Could the Swissie reverse from here?The price is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.8334
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.8420
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.8202
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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USDCHF trade ideas
Bearish reversal off overlap resistance?The Swissie (USD/CHF) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support, which is a pullback support.
Pivot: 0.8317
1st Support: 0.8198
1st Resistance: 0.8391
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#USDCHF: Will USD Breakthrough The Strong Bearish Downtrend? The USDCHF currency pair has experienced significant volatility due to the ongoing trade dispute between the United States and China, which has led to a substantial decline in the DXY index. Consequently, CHF and JPY have emerged as the most stable currencies in the market.
Despite the USDCHF currency pair reversing its bullish trend, we anticipate a potential reversal back to a bearish position. We believe this reversal may be a temporary trap, and the currency pair is likely to regain its bullish position in the future.
There are two potential areas where the USDCHF currency pair could reverse from its current trend. The first area is relatively early, and if the USDCHF currency pair crosses a specific region, we may have a second safe option that could provide greater stability.
We extend our best wishes and best of luck in your trading endeavours. Your unwavering support is greatly appreciated.
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USDCHF: DXY Likely to remain bearish in long term! The USDCHF pair is likely to remain bearish in the coming days as DXY doesn’t show any bullish momentum. However, we expect DXY to be bullish in the short term, which will help the price reach our designated selling zone. Once the price reaches this zone and shows a reversal sign in a smaller timeframe, you can consider entering or taking any decision.
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USDCHF – Bearish Setup UpdateFollowing the structure break earlier this week, USDCHF pulled back to retest the broken trendline and the key resistance level around 0.82598. This aligns perfectly with our yellow sell zone of interest. Price has since rejected this area and resumed a bearish move.
We’re now looking for clean breakdowns to re-enter:
🔑 Break below 0.82598 will confirm continuation
🛡️ Break below 0.81964 is our safest sell zone with the clearest structure shift
No buy setups are in focus unless we see a major structural reversal above 0.82960, which currently looks unlikely.
USDCHF – Awaiting Breakout Ahead of FOMC: Key Levels in Focus USDCHF – Awaiting Breakout Ahead of FOMC: Key Levels in Focus
📌 MARKET OVERVIEW
USDCHF is currently consolidating within a tight range after a technical rebound from the 0.8226 support zone. The price is testing a confluence area at the descending trendline and the 200 EMA on the H2 chart, indicating indecision between bulls and bears as we head into the high-impact FOMC event.
🔍 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – H2 CHART
Overall Trend: Sideways corrective move within a broader downtrend channel. Price is approaching critical resistance at the EMA200 and the channel’s upper boundary.
EMAs in focus: EMA13 (black), EMA34 (orange), EMA89 (red).
Fibonacci Retracement: Price is hovering around the 0.5 fib zone (0.8298), a neutral level for potential reaction.
🎯 Key Levels & Trade Scenarios:
Major Resistance Zone: 0.8330 – 0.8368 → aligned with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement and previous structural high.
Key Support Zone: 0.8226 → strong demand area. A break below this could expose deeper downside or set up a false break trap.
📌 Most Likely Path:
Price could dip back to 0.8226 before launching a bullish recovery targeting 0.8330 – 0.8368.
A clean breakout above 0.8368 with momentum and volume could invalidate the bearish bias and shift the trend mid-term.
🌍 MACRO & FUNDAMENTAL CONTEXT
FOMC IN FOCUS: The Federal Reserve is expected to hold rates steady at the upcoming meeting. However, market attention will be on Powell’s tone. A hawkish stance could fuel further USD strength, propelling USDCHF toward resistance zones.
SNB (Swiss National Bank) maintains a neutral tone with slight disinflationary concerns, offering limited support for the CHF and strengthening the USDCHF upside case.
US Treasury Yields are showing signs of recovery, adding bullish pressure to USD pairs.
📌 TRADING STRATEGY:
Watch for bullish reaction at 0.8226 – potential long setup if RSI divergence appears.
Short-term targets: 0.8330 → 0.8368.
