USDCHF trade ideas
USDCHF BUY TRADE PLANUSD/CHF - June 13, 2025
📋 Plan Overview
Type: Countertrend Buy
Direction: Long
Confidence: Medium-High
R:R: ~2.5:1
Status: Waiting for retracement or confirmation
📈 Market Bias & Type
Short-term reversal opportunity inside long-term bearish trend
Bias: Temporary bullish correction
Type: Reversal (LTF Bounce against HTF trend)
🔰 Confidence Level with % and Breakdown
Total: 70%
HTF Oversold/Wick Rejection: 25%
Bullish H1-H4 structure shift: 20%
Volume spike + H1 engulfing: 15%
Fundamental/Sentiment: 10%
📍 Entry Zones
Primary: 0.8110 - 0.8120 (pullback zone to broken H1 structure)
Secondary: 0.8085 (origin of impulse leg if deeper retracement happens)
❗ SL with Reasoning
SL: 0.8050
Below the low of June 13 H1 reversal candle + structural invalidation
🎯 TP1/TP2/TP3 Targets
TP1: 0.8180 (recent H1 supply flip)
TP2: 0.8225 (H4 resistance)
TP3: 0.8290 (D1 imbalance fill area)
🧠 Management Strategy
Risk: 1%
Scaling: Add on confirmation from H1 higher low (0.8140+)
Breakeven: After TP1 or on strong bullish H1 candle + volume confirmation
⚠️ Confirmation Checklist
✅ Bullish engulfing on H1
✅ Impulse breakout structure
✅ Volume rise on reversal candle
⚠️ Still awaiting H1 retest or HL (no rush entry)
⏳ Validity
H1: 12h
H4: 36–48h max (until invalidation)
❌ Invalidation Conditions
Clean break and close below 0.8050
Failure to form HL and break above 0.8145 (range trap risk)
🌐 Fundamental & Sentiment Snapshot
CHF remains firm on safe haven flow
USD broadly weaker on Fed rate pause expectations
CPI/retail sentiment suggests potential DXY weakness short-term
Safe haven profit-taking could lift USD short-term
📋 Final Trade Summary
Looking for a corrective buy in a broader USDCHF downtrend. Signs of early reversal on LTFs with clean H1 impulse leg. Entry awaits retracement into structure. Conservative targets aligned with HTF levels. Risk tightly defined; no overexposure.
USD/CHF,4h chart pattern..USD/CHF buy trade setup based on my input:
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✅ Trade Setup:
Buy Entry: 0.81300
First Target (TP1): 0.82300
Second Target (TP2): 0.83500
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📊 Trade Metrics:
1. TP1 Distance:
0.82300 - 0.81300 = 0.01000 (100 pips)
2. TP2 Distance:
0.83500 - 0.81300 = 0.02200 (220 pips)
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🛑 Suggested Stop-Loss (if not defined):
A common approach would be to place it below the recent swing low or a round level for risk management. Example:
Stop-Loss (SL): 0.80800 (50 pips risk)
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⚖ Risk-Reward Ratios (if SL = 0.80800):
To TP1: 100 / 50 = 2.0 R/R
To TP2: 220 / 50 = 4.4 R/R
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Would you like a visual chart or technical breakdown (e.g., support zones, confirmation candles) for this pair?
USD/CHF H1 | Swing-high resistance at 50% Fibonacci retracementUSD/CHF is rising towards a swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 0.8141 which is a swing-high resistance that aligns closely with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 0.8182 which is a level that sits above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 0.8067 which is a swing-low support.
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USDCHF - Follow The Bears!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈USDCHF has been overall bearish trading within the falling channel marked in orange. And it is currently retesting the upper bound of the channel.
Moreover, the green zone is a strong structure.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the upper orange trendline and structure.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #USDCHF approaches the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
USD/CHF TrendUSD/CHF has successfully broken out of the descending channel on the 15-minute timeframe, signaling a potential short-term trend reversal. The price is now consolidating above the broken channel, showing early signs of bullish momentum. As long as the price remains above 0.8110, further upside toward the resistance levels at 0.8125 and 0.8145 is expected. A break below 0.8089 would invalidate this bullish scenario and suggest a return to the previous downtrend.
USDCHF Bullish or bearish Detail ANAYSISUSDCHF is currently setting up for a classic bearish continuation pattern. After breaking down sharply from the key support turned resistance zone around 0.81500, the pair is now in the middle of a technical retest. Price is currently hovering near 0.81 and showing signs of weakness on lower timeframes. This retest into the previous demand-turned-supply area aligns well with the expectation of a further leg to the downside. As long as the price stays below 0.81500, sellers are likely to dominate, targeting 0.8000 in the near term.
From a fundamental perspective, the bearish pressure on USDCHF is supported by growing market speculation that the Federal Reserve may begin rate cuts sooner than previously expected. With the latest US CPI data confirming disinflationary progress and unemployment claims ticking higher, dollar strength is taking a hit. Meanwhile, the Swiss Franc remains relatively stable as the SNB continues its measured approach, with inflation staying well within target and no immediate pressure to cut rates. This monetary policy divergence favors further downside in USDCHF.
