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U.S. Dollar / Euro

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USDEUR trade ideas

EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of May 16, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: During the current trading session, the Eurodollar has exhibited notable signs of weakness, ultimately reaching a critical Outer Currency Dip at 1.111, facilitated by Mean Support at 1.119. Following this decline, the market experienced a pronounced rebound. Recent analysis indicates that the Euro will likely close with a retest of the completed Outer Currency Dip at 1.111, while it may progress towards the next Outer Currency Dip at 1.095. It is essential to highlight that upward "dead-cat" rebounds may arise within the current price range, particularly around the Mean Resistance level of 1.125, and could potentially approach an Inner Currency Rally at 1.129.
by TradeSelecter
EUR/USD Playbook: Precision Day Trading from Range to BreakoutEUR/USD is in a bullish correction on the daily chart, holding above the 21-EMA with compressed moving averages signaling consolidation. The pair trades in a 1.1170–1.1230 range on the 1-hour chart, presenting ideal day-trading opportunities. Volume spikes at support (1.1170) and weakness near resistance (1.1230) reinforce this range. Use this structure to your advantage: Long near 1.1170–1.1185, backed by EMA ribbon support and RSI recovery from oversold levels. Short near 1.1225–1.1235, where RSI typically overextends and price stalls on weak volume. Use tight stops (5–10 pips) and take profits near range edges. If price breaks and holds above 1.1235, target 1.1265–1.1300 on a bullish continuation. Below 1.1170, expect deeper downside toward 1.1120. Stick with the range until a breakout is confirmed by volume and candle closes.
by BlackCandleTrader
EUR/USD: Weekly PAT + VPA 5/11/2025Trading Analysis EUR/USD - Price Action and Volume Price Analysis Weekly Structure Analysis: At present, we find ourselves within a bullish weekly range. The lower boundary of this range is 1.07330, established during the week of March 24, 2025, while the upper boundary is at 1.15734, reached the week of April 21, 2025. The price movement from 1.073 to 1.157 has surpassed a swing high, which we will identify as our initial resistance point as we aim to return to 1.15734. Weekly Price Action Analysis: Analyzing structure and price action reveals similarities. Our confidence in a bullish trend is the anchored weekly bar. The weekly candle from the week of April 7, 2025 serves as this anchor. Following the inside bar, we observed a bearish pin bar, which acts as a Bullish Reacher since its wick exceeded the high of the anchor bar's wick (Wick on Wick). The market shows signs of wanting to rise, but it must first hit a demand zone that weekly traders are keen to engage with. Volume Price Analysis: The last four weekly candles have demonstrated limited strength in driving the market lower, with support holding at 1.11927 (1.12). As the price declines, trading volume is decreasing, following a sharp upward movement, likely due to profit-taking or repositioning. Volume analysis indicated we should retest 1.15734. Good luck and happy trading! OANDA:EURUSD TVC:DXY
Long
by ThePipAssassin
Euro Extends Rally Ahead of PMI DataEUR/USD trades near 1.1340 during Asian hours, close to two-week highs, extending gains for a fourth session ahead of Eurozone PMI data expected to show improved growth for May. The U.S. dollar remains under pressure as markets await Thursday’s S&P Global PMI. Moody’s downgraded the U.S. credit rating to Aa1, matching earlier cuts by Fitch and S&P, citing rising debt, projected to reach 134% of GDP by 2035, and a nearly 9% deficit. Trump’s tax-cut plan cleared the House Rules Committee, but the DXY still trades lower near 99.50. The key resistance is located at 1.1390, and the first support stands at 1.1260.
by ChartMage
EURUSD time for correctionMonthly On the monthly timeframe, we came to the Premium zone and captured Monthly Fractal High, where previously there was predominance from the sell side. Weekly Price has formed a Weekly FVG, indicating strong dominance from the buy side. However, it is important to understand WHERE this has led us ? The current quotes are interesting for sellers. Hence, we should assume that the price may receive a counter offer from the sell side. It is logical to assume potential points A and B in this context. Daily Price has formed primary signs of change in the price delivery state: - Bullish PD Array disrespecting - BISI forming - CISD forming All this indicates a shift of initiative to the selling side, so it is logical to expect a continuation of the downward movement after interaction with the marked PD Array. Also, I would like to draw your attention to the fact that the price is within the Inside Bar for the 3rd day already. This means that recently the price has been held within the same values, which indicates a balance of power between buyers and sellers at the current quotes. In such a situation, all we have to do is to find the optimal area to continue the downward price formation.
Short
by Almenio
EURUSD is moving within the 1.10850 - 1.13000 range👀 Possible scenario: The euro rose 0.69% against the U.S. dollar on May 19, as the greenback weakened after Moody’s downgraded the U.S. credit rating—echoing earlier moves by Fitch and S\&P. The downgrade revived concerns over U.S. fiscal stability and sparked renewed selling pressure. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent’s warning about potential tariff hikes if trade talks stall added to investor caution, raising geopolitical risk and weighing on the dollar. On May 20, markets will watch the U.S. Consumer Confidence report (2:00 p.m. UTC), global trade developments and peace talks in Eastern Europe. ✅ Support and Resistance Levels Now, the support level is located at 1.10850. Resistance level is located at 1.13000.
by MaxOnMarkets
EURUSD broke the Resistance level 1.12590 👀Possible scenario: The euro fell 1.31% against the US dollar on May 16, despite expectations that the ECB would maintain a hawkish policy stance due to persistent core inflation. ECB President Lagarde called the recent strengthening of the euro “counterintuitive but justified,” citing waning confidence in U.S. policy. It's quiet on the macroeconomic front on May 19, but the Eurozone Consumer Price Index at 12:00 GMT could cause some movement. Traders should also keep an eye on news on US trade policy and peace talks in Eastern Europe. ✅Support and Resistance Levels Now, the support level is located at 1.10850. Resistance level is located at 1.13000.
by MaxOnMarkets
EURUSD 30M CHART PATTERNThis chart shows a EUR/USD (Euro/US Dollar) 30-minute price action analysis with a long (buy) trade setup. Here's a breakdown: Key Elements: Entry Point: Around the current price level (~1.13118), where the price is breaking above a previous resistance zone (marked by the green horizontal line). Stop Loss: Just below the support area, near 1.12821. This protects against losses if the trade moves against you. Take Profit: Target is set above 1.13889, suggesting a bullish expectation. Analysis: The green and red arrows indicate past price reactions (support/resistance areas). The recent bounce (green arrow at the bottom right) shows potential for continued bullish momentum. The risk/reward ratio seems favorable as the profit zone is larger than the risk zone. Conclusion: This setup suggests a bullish outlook on EUR/USD with a clear stop loss and take profit, following a breakout strategy above resistance. Always manage risk and monitor price action closely if trading live. Let me know if you want a deeper technical breakdown or want to simulate the potential outcome.
Long
by money_magnet2
USOIL UPDATEThe EUR/USD exchange rate continued its upward momentum, approaching the 1.1230 area during the North American session, extending Tuesday's gains. The major currency pair attracted significant buying interest due to the weakening U.S. dollar, with the U.S. Dollar Index retreating from around the monthly high of 102.00 to near 100.50. This week, the key catalyst for EUR/USD will be Federal Reserve Chair Powell's speech at the Thomas Laubach Research Conference in Washington on Thursday. In terms of economic data, traders will focus on the release of U.S. April retail sales and Producer Price Index (PPI) figures on Thursday. From a candlestick pattern perspective, the recent price action has formed a rising wedge, a technical formation often indicating a potential trend reversal. The exchange rate is currently testing the support level at 1.1220. A break below this level could trigger a further retracement to the 1.1180 zone. you are currently struggling with losses, or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow, at this moment, you can choose to observe the operations within our channel.
Long
by HilaryBloomer