#USDCHF: Will USD Breakthrough The Strong Bearish Downtrend? The USDCHF currency pair has experienced significant volatility due to the ongoing trade dispute between the United States and China, which has led to a substantial decline in the DXY index. Consequently, CHF and JPY have emerged as the most stable currencies in the market.
Despite the USDCHF currency pair reversing its bullish trend, we anticipate a potential reversal back to a bearish position. We believe this reversal may be a temporary trap, and the currency pair is likely to regain its bullish position in the future.
There are two potential areas where the USDCHF currency pair could reverse from its current trend. The first area is relatively early, and if the USDCHF currency pair crosses a specific region, we may have a second safe option that could provide greater stability.
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USDCHF trade ideas
USDCHF: A Bullish Reversal Hinges on 0.7985USDCHF: A Bullish Reversal Hinges on 0.7985
USDCHF is currently testing a critical support zone near 0.7880—a level not seen since 2011.
The fact that price has returned to this area after more than a decade underscores the significance of this moment.
The pair remains under pressure for two key reasons:
Ongoing US tariff tensions have created big uncertainty and weighed on the dollar.
The Swiss National Bank continues to intervene in the FX market under the pretext of supporting the domestic economy and controlling inflation. While their reasoning may seem increasingly dubious, the impact on USDCHF is undeniable.
A decisive move above 0.7985 could signal the start of a bullish trend, with potential upside targets at 0.8060 and 0.8190.
A break of this resistance would not only shift short-term momentum but could also signal a broader trend reversal.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
How to mark your charts Lightning fast!One of the things I didn't like was marking my charts. I would take so much time marking my charts and adding the prices on the side. My mentor showed me the fastest way. Just use the FIB tool and use "0" and "1". Now you can focus on other important things. I want to thank my mentor for showing me this. Good luck to everyone
#USDCHF: 878+ PIPS Swing Buy In Making! Good Luck! Dear Traders,
OANDA:USDCHF
Price has been dropping since we had a change of character, there are many factors that are helping in USDCHF to drop. The mainly the first reason is CHF dominance in the market, CHF has been bullish ever since Gold continued the bullish trend, CHF, AUD and GOLD all of these three are positively correlated. Other fundamental reason is the blooming fear of recession in the US Market, on Friday we saw indices and stocks drop record high similarly to the first announcement of covid lockdown. USD index saw sharp drop due to this and it is likely that price will continue to do that on dxy index.
USDCHF: DXY Likely to remain bearish in long term! The USDCHF pair is likely to remain bearish in the coming days as DXY doesn’t show any bullish momentum. However, we expect DXY to be bullish in the short term, which will help the price reach our designated selling zone. Once the price reaches this zone and shows a reversal sign in a smaller timeframe, you can consider entering or taking any decision.
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USDCHF downtrend continuation below 0.8050 The USDCHF pair remains under bearish pressure, consistent with the prevailing downtrend. Recent price action has transitioned into a sideways consolidation, suggesting a pause in bearish momentum but not a reversal.
The key technical level to monitor is 0.8050, which marks a prior intraday consolidation zone and acts as immediate resistance. Should the pair stage an oversold bounce toward this level, a bearish rejection could reinforce the existing downtrend, with potential downside targets at 0.7900, followed by 0.7860 and 0.7810 over the longer term.
On the other hand, a confirmed breakout above 0.8050, supported by a daily close above this level, would invalidate the bearish outlook. Such a move would signal a possible shift in sentiment and open the door for a retest of the 0.8080 resistance zone, with further upside potential toward 0.8140.
Conclusion:
The broader trend remains bearish below 0.8050, and rallies into resistance may present renewed selling opportunities. However, a sustained break above 0.8050 would warrant a reassessment of the bearish bias and could signal the start of a short-term recovery phase. Traders should watch for price action confirmation at this key pivot area.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
USDCHF Analysis – "Dollar Trying to Break Free from Downtrend"USDCHF is breaking out from a multi-week descending channel.
Structure shows a potential trend reversal from the June 12th low.
First bullish leg may target the 23.6% Fib level at 0.8266, followed by an extended move toward 0.8355.
Key resistance: 0.8266 and 0.8355 (Fib levels)
Stop loss: around 0.8093–0.8056 zone (previous support and breakout base)
Structure Bias: Bullish breakout after prolonged downtrend – confirmation depends on sustained move above 0.8200
📊 Current Bias: Cautiously Bullish
🧩 Key Fundamentals Driving USDCHF
USD Side (Mildly Bearish to Neutral):
FOMC held rates, Dot Plot showed only one cut expected for 2025, but Powell’s tone was less hawkish.
US Retail Sales soft, and PPI/CPI showed signs of inflation cooling.
Recent risk-off sentiment (Middle East, oil spikes, equity volatility) supports the USD.
Trump commentary and 2025 election anticipation bring long-term uncertainty.
CHF Side (Strong but potentially weakening):
SNB held rates steady, with cautious tone—no urgency to hike again.
Safe-haven flows still support CHF, but waning inflation and stronger global equity market might reduce CHF appeal.
SNB has hinted at FX intervention readiness, which could weaken CHF if necessary.
⚠️ Risks That May Reverse or Accelerate Trend
False breakout risk if 0.82 fails to hold → deeper pullback toward 0.8090
Stronger CHF demand on geopolitical fear (Israel–Iran, Ukraine)
Unexpectedly weak US data this week or renewed Fed dovish talk
🗓️ Important News to Watch
US: Core PCE, GDP revision (June 27), jobless claims
CHF: Swiss CPI, SNB FX intervention chatter
Risk sentiment: Iran/Israel tensions, equity volatility, Trump Fed commentary
🏁 Which Asset Might Lead the Broader Move?
USDCHF could mirror sentiment across CHF pairs—if risk-on resumes and CHF weakens across the board (EURCHF, NZDCHF also rallying), USDCHF may accelerate higher.
USD/CHF Exchange Rate Falls to Multi-Year LowUSD/CHF Exchange Rate Falls to Multi-Year Low
According to the chart, the USD/CHF exchange rate has settled below the key psychological level of 0.8000. The rate hasn’t been this low since the financial crisis of 2008.
On one hand, the drop in USD/CHF is driven by weakness in the US dollar. The US dollar index has fallen to its lowest level in over three years, largely due to the conflicting trade policies pursued by the Trump administration. On the other hand, geopolitical instability has increased the appeal of the Swiss franc as a so-called safe-haven asset.
Technical Analysis of the USD/CHF Chart
Since mid-May, price fluctuations have formed a downward channel (marked in red), and by the end of June the rate had stabilised around the psychological threshold of 0.8000 (indicated by an arrow) — right at the median of the channel.
However, this balance between supply and demand proved temporary, tipping in favour of sellers. As a result, we now see a decline in USD/CHF along a steep trajectory (marked in black), potentially targeting the lower boundary of the red channel — which suggests a possible move down to 0.7800 USD per franc. Along this path, support may come from the 1.618 Fibonacci extension level (0.7875); note how the 0.8055 level previously acted as support (marked with a blue arrow).
The RSI indicator confirms strong selling pressure — but will the bearish trend continue?
Much will depend on the broader fundamental context. As reported by the Wall Street Journal, the sharp strengthening of the franc against the dollar is causing growing concern at the Swiss National Bank (SNB), as an overly strong franc harms Swiss exporters. This suggests that the current market sentiment could shift dramatically if the SNB issues any relevant statements.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FOREX USD/CHF🥇 CHF The Silent Assassin
While the world screamed about inflation, recession, and banana peels on the geopolitical stage, the Swiss Franc just stood there sipping Rivella and quietly murdered the competition.
+14.10% vs EUR?
+19.34% vs USD?
CHF walked into the forex party, didn’t say anything, and left with everyone’s respect.
