USDCHF💡The chart shows technical analysis of the USDCHF currency pair On the daily time frame D1. Rising channel:⬆️ The price was moving within an ascending channel ✨Channel break: The price broke the bottom line of the channel, which may indicate a trend change to down.
If the price continues below the channel, it may head to one of the identified support areas. If the price returns inside the channel, it may retest the resistance. The MACD is showing weakness in the upward momentum, which supports the bearish idea.⬇️
⛔️It is not investment advice for educational purposes only.
USDCHF trade ideas
USDCHF Uptrend continuation, The Week Ahead 17th Feb 25USDCHF currency pair price action sentiment appears bullish, supported by the longer-term The prevailing uptrend. The recent intraday price action appears to be a sideways consolidation towards the rising support trendline zone.
The key trading level is at 0.8980 level, the previous consolidation price range and also the rising support trendline zone. A corrective pullback from the current levels and a bullish bounce back from the 0.8980 level could target the upside resistance at 0.9050 (20 Day Moving Average) followed by the 0.9100 and 0.9220 levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed loss of the 0.8980 support and a daily close below that level would negate the bullish outlook opening the way for a further retracement and a retest of 0.8930 support level followed by 0.8860.
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USDCHF Will Go Down From Resistance! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for USDCHF.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 0.898.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 0.889 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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USD/CHF Breakout from Uptrend Channel, Potential for BearishIn the daily time frame chart of USD/CHF, it is evident that the price has broken out of the uptrend channel that had previously constrained price movements over the past few months. This breakout occurred after the price failed to breach the resistance around the blue area, which marks the previous local high. After testing the channel support multiple times, the price eventually experienced a breakdown, indicated by a solid red candlestick closing below the channel’s support line (highlighted in the yellow area with the "Breakout" label).
This breakout signals a potential shift from a bullish trend to a deeper correction, with downside targets at 0.88 and 0.87, as marked by the horizontal blue lines below the current price. These levels serve as key targets since they have previously acted as strong support areas.
Short selling can be considered with additional confirmation, such as a retracement to the breakdown area for a more optimal entry. Conversely, if the price moves back into the uptrend channel and holds above the breakout level, this bearish scenario may become invalid.
Risk management remains crucial, with an ideal stop loss placed above the breakout area to mitigate the risk of a false breakout. If selling pressure continues, the next target will be 0.87.
USD/CHF: Avoiding a false dichotomyThe US dollar is in a correction of its uptrend (see EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD etc)
Do we really face a linear option of fade or no trade?
Actually, it might be a false dichotomy .
Going long EUR/USD and GBP/USD (i.e. selling USD) would mean fading the major trend (as per the weekly charts).
But going short USD/CHF (i.e. also selling USD) would not be a counter trend trade because USD/CHF is in a trading range. Selling below resistance in a trading range is a high probability setup.
We can see the topping process on the daily chart, with 0.90 as the broken neckline.
Here the risk is well defined - if the price pops back over 0.90 - the breakdown trade is no longer on but while below 0.90, 0.88 is a natural target as the last major support area and the 30 week moving average.
But - as always - that’s just how the team and I are seeing things, what do you think?
Share your ideas with us - OR - send us a request!
Drop a comment
cheers!
Jasper
USD/CHF Weekly AnalysisThe market continues to see USD/CHF as overpriced above the 0.9200 zone.
For the first time this year, we see price printing a weekly close below 0.9052 which was support over the latter part of January 2025.
More importantly, we have just seen a weekly close below the 'big number' 0.9000 and may see further downside.
In addition, the stochastic has now dropped out of the weekly 'overbought' area.
Look for pullbacks and sell setups on your time frame of choice if you agree with analysis.
usdchf 📈 USD/CHF - Bullish Opportunity on H4! 🚀
USD/CHF is showing strong bullish signals on the 4H timeframe, making it a great opportunity to enter buy positions for the upcoming week.
🔹 Key levels to watch:
✅ Support: 0.89946
✅ Resistance: 0.90933
✅ Support2: 0.89488
If momentum continues, we could see a push towards the next resistance level. Always manage your risk and trade wisely!
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USD/CHF Prepares to Break Key Upward ChannelUSD/CHF has dropped more than 1.7% over the past two trading sessions as the U.S. dollar continues to weaken. So far, selling pressure on the U.S. currency remains strong, following disappointing retail sales data, which showed a -0.9% decline compared to the expected -0.2%. This has fueled concerns about a potential economic slowdown in the U.S.
Meanwhile, the Swiss franc, known as a safe-haven asset , has benefited from mixed economic data and the reciprocal tariffs policy announced by the Trump administration. This has kept demand for the franc stable and reinforced a strong bearish bias on USD/CHF.
Breakout of the Upward Channel
Since September 2024, the pair had maintained a solid upward channel, reaching a high of 0.92013. However, selling pressure has intensified, pushing price action below the lower boundary of the channel, which aligns with the 50-period simple moving average (SMA).
If pressure continues to build, the uptrend that has held for months could fade, giving way to a stronger downtrend—especially if price breaks the support zone where it is currently struggling.
MACD Indicator
The MACD line and the signal line both show a strong downward slope, approaching the neutral 0 level. The MACD histogram has also been consolidating near this level, indicating that the moving average trend is turning neutral.
As long as the histogram remains close to zero, it will be difficult for a new trend to emerge in the short term.
TRIX Indicator
The TRIX indicator supports the bearish scenario, as it has started declining sharply and is now approaching the 0 neutral line.
If the TRIX crosses below zero, it would confirm bearish dominance, reinforcing the selling momentum in USD/CHF.
Key Levels to Watch:
0.91746 – Resistance:
A critical level for bullish movements, marking a potential recovery zone for the previous upward channel.
If price rebounds to this level, it could invalidate the bearish trend and restore short-term buying momentum.
0.89978 – Key Support:
The current support level aligns with recent lows from previous sessions, the Ichimoku Cloud barrier zone, and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level, highlighting its significance as a key barrier for sellers.
A break below this level would accelerate bearish momentum, confirming the end of the previous uptrend.
0.88930 – Major Support:
A long-term support level, corresponding to neutral price zones from November 2024 and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level. If the bearish move extends to this point, it could signal the formation of a more significant downtrend in USD/CHF on the daily chart.
By Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
Trade idea for USD/CHFWhen we look at the chart we can see that the price is now in a good support zone that was good respected in the past.
What I am looking for now is to get a good entry here and to see what the price is going to do in this zone. Also we need to keep an eye out for the upcoming news and the volume that we can see when that is hitting.
If you want to play it save you can always wait an hour to see what the news is going to do and then see if you want to enter or not.
We can also see that there was a very beautiful Elliott wave pattern in the past that is almost looking like an Elliott wave pattern from the books. Always nice to see that.
Any updates will be giving in the comments.
USDCHF What Next? BUY!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the USDCHF next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 0.9006
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 0.9070
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
USDCHF bullish buy set up, bulls ready to step in?Looking to buy around 0.9021, as price shows signs of exhaustion after a strong bearish move. A Double Bottom pattern is forming, hinting at a potential reversal.
🔍 Why I’m Watching This Trade:
✅ Momentum slowing, signaling a possible shift in control
✅ Bullish divergence supporting a move higher
⚡ Levels to Watch:
🔹 Support: 0.902
🔹 Resistance: 0.906 next TP 0.9090
If buyers step in, we could see price challenge the 0.906 resistance and beyond. Let’s see how this plays out!🚀
USD/CHF H1 | Bearish downtrend to accelerate?USD/CHF is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 0.9044 which is a pullback resistance.
Stop loss is at 0.9072 which is a level that sits above an overlap resistance.
Take profit is at 0.9000 which is a swing-low support.
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Falling towards overlap support?USD/CHF is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.9009
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
Stop loss: 0.8973
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 0.9072
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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USD_CHF SUPPORT AHEAD|LONG|
✅USD_CHF is about to retest a key structure level around 0.9000
Which implies a high likelihood of a move up
As some market participants will be taking profit from short positions
While others will find this price level to be good for buying
So as usual we will have a chance to ride the wave of a bullish correction
LONG🚀
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USDCHF LONG
Market structure Bullish on HTFs 3
Entry at both Daily and Weekly AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Daily Rejection at AOi
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 0.91000
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 6.82
Entry 110%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
Scenario on USDCHF 13.2.2025In this market we are approaching the vwap level below this level, I would like the sfp below the low if there is no reaction here, then the next valid target for entering the long is the support zone where the previous peak is also located at the price of 0.89215, if I should consider a short position, then the first one is considered around the level of the previous high at the price of 0.91833, the next one is up to the monthly level at the price of 0.92320
USDCHFShort Fundamental Analysis – USD/CHF
1. Context
• Swiss National Bank (SNB)
• Maintains a cautious monetary stance, with relatively high rates by Swiss standards to combat inflation.
• Switzerland’s economy remains stable, and the CHF typically serves as a safe-haven currency during periods of global uncertainty.
• Federal Reserve (Fed)
• Continues with elevated interest rates to manage persistent inflation in the US.
• Strong macro data (GDP ~+2.6%, unemployment ~3.7%) underpins the USD, making it attractive compared to other currencies, including CHF.
2. Possible Direction
• Bias: Slightly bullish for USD/CHF, as higher yields and resilient US economic performance often overshadow CHF’s safe-haven appeal.
• Alternate Scenario:
• A significant uptick in global risk aversion or a dovish shift by the Fed could bolster CHF, leading to downward pressure on USD/CHF.
• If the SNB unexpectedly tightens further, it may provide additional CHF strength.
3. Factors to Watch This Week
1. US Economic Indicators
• Inflation, labor market, and consumer spending data can either reinforce or weaken the dollar’s advantage.
2. SNB Communications
• Any surprise rate adjustments or changes in inflation outlook could shift sentiment in favor of CHF.
3. Global Risk Appetite
• In times of heightened geopolitical tensions or market volatility, CHF demand may spike as investors seek safe havens.
4. Overall Conclusion
• USD remains supported by higher yields and robust economic conditions.
• CHF benefits from safe-haven flows and stable economic fundamentals but often lags when the Fed is markedly hawkish.
• Near-term direction for USD/CHF is modestly tilted upward, barring a sudden spike in risk aversion or unexpected SNB actions.
Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute trading advice. Financial markets can be volatile and involve significant risks. Always consult official sources and consider your own risk tolerance before making any trading decisions.
USDCHF to find buyers at market price?USDCHF - 24h expiry
Levels close to the 78.6% pullback level of 0.9151 found sellers.
We expect a move lower in a corrective sequence, targeting Fibonacci retracement levels.
Buying continued from the 50% pullback level of 0.9083.
We look to buy dips.
Offers ample risk/reward to buy at the market.
We look to Buy at 0.9083 (stop at 0.9058)
Our profit targets will be 0.9153 and 0.9168
Resistance: 0.9115 / 0.9140 / 0.9156
Support: 0.9089 / 0.9070 / 0.9055
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