USDCHF Short H4 solid trend continuationSolid downtrend continuation
Stop behind Swing SR
75% probability
Might place target a bit closer
USDCHF trade ideas
USDCHF H4 I Bullish Bounce Off Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is currently at our buy entry at 0.7921 that aligns with the 127.2% Fib extension
Our take profit will be at 0.8054, a pullback support.
The stop loss will be placed at 0.7759, slightly below the 161.8% Fib extension.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
USDCHF Wave Analysis – 30 June 2025
- USDCHF falling inside a minor impulse wave
- Likely to fall to support level 0.7900
USDCHF currency pair is falling strongly inside the minor impulse wave 3, which recently broke the daily down channel from the start of May.
The breakout of this down channel follows the earlier breakout of the key support level 0.8055 (which stopped the previous impulse waves (1) and i).
Given the strong daily downtrend and the continuous outflows from US dollar or risk-on mood, USDCHF currency pair can be expected to fall to the next support level 0.7900, the target price for the completion of the active impulse wave 3.
USD/CHF SETUPUSD/CHF SETUP unfolding as we anticipate to go long once our setup and rules are respected... smart money concepts
USDCHF long ideaUSDCHF Long Idea
Sentiments 95% Long
DXY about to be bullish making my bias
TP and SL marked
Managed your risk reward accordingly.
USDCHF bearish trend continuation below 0.8050The USDCHF pair remains under bearish pressure, consistent with the prevailing downtrend. Recent price action has transitioned into a sideways consolidation, suggesting a pause in bearish momentum but not a reversal.
The key technical level to monitor is 0.8050, which marks a prior intraday consolidation zone and acts as immediate resistance. Should the pair stage an oversold bounce toward this level, a bearish rejection could reinforce the existing downtrend, with potential downside targets at 0.7900, followed by 0.7860 and 0.7810 over the longer term.
On the other hand, a confirmed breakout above 0.8050, supported by a daily close above this level, would invalidate the bearish outlook. Such a move would signal a possible shift in sentiment and open the door for a retest of the 0.8080 resistance zone, with further upside potential toward 0.8140.
Conclusion:
The broader trend remains bearish below 0.8050, and rallies into resistance may present renewed selling opportunities. However, a sustained break above 0.8050 would warrant a reassessment of the bearish bias and could signal the start of a short-term recovery phase. Traders should watch for price action confirmation at this key pivot area.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
USD/CHF SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
USD/CHF SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 0.817
Target Level: 0.805
Stop Loss: 0.824
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 5h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
USDCHF..SHORT📌 USDCHF – Multi-Scenario Setup
This pair has two key levels: one short-term, the other long-term.
If price reaches the first level and shows solid bearish reaction, I’ll enter a short.
If that level breaks and confirms, I’ll go long—but manage the long aggressively, since I’ll look to exit around the higher level.
If the price pushes beyond even the second zone, I’ll be ready to buy again.
❗️I’m never upset by a loss or a broken level.
The market leads—I follow.
Claiming “it must drop from here” or “it has to rise” is wishful thinking, not trading.
✅ Stay calm, stay flexible, and stay prepared for every scenario.
Bullish reversal?USD/CHF is falling towards the support level which aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and the 78.4% Fibonacci projection and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.7950
Why we like it:
There is a support level at the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and the 78.4% Fibonacci projection.
Stop loss: 0.7899
Why we like it:
There is a support level at the 100% Fibonacci projection.
Take profit: 0.8052
Why we like it:
Thee is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
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USDCHF Analysis – "Dollar Trying to Break Free from Downtrend"USDCHF is breaking out from a multi-week descending channel.
Structure shows a potential trend reversal from the June 12th low.
First bullish leg may target the 23.6% Fib level at 0.8266, followed by an extended move toward 0.8355.
Key resistance: 0.8266 and 0.8355 (Fib levels)
Stop loss: around 0.8093–0.8056 zone (previous support and breakout base)
Structure Bias: Bullish breakout after prolonged downtrend – confirmation depends on sustained move above 0.8200
📊 Current Bias: Cautiously Bullish
🧩 Key Fundamentals Driving USDCHF
USD Side (Mildly Bearish to Neutral):
FOMC held rates, Dot Plot showed only one cut expected for 2025, but Powell’s tone was less hawkish.
US Retail Sales soft, and PPI/CPI showed signs of inflation cooling.
Recent risk-off sentiment (Middle East, oil spikes, equity volatility) supports the USD.
Trump commentary and 2025 election anticipation bring long-term uncertainty.
CHF Side (Strong but potentially weakening):
SNB held rates steady, with cautious tone—no urgency to hike again.
Safe-haven flows still support CHF, but waning inflation and stronger global equity market might reduce CHF appeal.
SNB has hinted at FX intervention readiness, which could weaken CHF if necessary.
