EURUSD awaits upcoming newsYesterday, EURUSD climbed back above 1,1600, testing the previous high.
Tomorrow, the market is anticipating the FED’s interest rate decision.
For now, the trend remains clear, with expectations of increased volatility.
Keep an eye out for a higher low and a breakout above the previous high.
USDEUR trade ideas
The best indicator //@version=5
strategy("EMA-RSI-Bollinger Strategy", overlay=true, default_qty_type=strategy.percent_of_equity, default_qty_value=10)
// === Indicatori ===
ema20 = ta.ema(close, 20)
ema50 = ta.ema(close, 50)
rsi = ta.rsi(close, 14)
basis = ta.sma(close, 20)
dev = 2 * ta.stdev(close, 20)
upperBB = basis + dev
lowerBB = basis - dev
// === Condiții pentru Buy ===
longTrend = ema20 > ema50
longPullback = close <= ema20 and close <= lowerBB
longRSI = rsi < 50 and rsi > 30
longSignal = longTrend and longPullback and longRSI
// === Condiții pentru Sell ===
shortTrend = ema20 < ema50
shortPullback = close >= ema20 and close >= upperBB
shortRSI = rsi > 50 and rsi < 70
shortSignal = shortTrend and shortPullback and shortRSI
// === Semnale & Tranzacții ===
if (longSignal)
strategy.entry("Buy", strategy.long)
if (shortSignal)
strategy.entry("Sell", strat
EURUSD in bullish trendprice action seems quite bullish on bigger TFs which gives opportunity to earn decent RR, with latest bullish divergence it seems that trend will likely mark new HH as on 30 min TF trend is following bullish Dow theory. There can be 2 bullish setups which i have also opened on the chart.
Beware of Mon gaps!!!
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of June 13, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
During the current trading session, the Eurodollar has exhibited notable volatility, mirroring patterns observed in the preceding week. The currency has surpassed both the Mean Resistance level of 1.145 and the Key Resistance level of 1.151, subsequently retesting the significant completed Outer Currency Rally level at 1.157.
Recent analyses indicate that the Euro is likely to revisit both the Key Resistance and the completed Outer Currency Rally and expand further to the next Outer Currency Rally of 1.177 in the forthcoming trading session(s). However, there exists a potential for a continuation of the downward trend from the current level, which could lead to the price action targeting the Mean Support level at 1.149 and possibly a further extension to the Mean Support level at 1.140.
EURUSAD 4hr Chart Analaysis If EUR/USD breaks above the 1.14218 level, the next bullish target would be 1.16710.
This level marks a potential continuation of the uptrend, suggesting strong bullish momentum. A clean breakout above 1.14218 would likely confirm buyer dominance, possibly driven by improving eurozone fundamentals or broad USD weakness. The 1.16710 zone could act as a medium-term resistance level, aligning with historical price action and potential Fibonacci extensions.
Traders should monitor price behavior closely near 1.14218 for confirmation of a breakout, such as high volume and sustained closes above the level.
EUR/USD AccumulationOn the 5-minute timeframe, buying activity initiates, signaling the potential end of the downtrend. The first indication of upward momentum appears following the formation of a range and a subsequent liquidity sweep. Price then retests the prior low with diminished volume but fails to break below it, suggesting that selling pressure is being absorbed by buyers. This behavior reflects accumulation by informed participants positioning for a move higher. As demand begins to outweigh supply, clear signs of strength emerge
Entry: 1.15765
Take Profit: 1.16279
Stop Loss: 1.15621
EUR/USD Weekly Outlook | Harmonic Butterfly PatternHere is a professional TradingView publish description for your EUR/USD Weekly Butterfly Pattern Analysis:
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🦋 EUR/USD Weekly Outlook | Harmonic Butterfly Pattern
Pair: EUR/USD
Timeframe: 1W (Weekly)
Strategy: Harmonic Pattern Recognition – Butterfly Pattern
Bias: Bearish Reversal Setup
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🔍 Pattern Analysis:
Butterfly Harmonic Pattern completed with precision at the 1.272–1.414 extension zone, forming the critical D-point near 1.14700.
