USDCHF trade ideas
USDCHFThis chart represents the USD/CHF currency pair on a 1-hour timeframe, likely focused on a technical analysis setup.
Key Elements in the Chart:
1. Downtrend Channel
- The pair has been moving within a downward sloping channel, marked by the two parallel blue lines.
- The price consistently formed lower highs and lower lows within the channel, signaling a bearish trend.
2. Breakout Attempt
- The price recently broke above the upper boundary of the downtrend channel. This is typically a bullish signal indicating a potential trend reversal or correction.
3. Target Level
- A horizontal blue line is drawn at 0.91524, suggesting this is the target or resistance level for the breakout. This could represent a key level where sellers might step in.
4. Arrows
- The upward arrow indicates an expectation of further upward movement towards the 0.91524 level.
- This suggests a bullish bias, with the analyst predicting the price to continue rising after the breakout.
5. *Support and Resistance Levels
- The recent low of 0.90326 is marked as a support level.
- The high at 0.91524 is highlighted as a potential resistance level.
Conclusion:
The chart indicates that the USD/CHF pair has broken out of a descending channel, signaling potential bullish momentum. Traders might look for confirmation of the breakout and target the resistance at 0.91524, while keeping an eye on the support at 0.90326 to manage risk.
USDCHF - Looking for a Weaker Dollar?!The USDCHF pair is trading in its ascending channel on the 4-hour timeframe, between the EMA200 and EMA50. In case of a downward correction towards the demand zones, the next long positions in this pair with a good risk-reward ratio will be available for us.
Morgan Stanley Investment Bank anticipates that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged at its January meeting but is expected to revise its assessment of labor market conditions. Jerome Powell, the Fed Chair, is likely to emphasize the reliance on data and prevailing uncertainties while keeping the option for a rate cut in March on the table.
Morgan Stanley analysts predict that the Fed may revise its description of the labor market from “cooling” to “stable.” This shift reflects recent employment data trends, which have demonstrated consistency over the past 6 to 9 months.
According to Morgan Stanley, Powell is expected to reiterate ongoing progress in reducing inflation, highlighting that monetary policy remains appropriately restrictive. Furthermore, the Fed is likely to delve deeper into balance sheet policies and may signal that the process of balance sheet reduction could soon conclude. Meanwhile, Sergio Ermotti, CEO of UBS, has warned that high government debt could lead to a major crisis.
Goldman Sachs, in its analysis of President Donald Trump’s inaugural policy statements, noted that his tariff policies appeared softer than initially expected and currently carry less priority than previously anticipated.
The firm also observed that Trump’s rhetoric regarding Mexico and Canada was more aggressive than projected. Goldman Sachs concluded that the likelihood of a global U.S. tariff on all import sectors this year has diminished, thereby reducing the risk of reigniting inflationary pressures.
David Solomon, CEO of Goldman Sachs, stated that as the new U.S. administration begins its term, the country’s economy appears to be in excellent shape. He also highlighted that key questions regarding tariffs pertain to their speed of implementation and targeted countries. Solomon remarked that tariffs would ultimately lead to a rebalancing of trade agreements over time and that trade policies would directly influence interest rate equilibrium.
On the other hand, Thomas Schlegel, the president of the Swiss National Bank, stated that the Swiss franc remains a safe haven asset in global markets, although trade disputes have adverse implications for Switzerland’s economy. He also emphasized that there is no current concern regarding inflation, which remains within the bank’s target range and aligned with cyclical forecasts. Schlegel further mentioned that the possibility of employing negative interest rates cannot be ruled out.
USDCHF 23/01/2025USDCHF update: Yesterday, we didn’t get the break below 0.90410 that we were looking for, but the 4H structure remains bearish. The pair is still creating lower highs and lower lows, with price currently sitting around the lower high region near 0.90685.
The bearish bias remains intact, but given how tricky this pair has been recently, it’s essential to wait for a clear break and 4H close below 0.90410 for confirmation before considering further downside. Adding to this bias is a potential head and shoulders pattern starting to form, which provides additional confluence for a bearish move.
Patience is key here to avoid being caught in false breaks. Let’s see how price reacts at these levels! #USDCHF #ForexAnalysis
Falling towards overlap support?The Swissie (USD/CHF) is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as an overlap support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 0.9011
1st Support: 0.8957
1st Resistance: 0.9104
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USDCHF H4 | Bullish Rise Based on the H4 chart, the price is approaching our buy entry level at 0.9008, which aligns with an overlap support level and the 161.8% Fibonacci extension. This level is expected to act as a potential reversal point in the bullish setup.