⚠️ Risks That May Reverse or Accelerate Trend
False breakout risk if 0.82 fails to hold → deeper pullback toward 0.8090
Stronger CHF demand on geopolitical fear (Israel–Iran, Ukraine)
Unexpectedly weak US data this week or renewed Fed dovish talk
🗓️ Important News to Watch
US: Core PCE, GDP revision (June 27), jobless claims
CHF: Swiss CPI, SNB FX intervention chatter
Risk sentiment: Iran/Israel tensions, equity volatility, Trump Fed commentary
🏁 Which Asset Might Lead the Broader Move?
USDCHF could mirror sentiment across CHF pairs—if risk-on resumes and CHF weakens across the board (EURCHF, NZDCHF also rallying), USDCHF may accelerate higher.
USDCHF-Reversal Coming SoonDear Traders,
📊 Technical Analysis – USD/CHF (Daily Timeframe)
Date: June 30, 2025
🇺🇸 English:
Price is currently testing a strong support zone around the 0.7920 level.
A bullish divergence is visible between price and RSI (price made a lower low while RSI made a higher low), indicating weakening selling pressure and a potential reversal.
The Fibonacci 1.272 extension at 0.79231 aligns with this support zone and may act as a key level for a bounce.
If price reacts positively and breaks above the short-term downtrend, potential upside targets include 0.8200 and 0.8470.
Alternative scenario: If the 0.7920 support fails, there is a risk of a deeper drop and formation of a new lower low.
Summary Signal:
✅ Bullish divergence spotted
📉 Current trend: Bearish
📌 Critical zone: 0.7920 – 0.7930
📈 Potential upside targets: 0.8200 and then 0.8470
Regards,
Alireza!
Bullish reversal for the Swissie?The price is falling towards the pivot, which aligns with the Fibonacci confluence and could reverse to the 1st resistance, which is an overlap resistance.
Pivot: 0.7942
1st Support: 0.7771
1st Resistance: 0.8163
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USD/CHF H4 | Swing-high resistance at a Fibonacci confluenceUSD/CHF is rising towards a swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 0.8012 which is a swing-high resistance that aligns with a confluence of Fibonacci levels i.e. the 23.6% and 50% retracements.
Stop loss is at 0.8050 which is a level that sits above a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 0.7962 which is a swing-low support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Forex: Weekly Review...USD in the douldrums USD weakness was the stand out theme for the week starting Monday 22 June. Abated Middle East and tariff concerns, softening US data and hawkish FED board members turning dovish, all combined to ensure the dollar was the week's laggard.
It's interesting that the EUR and particularly the CHF outshone, which meant AUD CHF went down despite the 'risk on' environment. This could be attributed to general USD liquidity skewing the other currencies against each other, although I did read that the EUR and CHF are benefitting from relatively high holdings of gold. Which is a narrative I'll be keeping an eye on.
The president did try to ruffle some tariff feathers on Friday, but currently the market sees any tariff negativity as a buying opportunity. And as the new week begins, I envision last week's themes will remain in place, I wouldn't rule out a 'general risk on' trade. But it's difficult to make a case to short any other currency other than the USD.
In other news, I didn't particularly notice any other news. Except perhaps to mention CAD weakness, which I put down to proximity to the US and also the reversal of the Middle East trade (namely the oil price reversing recent gains). There is a case to say a CAD short is viable, but whilst the 4hr swings on USD CAD are heading downwards, it's likely the USD will remain the better short.
On a personal note, I only managed one trade. AUD CHF long. Which went sideways for a couple of days before stopping out. Ultimately it turned out a USD short would have been a better option. But at the time I placed the trade, It looked like the dollar was recovering against the CHF and at that point I hadn't read about the possibility CHF is benefitting from the SNB gold reserves.
When I realised a USD short would have been better, should I have manually closed the trade and placed a USD short?
There is a case to yes. But personally, I'd rather make a decision in the moment...and let that decision play out. Rather than going down the emotional rabbit hole of interfering with the original decision.
The higher risk reward per trade will ultimately take care of your account.
Personally, from a trading perspective, it was a tough month and I'm glad to see the back of June, as I always say, the only thing that matters is how you move forward.
Please feel free to offer any thoughts or questions.
Results:
Trade 1: AUD CHF -1
Total = -1%
Total since start of blog = +39% (risking 1% per trade)
"USD/CHF Breakout - Real Deal or Trap?"🏦 SWISS BANK HEIST: USD/CHF BULLISH LOOT GRAB 🚨
(Professional Money Snatching Strategy)
🦹♂️ Attention All Market Bandits!
(Hola! Oi! Salut! Hallo! Ahlan!) 🎭💰
🔥 Thief Trading Intel Confirmed!
The USD/CHF "Swissy" vault is ready for cracking! Our bullish robbery plan targets 0.84500 - but we must escape before the bears (police) set their trap!
🔓 ENTRY: CRACKING THE SAFE
"0.82800 MA is the vault door!"
✔ Option 1: Buy Stop above MA (breakout play)
✔ Option 2: Buy Limit at swing low (15m/30m pullback)
🔔 Pro Tip: Set alerts - real thieves never miss their heist!
