.
USD/CHF (1-hour timeframe)USD/CHF (1-hour timeframe), the analysis appears to include:
Ascending triangle pattern (with higher lows and a horizontal resistance).
Ichimoku Cloud for trend analysis.
Two marked target levels with projected breakout potential.
Identified Targets:
1. First Target:
🔹 Around 0.80000
This is just above the current resistance zone and seems to be the initial breakout target if price breaks the horizontal resistance.
2. Second Target (Final Target):
🔹 Around 0.80300 – 0.80350
This is the next higher resistance or profit-taking zone based on projected move from the triangle breakout.
---
Summary:
If the price breaks and closes above the horizontal resistance (approx. 0.79850), your potential targets are:
🎯 Target 1: 0.80000
🎯 Target 2: 0.80300–0.80350
Keep an eye on price action and volume confirmation before entry. Let me know if you want stop-loss suggestions or a risk/reward breakdown.
USDCHF downtrend capped by resistance at 0.8045The USD/CHF pair is currently trading with a bearish bias, aligned with the broader downward trend. Recent price action shows a retest of the falling resistance, suggesting a temporary relief rally within the downtrend.
Key resistance is located at 0.8045, a prior consolidation zone. This level will be critical in determining the next directional move.
A bearish rejection from 0.8045 could confirm the resumption of the downtrend, targeting the next support levels at 0.7900, followed by 0.7860 and 0.7810 over a longer timeframe.
Conversely, a decisive breakout and daily close above 0.8045 would invalidate the current bearish setup, shifting sentiment to bullish and potentially triggering a move towards 0.8080, then 0.8140.
Conclusion:
The short-term outlook remains bearish unless the pair breaks and holds above 0.8045. Traders should watch for price action signals around this key level to confirm direction. A rejection favours fresh downside continuation, while a breakout signals a potential trend reversal or deeper correction.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Bearish reversal off pullback resistance?The Swissie (USD/CHF) is rising towards the pivot, which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 0.8076
1st Support: 0.7879
1st Resistance: 0.8295
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USD/CHF Update: Killer Short Trigger Ready to Pop!Welcome back, traders, it’s Skeptic from Skeptic Lab! 😎 We’ve got a juicy short trigger on USD/CHF that could deliver serious profits if it fires. Stay with me till the end to nail this trade! Let’s dive into the Daily and 4-hour timeframes for the full picture. Currently at $0.79671, here’s the play:
✔️ Daily Timeframe:
We’re in a rock-solid bearish major trend . After hitting a high of $ 0.84649 , we broke the key support at $ 0.80573 , resuming the bearish trend. A pullback to the broken $ 0.80573 level is likely, as it aligns with the 0.6 Fibonacci retracement from the prior 4-hour wave. Trading with the trend is smartest, so shorts are the focus. If you want to long, go with lower risk and close positions faster.
📊 4-Hour Timeframe (Futures Triggers):
Short Trigger: Two options here. Either enter on a trendline break (no extra trigger needed, as continuation trendlines mean the prior trend resumes on a break), or, for a safer play, short on a break of support at $ 0.79604 —this needs minimal confirmation.
Long Trigger: Wait for a break of the resistance zone at $ 0.80573 . Confirm with RSI entering overbought. Check my RSI guide ( link ) for how I use it differently—game-changing stuff!
📉 Key Insight: Stick to the bearish trend for higher-probability trades. Shorts at $0.79604 or on a trendline break are your best bet.
🔔Risk management is your lifeline—cap risk at max 1%–2% per trade to stay in the game.
I’ll catch you in the next analysis—good luck, fam! <3
💬 Let’s Talk!
Which USD/CHF trigger are you locked on? Hit the comments, and let’s crush it together! 😊 If this update lit your fire, smash that boost—it fuels my mission! ✌️
USDCHF: H4 Bullish Order Flow Targeting Weekly FVGGreetings Traders,
In today’s analysis of USDCHF, we observe that the H4 timeframe is currently delivering bullish institutional order flow. As a result, our directional bias is aligned with seeking buying opportunities that reflect this bullish momentum.
Market Context:
Higher Timeframe Objective:
The current draw on liquidity is aimed at a Weekly Fair Value Gap, which now serves as our primary upside target. Since the higher timeframe narrative is bullish, it’s essential that our intermediate timeframe—the H4—confirms this bias, which it does through consistent bullish structure.
Institutional Support Zone (H4):
As price continues to form higher highs and higher lows, it has now retraced into an H4 Fair Value Gap, functioning as an institutional support zone. Notably, this area has been retested multiple times, further reinforcing its strength and significance.
Trading Plan:
Entry Strategy:
Monitor the lower timeframes for confirmation signals within the H4 Fair Value Gap. Look for bullish price action cues before executing buy orders.
Target:
The primary objective remains the Weekly Fair Value Gap, which represents a key area of institutional interest and a likely zone for price to be drawn into.
July 13, Forex Outlook : This Week’s Blueprint to Profit!
Stay patient, follow your confirmations, and align with the flow of smart money.
Kind Regards,
The Architect 🏛️📊
USDCHFUSDCHF If the price can stay above 0.78590, it is expected that the price will rebound. Consider buying in the red zone.
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Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
>>GooD Luck 😊
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USDCHF H1 I Bullish Bounce Off the 50%Based on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price is falling toward our buy entry at 0.7951, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fib retracement.