🥈 USD – The Gym Bro on a Sugar Crash
Big muscles, loud talk, but oh no, look at those gains over time:
-4.41% vs EUR
-19.34% vs CHF
The USD resembles the guy who used to bench 250 and still talks about it while eating Doritos.
Rate hikes gave it a short-lived boost, but now it's just aired—trillions in debt and a lack of direction.
USDCHFRebound after blowing through low wicks. Prolonging current rate differentials and SnB possibly getting ahead of the FED things could get interesting. CHF has been THE BEST WORST performer, now with 0%, it's not that the USD is "strengthening" it's just that CHF is finally going to start to catch up in depreciation while 4% rates keep the USD relatively flat.
USDCHF Will Collapse! SELL!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the USDCHF next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 0.7969
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 0.7955
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
3 Daily Reversal SignalsIn this video we're taking a look at the OANDA:USDCHF , looking at the idea of this pair being overextended to the bearish side and looking to take advantage of potential bullish relief.
There are 3 main signals that we're looking for in this trading example.
1) The Relative Strength Index (RSI) being extremely oversold (currently around 12)
2) Price action trading completely outside the Keltner Channels
3) A low-test candlestick pattern signaling potential buying pressure.
As I mentioned in the video the actually strategy that this idea is based-on has some very specific parameters, but it is cool to see how and if it could be evolved to work in alternative ways.
If you have any questions, comments or want to share ideas, please do so below.
Akil
USDCHF – Reversal Setup Building Above 0.79 SupportUSDCHF has broken out of its steep downward channel and is now forming a potential bullish reversal base above the key support zone at 0.7940–0.7870. Price action suggests momentum could be shifting in favor of the bulls, with upside targets sitting at 0.8100 (Fibonacci 38.2%) and 0.8210 (previous resistance and 61.8% retracement).
🔍 Technical Structure:
Clean descending channel now broken.
Price holding above May–June lows, forming a potential higher low.
First target: 0.8100 zone.
Final target: 0.8210 resistance.
Stop: Below 0.7870 structure low.
🧠 Fundamentals:
USD Outlook: Bullish tilt as Fed members push back against early cuts. Markets eye July 11 CPI, which could confirm inflation stickiness and reinforce USD strength.
CHF Outlook: Weak bias, as the SNB has turned more dovish. With safe-haven demand easing and growth outlook softening, CHF is losing favor across the board.
Global sentiment: Risk appetite improving as geopolitical concerns (e.g., Strait of Hormuz, Iran) temporarily ease—removing upward pressure on CHF.
⚠️ Risk Factors:
A surprise drop in U.S. CPI this week could shift USDCHF sharply lower.
Renewed geopolitical tensions may revive CHF demand suddenly.
Fed speak and yields must remain supportive for this structure to play out.
🔁 Asset Dynamics:
USDCHF tends to lag behind DXY and USDJPY. Watch those pairs for confirmation. It can also follow moves in US10Y yields and react inversely to Gold volatility (safe-haven flow shifts).
✅ Trade Bias: Bullish
TP1: 0.8100
TP2: 0.8210
SL: Below 0.7870
Event to Watch: 🇺🇸 U.S. CPI – July 11
📌 If CPI confirms sticky inflation, USDCHF could rally toward the upper retracement zones quickly. Watch for confirmation candles near breakout.
USD/CHF – Bullish Reversal Setup with AB=CD Harmonics (1H TimefrWe’re closely watching USD/CHF, which has been in a bearish trend but is now showing strong signs of a bullish reversal.
A bullish divergence has formed, and the price has reached the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ) as projected by the AB=CD harmonic pattern. This suggests that the trend may already be reversing.
Additionally, Myfxbook sentiment shows 93% of retail traders are long, reinforcing overall bullish bias. However, for confirmation, we’re waiting for a breakout above the last lower high (LH) to ensure a shift in structure before entering.
🔹 Pair: USD/CHF
🔹 Timeframe: 1H
🔹 Trend: Bearish (reversal expected)
🔹 Divergence: Bullish
🔹 Harmonic Pattern: AB=CD (PRZ hit)
🔹 Sentiment: 93% Long (Myfxbook)
🔹 Bias: Bullish
🔹 Entry (Buy Stop): 0.79463
🔹 Stop Loss: 0.78693
🔹 Take Profit 1: 0.80233
🔹 Lot Size: 0.20
🔹 Risk/Reward: 1:1
🔹 Risk: $200
🔹 Potential Reward: $200
🎯 Strategy: Entry will be triggered only after the breakout of the previous LH, confirming a shift to bullish structure and validating the harmonic reversal.
📌 #USDCHF #ABCDPattern #BullishDivergence #HarmonicTrading #TrendReversal #SmartMoneyMoves #BreakoutSetup #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #ForexSignals #RiskManagement #1HChart #ForexTradeIdeas
USD/CHF Slips LowerUSD/CHF Slips Lower
USD/CHF declined and now struggling below the 0.8000 resistance.
Important Takeaways for USD/CHF Analysis Today
- USD/CHF declined below the 0.8000 and 0.7950 support levels.
- There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance near 0.7920 on the hourly chart at FXOpen.
USD/CHF Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of USD/CHF at FXOpen, the pair started a fresh decline from well above the 0.8080 zone. The US Dollar dropped below the 0.8000 support to move into a negative zone against the Swiss Franc.
The bears pushed the pair below the 50-hour simple moving average and 0.7940. Finally, the bulls appeared near the 0.7870 level. A low was formed near 0.7872 and the pair is now consolidating losses.
There was a minor increase above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.8080 swing high to the 0.7872 low. On the upside, the pair could face resistance near the 0.7920 level. There is also a key bearish trend line forming with resistance near 0.7920.
The next major resistance is near the 0.7940 level, above which the pair could test the 0.7975 level. It is close to the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.8080 swing high to the 0.7872 low.
If there is a clear break above the 0.7975 resistance zone, the pair could start another increase. In the stated case, it could even surpass 0.8030.
On the downside, immediate support on the USD/CHF chart is 0.7870. The first major support is near the 0.7850 level. The next major support is near 0.7800. Any more losses may possibly open the doors for a move toward the 0.7720 level in the coming days.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
USDCHF Will Go Up From Support! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for USDCHF.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 0.794.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 0.809 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Bearish continuation?The Swissie (USD/CHF) is rising towards the pivot, which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 0.7960
1st Support: 0.7879
1st Resistance: 0.8018
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USD/CHF – Rejection at Key Fib Confluence, Bearish Continuation We’re seeing a beautiful textbook rejection off the 0.79Fib zone (0.8200), precisely where price tapped into a previous structure break and minor supply block. Price surged into the red zone, wicked just above the 200 EMA, and was instantly met with heavy sell-side pressure — a strong signal of institutional distribution.
📌 Technical Confluences at Play:
Price failed to break the 200 EMA cleanly — acting as dynamic resistance.
0.79 Fib levels aligning with prior supply.
Rising wedge structure broken to the downside.
Entry candle printing a solid engulfing rejection — institutional footprint.
📉 Target Zone:
Primary TP sits at the 0.236 Fib level (0.8101), but the full measured move of this wedge gives us a final downside target near 0.8038, with intermediate stops at key Fibs. Invalidation above 0.82294
🧠 Trader’s Insight:
“Patience is power. You don’t chase moves, you position for moments.”
Let the market come to your zone of interest, validate your thesis, and then strike with precision. The best trades come from areas where multiple confirmations stack in your favor.
📉 Trade Plan:
Entry: 0.81933 rejection zone
TP1: 0.8130
TP2: 0.8101
Final TP: 0.8038
SL: Above 0.82294 (tight invalidation)
@WrightWayInvestments
@WrightWayInvestments
@WrightWayInvestments
USD/CHF BULLS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|LONG
Hello, Friends!
Bullish trend on USD/CHF, defined by the green colour of the last week candle combined with the fact the pair is oversold based on the BB lower band proximity, makes me expect a bullish rebound from the support line below and a retest of the local target above at 0.828.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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