Technically, momentum remains strongly bearish. The recent bounce appears corrective rather than impulsive, suggesting the bears are still in control. If price rejects the 0.81500 zone with a clear reversal candle, we can anticipate a strong continuation move toward the psychological level of 0.8000. This level also aligns with previous demand zones and Fibonacci extension targets, making it a solid downside objective.
This setup is a clean example of trend-following structure with fundamental backing. USDCHF is preparing to complete a textbook retest before its next drop, offering a high-probability short opportunity. If the rejection confirms around 0.81500, sellers can expect a solid move toward 0.8000 with favorable risk-reward. The setup is ideal for short-term swing traders tracking USD weakness across the board.
USDCHF LONG FORECAST Q2 W24 D13 Y25USDCHF LONG FORECAST Q2 W24 D13 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside intraday confirmation & breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 🔥
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly order block rejection
✅Daily order block rejection
✅15’ order block
✅Intraday bullish breaks of structure
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
USD_CHF RISKY LONG|
✅USD_CHF will soon retest a key support level of 0.8060
So I think that the pair will make a rebound
And go up to retest the supply level above at 0.8127
LONG🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Elliott Wave Analysis: USDCHF Resumes Bearish TrendThe USDCHF currency pair has been declining since its peak on May 13, 2025. It follows a pattern that technical analysts identify as an impulsive wave with an extended structure, often referred to as a “nest.” This analysis tracks the pair’s movement through a series of waves, as observed on the 1-hour chart. It provides insight into its short-term trajectory and potential future movements.
Starting from the May 13 high, the initial decline, labeled wave 1, concluded at 0.8184. This was followed by a corrective rally in wave 2, which peaked at 0.8347. From there, the pair resumed its downward trend in wave 3. The wave 3 has unfolded with further subdivisions, forming another impulsive pattern in a lesser degree. Specifically, from the wave 2 high, the first sub-wave (i) ended at 0.8312, followed by a brief rally in wave (ii) to 0.8338. The pair then extended lower in wave (iii), reaching 0.8195, before a corrective wave (iv) rallied to 0.8249. The subsequent decline in wave (v) completed at 0.8153, finalizing wave ((i)) of the larger structure.
Following this, a recovery rally in wave ((ii)) reached 0.8250 before the pair turned lower again in wave ((iii)). Within this segment, the first sub-wave (i) ended at 0.8167, and a corrective wave (ii) rallied to 0.8248. In the near term, as long as the pair remains below 0.8250, any rallies are expected to fail after 3, 7, or 11 swings, with the pair likely to extend lower. This analysis suggests continued bearish momentum, with traders advised to monitor key levels for confirmation of further downside.
Falling towards major support?USD/CHF is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 0.8048
1st Support: 0.7994
1st Resistance: 0.8156
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USDCHF Wave Analysis – 12 June 2025
- USDCHF broke support level 0.8170
- Likely to fall to support level 0.8050
USDCHF currency pair recently broke the key support level 0.8170, which stopped the previous waves B and 1, as can be seen below.
The breakout of the support level 0.8170 coincided with the breakout of the daily Descending Triangle from the end of April.
USDCHF currency pair can be expected to fall to the next support level 0.8050 (low of the impulse wave (1) from April).
Falling towards pullback support?USD/CHF is falling toward the support level, which is a pullback support aligning with the 100% Fibonacci projection. A bounce from this level could indicate a double bottom pattern, potentially leading to a price rise toward our take profit target.
Entry: 0.8046
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 100% Fibonacci projection.
Stop loss: 0.7996
Why we like it:
There is a support level at the 78.6% Fibonacci projection.
Take profit: 0.8161
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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USD-CHF Wide Support Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
USD-CHF keeps falling but
The pair will soon hit a
Horizontal support level
Of 0.8080 from where
We will be expecting
A local bullish rebound
Buy!
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Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
USD/CHF 4H Analysis – Bearish Continuation Setting Up?USD/CHF is currently forming a textbook symmetrical triangle consolidation pattern just below key EMAs (20, 50, and 200), signaling potential exhaustion in bullish momentum. Price is compressing against the upper boundary of the triangle, failing to sustain above the 0.382 Fib retracement level (0.82302), which is aligned with the 50 EMA – a known area of dynamic resistance.
This consolidation follows a clear bearish leg from the swing high at 0.83472, which suggests this triangle is likely a continuation pattern. A clean break below the ascending trendline support would confirm bearish continuation, with a measured move target near the 0.81068 level, which aligns with the -0.27 Fib extension.
🔍 Key Technical Levels:
Resistance: 0.82302 (0.382 Fib), 0.82525 (0.5 Fib), 0.82753 (0.618 Fib)
Support: 0.82026 (0.236 Fib), 0.81579 (Swing Low), 0.81068 (Bearish Extension Target)
📌 Watch for:
A decisive break and close below triangle support
Volume spike or bearish engulfing candle for confirmation
RSI is neutral but leaning slightly bearish; room for downside
🎯 Bearish Bias
📍 Tag: #USDCHF #ForexAnalysis #WrightWayInvestments
USDCHF Buy- Go for buy if entry setup given
- Refine entry with smaller SL for better RR, if your strategy allow
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USDCHF Will Explode! BUY!
My dear friends,
USDCHF looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 0.8114 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 0.8214
Recommended Stop Loss - 0.8059
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK