USDCHF Analysis: Break & Retest or Mean Reversion?Hello traders!
USDCHF is offering two trading scenarios on the daily timeframe.
The first scenario suggests the pair may react bearishly from the resistance zone, setting up a break-and-retest opportunity that could drive price lower toward the 0.80001 area.
The second scenario anticipates a bounce toward the 0.89100 region, where a mean reversion setup may come into play (if sellers step in and price action confirms bearish intent near that resistance).
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USDCHF trade ideas
Day 1 of turning £20 to £1million in 1 yearThis is day one of the challenge turning 20gbp to 1 million GBP within 1 year.
Expressed thoughts on some fundamentals going on right now and the approach for this week. This was posted 15 minutes before market open on a Sunday. Let the fun commence.
Ideally trying to complete this before 11th May 2026 hitting 1 million by then.
USDCHF Confirmed bottom Buy SignalLast time we looked at the USDCHF pair was three months ago (February 05 2025, see chart below) and it gave us the best sell signal possible, easily hitting our 0.8400 Target:
This time the long-term price action has transitioned into a Megaphone pattern, whose bottom was reached on the April 21 Low. At the same time the 1D RSI hit the 18.90 Support, which has been the Ultimate Buy Signal for the August 05 2024 and December 28 2023 Lows.
Since the price has been rebounding since, we view this as a confirmed buy signal and the start of the Megaphone's new Bullish Leg. The previous two rose by +10% and +10.67% respectively so a mere repeat of the +10% rally, will hit at least 0.88000.
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USD/CHF Elliott Wave Count – Building for Wave (5) 🌀 USD/CHF Elliott Wave Count – Building for Wave (5) 🚀
Chart Analysis – May 13, 2025
I'm tracking a well-structured 5-wave impulse on USD/CHF using Elliott Wave Theory, supported by Fibonacci confluence, Awesome Oscillator (AO) momentum shifts, and convergence-divergence signals.
🔹 Elliott Wave Count
We're currently in the corrective phase of Wave (4) after a strong Wave (3) extension. Here's the breakdown:
✅ Wave (1), (2), and (3) are clearly in place, with (3) showing healthy extension.
🔁 Wave (4) is pulling back and is now testing key support.
🔜 Anticipating a bullish Wave (5) continuation.
🔹 Key Fibonacci Levels & Buy Zone (Zone 1)
Wave (4) is approaching a high-probability reversal zone:
Zone 1 Buy Area: 0.8362 – 0.8341, marked by:
1.618–1.786 Fibonacci extension
Confluence with previous breakout structure (resistance turned support)
Classic Elliott correction depth for Wave (4)
This zone provides a strong technical base for a potential bounce into Wave (5).
🔹 Awesome Oscillator (AO) + Convergence/Divergence
AO confirms the wave count momentum:
Strong green bars during Wave (3)
Bearish red bars during Wave (4) correction
Potential bullish convergence forming:
Price is making lower lows
AO is showing higher lows – this is bullish divergence, a classic pre-Wave (5) signal
This momentum shift suggests buyers are returning, even as price dips into support — a strong signal for trend continuation.
🎯 Bias, Target & Invalidation
Trade Bias: Bullish
Buy Zone: 0.8362–0.8341 (Zone 1)
Wave (5) Target: 0.8470 – 0.8500 (based on Wave (1)-(3) projection and previous high)
Invalidation: Break and close below 0.8341 suggests deeper corrective structure or invalid wave count
✅ Summary
This setup combines:
Elliott Wave 5-impulse structure
Fibonacci confluence at key buy zone
Bullish divergence on AO supporting Wave (5) potential
Strong risk-to-reward opportunity from Zone 1
📉 Waiting for confirmation via bullish price action or stronger AO green bars before committing. Let me know your view or alternate wave counts!
#elliottwave #usdchf #wave5setup #fibonacci #awesomeoscillator #divergence #priceaction #forexanalysis #tradingview
USD/CHF..4h chart pattern..I'm considering a **BUY trade on USD/CHF** with an **entry at 0.83170** and a **target at 0.8600**. Let's analyze this trade setup:
### **Trade Summary (USD/CHF Buy)**
- **Entry:** 0.83170
- **Target:** 0.8600
- **Potential Gain:** **283 pips** (0.8600 - 0.83170 = 0.0283)
### **Key Considerations:**
1. **Current Market Context:**
- USD/CHF has been influenced by **USD strength** or **CHF weakness**.
