USD/CHF SHORT OUTLOOK. 5/4/25📉 USD/CHF – SHORT SETUP
• Current Price: ~0.8263
• Trend: Bearish, with potential for further downside
• Technical Outlook: USD/CHF remains in a long-term downtrend, with potential to retest the 0.8038 level. A break below this could target the 0.7382 level. 
Trade Plan:
• Entry Zone: 0.8295–0.8318
• Confirmation: Bearish engulfing pattern on M15/H1, RSI ≤ 40, SAR above price, and volume spike
• Stop Loss: 30 pips above entry
• Take Profit:
• TP1: 0.8215
• TP2: 0.8180
•
• Confidence: High ✅
USDCHF trade ideas
#USDCHF: Will USD Breakthrough The Strong Bearish Downtrend? The USDCHF currency pair has experienced significant volatility due to the ongoing trade dispute between the United States and China, which has led to a substantial decline in the DXY index. Consequently, CHF and JPY have emerged as the most stable currencies in the market.
Despite the USDCHF currency pair reversing its bullish trend, we anticipate a potential reversal back to a bearish position. We believe this reversal may be a temporary trap, and the currency pair is likely to regain its bullish position in the future.
There are two potential areas where the USDCHF currency pair could reverse from its current trend. The first area is relatively early, and if the USDCHF currency pair crosses a specific region, we may have a second safe option that could provide greater stability.
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USD/CHF: Bearish ForecastPrice is likely to retrace into the 0.83593 – 0.85750 demand zone or push higher into the FVG (0.8700 – 0.8800) before facing rejection. As long as price holds below these zones, the downtrend should continue, targeting new lows below 0.8100.
Bearish momentum remains intact unless price breaks above the FVG.
USDCHF Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow Analysis !In this video I will be sharing my USDCHF analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.
USDCHF STRONG BULLIDH (UPTREND) SCENARIOTrade Setup: BUY
Entry Zone (Buy Price Range):
Between 0.81500 – 0.82500 (ideal pullback or breakout entry range depending on current price action)
Stop Loss (Risk Management):
0.80500
Below recent swing low and key support zone
Take Profit Targets:
Target 1: 0.83700 (near-term resistance or Fibonacci level)
Final Target: 0.85800 (major resistance / long-term objective)
Trade Management Plan:
1. After Entry:
Monitor price action at 0.83000–0.83700.
Consider partial profits at Target 1 and move stop to break even.
2. If Target 1 Hits:
Lock profits and trail stop loss below higher lows for continuation to 0.85800.
3. Exit Plan:
Exit completely if price breaks below 0.80500 with strong bearish momentum.
USD/CHF After 14-Year Consolidation | Reversal RSI Bullish DVG!
USD/CHF Reversal Expected After 14-Year Consolidation (2011–2025) with RSI Bullish Divergence – Targeting 1980 Pips
The USD/CHF monthly chart reflects a potential **trend reversal** following a prolonged consolidation phase from 2011 to 2025**, lasting over 14 years. Throughout this period, the pair remained range-bound, reflecting market indecision. Recently, a **bullish RSI divergence** has emerged — while price made lower lows, the RSI showed higher lows — indicating weakening bearish momentum and a likely shift toward the upside.
The expected reversal projects a move of approximately **1,980 pips**, based on the width of the consolidation zone.
**Key Technical Highlights:**
* **RSI bullish divergence** signals trend exhaustion and reversal potential.
* **Volume pickup** aligns with strengthening bullish sentiment.
* Resistance zones to monitor: **0.8498, 0.8759, 0.8803**.
This is a classic example of a long-term reversal setup where RSI divergence plays a critical role in forecasting directional change after extended consolidation.
Bullish bounce off overlap support?USD/CHF is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that aligns with the 61.8% and the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.8258
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 50% and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.8226
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.8315
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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USDCHF Will Move Lower! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for USDCHF.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 0.826.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 0.815 level soon.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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USD/CHF SHORT SET UPUSD/CHF 4H - This is a market I will be looking to get involved in over the course of the next week or so. Its important we are delivered with the confirmation needed first though.
You can see above that I am wanting to see price correct itself trading us up and into the Supply Zone I have marked out, once price trades into this we can expect two things to happen. For Supply to be introduced and for Demand to be offloaded.
As a result we can expect a distribution to take place, meaning we should see price break down and give us the relevant structure needed to look to take the market short. We want that break of structure to the downside.
Once we have that we have confirmation of a flip in the S&D balance, this gives us the confirmation needed to suggest that price is ready to trade lower, we then wait for the pullback and enter in more fractally as illustrated above.
USDCHF LONG FORECAST Q2 W18 D1 Y25USDCHF LONG FORECAST Q2 W18 D1 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly order block rejection
✅Daily order block rejection
✅15’ order block
✅Intraday bullish breaks of structure
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
USD/CHF Bullish Setup Using ICT Strategy (1D Chart)
This is a bullish trading idea on the USD/CHF daily chart, based on the Inner Circle Trader (ICT) methodology, which focuses on how institutional traders move the market.
Market Structure Shift (eMSS): In mid-April, the price broke above a previous high, creating an External Market Structure Shift (eMSS). This signals a potential change from a downtrend to an uptrend, as the market shows bullish intent by taking out a key resistance level.
Liquidity Sweep (S): Before the eMSS, the price dipped below a prior low, likely to grab liquidity by triggering stop-loss orders of sellers. This "sweep" is a common ICT concept where the market hunts for liquidity before reversing in the intended direction.
Order Block (Demand Zone): After the eMSS, the price consolidated in a shaded area, which acts as a demand zone or order block. This is where institutional buyers likely placed their orders. ICT teaches us to look for entries in these zones, as they often lead to strong price reactions.
Breakout and Target: The price broke above the order block, confirming the bullish setup. The target is set around 0.8400, where there might be another liquidity pool (like buy stops above previous highs). This aligns with ICT’s idea of targeting areas where the market is likely to move to collect more orders.
USDCHF: More Bearish Order FlowSimilar to USDJPY , USDCHF has exhibited a change of character, initiating a bearish order flow for the week. Price has reached a key point of interest where a potential continuation to the downside could occur. The DXY is reflecting similar behaviour, supporting the bearish outlook.
An entry position has been established, and now it is a matter of monitoring the trade and allowing the market to develop accordingly.
Bullish bounce?The Swissie (USD/CHF) is reacting off the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 0.8211
1st Support: 0.8114
1st Resistance: 0.8372
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USDCHF INTRADAY previous resistance retestRecent price action in USDCHF suggests an oversold bounce, with resistance capping gains at the 0.8300 level.
The continuation of selling pressure could extend the downside move, with key support levels at 0.8090, followed by 0.8040 and 0.7940.
Alternatively, a confirmed breakout above 0.8300, accompanied by a daily close higher, would invalidate the bearish outlook. In this scenario, USDCHF could target 0.8365, with further resistance at 0.8450 and 0.8520.
Conclusion:
The price remains below pivotal level, with 0.8300 acting as a key resistance. Failure to break above this level could reinforce downside risks, while a breakout could shift momentum back in favour of bulls. Traders should watch for confirmation signals before positioning for the next move.
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USDCHF Short Term Buy Trading Plan Update!!!Hi Traders, on April 24th I shared this idea "USDCHF - Expecting Bullish Continuation In The Short Term"
I expected further continuation higher from the marked Fibonacci support zones. You can read the full post using the link above.
Price reached the first Fibonacci support zone, respected it and bounced higher as expected!!!
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.