Breakout Strategy: If price clears 0.8368 with conviction, shift bias to bullish continuation and monitor for FVG or trendline breakout alignment.
📣 Stay sharp for increased volatility around FOMC. Position sizing and discipline are key in macro-heavy weeks like this.
USDCHF Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow Analysis !In this video I will be sharing my USDCHF analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.
USDCHF Expected to find there SupportUSD/CHF is currently losing momentum in the background as the U.S. dollar weakens. The pair is testing the support zone within its consolidation range. Although the overall structure is ranging, a local descending channel is forming, indicating a potential short-term bearish bias.
Short-Term Outlook:
The price is expected to find support within the channel, possibly leading to a short-term bounce or consolidation near key levels. A break below the current support could accelerate bearish momentum.
Key Support Levels:
1sT Support 0.82007
2nd Support 0.81500
you can find more details in the chart, Ps support with like and comments for more better analysis.
US Federal Court Rules Trump Tariffs UnconstitutionalUS Federal Court Rules Trump Tariffs Unconstitutional
According to media reports, the US Court of International Trade has:
- declared the tariffs imposed by President Donald Trump illegal;
- ruled that the President exceeded his authority;
- blocked the tariffs, emphasising that under the US Constitution, only Congress has the power to impose tariffs.
The decision was made unanimously by a panel of three judges. Financial markets reacted with:
- a rise in US stock indices;
- strengthening of the US dollar — most notably seen today on the USD/CHF chart, as demand for so-called safe-haven assets declined in light of the tariff reversal.
Technical Analysis of the USD/CHF Chart
The bullish momentum has broken upward through:
- a local downward trendline (shown in red);
- resistance at the 0.8300 level, near the May 22 high.
Additionally:
- the RSI indicator on the 4-hour chart has moved upwards to the overbought territory;
- the area highlighted with a purple rectangle resembles a bullish Fair Value Gap.
Could this upward momentum lead to a sustained uptrend? There is reason for doubt.
Consider the steep decline in USD/CHF in early April (driven mainly by the introduction of Trump's tariffs) and the relatively small size of today's bullish candle compared to that prior drop.
Price action seems to suggest that market participants are skeptical about any lasting change in the situation. The Trump administration has already filed an appeal, and it’s possible the White House could succeed in defending its position.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
USD/CHF – Pull-Back to the Launchpad 0.8340Price has now punched through the old 0.8292 lid, turning it into a support “buy-zone.”
the burst of USD strength over the last 48 hours has been driven by an unexpected round of tariff-related headlines. I’m factoring that news flow into all current setups and shifting focus to pairs that aren’t riding the same dollar surge.
USDCHF Will Move Lower! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for USDCHF.
Time Frame: 6h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 0.826.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 0.814 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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USDCHF → Retest support with the aim of breaking throughFX:USDCHF is also losing ground amid the dollar's decline. The price is testing the support of the range, a break of which could open the way to 0.811
USDCHF is consolidating, but at the same time, a local downward channel is forming. The currency pair is retesting support within the current downward movement. A pre-breakdown consolidation is forming relative to 0.819. The fall of the dollar is having a corresponding effect on the price.
Before continuing its decline, the currency pair may form a retest of 0.5 Fibonacci or close the FVG
Resistance levels: 0.825, 0.8275
Support levels: 0.819, 0.8117
The downward structure will break down when the price leaves the downward channel. However, at the moment, while the price is consolidating at the bottom of the trading range, I expect a breakdown of support in the short term, followed by a continued decline to 0.811 - 0.805
Best regards, R. Linda!
