USDCHF Will Go Higher! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for USDCHF.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 0.821.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 0.832 level soon.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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USDCHF_SPT trade ideas
PREPPING FOR LONGSUSD/CHF 1H - It will be interesting to see whether or not this area of Demand holds and whether we have means to enter in on this market with some long positions, taking advantage of the corrective wave that should trade price up and into the Supply Zone above.
Once we have clear rejection from the zone price is currently trading into, delivering us with some fractal breaks I will be using that to build on my confluence and I will be looking for some entries on the market.
I want to see the last fractal high that traded price down and into that Demand Zone break, telling us that enough Demand has been introduced to now flip the balance, once we have that we can look to take part.
The potential trade here could be huge, its important we just wait patiently and sit on our hands, allowing price to come to us. Once I have the confirmation I need I will let you all know.
Could the Swissie bounce from here?The price is reacting off the pivot and could reverse from this level to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 0.8197
1st Support: 0.8042
1st Resistance: 0.8448
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USDCHF: weekly overviewHello Traders,
In long-term, we anticipate a bearish move to 0.76500 for this pair. but for this week, our most important zone is the 0.81911
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The indicated levels are determined based on the most reaction points and the assumption of approximately equal distance between the zones.
Some of these points can also be confirmed by the mathematical intervals of Murray.
You can enter with/without confirmation. IF you want to take confirmation you can use LTF analysis, Spike move confirmation, Trend Strength confirmation and ETC.
SL could be placed below the zone or regarding the LTF swings.
TP is the next zone or the nearest moving S&R, which are median and borders of the drawn channels.
*******************************************************************
Role of different zones:
GREEN: Just long trades allowed on them.
RED: Just Short trades allowed on them.
BLUE: both long and short trades allowed on them.
WHITE: No trades allowed on them! just use them as TP points
Why You Should Avoid Safe-Haven Shorts Next WeekTraders, don’t walk into next week blind.
The U.S. and China are set to hold official trade talks in London on June 9, and the market is already shifting in anticipation.
This video breaks down exactly how the process works — from Trump’s surprise phone call, to tariff de-escalation, to what happens when global tensions ease.
If you're planning to short USD/JPY, USD/CHF, or any safe-haven pairs next week, you need to watch this first.
Because a positive trade outcome = risk-on sentiment, and that means JPY and CHF will likely weaken fast.
I explain:
Why optimism crushes safe-haven setups
What smart money is watching
How to align your trades with the macro narrative
And how not to get trapped like most retail traders will
📉 This is how real traders position ahead of a global sentiment shift.
Drop a comment if you’re preparing the same way, and follow for more macro-driven trade insights.
USD/CHF – BULLISH Plan for Next WeekThe battlefield is set.
The market has spoken — now it’s our turn to act.
This is my two-scenario strategy for USD/CHF going into next week, built around institutional behavior, liquidity grabs, and market structure.
📍 Zone Recap:
Liquidity Taken – Price swept below key support zones, triggering stop-losses and clearing out retail longs.
Support Levels – Minor zones were broken on the lower timeframes (LTF), but these are not structurally strong.
Institutional Setup – Smart money often manipulates these levels before initiating the true directional move.
🧭 SCENARIO 1 – The Bullish Continuation (More Likely)
The most probable outcome based on structure and liquidity behavior:
Price opens bullish.
Retests the broken minor support (now acting as demand).
Buys triggered after confirmation.
Targets:
First TP: 0.82650
Second TP: 0.83500+
Break above = room for explosive movement toward 0.84000–0.84500
This aligns with the concept of liquidity engineering, where the market takes the weak hands out before the real move starts.
⚔️ SCENARIO 2 – The Last Sweep Before the Climb (Less Likely but Possible)
If price opens bearish, we must remain vigilant:
A final push lower could target the same liquidity zone again,
further liquidating retail traders who jumped in early.
If this occurs, the real bullish move would follow, catching everyone off guard.
Entry would then be taken after a deeper retest + bullish market structure shift.
🧠 STRATEGY MINDSET:
This isn’t guesswork — this is preparation.
Retail sees chaos. Smart traders see order in manipulation.
We don’t chase moves. We understand them.
“The market punishes the impulsive and rewards the prepared.”
I stand with patience. I wait for confirmation.
I strike when the weak are removed and the zone is clean.
🔐 Remember:
No confirmation = no entry.
Adapt to the narrative the market gives you.
If 0.81750 breaks down with strength → pause. Reevaluate. No ego.
📈 USD/CHF outlook: Bullish bias, smart entry only.
Drop your thoughts, setups, or if you’re preparing for the same war.
Let’s grow and conquer — one level at a time.
USD/CHF – BULLISH Plan for Next WeekThe battlefield is set.
The market has spoken — now it’s our turn to act.
This is my two-scenario strategy for USD/CHF going into next week, built around institutional behavior, liquidity grabs, and market structure.
📍 Zone Recap:
Liquidity Taken – Price swept below key support zones, triggering stop-losses and clearing out retail longs.
Support Levels – Minor zones were broken on the lower timeframes (LTF), but these are not structurally strong.
Institutional Setup – Smart money often manipulates these levels before initiating the true directional move.
🧭 SCENARIO 1 – The Bullish Continuation (More Likely)
The most probable outcome based on structure and liquidity behavior:
Price opens bullish.
Retests the broken minor support (now acting as demand).
Buys triggered after confirmation.
Targets:
First TP: 0.82650
Second TP: 0.83500+
Break above = room for explosive movement toward 0.84000–0.84500
This aligns with the concept of liquidity engineering, where the market takes the weak hands out before the real move starts.
⚔️ SCENARIO 2 – The Last Sweep Before the Climb (Less Likely but Possible)
If price opens bearish, we must remain vigilant:
A final push lower could target the same liquidity zone again,
further liquidating retail traders who jumped in early.
If this occurs, the real bullish move would follow, catching everyone off guard.
Entry would then be taken after a deeper retest + bullish market structure shift.
🧠 STRATEGY MINDSET:
This isn’t guesswork — this is preparation.
Retail sees chaos. Smart traders see order in manipulation.
We don’t chase moves. We understand them.
“The market punishes the impulsive and rewards the prepared.”
I stand with patience. I wait for confirmation.
I strike when the weak are removed and the zone is clean.
🔐 Remember:
No confirmation = no entry.
Adapt to the narrative the market gives you.
If 0.81750 breaks down with strength → pause. Reevaluate. No ego.
📈 USD/CHF outlook: Bullish bias, smart entry only.
Drop your thoughts, setups, or if you’re preparing for the same war.
Let’s grow and conquer — one level at a time.
USD/CHF Setup Breaking Down: Don’t Get Caught Long This TrapUSD/CHF is currently trading at a critical technical and macro-structural juncture. Price is hovering within the weekly support area between 0.8050 and 0.8200, a zone that has historically triggered significant bullish reactions. However, the latest weekly candle closed below the psychological 0.8200 level, showing a clear rejection of upper resistance and signaling a lack of buying strength on the U.S. dollar side. This weak closure undermines the bullish structure and opens the door for a potential continuation of the downtrend—especially if price breaks below the 0.8150 mark on the daily or H4 timeframe.
From a seasonal standpoint, June has historically been a bearish month for USD/CHF. Monthly average returns over the past 20, 15, 10, and 5 years confirm steady downside pressure on the dollar against the Swiss franc. Only the 2-year average shows a slight positive bias, but it remains an outlier against the broader seasonal trend. This supports the idea that the recent weakness is not only technical but also cyclical in nature.
The Commitment of Traders (COT) report reinforces this bearish view. On the Swiss franc side, commercial traders (typically the most informed and hedging-oriented participants) are heavily net long, while non-commercial traders (speculators) remain significantly net short. This imbalance is often seen around reversal points and may indicate rising CHF strength. On the U.S. dollar side, positioning is far more balanced—the Dollar Index COT shows a neutral stance, with non-commercials slightly net long but without any dominant momentum. This confirms there’s currently no structural strength behind the dollar to justify a meaningful rebound in USD/CHF.
Lastly, retail sentiment provides a classic contrarian signal: over 90% of retail traders are long on USD/CHF, with only 10% short. This extreme imbalance typically occurs ahead of bearish breakdowns, as institutional players tend to fade overcrowded retail positions.
In conclusion, USD/CHF remains vulnerable to further downside. The weekly price action is weak, seasonal trends are dollar-negative, COT positioning favors CHF strength, and retail sentiment is extremely long-biased. All factors align toward a likely bearish continuation, with technical targets in the 0.8080–0.8050 range. The only alternative scenario would require a strong H4/H1 bullish reaction with a reclaim of 0.8220—but at this stage, that appears unlikely without a major macro catalyst.
