USDCHFHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on USDCHF?
USD/CHF has broken above its descending trendline and cleared a resistance zone, signaling a potential trend reversal and growing bullish momentum.
After some minor consolidation and a pullback to the breakout zone, we expect the pair to continue its rally toward the next identified targets.
The broken resistance now acts as new support, and as long as price remains above this area, the bullish outlook remains valid.
Is USD/CHF ready to extend higher toward its next targets? Share your view below! 🤔👇
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USDCHF trade ideas
USDCHF – Bullish comeback in progress?Hey everyone! What’s your take on the current trend of USDCHF?
While the pair experienced a recent dip, take a step back and look at the bigger picture — doesn’t it still seem to be moving within an ascending channel?
Right now, USDCHF is hovering around 0.8092 and starting to bounce back. The recovery appears to be supported by a newly formed support zone and the confluence of the EMA 34 and 89. The pair seems to be eyeing the recent high, with potential to climb further toward the upper boundary of the channel.
My current bias? Bullish.
What about you — do you see the same opportunity?
Drop a comment and hit like if you’re on the same page!
Is USDCHF correction over?✏️USDCHF in the medium term is still in an uptrend. After a retest wave of Fibonacci 0.5 some buying pressure was present in the European session today with the confirmation of the H4 candle Full bullish force. The reaction at Fibonacci is also the support zone for break out in the past. This is considered an important point in the structure of the bullish wave. The BUY point is triggered with the expectation that USDCHF will break the peak of last week and head towards higher levels.
📉 Key Levels
BUY now 0.80800 (confirmation of candle at the support zone)
BUY DCA trigger Break the peak 0.816
Target 0.830
Leave your comments on the idea. I am happy to read your views.
Target Locked: USDCHF Buy Trade with High ConvictionHey Guys,
I'm planning a buy trade on USDCHF from the pullback zone between 0.80028 and 0.80625. My target level is 0.83390.
I'm quite optimistic about this setup. But remember—forex markets do what they want; we simply make educated guesses.
That’s why risk management is key. Protect your capital.
And one more thing: every single like from you is my biggest motivation to keep sharing analysis. Huge thanks to everyone supporting me!
Sell Setup – USD/CHF (1H Timeframe)Chart Summary (1H – USD/CHF)
The pair was bullish, then got sharply rejected near 0.8100.
Price is now inside the Ichimoku Cloud, which means indecision.
Bearish signs:
Price failing to push back above cloud
Chikou Span (lagging line) is heading below candles
Flat Kijun-sen + bearish twist forming in the cloud
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🔻 Sell Setup (Only Sell Focus)
📍 Sell Entry
Entry price: 0.7990
Reason: Break below Ichimoku cloud base and recent structure support
Confirmation of bearish move starting
🛑 Stop Loss
SL: 0.8055
Above the Kijun-sen and recent minor high
Protects against false breakdowns
🎯 Take Profit
TP1: 0.7950 – First nearby support
TP2: 0.7900 – Strong previous support area
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📊 Trade Plan Summary
Component Price
Sell Entry 0.7990
Stop Loss 0.8055
Take Profit 1 0.7950
Take Profit 2 0.7900
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✅ Entry Confirmation Checklist
Before entering the trade, confirm these:
❗ 1H candle closes below 0.7990
📉 Bearish candle shape (strong body, not a doji)
🟡 Chikou Span below price
☁ Cloud is red (future kumo bearish twisd
Bullish bounce off pullback support?The Swissie (USD/CHF) is falling towards the pivot, which acts as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance, which lines up with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Pivot: 0.8073
1st Support: 0.7990
1st Resistance: 0.8155
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Potential bearish drop?USD/CHF has rejected off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.8112
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.8196
Why we like it:
There is a swing high resistance.
Take profit: 0.7986
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support.
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Potential bearish drop?USD/CHF has reacted off the sell entry, which is a pullback resistance, and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.8067
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
Stop loss: 0.8118
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
Take profit: 0.7951
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly below the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
USDCHF false breakout, price range capped by 0.8130The USD/CHF pair is currently trading with a bearish bias, aligned with the broader downward trend. Recent price action shows a retest of the falling resistance, suggesting a temporary relief rally within the downtrend.
Key resistance is located at 0.8130, a prior consolidation zone. This level will be critical in determining the next directional move.