Price has reacted sharply from the PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone), aligning with a historical supply zone.
Confluence from Fibonacci extensions:
AB = 0.786 retracement
BC = 0.382 to 0.886 retracement
CD = 1.618 to 2.618 extension
📉 Bearish rejection expected from this high-probability reversal zone.
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📌 Key Levels:
PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone): 1.14500 – 1.15000
First Target Zone (Support Block): 1.11500 – 1.10500
Invalidation (Pattern Failure): Close above 1.15500
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📅 Projection: This weekly harmonic butterfly suggests a potential trend reversal or deep pullback. We may see EUR/USD targeting lower support as D-point gets respected. Watch for signs of weakness such as long-wick rejections, bearish engulfing patterns, or RSI divergence confirmation.
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💡 Conclusion: EUR/USD is at a critical juncture. If the butterfly holds, this could be a high RR short opportunity for swing traders. Patience is key—confirmation on lower timeframes will validate entry.
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📊 #EURUSD #ButterflyPattern #HarmonicTrading #ForexAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #SwingTradeSetup
EUR/USD Triangle Pattern – 1H Timeframe
📊 EUR/USD Triangle Pattern – 1H Timeframe
🕐 Date: 17 June 2025
📌 Chart by: GreenfireForex
🔷 Pattern: Contracting Triangle (ABCDE)
🔍 Context: Forming inside Wave (4) – possible breakout before Wave (5)
📈 Upside Potential: Break above triangle → target near 1.16500+
📉 Downside Risk: If fails to break up → revisit demand zone around 1.15000
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🔮 Possible Scenarios:
✅ Bullish Breakout:
Breaks above wave (e)
Clean rally toward target zone
Ideal for a long setup with tight SL
❌ Bearish Fakeout:
Rejection from triangle resistance
Falls back into demand zone
Look for reversal or retest opportunities
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🎯 Strategy Tips:
Wait for a breakout candle
Use SL outside triangle zone
Entry based on confirmation – avoid early trades
💬 Let’s discuss live market reaction as price nears triangle edge. Stay ready .
ECB’s De Guindos Sees Balanced Inflation RisksEuropean Central Bank Vice President Luis de Guindos said Monday that the EUR/USD at 1.15 does not hinder the ECB’s inflation goal, noting the euro’s gradual rise and stable volatility.
He stated inflation risks are balanced, with little chance of falling short of the target, and that markets have clearly understood the ECB’s recent policy signals. De Guindos reaffirmed the ECB is close to its inflation objective
Looking ahead, he warned that tariffs could slow growth and inflation in the medium term but expressed confidence in the Fed maintaining swap line arrangements. He also confirmed there have been no discussions about repatriating gold reserves from New York.
At the time, EUR/USD was down 0.09%, trading near 1.1537.
Resistance is located at 1.1580, while support is seen at 1.1460.
EURUSD June 16 Trade ExecutedEURUSD
June 16 Trade Executed
Parent Bias Bull
Fridays delivery to build a narrative for Monday
*Asia to London price expanded to seek lowwr prices take sell side liquidity in London
*Note Friday was a reversal of Thursday
*Prices expansion wicks to equilibrium
*Reversed to take minor buy side in NY AM
*NY PM Retraced AM rally
*NY closes in a FVG-Note bodies staying above the CE of the FVG
June 16 Framework for suspected buy day
*Asia opened in a premium previous session
*I was expecting a long consolidation after Sundays delivery
*
*Equal lows as a target to trigger a expansion coming into mid night opening
*22:00 price wicks to create a wall of equal lows
*23:15 Price takes minor buy side liquidity
*20:00 price immediately expanded
*20:09 entered
*First target buy stops 1.15693
*Second target 1.15848
Took partials here and now letting it ride.
Patience waiting for clues to the bias I was suspecting. Buying the mid night opening price with the bias is allowing me to get in when I suspect a expansion cycle is in play.
Asia expansion trade for the win.