USD/CHF💰Symbol: { USD/CHF }
🟩Price: { 0.82174 }
🟥Stop: { 0.82385 }
1️⃣profit: { 0.81707 }
2️⃣profit: { 0.81300 }
3️⃣profit: { 0.81000 }
&
🟩Price: { 0.82455 }
🟥Stop: { 0.82936 }
1️⃣profit: { 0.82200 }
2️⃣profit: { 0.81707 }
3️⃣profit: { 0.81300 }
4️⃣profit: { 0.81000 }
📊Check your chart before entering.
🚨Check before use to make sure there is no important news.🚨
USDCHF SHORT Market structure bearish on HTFs 3
Entry at Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Daily Rejection at AOi
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 0.83000
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 3.99
Entry 100%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
USD/CHF..30M chart pattern.Here’s the breakdown of MY USD/CHF Long Trade Setup:
📈 Trade Idea (Long USD/CHF)
Entry: 0.82140
1st Target: 0.82400
2nd Target: 0.82650
Stop Loss: Not specified ⚠️
🧮 Trade Metrics
Target Pips Gain % Gain (Approx)
1st Target +26 pips +0.32%
2nd Target +51 pips +0.62%
⚠️ Risk Consideration:
No stop loss provided — without it, risk/reward can’t be calculated.
A stop loss around 0.8180–0.8190 might make sense depending on recent support levels.
✅ Summary:
Clean setup with small but realistic targets.
Reward-to-risk will likely be favorable if you use a stop below 0.8190.
Would you like help identifying a technical stop loss or creating a table of your full trade plan (including BTC, gold, and USDCHF)?
USD/CHF 1-Hour Timeframe – Short Position Setup
Entry Point: Consider initiating a short position slightly above 0.82224.
Stop-Loss: Place at 0.82548 to limit potential losses.
Break-Even Adjustment: Move stop-loss to break-even once the price tests 0.81936.
Target Levels:
Primary Target: A breakdown toward the 0.81598–0.81558 zone.
Secondary Target: A potential retest of 0.80947.
Important Note:
Avoid entering a short position if the price rises above 0.82489, as this may signal bullish momentum.
Tags: OANDA:USDCHF
USDCHF Primed for Monster Move to 0.92? Here's Why!In today’s video, I break down a potentially strong bullish opportunity on USDCHF and why, with the right entry signal, we might see a solid push up towards 0.88 and eventually 0.92 in the weeks and months ahead.
First off, let's check the monthly chart. In April, price finally broke and closed below the major 0.84 support, a level that held firm since 2011. Below, I've marked the massive buy zone created around the 2011 lows—interestingly, depending on your broker, you’ll notice this zone was tested during the dramatic Swiss franc unpegging event back in 2015 as well.
But here's why I don’t think we’re headed down to retest that monthly zone anytime soon. Zooming into the weekly charts, we clearly see a key weekly buy zone. This was actually the origin point for the massive move up from the 2011 lows to 0.95. This exact weekly level is already proving its significance again, given the strong buying reaction we saw here in May.
Now, zooming further into the daily charts, we had a nice bounce at that weekly buy zone, pushing price back up to retest the previous support at 0.84. If the market truly wanted lower prices, we would've seen a sharp sell-off from there. Instead, price has slowly been grinding lower, forming a clear W double-bottom pattern—a powerful reversal signal.
This all points to higher prices ahead, especially considering USDCHF currently offers one of the most attractive swap carry opportunities due to the interest rate differentials and the SNB’s hints about possibly returning to negative rates to weaken the franc.
Here's my game plan:
Wait patiently for the next bullish daily candle with a clear close above 0.83.
My first target will be the 0.88 area (previous strong resistance and weekly sell zone).
The longer-term target will be around the 0.92 resistance zone.
My stop loss will be placed comfortably below 0.80. Should we spike lower to that level, I'll remain alert for another high-probability bullish entry signal.
Let me know your thoughts below!
USD/CHF - Triangle Breakout (06.06.2025)The USD/CHF pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 0.8263
2nd Resistance – 0.8227
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
USD/CHF Head and Shoulders Pattern Signals Bearish ReversalThe USD/CHF 4-hour chart shows a clear Head and Shoulders pattern, a classic reversal signal. The Left Shoulder, Head, and Right Shoulder are well-formed, suggesting bearish momentum. The price is currently consolidating below the neckline, indicating a potential breakout to the downside. The Ichimoku cloud confirms resistance above the current price level, adding further bearish bias. If the price breaks below the neckline decisively, a significant downward move is expected.
Entry point: 0.82080
First target: 0.80638
Second target: 0.79500
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USDCHF Will Go Higher! Long!
Here is our detailed technical review for USDCHF.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 0.819.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 0.831 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!