A bearish rejection from 0.8130 could confirm the resumption of the downtrend, targeting the next support levels at 0.7970, followed by 0.7930 and 0.7900 over a longer timeframe.
Conversely, a decisive breakout and daily close above 0.8130 would invalidate the current bearish setup, shifting sentiment to bullish and potentially triggering a move towards 0.8160, then 0.8200.
Conclusion:
The short-term outlook remains bearish unless the pair breaks and holds above 0.8045. Traders should watch for price action signals around this key level to confirm direction. A rejection favours fresh downside continuation, while a breakout signals a potential trend reversal or deeper correction.
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USD/CHF Rally Threatens ReversalThe July opening range broke to the topside on the heels of yesterday’s FOMC rate decision and takes USD/CHF back above the 25% parallel- a weekly close back above the April lows at 8040 tomorrow would suggest a more significant low is in place / a larger reversal is underway. Look for initial support near 8103 today for guidance.
Initial topside resistance objectives eyed at the 1.618% extension of the monthly advance and the 61.8% retracement of the May decline at 8222/46 backed by the median line, currently near the 83-handle. Key lateral resistance stands at 8380-8416- a region defined by the 38.2% retracement of the yearly range, the 2024 low-close, the 2023 low-week close (LWC) and the 2024 yearly open (an area of interest for possible topside exhaustion / price inflection IF reached).
Support rests at the yearly LWC at 7946 with a break / close below 7881 needed to mark resumption of the broader multi-year downtrend. Subsequent support objectives seen at the 2011 LWC at 7769 and the 2011 low-close at 7669.
Bottom line: USD/CHF is threatening a larger reversal within the broader downtrend. From a trading standpoint, losses would need to be limited to 8040 IF price is heading higher on this stretch with weekly close above 8103 on Friday needed to keep the immediate advance viable into the August open.
-MB
USDCHF → The resistance retest ended with a false breakoutFX:USDCHF tested resistance at 0.805 - 0.806 and formed a false breakout without the possibility of continuing growth. The global trend is downward...
Against the backdrop of the dollar's growth (reaction to news), the currency pair also moved to distribution to 0.8050. The price failed to break through resistance, forming a false breakout. USDCHF is consolidating below resistance, and a breakdown of the local structure could trigger a decline.
The dollar index is also facing fairly strong resistance and may continue its downward trend, which will also affect the decline in the USDCHF price.
Resistance levels: 0.805, 0.806, 0.81
Support levels: 0.800, 0.794, 0.791
If, within the current consolidation, the price begins to fall and break the local structure, then we can expect the decline to continue towards the specified targets!
Best regards, R. Linda!
Bullish bounce off?The Swissie (USD/CHF) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance which acts as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 0.7989
1st Support: 0.7922
1st Resistance: 0.8113
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Lingrid | USDCHF Potential Bullish Move Following Level BreakoutFX:USDCHF surged from a higher low and is now retesting the broken structure near 0.802, maintaining its position within the broader upward channel. A clean bounce from this zone would confirm the bullish structure, targeting the upper channel resistance near 0.815. Pullback and higher low structure support continued upside movement with short-term consolidation possible. A breakout from the consolidation box could accelerate momentum toward the resistance area.
📈 Key Levels
Buy zone: 0.802 – 0.805
Buy trigger: Bullish confirmation above 0.805
Target: 0.815
Invalidation: Drop below 0.796
💡 Risks
False breakout near 0.805 may lead to rejection
Failure to form higher high would invalidate bullish sequence
Momentum divergence could slow rally near resistance
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
USDCHF: The Necessary Return to the Manipulation ZoneIn the market, some zones act like magnets, pulling the price back to them. After a powerful move down, USDCHF has left behind a critical manipulation zone—a place where large capital needs to return to close their books before the real trend continues. This analysis is about waiting patiently at that exact spot.
The USDCHF pair continues to be in a global downtrend . After another powerful impulse down on the higher timeframe, the instrument corrected to the 78.6% Fibonacci level of the daily structure. This level, in conjunction with a daily order block, acted as strong resistance and pushed the price down, breaking the 4H corrective structure (BOS).
The interaction with the 78.6% level was accompanied by a manipulation in the form of a new daily order block , with a 4H order block residing inside it. If large capital intends to continue the downtrend, they will first need to close the losing long positions used to conduct the Buy-to-Sell (BTS) manipulation . This makes it a strong Point of Interest (POI) and a magnet for the price.
