USDCHF trade ideas
usdchf opportunity"Dear followers, I’d like to share a free trading tip with you: consider buying the USD/CHF currency pair. I’ve analyzed the market trends and believe this opportunity holds strong potential. To stay updated and gain more valuable technical insights, follow my detailed analyses. Your support means the world to me, and I’m dedicated to providing you with quality guidance for your trading journey. Let’s succeed together!"
check the trendThe price is expected to move in the specified direction and after the correction pattern is completed, we will see the start of the upward trend.
Potential double bottom pattern on USDCHFOn the 4-hour chart, USDCHF has formed a potential double bottom pattern in the short term. At present, attention can be paid to the resistance near 0.8864. If it breaks through, it will continue to rise, with the upward target looking at around 0.8960. At present, attention can be paid to the pullback near 0.8820 to go long.
USDCHF H4 | Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 0.8856, an overlap resistance.
Our take profit is set at 0.8810, an overlap support.
The stop loss is set at 0.8906, a swing high resistance.
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USDCHF Sell Setup
Currently Trading At 0.90605 , Sell Rise Till 0.90230 For The Target 0.87515—0.86050
USDCHF Short FVG 15 minUSDCHF Short FVG 15 min, requires a pullback and liquidity grab to continue sells.
UPDATED ANALYSIS FOR USD/CHFUSD/CHF 4H - Wit this pair you can see that price has recently traded down and into a valid area of Demand, I am expecting enough Demand to be introduced to flip the balance.
I have gone ahead and marked out the last protected high within the bearishness that has traded price down and into the area of interest. Once we see a break in that we will have more confirmation.
A break in the last high tells us that the bearishness trading us down has come to an end and a new trend to the upside is ready to be printed into the market.
This is when we can begin to look to enter in on this market with long positions. To further back our analysis we have had some positive news for the USD, meaning it should appreciate next week.
USD CHF SMC AnalysisLooking at this bear, we realize on the 4H we are bearish due to structure. We took out Liquidity and also We had an impulse up with displacement telling me we want to go higher.
Bullish bounce?USD/CHF is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.8802
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.8775
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.8835
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
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USDCHF Correction Due To Produce A Reversal Pattern?OANDA:USDCHF has been in a Correction Wave since the beginning of January and we now see that Price may have finally found Support at the 1.809 Fibonacci Extension Level of the Correction Wave.
With both Lows in March finding Support at the 1.809 Fibonacci Extension Level, Price is beginning to form what looks like a Reversal Pattern, the Double Bottom!
** Confirmation of Pattern will come when Price Breaks and Closes Above .8863, then we will be looking for a Long Opportunity to present itself as a Break and Retest Set-Up. The Retest will Validate the Trade Idea!
If we take the height of the Pattern and apply it to the Break of Confirmation, this puts the Potential Target at Previous Area of Support of the Correction Wave ( Point A ) in the .8975 area.
Fundamentals seem to Support the Bullish Idea with:
SNB Cutting Interest Rates by 25 Basis points from .5% to .25%
FED Holding Interest Rates @ 4.5% due to "Economic Uncertainty"
Unemployment Claims for USD came in as expected with no surprise and even 1K below Forecast ( Actual 223K / Forecast 224K )
Also Positive Outlook from Philly Fed Manufacturing Index and Existing Home Sales see USD rise.
Next Weeks Final GDP on Thursday, March 27th will be the next big News Event to bring some light to how the economy is doing and if USD will continue strengthening!
Week 12 USDCHF analysis 20-03-2025The resistance of this pair is at 0.92 and dealers tapped out three times, and support is at 0.84. Notice the whole numbers: 0.92000 and 0.84000. Market taps into the psychological of buyers and sellers alike. Since price touched the resistance or supply area of 0.92 about three times, we should naturally be looking to sell the pair. Where should we look to sell? Below the low of the week, 0.87500.
Sell entry 0.87500
Stop loss 0.88000
First take profit 0.86250
Second take profit 0.85000
Third take profit 0.84000
Disclaimer: This is not a trading advice. Educational purposes only.
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USDCHF Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDCHF for a selling opportunity around 0.88900 zone, USDCHF is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.88900 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
support & resistance tradingexpecting price to bounce from res level and entry after full body bearish candle
USD/CHF For Bullish as pull-backwait for pull-back near by entry point and then go long
general trend is down
current phase is pull-back
have fun :)
USD/CHF SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
USD/CHF is making a bullish rebound on the 3H TF and is nearing the resistance line above while we are generally bearish biased on the pair due to our previous 1W candle analysis, thus making a trend-following short a good option for us with the target being the 0.878 level.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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USD/CHF at Support – Buy Above Last Lower HighUSD/CHF is trading around its daily support level, with bullish divergence indicating a possible upward pullback. A buy above the last lower high is suggested for breakout confirmation.
CHF/USD Bearish Reversal: Trendline Break Strong Sell-Off!his CHF/USD (Swiss Franc/U.S. Dollar) 1-hour chart showcases a bearish trading setup, signaling a potential downside move after a failed breakout at a key resistance level. Below is a comprehensive breakdown of the chart, highlighting key technical elements, potential trade setups, and risk management considerations.
1. Identified Chart Pattern – Cup & Handle (Failed Breakout)
The chart initially formed a Cup and Handle pattern, a bullish continuation setup where:
The rounded bottom (cup) indicated accumulation and a gradual shift in trend from bearish to bullish.
The handle consolidation represented a minor pullback before a potential breakout.
However, the pattern failed to hold its bullish momentum. Instead of continuing higher, the price was rejected at the resistance level (ATH – All-Time High), signaling a shift in sentiment.
2. Key Technical Levels
Resistance Level + ATH (All-Time High)
The price reached a significant resistance zone (marked in blue), aligning with an all-time high (ATH) level.
Multiple rejections at this level indicate strong selling pressure, making it a potential distribution area where smart money is offloading positions.
Support Level + Reversal Zone
After rejection from the resistance, the price retraced to a critical support zone, previously acting as a demand area (buyers stepping in).
A break below this level confirms bearish momentum, increasing the likelihood of further downside movement.
Trendline Break – Bearish Confirmation
The trendline (marked in black) represents the primary uptrend support that guided price movement.
The break below this trendline signals a loss of bullish strength, increasing the probability of a trend reversal rather than a continuation.
3. Projected Price Movement – Bearish Scenario
Given the trendline break and rejection from resistance, the chart suggests a bearish wave with the following expectations:
A retest of the broken trendline and support zone before continuing downward.
Lower highs and lower lows formation – confirming a new downtrend.
A potential drop towards key downside targets (marked as TP1, TP2, and the final target).
Take Profit (TP) Targets:
✅ TP1 (1.1128): A minor support level where price may find temporary buying interest.
✅ TP2 (1.1111): A more significant support area that previously acted as demand.
✅ Final Target (1.1035): The ultimate downside objective, aligning with a major support zone and historical price action levels.
Stop-Loss Placement (SL):
📍 Above the broken trendline OR the recent swing high, ensuring protection against false breakouts or retracements.
4. Trade Execution & Risk Management
Entry Strategy (For Short Positions)
🔹 Aggressive Entry: Enter short immediately after the support zone break.
🔹 Conservative Entry: Wait for a retest of the support-turned-resistance area for confirmation before shorting.
Risk-Reward Ratio Consideration:
A properly placed stop-loss above resistance ensures a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
Ideal ratio: 1:2 or better, meaning potential reward should be at least twice the risk.
5. Market Sentiment & Possible Alternative Scenario
While the primary outlook is bearish, traders must remain flexible and monitor price action closely:
If price reclaims the support zone and breaks above resistance, it invalidates the bearish setup, shifting momentum back to bullish.
A sustained close above the trendline could trap early sellers, leading to a short squeeze rally back toward resistance.
6. Final Thoughts
🔹 Bearish Bias: This setup favors downside movement due to trendline break, resistance rejection, and market structure shift.
🔹 Key Levels to Watch: Support zone retest, trendline confirmation, and target levels.
🔹 Risk Management is Essential: Using stop-loss protection and proper trade sizing to mitigate potential losses.
Conclusion: High-Probability Bearish Setup
🚀 The CHF/USD pair has shifted to a bearish structure after failing to break its ATH resistance. The breakdown of the trendline and key support level suggests a strong sell-off towards the 1.1035 target. Traders should look for short opportunities on pullbacks while managing risk effectively.
Would you like me to refine or simplify any part of this analysis for your TradingView post? 📉🔥
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USDCHF...*USDCHF Trade Analysis & Evaluation*
*1. Trade Setup Overview:*
- *Entry Condition:* Buy signal triggered if USDCHF consolidates above *0.8815* and the 50-period Moving Average (MA50), suggesting a bullish breakout.
- *Targets:*
- *Target 1:* Likely typo; assumed corrected to *0.8860* (45 pips above entry).
- *Target 2:* *0.9145* (330 pips above entry).
- *Key Levels:* Trend line resistance break, MA50 dynamic support.
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*2. Technical Analysis:*
- *Trend Line Breakout:* A breakout above a descending trend line indicates potential bullish reversal. Consolidation above confirms strength.
- *MA50 Role:* MA50 acting as support post-breakout adds bullish confirmation.
- *Momentum Indicators:* Check RSI (above 50) and MACD (bullish crossover) to validate upward momentum.
- *Volume:* Rising volume during breakout increases validity.
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*3. Target Rationale (Adjusted):*
- *Target 1 (0.8860):* Near-term resistance level or 1:1 risk-reward ratio.
- *Target 2 (0.9145):* Longer-term resistance, aligning with a measured move or swing high.
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*4. Risk Management:*
- *Stop Loss:* Place below *0.8795* (20 pips below entry), ensuring a 1:2.25 risk-reward ratio for Target 1.
- *False Breakout Risk:* A close below MA50/0.8815 invalidates the setup.
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*5. Fundamental Considerations:*
- *USD Drivers:* Fed rate policy, US economic data (e.g., NFP, CPI).
- *CHF Factors:* SNB interventions, safe-haven flows (geopolitical risks).
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*6. Conclusion:*
The trade is valid *if* the price sustains above 0.8815/MA50 with bullish momentum. Adjust Target 1 to *0.8860* to reflect logical profit-taking. Target 2 remains ambitious but feasible in a strong trend. Monitor fundamentals for USD strength/CHF weakness catalysts.
*👉 Action:* Wait for confirmed close above 0.8815/MA50, set stop loss at 0.8795, and trail profits if momentum holds.
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