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U.S. Dollar / Swiss Franc

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USDCHF trade ideas

Long USDCHF on a dovish SNBWe got the SNB central bank rate decision later on today. Switzerland YoY inflation is in negative territory at -0.10%. tradingeconomics.com The strength of the CHF is an issue for the SNB. They are scheduled to cut rate by 25 BPS (to 0.0%) with a probability of 77% but there is 23% chance of a 50 BPS cut (to -0.25%) which would be very dovish for the Swiss Franc. If we get a surprise 50 BPS cut, I will get into USDCHF long. The negative is pretty much priced in for the USD. The economy is holding and the Fed is expecting a surge in inflation from tariffs. ibb.co Here is the 2Y/10Y Yield differentials on USDCHF. It is pointing to the upside. The biggest risk for the trade is of course risk off sentiment from the war in the middle east. If US gets involve, we could see some flow in the CHF but USD could see some flow too. Pay close attention to the SNB meeting later.
Long
by NomadTrader999
USD/CHF – Rejection at Key Fib Confluence, Bearish Continuation We’re seeing a beautiful textbook rejection off the 0.79Fib zone (0.8200), precisely where price tapped into a previous structure break and minor supply block. Price surged into the red zone, wicked just above the 200 EMA, and was instantly met with heavy sell-side pressure — a strong signal of institutional distribution. 📌 Technical Confluences at Play: Price failed to break the 200 EMA cleanly — acting as dynamic resistance. 0.79 Fib levels aligning with prior supply. Rising wedge structure broken to the downside. Entry candle printing a solid engulfing rejection — institutional footprint. 📉 Target Zone: Primary TP sits at the 0.236 Fib level (0.8101), but the full measured move of this wedge gives us a final downside target near 0.8038, with intermediate stops at key Fibs. Invalidation above 0.82294 🧠 Trader’s Insight: “Patience is power. You don’t chase moves, you position for moments.” Let the market come to your zone of interest, validate your thesis, and then strike with precision. The best trades come from areas where multiple confirmations stack in your favor. 📉 Trade Plan: Entry: 0.81933 rejection zone TP1: 0.8130 TP2: 0.8101 Final TP: 0.8038 SL: Above 0.82294 (tight invalidation) @WrightWayInvestments @WrightWayInvestments @WrightWayInvestments
Short
by WrightWayInvestments
4
USDCHF Channel Down reached its top. Sell signal.The USDCHF pair has been trading within a Channel Down pattern since the May 12 High and today the price hit its top again. Trading above its 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) but still below the 1D MA50 (red trend-line), that maintains the medium-term bearish trend. This is a strong bearish signal as it technically indicates that the new Bearish Leg is about to start. Support 1 at 0.80565 is a low risk Target. The previous 2 Bearish Legs have both gone for -3.40% declines, so technically the downside can be extended beyond Support 1. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
USDCHF → Retesting resistance will lead to a declineFX:USDCHF , having failed to reach its global target after breaking through support, is turning back to retest the zone of interest at 0.8157. A fall in the dollar could trigger a decline in prices... After breaking through support and falling to 0.8055, a correction is forming towards the zone of interest and liquidity at 0.8157. After reaching the local target, the price may return to the global target (liquidity zone) at 0.8042. The dollar returned to its downward phase at the opening of the session, to which the forex market reacted accordingly. Most likely, bearish pressure may also affect the USDCHF currency pair, which continues to follow the downward trend. Resistance levels: 0.8157 Support levels: 0.8055, 0.8042 A retest of resistance amid high volatility could form a false breakout (liquidity capture) before the decline continues within the downtrend. Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
4
USDCHF LONG FORECAST Q2 W25 D17 Y25USDCHF LONG FORECAST Q2 W25 D17 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside intraday confirmation & breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 🔥 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Weekly order block rejection ✅Daily order block rejection ✅15’ order block ✅Intraday bullish breaks of structure 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Long
by JCFRGNT
USDCHF - Bearish Continuation STORY : Bearish Indications : 1- LH and LL 2- No Divergence 3- Symmetrical pattern 4- Seasonal Show USDCHF Bearish in June for last 15 years Bullish Indications: 1- SXF on 1H time frame make a bearish Divergence which indicates a strong corrective move in the index. if that happens market will make breakout above 0.81565 Anticipation : I anticipate in order for the market to continue, the market will break the neck line and then continue bearish Plan : Enter into the market with pending order (Sell Stop) and then wait for the TPs to hit as per mentioned target points.
Short
by ProTradeProfessor
USDCHF oversold rally capped by resistance at 0.8166The USD/CHF pair is currently trading with a bearish bias, aligned with the broader downward trend. Recent price action shows a corrective pullback, suggesting a temporary relief rally within the downtrend. Key resistance is located at 0.8166, a prior consolidation zone. This level will be critical in determining the next directional move. A bearish rejection from 0.8166 could confirm the resumption of the downtrend, targeting the next support levels at 0.8033, followed by 0.7990 and 0.7950 over a longer timeframe. Conversely, a decisive breakout and daily close above 0.8166 would invalidate the current bearish setup, shifting sentiment to bullish and potentially triggering a move towards 0.8190, then 0.8220. Conclusion: The short-term outlook remains bearish unless the pair breaks and holds above 0.8166. Traders should watch for price action signals around this key level to confirm direction. A rejection favors fresh downside continuation, while a breakout signals a potential trend reversal or deeper correction. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
Bullish bounce off pullback support?USD/CHF is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support and could bounce from this level to our take profit. Entry: 0.8066 Why we like it: There is a pullback support. Stop loss: 0.8031 Why we like it: There is a support level at the 61% Fibonacci projection and the 127.2% Fibonacci extension. Take profit: 0.8157 Why we lik eit: There is an overlap resistance level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets