USDEUR trade ideas
EUR/USD BULLISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| LONG
Hello, Friends!
EUR/USD pair is in the uptrend because previous week’s candle is green, while the price is obviously falling on the 1D timeframe. And after the retest of the support line below I believe we will see a move up towards the target above at 1.179 because the pair is oversold due to its proximity to the lower BB band and a bullish correction is likely.
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EUR/USD ADDED TO THE WATCHLISTPrice has fallen dramatically so we are on watch for a possible reversal (maybe short term) pattern to appear. Momentum is very low and looks prime to go up. We will need a hammer candle, with an engulfing confirmation candle, strong volume and in a best case scenario strong support to come off of. We will keep watching this one.
EURUSD LOSSES BULLISH MOMENTUM. WHERE TO GO?EURUSD LOSSES BULLISH MOMENTUM. WHERE TO GO?
The asset didn't reach the local resistance of 1.18300 and started to consolidate before reaching this level. RSI shows weakness of the impulse on 4-h chart, as well as MACD is in the red zone. Therefore, we expect the price to slowly decline towards local trendline, where SMA200 is situated.
EURUSD Did Not Like the EU–US DealThe heavily one-sided EU–US deal has put negative pressure on EURUSD. Ahead of a crucial week filled with major events, including GDP data from both the Eurozone and the US, the PCE report, payrolls, and meetings from the FOMC and BOJ, EURUSD has broken a short-term head and shoulders formation. The pattern's target is near 1.1610.
A retest of the broken support is possible and could even extend to 1.1725. However, unless sentiment changes due to some news, this move may offer only a selling opportunity. The downward trend could also continue without pause.
Options market activity suggests that the 1.16 to 1.18 range is viewed as a "safe zone," with large players likely aiming to keep EURUSD within this band for the week. If the head and shoulders target is reached, EURUSD might stabilize and bounce around the 1.16 level.
EURUSD EURUSD is on an exhaustion trend after a long buy, taking a sell correctional move. The market objective yet to be fulfilled, we continue the sells the the objective is fulfilled. Having a valid sell structure that lead to a break of structure, having a structural liquidity making the low a protected low. Looking to take a sell from the supply zone(strong low) and target the weak high
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of July 25, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
During the previous week's trading session, the Euro experienced an increase following the completion of the Inner Currency Dip at the 1.156 level. It subsequently surpassed two significant Mean Resistance levels, namely 1.167 and 1.172; however, it reversed direction by the conclusion of the trading week. Recent analyses indicate that the Euro is likely to undergo a sustained downward trend, with a projected target set at the Mean Support level of 1.169 and a potential further decline to retest the previously completed Currency Dip at 1.156. Nonetheless, it remains essential to consider the possibility of renewed upward momentum towards the Mean Resistance level of 1.177, which could initiate a preeminent rebound and facilitate the completion of the critical Outer Currency Rally at 1.187.
EURUSDEUR/USD is the most traded currency pair in the world, representing the exchange rate between the euro (EUR) and the US dollar (USD). It reflects how many US dollars are required to purchase one euro. Introduced in 1999 with the launch of the euro, this pair has become a global benchmark due to the economic size and influence of both the Eurozone and the United States. It is highly liquid and closely watched by traders, investors, and policymakers, with its value shaped by monetary policy, interest rate differentials, macroeconomic indicators, and geopolitical developments.
Historically, EUR/USD has seen major swings. In the early 2000s, the pair fell to around 0.82 before rallying to a peak above 1.60 in 2008 during a period of dollar weakness. It then declined sharply during the European debt crisis. In 2022, amid aggressive interest rate hikes by the US Federal Reserve and rising global uncertainty, the pair briefly fell below parity, trading under 1.00 for the first time in nearly two decades. However, as inflation in the US began to ease and expectations of rate cuts grew, the euro gradually strengthened through 2023 and 2024.
