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USDEUR trade ideas

The Day AheadKey Data Releases US: March NFIB Small Business Optimism Index – gauge of small business sentiment, could hint at future economic activity and inflation pressures. Japan: March Economy Watchers Survey – frontline view of economic trends. February BoP (Balance of Payments): Current account & trade balance – impacts yen and risk sentiment. France: February trade and current account balances – minor euro impact unless surprise. Central Bank Speakers Fed: Daly – watch for comments on rate path or inflation risks. ECB: Holzmann, Guindos, Cipollone – possible euro movement on hawkish/dovish tones. BoE: Lombardelli – any forward guidance on rates may move GBP. Earnings Samsung – bellwether for tech and semis; relevant for risk sentiment in Asia. Walgreens Boots Alliance – watch for US consumer health and retail trends. Fixed Income US: 3-Year Note Auction – important for yield curve dynamics and short-end demand. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
EUR/USD Price Action Update – April 8, 2025📊 EUR/USD Price Action Update – April 8, 2025 🎯 🔹 Current Price: 1.09983 🔹 Timeframe: 4H 📌 Key Support Levels (Demand Zones): 🟢 1.08549 – Immediate Demand Zone (Watch for bullish reaction) 🟢 1.07887 – Deeper Support (Liquidity sweep potential) 🟢 1.07572 – Strong Institutional Demand (Major reversal zone) 📌 Key Resistance Levels (Potential Targets): 🔴 1.10000+ – Psychological Resistance & Round Number 🔴 1.10500 – Next clean target if price reverses bullish 📈 Bullish Scenario: If price dips into the 1.08549 demand zone and shows signs of rejection (e.g., bullish engulfing or strong wick rejection), we may see a bounce back toward 1.10000 and beyond. A successful retest of this zone with momentum could open the path toward 1.10500. 📉 Bearish Scenario: If price breaks below 1.08549, we may see a further drop to sweep liquidity around 1.07887 or even 1.07572 before bullish interest returns. Failure to hold 1.07572 could indicate trend shift toward deeper lows. ⚡ Trading Tip: ✅ Wait for bullish confirmations at key demand zones before entering longs. ✅ Track lower timeframes for entry (15M/1H) within the 4H zones. ✅ Avoid FOMO; let the price react first and manage risk accordingly. #EURUSD #ForexTrading #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #SmartMoneyConcepts #LiquidityZones #ForexSetup #MarketStructure #ForexSignals #SwingTrading #FVG #DemandZone #ReversalPattern #ForexMarket #BreakoutStrategy #ScalpingIdeas
Long
by FXFOREVER_87
Long Position for EUR: A Bullish Opportunity Next Week - Key Insights: The EUR shows resilience and potential for upward movement despite global market challenges. A bullish trend against USD is supported by recent candle formations and sentiment shifts favoring non-USD currencies. Key support at 1.07802 and breakout above 1.09281 solidify EUR's potential. - Price Targets: Next week targets - T1: 1.09800, T2: 1.10200; Stop levels - S1: 1.08700, S2: 1.08200. - Recent Performance: EUR/USD exhibits an overall upward trend in a volatile market, breaking key resistance levels, even as European indices face declines. - Expert Analysis: Analysts suggest continued bullish movements as USD faces bearish pressures, increasing confidence in EUR's upward trajectory. - News Impact: Declines in Euro Stock 600 and pending CPI data are critical factors. Market participants should remain vigilant of economic reports that could influence EUR's movement against USD.
Long
by CrowdWisdomTrading
EURUSD SHORT POTENTIAL Q2 W15 Y25 MON 7TH APRIL 2025EURUSD SHORT POTENTIAL Q2 W15 Y25 MON 7TH APRIL 2025 An almost picture perfect setup. Let's take a look into why and what we forecast. Take a look at the weekly chart. We have had a previous bearish close from the weekly order block. That's a tick in our book. The even better news is that weekly wick of rejection has also mitigated the daily order block up at the highs! Another serious level of confluence that will in turn support out short forecast. Now what can we expect to happen next for price action. We shall not guess, we will wait to see how the market plays but I'll inform you of what FRGNT X would love to see. -Price action fill the previous weekly closed wick area. - In doing so, can we reach the 15' Order block that was left behind. - Can we grab a lower time from break of structure from that point of interest. - Once the above occurs. We short the market doing to clear points of interest. The plan for EURUSD is very very simple this Monday morning. Let's see how it plays out. FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
Long EURUSD retest of breakout levels Macro outlook for the remainder of the week Upcoming News US NFP at 430pm Fri USD downside Bad NFP report USD upside Good NFP report News review Liberation Day - Full-scale tariff were definitely not a good thing for the USD as investor fear of it causing a recession is currently outweighing the potential of keeping interest rates high to prevent inflation from running hot. Price has voted this way, so let's keep with it. The risk to this thesis is if Powell comes out and convinces the market that he will focus on inflation over all else and take a hard stance similar to volcker. Then we switch fundamental views. Technical view Breakout of the previous levels at 1.0954 With NFP coming up, I'm looking for a retrace back to near the breakout level before it, then take a high RR bet for the trend to continue to the upside. Timeframe of bet → Till Friday around NFP Price level of interest → 1.099 to 1.0954 Execution Price alert set Look for price to touch the area, and reverse SL: 1.093 for now. Will be determined based of reversal candle and what's the low of the retracement move. TP: Highs of 1.11 Results of ideas thus far: Number of trades: 1 WR: 0% Profit: -0.1R Notes: This is currently for personal practice to write out trade ideas. Feedback is welcome, and please don't mind if none of this makes sense.
Long
by yuhaocooper
EURUSD Is Very Bullish! Long! Take a look at our analysis for EURUSD. Time Frame: 1D Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is testing a major horizontal structure 1.101. Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 1.123 level soon. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
1
EUR/USD | Major Shift – Is the Euro Reclaiming Strength?A major shift may be underway in the EUR/USD pair, potentially signaling the euro’s resurgence after a prolonged period of dollar dominance. Historical patterns suggest that the EUR/USD cycle closely mirrors the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) cycle in inverse correlation. Given the recent inflection points, we may be entering a phase where the dollar weakens while the euro strengthens. Historical Cycles & The DXY Correlation Examining past EUR/USD bottoms, we see a recurring pattern roughly every 15–20 years, aligning inversely with DXY peaks: 1971: EUR/USD bottomed as the dollar peaked before entering a long decline. 1985: The Plaza Accord led to a major DXY peak, followed by a strong euro uptrend. 2000: The dollar peaked again, marking another significant euro rally. 2022: The most recent DXY peak (~114), coinciding with an EUR/USD low. Each of these key reversals reflects a broad shift in global monetary policy, trade balances, and economic cycles. If history is repeating, the 2022 dollar peak may have set the stage for a multi-year euro recovery, just as previous DXY tops did. Key Drivers to Watch Monetary Policy Divergence: The Fed's tightening cycle may be nearing its end, while the ECB remains cautious on rate cuts. Economic Momentum: If the U.S. economy slows while the Eurozone stabilizes, capital flows may shift towards the euro. Investor Sentiment: As DXY trends lower, it could accelerate EUR/USD bullish momentum, as seen in previous cycles. What’s Next? With the euro holding above historically significant lows and the DXY showing signs of cyclical weakening, traders should watch for confirmations of this potential long-term reversal. If past trends hold, we could be witnessing the early stages of another major EUR/USD bull cycle.
Long
by adiyatcoto
Will markets suffer a 30% drop?Will markets suffer a 30% drop? The announcement of new U.S. tariffs caused a surprising wave of selling in financial markets, sparing no sector. The consequences of this decision have been shaken, and the market is now in a state of uncertainty. The uncertainty has also affected monetary policy expectations, with investors now predicting more rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. This is evident from the collapse in the probability of the “no cut” scenario according to the CME Fed Watch Tool. To make matters worse, the recent ISM data showed a sharp decline in new orders, a worrisome sign for future economic growth. In addition, only 47 percent of companies listed in the S&P 500 are priced above their 200-day moving average, a level that in the past has been associated with average declines of 7.3 percent over the next 12 months. However, is it really justified to be so concerned? A major cause of the panic is the Atlanta Fed's forecast, which significantly revised downward its estimated growth for the current quarter. According to the GDPNow model, the annual increase went from +2.3 percent to -2.8 percent in just a few days. This dramatic revision has led many analysts to speak of a “Trumpcession,” pointing to a possible risk of recession under a new Trump administration. It is important to note that the Atlanta Fed's forecast is an exception to most current estimates. For example, the New York Fed's Nowcast model still forecasts annual growth of +2.9 percent in the first quarter, in line with previous expectations. This suggests that the sharp drop in the forecast could be influenced by temporary factors or specific calculation methods. Not long ago, the same model predicted +4.0% growth. Stock markets are in turmoil because of growing economic concerns. Technology stocks, which have been driving the stock market upward for years, are now among the main losers, with companies such as Nvidia and Tesla posting negative performances. The aviation sector is also coming under pressure, with companies such as Delta Airlines seeing sharp declines in profits due to economic uncertainty. The financial sector is under particular pressure as banks increase their reserves for potential loan losses, a sign that credit quality may deteriorate in the coming quarters. The volatility futures market is showing signs of concern as contracts maturing in March are more expensive than eight-month contracts. This “backwardation” has been present for four consecutive sessions and in the past has predicted long periods of impending turmoil. Historical facts have shown that when volatility futures remain in backwardation for more than five days, the market suffered further losses in the following month with an average of 4.5 percent. Hedge funds are adapting to the current economic situation and reducing their exposure to equities. Instead, they are focusing their investments on safer assets such as U.S. government bonds, highlighting strong pessimism among institutional investors. Goldman Sachs statistics also reflect this trend, with a reduction in exposure to stocks similar to that seen during the market crash in 2020. The history of financial markets has taught us that phases of volatility and panic are common and cyclical. Often, sudden fluctuations in economic expectations are driven by emotions rather than a rational response to hard data. It is important to note that the tariffs have not yet taken effect, so it is premature to draw firm conclusions about their impact on markets. My prediction is that the tariff war will not materialize and the United States will soon come to an agreement. In addition, it seems increasingly likely that the conflict in Ukraine will end soon and the FED's interest rates will fall, which will have a positive effect on the market in the next quarter. I predict that the Nasdaq, S&P 500 and Bitcoin will recover at least half of their losses in the coming weeks.
by Antonio_Ferlito
EurUsd could continue to the downsideTwo weeks ago, I mentioned that while a new high was possible, the bigger move in EUR/USD should be to the downside. Indeed, the pair dropped from above 1.0900 and recently found support around the 1.0730 zone. The recent recovery appears corrective, unfolding in a flag pattern, and I expect another leg down toward 1.0600. Bearish confirmation comes with a daily close below 1.0750, and my preferred strategy is to sell rallies. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Short
by Mihai_Iacob
EUR/USD continue with the UptrendOn EUR/USD , it's nice to see a strong buying reaction at the price of 1.07740. There's a significant accumulation of contracts in this area, indicating strong buyer interest. I believe that buyers who entered at this level will defend their long positions. If the price returns to this area, strong buyers will likely push the market up again. (FVG) - Fair Value GAP and high volume cluster are the main reasons for my decision to go long on this trade. Happy trading Dale
by Trader_Dale
EURUSD 4H Bearish Cross starting the peak formation.The EURUSD pair posted a strong rebound last week, which is along the lines of our long-term bearish structure estimate, similar to the September 2024 Top. The 4H MA50/100 Bearish Cross that was formed on Thursday, simply confirms that the pattern goes according to plan as on September 06 2024, the price got rejected after its completion and then rebounded to test Resistance 1 before the ultimate market peak. We still expect a similar development, with our ultimate long-term Target being 1.03650, just above Support 1. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
3