Our take profit is set at 0.9091, near a key resistance level where price may face selling pressure.
The stop loss is placed at 0.8946, below the 127.2% Fibonacci extension, providing room for price fluctuations while ensuring the bullish setup remains valid.
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USDCHF Breaks Ascending Channel – Bearish Move ExpectedThe USDCHF pair has broken below an ascending channel, signaling a shift in momentum. If the price will retest the zone at 0.91200, which previously served as channel support, this area may now act as resistance, aligning with a potential bearish continuation.
The market structure suggests further downside if the rejection holds at the current levels. I anticipate that the price will move downward toward the 0.90276 level, which represents a logical target for this setup.
This setup aligns with the idea of a trend reversal after a channel break, offering a shorting opportunity on rejection from resistance.
Analyzing USDCHF Using Support and ResistanceUSDCHF (US Dollar vs. Swiss Franc) is currently trading at 0.904, with a target price of 0.890, indicating a bearish outlook. This presents a potential gain of 100+ pips if the target level is achieved. The analysis is based on a support and resistance pattern, suggesting that the current price is below a key resistance level, which acts as a barrier to upward movement. The next support level is identified at the target price of 0.890, where the price is expected to stabilize or reverse. This implies a short-selling opportunity to profit from the anticipated price drop. The strategy assumes the price will continue its downward trend without breaking above the resistance level. Traders should closely monitor the price action near the resistance and support levels for confirmation. Effective risk management is crucial to account for potential price rebounds. The setup is ideal for technical traders focusing on price action and key levels. This plan is aligned with the overall market trend, reinforcing its validity.
FINAL UPDATE ON USD/CHFUSD/CHF 30M - As you can see price is approaching our TP target for the trade we sent out last week on this pair, what a trade this was, it has played out perfectly for us over the course of the last few days.
With me putting a-lot of energy into this challenge I have been recording and journaling I forgot to post the re-entry opportunity for you all. No excuse really and apologise for that as it was something I promised.
This trade is currently running + 138 pips. (+ 7%) 7RR
So with that being said people I am going to take a step away from this personal 20k-100k journey and put full focus back into the chat as thats whats important to me, seeing you guys succeed, this benefits me also don't worry.
A big well done to anyone who held the original position from last week and anyone who managed to get a re-entry on the market, any questions drop me a message or comment below!
Monday Range, KL - FVG, OB, Model 2Monday Range, KL - FVG, OB, Model 2
you are welcome to comment with your thoughts and share your charts or questions below, I like any constructive discussion.
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USD/CHF BULLS ARE STRONG HERE|LONG
Hello, Friends!
It makes sense for us to go long on USD/CHF right now from the support line below with the target of 0.917 because of the confluence of the two strong factors which are the general uptrend on the previous 1W candle and the oversold situation on the lower TF determined by it’s proximity to the lower BB band.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Potential bearish drop?The Swissie (USD/CHF) is rising towards the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 0.9092
1st Support: 0.9008
1st Resistance: 0.9137
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USDCHF 100PIP MOVE TO THE HIGH Current Market Conditions & Entry Setup:
Identify Support Level: Look for a recent key support level or consolidation zone that could act as a strong base for price action. For example, if USDCHF is currently around 0.9300 and has recently bounced off a support at 0.9250, this could be a good level for an entry.
Bullish Trend: Confirm that the pair is in a short-term bullish trend, ideally confirmed by upward price action, higher highs, and higher lows.
Candlestick Patterns: Look for bullish candlestick patterns (e.g., bullish engulfing, hammer) around support zones that suggest a strong upward move is about to take place.
2. Technical Indicators:
RSI: If the RSI is around 50-60, this suggests that there is still room for an upward move without the pair being overbought.
Moving Averages: Ensure that the price is trading above short-term moving averages (e.g., 20-period or 50-period MA) to confirm bullish sentiment.
MACD: A bullish MACD crossover (when the MACD line crosses above the signal line) would add further confirmation for a bullish entry.
Bearish drop?USD/CHF has reacted off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.9093
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Stop loss: 0.9138
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 0.9022
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
USD/CHF - 21.01.25DISCLAIMER:
This post does not provide financial advice. It is for educational purposes only! You can use the information from the post to make your own trading plan for the market. But you must do your own research and use it as the priority. Trading is risky, and it is not suitable for everyone. Only you can be responsible for your trading.
USDCHF LONGMarket structure bullish on HTFs 3
Entry at Weekly and Daily AOi
Weekly rejection at the AOi
Daily Rejection at AOi
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 0.91000
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 5.35
Entry 110%
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: Manage Your Risk
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