- Check recent economic data (e.g., US inflation, Fed policy vs. SNB actions).
- If the **Swiss National Bank (SNB) is dovish** or the **Fed is hawkish**, this trade could work.
2. **Technical Levels:**
- **Support:** If 0.8317 is a key support (e.g., recent swing low), buying here makes sense.
- **Resistance:** 0.8600 is a psychological level and may act as strong resistance.
- **Stop Loss (SL):** Consider placing a stop below a recent low (e.g., 0.8250 or lower).
3. **Risk Management:**
- A **283-pip profit** is sizable, but ensure your **risk-reward ratio** is favorable (e.g., 1:2 or better).
- Example: If your stop loss is **100 pips**, your risk-reward is **~1:2.8**, which is good.
4. **Fundamental Triggers:**
- Watch for **US CPI, Fed speeches, or SNB interventions**.
- If the **USD strengthens further**, this trade could accelerate upward.
### **Final Thoughts:**
- This trade has a **strong potential** if USD continues upward momentum.
- **Monitor resistance levels** (0.8400, 0.8500) for possible pullbacks.
- **Always use a stop loss** to protect against unexpected reversals.
Would you like help with **stop-loss placement** or **technical confirmation signals**? 🚀
USDCHF Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow Analysis !In this video I will be sharing my USDCHF analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.
USDCHF: Correctional Movement Ahead?! 🇺🇸🇨🇭
USDCHF may continue a correctional movement after
a release of the today's US CPI data.
A technical price action confirmation that I spotted is a
valid Change of Character CHoCH on an hourly time frame.
We can expect a bearish continuation to 0.8358
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
USDCHF Trade Opportunity AnalysisGood morning, esteemed traders,
Today, I would like to bring your attention to a significant trading opportunity regarding the USDCHF currency pair. After experiencing a considerable decline throughout April, we have observed a consolidation phase lasting over a month. Importantly, USDCHF has attempted to breach the resistance level at approximately 0.8343 on three separate occasions, indicating strong interest at this pivotal price point.
Notably, we witnessed a false breakdown earlier this week, which likely served to lure additional sellers into the market. This move has set the stage for a potential bullish breakout . I anticipate a target of 322 pips from this trade, positioning it as a medium-term opportunity with an attractive Risk-to-Reward ratio of 1:2.
Here are the particulars for this trade setup:
- Entry Price: 0.8343
- Stop Loss: 0.8181
- Profit Target: 0.8666
As always, I encourage you to conduct your own analysis and consider your risk tolerance before entering any positions. Wishing you all profitable trading.
Best regards,
Ehsan
Bearish reversal?The Swissie (USD/CHF) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support, which is a pullback support.
Pivot: 0.8391
1st Support: 0.8195
1st Resistance: 0.8598
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish continuation?The Swissie (USD/CHF) is falling towards the pivot, which acts as pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 0.8333
1st Support: 0.8260
1st Resistance: 0.8515
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish reversal?The Swissie (USD/CHF) is rising towards the pivot, which lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could drop to the 1st support, which is a pullback support.
Pivot: 0.8519
1st Support: 0.8334
1st Resistance: 0.8604
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish rise?USD/CHF has bounced off the support level which is a pullback support that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.8278
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.8244
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.8366
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
USDCHF - Predictive Analysis & Forecasting USDCHF
Scales
- S: 0.8485 pending
- M: 0.8460 activated, triggers 0.8138 pivot
- L: 0.8457 activated, triggers 0.8258 pivot
Forecast & Targets
- ST: Limited upside to 0.8485 min, 0.8584 max
- MT: bearish; eyeing reversal conditions
#USDCHF #Forex #CROW2.0
4xForecaster
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Originally published on BlueSky
Could the price reverse from here?USD/CHF is rising towards the resistance level, which is a pullback resistance that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.85076
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.8619
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 71% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.8366
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bullish bounce off pullback support?The Swissie (USD/CHF) is falling towards the pivot which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce to the 1st resistance, which is also a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 0.8315
1st Support: 0.8213
1st Resistance: 0.8519
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USD/CHF H4 | Falling toward a pullback supportUSD/CHF is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 0.8315 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 0.8175 which is a level that lies underneath a multi-swing-low support and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 0.8467 which is a swing-high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Falling towards 61.8% Fibonacci support?USD/CHF is falling towards the support level which his a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.8322
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.8197
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 0.8510
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
lease be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.