Our take profit will be at 0.7986, which is a multi-swing high resistance level.
The stop loss will be placed at 0.7920, a swing low support.
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Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
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USDCHF ENTRY CHARTWe are BULLISH on this Pair, as we have a shift in trend at yesterday's daily close, the INTRA-DAY TF trend as also shifted to the upside, on our h1, we got a breaker block+ inducement with other confluences, if this matches with your idea, you can add to your watch-list. THANK YOU
Bullish bounce?USD/CHF is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.7987
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support.
Stop loss: 0.7924
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support.
Take profit: 0.8068
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
USD/CHF Swissie Heist Plan: Rob the Trend, Ride the Bull!🔐💰 USD/CHF Swissie Forex Heist 💰🔐
“Rob the Trend, Escape the Trap – Thief Style Day/Swing Master Plan”
🌎 Hola! Hello! Ola! Marhaba! Bonjour! Hallo!
Dear Market Looters, Swing Snipers & Scalping Shadows, 🕶️💼💸
Welcome to another elite Thief Trading Operation, targeting the USD/CHF "SWISSIE" vault with precision. Based on sharp technical blueprints & macroeconomic footprints, we're not just trading – we're executing a Forex Bank Heist.
This robbery mission is based on our day/swing Thief strategy – perfect for those who plan, act smart, and love stacking pips like bricks of cash. 💵🧱
💹 Mission Brief (Trade Setup):
🎯 Entry Point – Open the Vault:
Swipe the Bullish Loot!
Price is prepped for an upside raid – jump in at any live price OR set smart Buy Limit orders near the 15m/30m recent pullback zones (last swing low/high).
Use DCA / Layering for better entries, thief-style.
🧠 Thief Logic: Let the market come to you. Pullbacks are entry doors – robbers don’t rush into traps.
🛑 Stop Loss – Exit Strategy If Caught:
📍 Primary SL: Below recent swing low on the 4H chart (around 0.79500)
📍 Adjust based on lot size, risk, and number of stacked entries.
This SL isn’t your leash – it’s your getaway route in case the plan backfires.
🏴☠️ Profit Target – Escape Before the Cops Arrive:
🎯 Target Zone: 0.81700
(Or dip out earlier if the vault cracks fast – Robbers exit before alarms trigger!)
📌 Trailing SL recommended as we climb up the electric red zone.
🔥 Swissie Heist Conditions:
📈 USD/CHF showing upward bias based on:
Momentum shift
Reversal zone bounce
Strong USD sentiment & macro factors
✅ COT positioning
✅ Intermarket correlations
✅ Sentiment & Quant data
➡️ Do your fundamental recon 🔎
⚔️ Scalpers – Here's Your Mini-Mission:
Only play LONGS. No counter-robbing.
💸 Big bags? Enter with aggression.
💼 Small stack? Follow the swing crew.
💾 Always trail your SL – protect the stash.
🚨 News Alert – Avoid Laser Alarms:
🗓️ During high-volatility releases:
⚠️ No new trades
⚠️ Use trailing SLs
⚠️ Watch for spikes & fakeouts – the vault traps amateurs
💣 Community Boost Request:
If this plan helps you loot the market:
💥 Smash that Boost Button 💥
Let’s strengthen the Thief Army 💼
The more we grow, the faster we move, and the deeper we steal. Every like = one more bulletproof trade.
#TradeLikeAThief 🏆🚨💰
📌 Legal Escape Note:
This chart is a strategic overview, not personalized advice.
Always use your judgment, manage risk, and review updated data before executing trades.
📌 Market is dynamic – so keep your eyes sharp, your plan tighter, and your strategy ruthless.
🕶️ Stay dangerous. Stay profitable.
See you soon for the next Forex Vault Hit.
Until then – Lock. Load. Loot.
USDCHF The Target Is DOWN! SELL!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on USDCHF and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 0.8050 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 0.7970
Safe Stop Loss - 0.8093
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
USD/CHF on the rise!The recent rebound of the US dollar has led to a decline in the Swiss franc against it, similar to other major currencies. The US dollar is also expected to show further strength in the coming period, supported by recent positive economic data, most notably, and the annual Consumer Price Index (CPI) - which came in at 2.7%, the highest reading in the last four releases.
This last CPI reading holds particular significance, as the Federal Reserve (Fed) is closely watching it, especially with expectations that the impact of tariffs may start to appear from this and the next reading.
Positive inflation data and a stable labor market give the Fed the flexibility to maintain steady interest rates in the near term, which could support further USD strength. The impact of all this economic data is expected to diminish as we approach August 1, the date when tariffs are set to resume, according to US President Donald Trump.
The world is closely watching how the tariff issue will unfold and whether trade agreements will be reached before that date. All of this directly affects global markets and the US dollar. For these reasons, traders should closely monitor the news, as developments are rapidly changing and appear daily, especially statements from the US President regarding tariffs.
Technical outlook
From a technical perspective, the USD/CHF pair is trading in an uptrend on the 4-hour chart. Its recent pullback to the 0.79419 level is considered corrective, with the uptrend likely to resume and target the 0.79997 level.
However, if the price drops below the 0.79193 level and forms a lower low on the 4-hour chart, this would signal a trend reversal from bullish to bearish, invalidating the bullish scenario mentioned above.