USDCHF trade ideas
USDCHF - Expecting Bullish Continuation In The Short TermH1 - Strong bullish momentum followed by a pullback
No opposite signs
Expecting further continuation higher until the two Fibonacci support zones hold.
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USD/CHF Rebounds from Multi-Year LowUSD/CHF Rebounds from Multi-Year Low
As the charts show, the USD/CHF exchange rate fell below 0.810 US dollars per franc earlier this week. The pair had not traded this low since the 2008 financial crisis. Demand for the Swiss franc as a safe-haven currency was driven by concerns over the escalation of the trade war between the United States and other major economies.
However, the USD/CHF pair has since rebounded and is currently trading above 0.825. This recovery was supported by yesterday’s statement from Finance Minister Bessent at the JPMorgan Private Investors Conference, where he expressed optimism about imminent de-escalation in trade tensions with China.
Technical Analysis of the USD/CHF Chart
The chart indicates that the trend remains bearish, highlighted by the descending channel marked in red. A bullish attempt to push the price into the upper half of the channel earlier this morning (as shown by the arrow) failed to produce any significant momentum.
The price is fluctuating around the median line, a level where supply and demand tend to balance. It is possible that the market has already priced in the positive news from yesterday, and the bears may attempt to reassert pressure, driving the price back towards the 0.810 support level.
Nevertheless, much will depend on the fundamental backdrop. A stronger dollar could follow in response to possible developments such as:
→ a statement from China signalling readiness to de-escalate its tariff policy;
→ signs of progress in trade deals between the United States and key partners such as Japan, South Korea, and India.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
USDCHF Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow Analysis !In this video I will be sharing my USDCHF analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.
Bearish reversal off pullback resistance?USD/CHF is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 38.2% and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.8364
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 38.2% and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.8511
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.8212
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
USDCHF BULLISHTrade Setup Details for USD/CHF (4H Chart)
Overview
Pair: USD/CHF (US Dollar / Swiss Franc)
Timeframe: 4H (4-hour chart)
Date of Analysis: April 23, 2022
Current Price: 0.82920 (as shown on the chart)
Market Sentiment: Bullish (indicated by "Bullish Divergence" on the RSI)
Trade Setup
Trade Type: Buy
Entry Point: 0.82792
The entry is marked just above the recent low, suggesting a potential reversal after the price broke below a descending trendline and retested a key support zone around 0.82790–0.82960.
Stop Loss: 0.80312
The stop loss is placed below the recent swing low, providing a buffer against further downside. This gives a risk of approximately 248 pips from the entry point.
Take Profit: 0.85265
The take profit is set at a key resistance level, aligning with previous highs around 0.85265. This offers a potential reward of approximately 247 pips from the entry point.
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Approximately 1:1 (247 pips reward / 248 pips risk)
Technical Analysis
Price Action: The price has been in a downtrend, as indicated by the descending trendline. However, a break below this trendline followed by a retest suggests a potential reversal. The price is now approaching a key support zone between 0.82790 and 0.82960.
Support/Resistance:
Support: 0.82790–0.82960 (recent price action shows a bounce from this zone).
Resistance: 0.85265 (previous high, marked as the take profit level).
Indicators:
RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI is at 52.61, showing neutral momentum. However, a "Bullish Divergence" is noted, where the price made a lower low, but the RSI formed a higher low, indicating weakening bearish momentum and a potential reversal.
The RSI is also trending upward, supporting the bullish outlook.
Trendline: The descending trendline (drawn on the chart) has been broken, and the price is retesting this breakout area, which often acts as support after a breakout.
Trade Rationale
The setup is based on a combination of price action and technical indicators:
The break of the descending trendline suggests the downtrend may be losing steam.
Bullish divergence on the RSI indicates a potential reversal, as momentum shifts in favor of buyers.
The price is approaching a key support zone, which has historically held, increasing the likelihood of a bounce.
The take profit at 0.85265 aligns with a significant resistance level, providing a logical target for the trade.
Risk Management
The stop loss at 0.80312 ensures that the trade is invalidated if the price continues to decline significantly, protecting against larger losses.
Traders should consider position sizing to ensure the 248-pip risk aligns with their risk tolerance (e.g., risking 1–2% of their account on this trade).
Additional Notes
Monitor for confirmation of the reversal, such as a strong bullish candlestick pattern (e.g., engulfing or pin bar) at the support zone.
Be cautious of any fundamental news (e.g., US or Swiss economic data) that could impact USD/CHF volatility during the trade.
USDCHF INTRADAY bearish below 0.8300Recent price action in USDCHF suggests an oversold bounce, with resistance capping gains at the 0.8300 level.
The continuation of selling pressure could extend the downside move, with key support levels at 0.8090, followed by 0.8040 and 0.7940.
Alternatively, a confirmed breakout above 0.8300, accompanied by a daily close higher, would invalidate the bearish outlook. In this scenario, USDCHF could target 0.8365, with further resistance at 0.8450 and 0.8520.
Conclusion:
The price remains below pivotal level, with 0.8300 acting as a key resistance. Failure to break above this level could reinforce downside risks, while a breakout could shift momentum back in favour of bulls. Traders should watch for confirmation signals before positioning for the next move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
USDCHF: Bearish Forecast & Bearish Scenario
Balance of buyers and sellers on the USDCHF pair, that is best felt when all the timeframes are analyzed properly is shifting in favor of the sellers, therefore is it only natural that we go short on the pair.
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USDCHF BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISWe are currently observing the USD/CHF pair, which is trading around 0.8225 as of April 23, 2025. The pair has recently experienced a slight uptick, driven by renewed demand for the US dollar following President Trump's decision to retract threats against Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. This move has alleviated investor concerns regarding the Fed's independence, providing a temporary boost to the greenback.
Despite this short-term rally, the overall outlook for USD/CHF remains bearish. The pair is trading below the critical 100-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is hovering near 36, indicating continued selling pressure. The immediate resistance level is identified at 0.8360, while the first support level to monitor is at 0.8121.
Fundamentally, the Swiss franc has appreciated significantly, surging approximately 9% against the US dollar in April alone. This appreciation is attributed to global uncertainties stemming from shifting US trade policies, which have increased demand for safe-haven assets like the franc. The Swiss National Bank (SNB) is under pressure to address this rapid rise, as it poses risks to their inflation targets and the competitiveness of Swiss exports.
In conclusion, while there may be short-term fluctuations influenced by geopolitical developments and central bank communications, the prevailing trend for USD/CHF appears bearish. Traders should remain cautious and monitor key support and resistance levels, as well as fundamental factors that could impact the pair's trajectory.
USDCHF Is Very Bullish! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for USDCHF.
Time Frame: 3h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 0.807.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 0.824 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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Possible Long Setup on USDCHFA structure break occurred at the 0.8123 level, shifting the market from a bearish structure to a local bullish one — which now has the potential to continue higher.
With that in mind, a long position can be considered on a renewed break above 0.8123. The target is 0.8267.
If the setup is triggered, the stop-loss should be placed either below the most recent (optimal) local low, or simply at 0.8065.
USDCHF Swing UpdateUSDCHF has officially broken out of the 0.82485 consolidation zone. Based on structure and momentum, we could be seeing a deeper pullback toward 0.83366, which has been a key level historically and would make sense for retesting the bearish structure.
If price fails to reach that level or rejects sooner, I’ll be watching for continuation setups below 0.81394 and 0.80464. A clean break and retest of either would offer strong selling opportunities targeting 0.70517 for a longer-term swing setup.
Momentum remains bearish, so staying patient for high-quality entries is key.
USD/CHF "The Swissy" Forex Market Heist Plan Bearish (Swing/Day)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
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Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bearish loot at any price - the heist is on!
however I advise to Place sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most nearest or swing, low or high level for Pullback Entries.
Stop Loss 🛑:
📌Thief SL placed at the nearest/swing High or Low level Using the 4H timeframe (1.81400) Day/Swing trade basis.
📌SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 1.79300 (or) Escape Before the Target
💰💵💸USD/CHF "The Swissy" Forex Market Heist Plan (Swing/Day Trade) is currently experiencing a Bearish trend.., driven by several key factors.👇👇👇
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As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
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USDCHF LONG FORECAST Q2 W17 D23 Y25USDCHF LONG FORECAST Q2 W17 D23 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Trade confluences
- Weekly order block rejection
- Weekly imbalance to be filled
- Daily bullish close
- 4H 50 EMA supporting long position
- Intraday breaks of structure
- 15’ order block created
- Tokyo ranges to be filled
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
USD/CHF Bearish Tri Breakout - 5 Signs of a Strong Bearish BreakOANDA:USDCHF Bears have started the week off hot with Price having dropped 1.16% at the time of publication since Market Open. This price decline has seen a Breakout and fresh low after price has been caught in a Bearish Triangle Pattern, formed by Lower Highs into a Support Level.
1) Price has been trading well Below the 200 EMA.
2) After Price makes contact of the 34 EMA Band while attempting a Breakout of the Falling Resistance of the Triangle, it is sent back down into pattern.
3) After the rejection at the Falling Resistance, we see an influx of Volume enter the Markets, ultimately leaning Bearish.
4) All the Price Action while in Pattern has happened while the RSI has been Below 50, adding Bearish Pressure.
5) Price has made a strong Bearish Candle Break so far of the Support Level of the Triangle and the currently Low of Price @ .80684 has given us a new Lower Low, breaking the Support Level Low @ .80983, suggesting Bears have taken the Support Level and will turn it Resistance.
** With all Indications combined, I believe we are looking at a True Bearish Breakout of the Triangle and will be looking for a Break & Retest Set-Up!
--> Once Price Confirms the Break and Closes, We should expect a Retest of the Break of Support between ( .80983 - .81141 ) to deliver potential Short Opportunities!
Now, Fundamentals:
Price Action lately has heavily been influenced by a couple factors:
- Federal Reserves current dilemma with deciding to not cut Interest Rates in the assumption that the Tariffs will Rise Inflation while the CPI y/y on April 10th printed a -.4% drop from 2.8% to 2.4% which could create complications later if Interest Rates are not cut soon enough.
(If Global Trade slows, that alone will Inflate prices, Tariffs (once applied) will affect as well)
- ECB has made the decision to cut Interest Rates 25 bps from 2.65% to 2.4%. This alone in-time will start the act of slowing the economy so the euro doesn't inflate too much and, in theory, will make the Euro seem less attractive for foreign investment.
This could leave investors to lean towards one of the worlds most "Safe-haven" currencies, the Swiss Franc with the Franc currently hitting a 10-Year High!
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USDCHF Daily, H4,H1 Forecasts, Technical Analysis & Trading IdeaMidterm forecast:
0.84000 is a major resistance, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be downtrend.
OANDA:USDCHF
Technical analysis:
A trough is formed in daily chart at 0.80385 on 04/21/2025, so more gains to resistance(s) 0.83314 and maximum to Major Resistance (0.84000) is expected.
Take Profits:
0.83314
0.84000
0.85430
0.86286
0.87550
0.89147
0.90367
0.92218
0.94400
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Bullish bounce off 50% Fibonacci support?USD/CHF is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.8114
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.8067
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.8241
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.