🚨 STOP LOSS: POLICE EVASION PLAN
📍 Thief SL: 0.81900 (below 3H swing low)
⚠️ Warning: No SL before breakout! You'll trigger the alarms!
💎 TARGET: ESCAPE WITH THE LOOT
🎯 Primary Take: 0.84500
💰 Scalpers: Long-only! Trail SL like a getaway car!
📊 MARKET CONDITIONS
⚖️ Neutral Trend (but bullish potential brewing!)
🔍 Key Intel Needed: COT reports, macro data, CHF safe-haven flows
🌐 Full Briefing: Bi0 linkss 👉🔗 (don't go in blind!)
🚦 RISK MANAGEMENT PROTOCOLS
• ❌ Avoid trading during news events
• 🔒 Always use trailing stops
• 💣 Position size = your explosive potential
🦾 SUPPORT THE SYNDICATE
💥 SMASH THAT BOOST BUTTON!
💬 Comment your heist results below!
🔔 Next robbery coming soon - stay tuned!
🤑 Remember thieves: Book profits before the Swiss police arrive!
Swissy Heist: USD/CHF Bearish Breakout Blueprint🚨 Swissy Heist Alert: USD/CHF Bearish Breakout Plan for Swing/Day Traders 🌐💸
Hello, Wealth Chasers and Market Mavericks! 👋😎
Welcome to the Thief Trading Strategy, a cunning blend of technical precision and fundamental insight to conquer the USD/CHF Forex market. This is your blueprint to pull off a masterful heist on "The Swissy." Follow the plan, target the high-reward Green Zone, and navigate the traps where bullish players lurk. Let’s grab those pips and treat ourselves to the spoils! 💰🎯
📈 Trade Blueprint: USD/CHF Setup
Market: USD/CHF (Forex) 🌍
Bias: Bearish Breakout 📉
Timeframe: 4H (Swing/Day Trade) ⏰
Entry Plan 📊:
Breakout Strategy: Wait for a confirmed break below the Neutral Zone at 0.81800. Set Sell Stop orders just below 0.81800 to surf the bearish momentum. 🚀
Pullback Strategy: For safer entries, place Sell Limit orders at the nearest 15M/30M swing high (e.g., 0.82100–0.82300) after a support break. 📍
Pro Tip: Activate a price alert at 0.81800 to catch the breakout live! 🔔
Stop Loss 🛑:
📍 Set your Stop Loss above the nearest 4H swing high (e.g., 0.82750) for swing/day trades.
📍 Adjust SL based on your risk tolerance, lot size, and number of open positions.
Target 🎯: Aim for 0.80700 or exit early to secure profits.
💡 Why the Bearish Bias?
The USD/CHF is showing strong bearish momentum, fueled by technical patterns and fundamental drivers. Key factors include:
Technicals: Recent support at 0.81931–0.82120 held briefly but failed to sustain bullish momentum, reinforcing a bearish tilt below key moving averages (100/200-hour MAs).
Fundamentals: Safe-haven demand for the Swiss Franc persists amid global uncertainties, with bearish patterns like an inverse cup and handle signaling further downside. For a deeper dive, check fundamental reports, COT data, sentiment analysis, and intermarket trends via Linkks🔗
⚠️ Volatility Warning: News Impact 📰
News releases can spike volatility and disrupt price action. To protect your trades:
Avoid opening new positions during major news events.
Use trailing stops to lock in gains and shield running positions.
💪 Join the Heist!
Support this Thief Trading Strategy by smashing the Boost Button! 🚀 Let’s strengthen our crew and make pips effortlessly. With this plan, you’re equipped to navigate the USD/CHF market like a pro. Stay sharp, and I’ll be back with the next heist plan soon! 🐱👤💸
Happy trading, and let’s steal those profits! 😎🎉
USDCHF Bullish Strong From Key Demand Zone 0.80400📉 USD/CHF Technical Outlook (4H Chart) 📈
The pair has been respecting a descending channel, recently tapping into a key demand zone around 0.80400. Bullish momentum is now building, signaling a potential reversal.
🎯 Upside Technical Targets:
1️⃣ 0.82000 – Initial Supply Zone
2️⃣ 0.83200 – Secondary Supply Zone
3️⃣ 0.84500 – Major Resistance Level
💡 Watch for bullish confirmation signals in the zone before entering. As always, manage your risk.
✨ Like, Follow, Comment, and Join us for more timely updates!
— Livia 😜 | #ForexWithLivia
USD-CHF Will Fall! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
USD-CHF keeps falling down
And the pair broke the key
Horizontal level of 0.8090
Decisively so we are bearish
Biased and we will be expecting
A further move down next week
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
USDCHF Buy analysis/ideaThis analysis is based on the Daily and 4-hour timeframes and executed using reversal trading and trend formation. Full explanation in the video!
USDCHF | 26.06.2025BUY 0.80000 | STOP 0.79600 | TAKE 0.80600 | We observe the beginning of the rollback of the franc dominance in this pair. Technically, RSI divergence has formed around the global price low. We expect a corrective upward price movement.
