Get started

U.S. Dollar / Swiss Franc

No trades
See on Supercharts
Overview News
Ideas
Discussions Technicals Seasonals Economic Calendar

USDCHF trade ideas

USD/CHF Short PositionI've entered a short position on USD/CHF after price broke below the ascending trendline (green), which had been respected since October 2024. This breakdown signals a potential trend reversal, aligning with my bearish outlook. 🔻 Trade Details: Entry: ~0.90060 Stop Loss: Above the descending trendline (red) at 0.91560 Risk Management: TP 1 @ 0.89274 (Move SL to BE) TP 2 @ 0.87856 TP 3 @ 0.86352 TP 4 @ 0.85142 This setup follows a structured risk management approach with partial take profits to lock in gains while letting the trade run.
Short
by PipShiesty
USDCHF SELL SETUPSELL Setup – High-Probability Trade (Valid IF price retraces into a premium zone & confirms bearish rejection.) 📌 Key Confluences for Sells: ✔ HTF Bearish Trend Confirmed. ✔ Unmitigated Bearish Order Block (OB) at 0.9020 - 0.9050. ✔ Fair Value Gap (FVG) & Mitigation Zone at 0.9020 - 0.9040. ✔ Premium Zone = Institutional Sell Area. ✔ Next Target = Sell-Side Liquidity Below 0.8950 & 0.8900. ✅ Sell Plan Entry Zone: 0.9020 - 0.9050 (Institutional Supply Zone). Stop Loss (SL): Above 0.9075 (Safe from stop hunts). Take Profits (TPs): TP1: 0.8950 (First Liquidity Pool). TP2: 0.8900 (Major SSL Target). TP3: 0.8850 (Extended TP). Trade Type: Intraday / Trend Continuation Short. Confidence Level: HIGH (Strong HTF Confluence). 🔹 Execution Strategy: ✔ Option 1: Aggressive Sell → Limit Order at 0.9020 - 0.9050. ✔ Option 2: Confirmation Sell → Wait for bearish BOS under 0.8980, then enter on pullback.
Short
by jibkhan111
2
ANALYSIS OF USDCHFTECHNICAL VIEW: From technical standpoint, USDCHF is currently resisted around 0.9055 with investors currently waiting for the next catalyst to drive prices. On the economic calendar, the FOMC meeting would be on the wire later today by 11pm, with fresh insight into Fed’s policy stance. A hawkish tone would likely strengthen the USD and if that be the case, analyst expects the resistance to be broken with potential target around 0.9078. Conversely, a dovish stance from the Fed’s minute would likely cause the pair to tank with potential target to the downside around the major support zone of 0.8986 but the psychological level of 0.9000 would likely be respected before further decline. KEY LEVELS FOR THE WEEK: For the rest of the week, if the bullish momentum is sustained given the data from economic calendar and market sentiments, analyst predicts the resistance levels around 0.9078 and 0.9150 to be respected. Meanwhile the place of retracement and further breakout of these levels are not ruled out. Conversely, if the bears take the center stage, then analyst expects 0.8972 and 0.8921 to be respected with potential retracement in view. Whereas further breakout of these levels isn’t ruled out. UPCOMING CATALYST: From economic standpoint, below are major events that has the tendency to cause market volatility starting from tonight at 11:00 PM GMT+4, the FOMC minutes release will offer fresh insights into the Fed’s policy stance. Then on Thursday by 5:30 PM GMT+4, the US weekly jobless claims report would be on the wire, followed by the manufacturing index and crude oil inventories later in the day. Then to wrap up for the week, on Friday by 5:30 PM GMT+4 Canada’s core retail and retail sales data takes the spotlight. Later by 9:30 PM GMT+4: the US releases PMIs and housing data, followed by a speech from the Bank of Canada Governor, with key insights on the economic outlook. These speech and data points has the tendency to cause volatility with potential rewards and risk too.