USD_CHF WILL GROW|LONG|
✅USD_CHF is falling down
And will soon retest
A horizontal demand level of 0.8190
So I think that we will see a rebound
And a move up from the level
Towards the target above at 0.8253
LONG🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
USDCHF BBMA OMA ALLYAnalysis based on BBMA oma ally,
This analysis uses the BBMA OMA ALLY indicator
tf 1 is D1 showing RE after CSAK
on tf 2, namely H4, it has shown a power candle in the form of pressure by the seller
on tf 3 ta
that H1 already has CSAK Sell and has crossed Ema 50
our task is to wait for Re to occur on H1 and wait for other confirmations
Swissy Heist: USD/CHF Bearish Breakout Blueprint🚨 Swissy Heist Alert: USD/CHF Bearish Breakout Plan for Swing/Day Traders 🌐💸
Hello, Wealth Chasers and Market Mavericks! 👋😎
Welcome to the Thief Trading Strategy, a cunning blend of technical precision and fundamental insight to conquer the USD/CHF Forex market. This is your blueprint to pull off a masterful heist on "The Swissy." Follow the plan, target the high-reward Green Zone, and navigate the traps where bullish players lurk. Let’s grab those pips and treat ourselves to the spoils! 💰🎯
📈 Trade Blueprint: USD/CHF Setup
Market: USD/CHF (Forex) 🌍
Bias: Bearish Breakout 📉
Timeframe: 4H (Swing/Day Trade) ⏰
Entry Plan 📊:
Breakout Strategy: Wait for a confirmed break below the Neutral Zone at 0.81800. Set Sell Stop orders just below 0.81800 to surf the bearish momentum. 🚀
Pullback Strategy: For safer entries, place Sell Limit orders at the nearest 15M/30M swing high (e.g., 0.82100–0.82300) after a support break. 📍
Pro Tip: Activate a price alert at 0.81800 to catch the breakout live! 🔔
Stop Loss 🛑:
📍 Set your Stop Loss above the nearest 4H swing high (e.g., 0.82750) for swing/day trades.
📍 Adjust SL based on your risk tolerance, lot size, and number of open positions.
Target 🎯: Aim for 0.80700 or exit early to secure profits.
💡 Why the Bearish Bias?
The USD/CHF is showing strong bearish momentum, fueled by technical patterns and fundamental drivers. Key factors include:
Technicals: Recent support at 0.81931–0.82120 held briefly but failed to sustain bullish momentum, reinforcing a bearish tilt below key moving averages (100/200-hour MAs).
Fundamentals: Safe-haven demand for the Swiss Franc persists amid global uncertainties, with bearish patterns like an inverse cup and handle signaling further downside. For a deeper dive, check fundamental reports, COT data, sentiment analysis, and intermarket trends via Linkks🔗
⚠️ Volatility Warning: News Impact 📰
News releases can spike volatility and disrupt price action. To protect your trades:
Avoid opening new positions during major news events.
Use trailing stops to lock in gains and shield running positions.
💪 Join the Heist!
Support this Thief Trading Strategy by smashing the Boost Button! 🚀 Let’s strengthen our crew and make pips effortlessly. With this plan, you’re equipped to navigate the USD/CHF market like a pro. Stay sharp, and I’ll be back with the next heist plan soon! 🐱👤💸
Happy trading, and let’s steal those profits! 😎🎉
USDCHF: A SHORT BUY OPPORTUNITY IS POSSIBLEThis satisfy all the elements of my trade system, I'm buying because I'll like see price push higher. A break of structure to the upside and an engineered liquidity before price broke structure. Price has returned to grab liquidity, we should see it push to our target.
USDCHF INTRADAY resistance at 0.8300Recent price action in USDCHF suggests an oversold bounce, with resistance capping gains at the 0.8300 level.
The continuation of selling pressure could extend the downside move, with key support levels at 0.8130, followed by 0.8090 and 0.8050.
Alternatively, a confirmed breakout above 0.8300, accompanied by a daily close higher, would invalidate the bearish outlook. In this scenario, USDCHF could target 0.8365, with further resistance at 0.8400 and 0.8470.
Conclusion:
The price remains below pivotal level, with 0.8300 acting as a key resistance. Failure to break above this level could reinforce downside risks, while a breakout could shift momentum back in favour of bulls. Traders should watch for confirmation signals before positioning for the next move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
USDCHF H1 I Bullish Rise Based on the H4 chart analysis, the price is falling toward our buy entry level at 0.8232, a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Our take profit is set at 0.8307, an overlap resistance.
The stop loss is placed at 0.8188, a swing low support level
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Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
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