An additional argument for a short setup forming in this POI is that an untouched daily FVG remains slightly below. The mitigation of this FVG will be the minimum target if a setup is confirmed according to one of the two scenarios, provided the price reaches the POI before this rebalancing occurs.
Two Potential Short Scenarios
SCENARIO 1: Entry from the 61.8% Local Fib
This scenario involves the mitigation of the lower boundary of the daily order block in conjunction with reaching the 61.8% level of the local correction , and a reversal reaction from this confluence.
SCENARIO 2: Entry from the 78.6% Local Fib
If the 61.8% local level is broken, the second scenario comes into play, with the mitigation of the 4H order block in conjunction with the 78.6% level of the local correction , and a reversal reaction from there.
► Invalidation: A break of this level with the price finding acceptance above it would invalidate the short idea from this POI. In that case, the correction on the higher timeframe would continue higher, aiming to capture additional liquidity, at least from the June 19th high, which is also the daily structure's break level.
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The principles and conditions for forming the manipulation zones I show in this trade idea are detailed in my educational publication, which was chosen by TradingView for the "Editor's Picks" category and received a huge amount of positive feedback from this insightful trading community. To better understand the logic I've used here and the general principles of price movement in most markets from the perspective of institutional capital, I highly recommend checking out this guide if you haven't already. 👇
P.S. This is not a prediction of the exact price direction. It is a description of high-probability setups that become valid only if specific conditions are met when the price reaches the marked POI. If the conditions are not met, the setups are invalid. No setup has a 100% success rate, so if you decide to use this trade idea, always apply a stop-loss and proper risk management. Trade smart.
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BUY USDCHF for divergence bearish trend reversal STOP LOSS: 0.7BUY USDCHF for divergence bearish trend reversal STOP LOSS: 0.7937
Regular Bullish Divergence
In case of Regular Bullish Divergence:
* The Indicator shows Higher Lows
* Actual Market Price shows Lower Lows
We can see a strong divergence on the MACD already and There is a strong trend reversal on the daily time frame chart.....
The daily time frame is showing strength of trend reversal from this strong level of Support so we are looking for the trend reversal and correction push from here.....
TAKE PROFIT : take profit will be when the trend comes to an end, feel from to send me a direct DM if you have any question about take profit or anything...
Remember to risk only what you are comfortable with...
USDCHF SHORT IDEA FULL BREAKDOWNUSD/CHF is flashing a strong bearish signal from both a macro and sentiment perspective.
✅ Bearish USD Drivers:
FOMC Pivot Watch: July meeting minutes hinted at potential rate cuts before year-end due to inflation moderating and soft jobs data.
Rising Swiss Franc Demand: CHF is benefiting from safe haven flows amid escalating tensions in Eastern Europe and shaky U.S. equity markets.
Swiss CPI Stable: Inflation is in check, allowing SNB to maintain their policy stance without pressure.
Institutional traders are reducing their exposure to the U.S. dollar, while retail traders are net long USDCHF — a classic contrarian bearish signal. Seasonality also favors Swiss Franc strength in August. On the macro side, U.S. data is underwhelming: job growth has slowed, services PMI is soft, and inflation metrics (CPI, PCE) are cooling. This has increased expectations for a Fed rate cut later in the year. Meanwhile, the Swiss National Bank remains stable with no urgency to ease policy. Combined with global risk-off sentiment, capital is flowing into CHF, giving it an added edge over the dollar.
USD/CHF Sets the Stage for a Classic Wolfe Wave Rally
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As anticipated, the USD/CHF pair has completed a textbook **Wolfe Wave pattern**, ticking all the structural boxes from wave 1 to wave 5. The early signs of bullish momentum are already unfolding—confirming what we’ve been tracking.
✨ **Wave Logic at Work**
The candles have begun their journey upward, aiming straight for the **dashed line connecting waves 1 and 4**—the ultimate Wolfe Wave price target. This line isn't just a projection—it's the magnetic path that often pulls price toward equilibrium.
🔎 **Why This Setup Matters**
- Pattern confirmation aligns perfectly with our expectations
- Market structure supports continued upward pressure
- Momentum builds as price respects wave symmetry
💡 **Outlook**
We maintain our bullish bias, watching for USD/CHF to stretch confidently toward the dashed line target. Until then, the candles speak the language of precision and possibility.
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