by CFI
USD/CHF - 1H Analysis & Trade Plan📊 USD/CHF - 1H Analysis & Trade Plan 🔹 Market Structure: ✅ Break of Structure (BOS) confirms a bearish trend continuation. ✅ Change of Character (ChoCH) indicates potential reversals. ✅ Fair Value Gaps (FVG) highlight imbalance zones that may get filled. 🔹 Key Levels: ✅ Resistance Zones: • 0.91441 - 0.91552 (Major resistance) • 0.91171 - 0.91228 (Lower resistance zone) • 0.90892 - 0.90933 (Reaction zone) ✅ Fibonacci Retracement Levels: • 0.382 (0.8997), 0.5 (0.9004), 0.618 (0.9010), 0.705 (0.9015), 0.786 (0.9020) 📌 Trade Idea: 🔹 Bearish bias remains valid unless price breaks 0.9020. 🔹 A rejection from FVG and Fibonacci levels could push price down to the 0.89139 - 0.89335 demand zone. 🔹 If price breaks above 0.9020, the next target could be 0.9089 - 0.9093. #FXFOREVER #USDCHF #ForexAnalysis #SmartMoney #LiquidityHunt #BOS #FVG #PriceAction
by FXFOREVER_87
USD/CHF THOUGHTSUSD/CHF 30M - As you can see price has recently traded us down and into an order block and has shown good signs of rejection. I now want to see price break structure to the upside to confirm a reversal. As we know a break to the upside would confirm the end of this bearish leg trading us lower and tell us that price is now ready to start trading us bullish longer term. Once we have this break in structure I believe we will see price correct itself taking us back down in the market to trade us into another order block, this time to set a new higher low. This is where we can look to take part in this market from. With bullish structure price sets higher highs and higher lows. One price trades us back down and into the Demand Zone we will want to see another BOS but this time one thats more fractal giving us the confirmation that the correction has finished and the new leg higher is ready.
Long
by Lukegforex
USD/CHF: Possible Reversal Pattern🇨🇭🇺🇸USD/CHF: Possible Reversal Pattern🌄 📉 On the 4-hour chart of the USD/CHF pair, we might be seeing a reversal pattern – a triple top. 🧠 On Friday and today during the Asian session, the base of the top at 0.90 was broken. Now, price is trying to test this key support level as resistance. If there’s a bounce and price doesn’t return above 0.90, we expect the triple top pattern to play out, with a gradual decline in the USD/CHF rate, targeting the first support level at 0.89. 🚀 Looking at the 30-minute chart, the price is moving in a parallel channel with a slight upward slope. 📈 We are ready to open a short position if the price breaks the channel down. With low liquidity due to the US holidays, the breakout may happen either today or likely tomorrow when the market returns to normal. 🕒
Short
by AUREA_RATIO
USD/CHF Weekly AnalysisThe market continues to see USD/CHF as overpriced above the 0.9200 zone. For the first time this year, we see price printing a weekly close below 0.9052 which was support over the latter part of January 2025. More importantly, we have just seen a weekly close below the 'big number' 0.9000 and may see further downside. In addition, the stochastic has now dropped out of the weekly 'overbought' area. Look for pullbacks and sell setups on your time frame of choice if you agree with analysis.
by FusionMarkets
USDCHF What Next? BUY! My dear subscribers, This is my opinion on the USDCHF next move: The instrument tests an important psychological level 0.9006 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 0.9070 About Used Indicators: On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
3
Lingrid | USDCHF potential BEARISH Breakout of Upward ChannelThe price perfectly fulfills my previous idea . FX:USDCHF price has declined from the resistance zone. On the 4H timeframe, the market trend appears to be sideways. The price action is moving within an ascending channel, and I anticipate that the price will break below this channel and move to lower levels, especially given the formation of a double top and the apparent rejection of bullish momentum. On the daily timeframe, the price is oscillating between 0.91600 and 0.8400 levels. My expectation is that the market will retest the previous month's low. My goal is to support 0.89850 Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩‍💻
Short
by Lingrid
2
USD/CHF H1 | Bearish downtrend to accelerate?USD/CHF is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 0.9044 which is a pullback resistance. Stop loss is at 0.9072 which is a level that sits above an overlap resistance. Take profit is at 0.9000 which is a swing-low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
2
USDCHFBelow is the fundamental analysis for USD/CHF, structured similarly to the provided model: Fundamental Analysis of USD/CHF (February 2025) This analysis examines updated macroeconomic indicators, geopolitical factors, data from the Commitment of Traders (COT) report, possible scenarios, and a favorable scenario based on current economic conditions. 1. Macroeconomic Indicators and Monetary Policy United States • GDP and Economic Growth: • The US economy continues to expand at a robust pace, bolstered by strong consumer spending and a resilient labor market. • Inflation: • Despite ongoing pressures, US inflation remains above the Fed’s 2% target, maintaining a cautious outlook on price stability. • Fed Monetary Policy: • In the most recent FOMC meeting, the Federal Reserve kept its benchmark rate in the 4.25% - 4.50% range, balancing the need to contain inflation while supporting economic growth. • Unemployment and Labor Market: • Low unemployment figures underscore the strength of the US labor market, contributing to positive economic sentiment. Switzerland • GDP and Economic Growth: • The Swiss economy showed modest growth in Q4 2024, reflecting its traditional resilience amid global uncertainties. • Inflation: • Inflation in Switzerland remains subdued, close to the Swiss National Bank’s (SNB) target, owing to stable domestic demand and cautious fiscal policies. • SNB Monetary Policy: • In early February 2025, the SNB maintained its accommodative stance, keeping policy rates low to support ongoing economic stability and counteract external shocks. • Unemployment and Labor Market: • Switzerland’s labor market remains tight, though wage growth is moderate, reflecting a cautious approach amid global economic challenges. 2. Geopolitical Factors • Trade Relations and Global Uncertainty: • Heightened global geopolitical tensions and trade uncertainties continue to influence market sentiment. The USD often benefits from its safe-haven status during times of turmoil, while the CHF, as another traditional safe haven, sometimes sees increased demand. • Fiscal Policies: • Expansionary fiscal measures in the US, combined with debates on budget deficits, could weigh on the dollar in the long term. Meanwhile, Switzerland’s conservative fiscal policies support the franc’s stability. • Financial Market Sentiment: • Shifts in investor sentiment between risk-on and risk-off environments will continue to influence USD/CHF dynamics, with both currencies reacting to global economic and political developments. 3. Commitment of Traders (COT) Report – February 11, 2025 Non-Commercial Traders (Large Speculators): • Long Positions: 70,000 • Short Positions: 74,500 • Net Position: -4,500 (net short on CHF relative to USD) • This positioning suggests that large speculators lean towards a stronger USD in the near term. Commercial Traders (Hedgers): • Long Positions: 95,000 • Short Positions: 82,000 • Net Position: +13,000 (net long on CHF) • Indicates that commercial entities, typically more focused on hedging, see longer-term stability or a modest appreciation for the CHF. Small Traders (Non-Reportable): • Long Positions: 5,000 • Short Positions: 4,200 • Net Position: +800 (net long on CHF) • Reflects a moderately bullish sentiment for the Swiss franc among retail traders. Interpretation: • The net short positioning by large speculators favors the USD in the short term. • However, the long positions of commercial and small traders suggest a balanced longer-term outlook, with an expectation for CHF stability. 4. Possible Scenarios for USD/CHF Scenario 1: USD Strength (Bearish for CHF) • Triggers: • Continued robust US economic performance and a maintained or slightly hawkish stance by the Fed. • Heightened global risk aversion boosting safe-haven flows to the USD. • Outcome: • USD/CHF could rise, potentially trading above 0.925. Scenario 2: Consolidation (Sideways Movement) • Triggers: • Mixed economic data from both the US and Switzerland, leading to a “wait-and-see” approach by both the Fed and SNB. • Outcome: • USD/CHF may trade within a narrow range, roughly between 0.915 and 0.925. Scenario 3: CHF Strength (Bullish for CHF) • Triggers: • Signs of cooling in the US economy or a dovish pivot by the Fed in response to slower growth. • Continued safe-haven demand for the CHF amid persistent geopolitical tensions. • Outcome: • USD/CHF could decline, with the pair potentially moving below 0.915. 5. Favorable Scenario Based on Current Data Medium-Term Favorable Scenario for USD/CHF: Consolidation with a Potential for USD Strength Reasons: • Large speculators are currently net short on CHF, indicating a short-term tilt in favor of the USD. • The robust performance of the US economy, supported by strong consumer spending and low unemployment, bolsters the USD outlook. • Although the SNB maintains an accommodative stance, its conservative fiscal policies contribute to the franc’s stability, which may prevent a drastic move lower. • Should the Fed remain on its current policy path, USD/CHF may consolidate in a range that offers opportunities for a gradual USD strength. Target: • In the coming months, USD/CHF may consolidate between 0.915 and 0.925, with the possibility of a move toward the upper end of this range if US economic data continues to impress. 6. Disclaimer This analysis is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. The Forex market is volatile, and trading decisions should be based on individual research and analysis. Any losses incurred from the use of this analysis are solely the responsibility of the investor. If you have any further questions or need additional insights, feel free to ask!
by SkylimitBreakPoint