EU trade breakdown 24th June 2x entryBreaking down two of my positions from Tuesday.
First entry was a very aggressive momentum entry on the flip of a M3 imbalance.
Second entry was fantastic and even though it lost - it was a good trade to take. We had HTF alignment as well as a strong London Low to trade away from.
USDEUR trade ideas
EURUSD pullbackEURUSD remains above 1,1700 on the final day of the quarter.
This week, all eyes are on the upcoming U.S. jobs data, set to be released on Thursday due to the market holiday on Friday.
Watch for a potential pullback, which could offer a new buying opportunity.
Key support levels are at 1,1635 and 1,1562.
The goal: continuation of the trend and a new high.
EURUSD InsightHello to all our subscribers, and welcome!
Please share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to like and subscribe.
Key Points
- U.S. President Trump commented on the mutual tariff suspension deadline of July 9, saying, “We can do whatever we want. We could extend it, or shorten it,” leaving the door open for an extension.
- U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent stated that trade negotiations could be finalized by September 1, adding that agreements were nearing completion with more than 10 of the 18 major trading partners.
- President Trump noted that Canada is preparing to implement a digital tax, saying, “We will halt all trade discussions with Canada and within the next seven days inform them of the tariffs they must pay to operate in the U.S.”
- The U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index for May met expectations at 2.3% year-over-year, while the Core PCE Price Index slightly exceeded expectations at 2.7% year-over-year.
Key Economic Events This Week
+ June 30: U.K. Q1 GDP
+ July 1: Eurozone June CPI, Speech by Fed Chair Jerome Powell, U.S. JOLTS (Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey)
+ July 2: U.S. June ADP Nonfarm Employment Change
+ July 3: U.S. June Nonfarm Payrolls, U.S. June Unemployment Rate
EURUSD Chart Analysis
The pair is showing a steep upward trend after breaking through a previous resistance level. Further upside potential appears to remain, with the next projected target area around the 1.18500–1.19000 range. However, there is currently a resistance zone in place, making it highly likely that a short-term dip may occur before the upward trend resumes.
SHORT ON EURUSD 📋 **TRADE PLAN FOR MT4/MT5**
**Trade Type:** Sell
**Entry Zone:** `1.1730 – 1.1740` (wait for rejection or bearish candlestick confirmation)
**Stop Loss:** `1.1755` (above recent highs and resistance box)
**Take Profit Levels:**
* **TP1:** `1.1537` (previous support)
* **TP2:** `1.1450` (strong demand zone)
**Position Size:** Adjust based on risk management (e.g., 1–2% of account)
**Risk-Reward Ratio:**
* To TP1: \~1:3
* To TP2: \~1:5
✅ **TRADE MANAGEMENT RULES**
* ✅ Enter only after bearish candlestick (e.g., pin bar, engulfing) confirmation
* 🔄 If SL hits, reassess higher timeframe structure
* 🔒 Lock profits at TP1 (e.g., trail SL or partial close)
* 🗓 Watch for high-impact news (e.g., NFP, CPI) that may affect USD volatility
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of June 27, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
In the course of this week's trading session, the Eurodollar has exhibited a strong rebound, successfully retesting and surpassing the Outer Currency Rally threshold of 1.163. Recent analyses suggest that the Euro is poised for further upward advancement, with the key target to reach the outer currency rally target of 1.177. Nonetheless, it is essential to recognize the possibility of a subsequent decline to the Mean Support level of 1.160 before a definitive upward movement.
EUR/USD Daily Timeframe Analysis – