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U.S. Dollar / Swiss Franc

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USDCHF trade ideas

USDCHF H4 | Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 0.8856, an overlap resistance. Our take profit is set at 0.8810, an overlap support. The stop loss is set at 0.8906, a swing high resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/markets): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
1
UPDATED ANALYSIS FOR USD/CHFUSD/CHF 4H - Wit this pair you can see that price has recently traded down and into a valid area of Demand, I am expecting enough Demand to be introduced to flip the balance. I have gone ahead and marked out the last protected high within the bearishness that has traded price down and into the area of interest. Once we see a break in that we will have more confirmation. A break in the last high tells us that the bearishness trading us down has come to an end and a new trend to the upside is ready to be printed into the market. This is when we can begin to look to enter in on this market with long positions. To further back our analysis we have had some positive news for the USD, meaning it should appreciate next week.
Long
by Lukegforex
Bullish bounce?USD/CHF is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit. Entry: 0.8802 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 0.8775 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 0.8835 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
USDCHF Correction Due To Produce A Reversal Pattern?OANDA:USDCHF has been in a Correction Wave since the beginning of January and we now see that Price may have finally found Support at the 1.809 Fibonacci Extension Level of the Correction Wave. With both Lows in March finding Support at the 1.809 Fibonacci Extension Level, Price is beginning to form what looks like a Reversal Pattern, the Double Bottom! ** Confirmation of Pattern will come when Price Breaks and Closes Above .8863, then we will be looking for a Long Opportunity to present itself as a Break and Retest Set-Up. The Retest will Validate the Trade Idea! If we take the height of the Pattern and apply it to the Break of Confirmation, this puts the Potential Target at Previous Area of Support of the Correction Wave ( Point A ) in the .8975 area. Fundamentals seem to Support the Bullish Idea with: SNB Cutting Interest Rates by 25 Basis points from .5% to .25% FED Holding Interest Rates @ 4.5% due to "Economic Uncertainty" Unemployment Claims for USD came in as expected with no surprise and even 1K below Forecast ( Actual 223K / Forecast 224K ) Also Positive Outlook from Philly Fed Manufacturing Index and Existing Home Sales see USD rise. Next Weeks Final GDP on Thursday, March 27th will be the next big News Event to bring some light to how the economy is doing and if USD will continue strengthening!
Long
by Novi_Fibonacci
Week 12 USDCHF analysis 20-03-2025The resistance of this pair is at 0.92 and dealers tapped out three times, and support is at 0.84. Notice the whole numbers: 0.92000 and 0.84000. Market taps into the psychological of buyers and sellers alike. Since price touched the resistance or supply area of 0.92 about three times, we should naturally be looking to sell the pair. Where should we look to sell? Below the low of the week, 0.87500. Sell entry 0.87500 Stop loss 0.88000 First take profit 0.86250 Second take profit 0.85000 Third take profit 0.84000 Disclaimer: This is not a trading advice. Educational purposes only. Please let me know what you think. If you agree, boost the post for others to see. If you disagree, please leave a comment below.
Short
by topekekere
USD/CHF SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT Hello, Friends! USD/CHF is making a bullish rebound on the 3H TF and is nearing the resistance line above while we are generally bearish biased on the pair due to our previous 1W candle analysis, thus making a trend-following short a good option for us with the target being the 0.878 level. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Short
by EliteTradingSignals
1
CHF/USD Bearish Reversal: Trendline Break Strong Sell-Off!his CHF/USD (Swiss Franc/U.S. Dollar) 1-hour chart showcases a bearish trading setup, signaling a potential downside move after a failed breakout at a key resistance level. Below is a comprehensive breakdown of the chart, highlighting key technical elements, potential trade setups, and risk management considerations. 1. Identified Chart Pattern – Cup & Handle (Failed Breakout) The chart initially formed a Cup and Handle pattern, a bullish continuation setup where: The rounded bottom (cup) indicated accumulation and a gradual shift in trend from bearish to bullish. The handle consolidation represented a minor pullback before a potential breakout. However, the pattern failed to hold its bullish momentum. Instead of continuing higher, the price was rejected at the resistance level (ATH – All-Time High), signaling a shift in sentiment. 2. Key Technical Levels Resistance Level + ATH (All-Time High) The price reached a significant resistance zone (marked in blue), aligning with an all-time high (ATH) level. Multiple rejections at this level indicate strong selling pressure, making it a potential distribution area where smart money is offloading positions. Support Level + Reversal Zone After rejection from the resistance, the price retraced to a critical support zone, previously acting as a demand area (buyers stepping in). A break below this level confirms bearish momentum, increasing the likelihood of further downside movement. Trendline Break – Bearish Confirmation The trendline (marked in black) represents the primary uptrend support that guided price movement. The break below this trendline signals a loss of bullish strength, increasing the probability of a trend reversal rather than a continuation. 3. Projected Price Movement – Bearish Scenario Given the trendline break and rejection from resistance, the chart suggests a bearish wave with the following expectations: A retest of the broken trendline and support zone before continuing downward. Lower highs and lower lows formation – confirming a new downtrend. A potential drop towards key downside targets (marked as TP1, TP2, and the final target). Take Profit (TP) Targets: ✅ TP1 (1.1128): A minor support level where price may find temporary buying interest. ✅ TP2 (1.1111): A more significant support area that previously acted as demand. ✅ Final Target (1.1035): The ultimate downside objective, aligning with a major support zone and historical price action levels. Stop-Loss Placement (SL): 📍 Above the broken trendline OR the recent swing high, ensuring protection against false breakouts or retracements. 4. Trade Execution & Risk Management Entry Strategy (For Short Positions) 🔹 Aggressive Entry: Enter short immediately after the support zone break. 🔹 Conservative Entry: Wait for a retest of the support-turned-resistance area for confirmation before shorting. Risk-Reward Ratio Consideration: A properly placed stop-loss above resistance ensures a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. Ideal ratio: 1:2 or better, meaning potential reward should be at least twice the risk. 5. Market Sentiment & Possible Alternative Scenario While the primary outlook is bearish, traders must remain flexible and monitor price action closely: If price reclaims the support zone and breaks above resistance, it invalidates the bearish setup, shifting momentum back to bullish. A sustained close above the trendline could trap early sellers, leading to a short squeeze rally back toward resistance. 6. Final Thoughts 🔹 Bearish Bias: This setup favors downside movement due to trendline break, resistance rejection, and market structure shift. 🔹 Key Levels to Watch: Support zone retest, trendline confirmation, and target levels. 🔹 Risk Management is Essential: Using stop-loss protection and proper trade sizing to mitigate potential losses. Conclusion: High-Probability Bearish Setup 🚀 The CHF/USD pair has shifted to a bearish structure after failing to break its ATH resistance. The breakdown of the trendline and key support level suggests a strong sell-off towards the 1.1035 target. Traders should look for short opportunities on pullbacks while managing risk effectively. Would you like me to refine or simplify any part of this analysis for your TradingView post? 📉🔥
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
USDCHF...*USDCHF Trade Analysis & Evaluation* *1. Trade Setup Overview:* - *Entry Condition:* Buy signal triggered if USDCHF consolidates above *0.8815* and the 50-period Moving Average (MA50), suggesting a bullish breakout. - *Targets:* - *Target 1:* Likely typo; assumed corrected to *0.8860* (45 pips above entry). - *Target 2:* *0.9145* (330 pips above entry). - *Key Levels:* Trend line resistance break, MA50 dynamic support. --- *2. Technical Analysis:* - *Trend Line Breakout:* A breakout above a descending trend line indicates potential bullish reversal. Consolidation above confirms strength. - *MA50 Role:* MA50 acting as support post-breakout adds bullish confirmation. - *Momentum Indicators:* Check RSI (above 50) and MACD (bullish crossover) to validate upward momentum. - *Volume:* Rising volume during breakout increases validity. --- *3. Target Rationale (Adjusted):* - *Target 1 (0.8860):* Near-term resistance level or 1:1 risk-reward ratio. - *Target 2 (0.9145):* Longer-term resistance, aligning with a measured move or swing high. --- *4. Risk Management:* - *Stop Loss:* Place below *0.8795* (20 pips below entry), ensuring a 1:2.25 risk-reward ratio for Target 1. - *False Breakout Risk:* A close below MA50/0.8815 invalidates the setup. --- *5. Fundamental Considerations:* - *USD Drivers:* Fed rate policy, US economic data (e.g., NFP, CPI). - *CHF Factors:* SNB interventions, safe-haven flows (geopolitical risks). --- *6. Conclusion:* The trade is valid *if* the price sustains above 0.8815/MA50 with bullish momentum. Adjust Target 1 to *0.8860* to reflect logical profit-taking. Target 2 remains ambitious but feasible in a strong trend. Monitor fundamentals for USD strength/CHF weakness catalysts. *👉 Action:* Wait for confirmed close above 0.8815/MA50, set stop loss at 0.8795, and trail profits if momentum holds.
Long
by Algo_Trading_Mql5