As of August 2025, EUR/USD is trading around 1.15800. This reflects a moderate recovery of the euro from its lows, supported by a more stable Eurozone economy and a softer US dollar. The pair remains sensitive to central bank signals, particularly from the European Central Bank and the Federal Reserve, and is likely to continue reacting to shifts in monetary policy, inflation data, and global risk sentiment. EUR/USD remains a cornerstone of the forex market, widely used by traders for both short-term strategies and long-term positioning.
EUR/USD Reversal or Trap? 4H Clean Breakdown InsidePrice just tapped into a high-probability sell zone after a corrective Wave 2 structure. With sellers already active at 1.16342 and 1.17635, this setup is not just textbook—but a potential goldmine for swing traders.
🔻 Is this Wave 3 continuation about to begin?
🔍 Liquidity swept. Zones respected. Structure still bearish.
⚠️ Many traders will miss the bigger picture here—will you?
👇 Drop your thoughts:
Are we about to break 1.13000?
Do you agree with the Elliott Wave count?
What’s your bias on DXY?
💬 I personally reply to every comment—let’s build this chart together.
🔥 If you caught the entry, show your entry point and reasoning—let’s level up as a team.
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of August 1, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
In this week's trading session, the Euro experienced a significant drop, reaching the 1.139 level, and completing what is referred to as the Inner Currency Dip. As a result of the completion, the currency reversed direction and made a strong rebound, hitting the Mean Resistance level at 1.160. Recent analyses suggest that the Euro is likely to enter a sustained downward move after retesting the Mean Resistance at 1.160, with the target set to revisit the completed Inner Currency Dip at 1.139. However, it is essential to consider the possibility of continued upward momentum towards the Mean Resistance level of 1.177. Such a movement could trigger a significant rebound and lead to the completion of the Outer Currency Rally at 1.187.
EU possible buy idea?7 days ago, I shared a bullish idea that remains valid despite price failing to hold above 1.04321.
Current Market Analysis:
Price appears to be forming an Elliot Wave 2 (a-b-c) correction.
Key Levels to Watch:
- 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level (minimum required for Wave 2)
- 88.7% Fibonacci retracement level (maximum allowed for Wave 2 to maintain bullish bias)
Trade Plan:
With my initial position at break-even, I'll employ dollar-cost averaging for additional buys targeting 1.065 :
1. 50% Fibonacci retracement level
2. 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level
3. 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level
Stop Loss: 1.017
This is not a financial advice but if you must take the trade, apply proper risk and money management while scaling into the trade.
EURUSD – Bulls Still in Control, Trend ResumesIn my previous EURUSD analysis, I pointed out that the pair was nearing an important confluence support around 1.1620, and that – given the overall bullish trend – this zone could offer solid long opportunities.
What followed?
The market briefly dipped below that zone, even challenging the psychological 1.1600 round number. But instead of breaking down, bulls regrouped, stepped in with force, and pushed the pair aggressively higher.
📍 At the time of writing, EURUSD is trading at 1.1770, and my long trade is running with a comfortable 150 pips profit.
🔍 W hat’s Next?
The current structure suggests a continuation of the uptrend, and the logical technical target is the recent high at 1.1830.
Until proven otherwise, this is still a buy-the-dip market.
✅ Buying around 1.1700 could be a valid setup, especially if we see buying power on the intraday chart
⚠️ The Warning Sign
Despite the bullish bias, keep in mind:
If EURUSD drops and closes below 1.1670, the structure begins to shift — and this could signal a deeper correction or even trend reversal.
📌 Until then, the bias remains bullish, dips are to be watched for entries, and 1.1830 is the next checkpoint.
D isclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Bearish reversal off 161.8% Fibonacci resistance?EUR/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resitance that lines up with the 161.8% Fibonacci rretracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.1786
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Stop loss: 1.1828
Why we like it:
There is a swing high resistance.
Take profit: 1.1691
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
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