EURUSD ANALYSIS - LONGPrice has successfully broken out of the falling wedge on both the daily and weekly charts, signaling strong bullish momentum. After hitting resistance around 1.1555 (61.8% Fib), we’re seeing a healthy pullback towards 1.1500-1.1488 support. As long as bulls defend 1.1400, I’m looking for continuation towards 1.1555 and 1.1894 swing targets. Watching price action closely at the current pullback zone for potential long entries.
EUR/USD Slips on Geopolitical TensionsEUR/USD dropped to around 1.1530 on Friday, ending a four-day rally, as safe-haven demand lifted the US Dollar amid rising Middle East tensions.
Israel struck Iranian targets to weaken its nuclear program, prompting emergency measures. The US denied involvement but warned Iran not to target its assets.
Trump’s plan to expand steel tariffs from June 23 added trade uncertainty, while soft US inflation data kept Fed rate cut hopes alive.
Markets now await the US Michigan Sentiment report for further signals.
Resistance is located at 1.1580, while support is seen at 1.1460.
#AN007: Israel Attacks Iran, What's Happening? in Forex
Hello, I'm Forex Trader Andrea Russo, creator of the SwipeUP Elite FX Method, which allows me to analyze and operate in the Forex world as if I were a Hedge Fund or an Investment Bank. Today I want to talk to you about the relevant news of the last few hours, namely Israel's attack on Iran.
⚠️ What happened
Israel launched a massive preemptive air strike on numerous nuclear and military installations in Iran, including sites in Tehran and Natanz. Among the victims were key figures such as Revolutionary Guard commander Hossein Salami and several high-profile nuclear scientists.
The operation was completely "unilateral", with no direct involvement of the United States, according to official sources
reuters.com. However, it was previously coordinated with Washington, which received notification before the attack.
Iran has responded by announcing that it will respond “hard and decisively” and has begun planning missile and drone strikes against Israeli targets, with a response that could come as early as the next few days.
🌍 Global reactions
Australia, New Zealand, Japan and the UN have expressed alarm and called for maximum restraint.
Oil prices have reacted with a surge: WTI +9% due to fears of supply disruptions.
💱 Impact on Forex
↑ Oil prices → Strengthens CAD, NOK, and commodity currencies in general.
Global risk-off mode → Benefits safe haven currencies such as JPY, CHF, and temporarily also USD.
Rising geopolitical risk → USD may have swings: drops in risk-off phases, but bounces as a safe-haven.
EUR under pressure due to general risk aversion and physical demand for USD, CHF, JPY.
Finally, emerging markets (BRL, MXN, INR) could suffer high volatility: outflows towards safer assets.
🧩 Operational focus for Forex traders
Monitor oil and US yield bonds: rising signals could push commodity currencies.
Follow movements on USD/JPY and USD/CHF: potential breakouts in case of escalation.
Watch out for volatility on EUR/USD: the geopolitical crisis rewards USD and CHF.
Stay ready for emerging currencies to react: possible flash crashes or speculative rebounds.
To receive other news or other analyses, continue to follow me.
EUR/USD tests three-year ceiling Aside from a brief spike in April, EUR/USD has remained below 1.1500 for over three years.
Sellers again have had to defend the zone following the weaker-than-expected US CPI release. The main resistance zone potentially spans all the way up to 1.1573 (the April high).
Some indicators suggest potential room for further upside. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has not yet reached overbought territory, and the Daily Moving Average is positively sloped. A break below the 4-hour Moving Average could trigger more selling pressure and a potential correction.
EURUSD - Mark up for the rest of the weekAfter the CPI data was released today we had a lovely upside move. The move has caused us to trade into the previous weak higher timeframe high which I am hoping we can break and close above before the day is out.
I am now focusing on what kind of pullback we may get into out POI's. Because there is no buy side liquidity on the first POI I will need to see a structural shift on the 15min TF to confirm that internal structure swing to move back towards the upside.
If the 1st POI fails to hold I will be more aggressive with my secondary POI as that will be the premium discount price in order for us to move higher.
If that POI fails and we break the 4H structure swing then this could signal we are about to move lower.
If I can be of any assistance to anyone don't be shy to give me a message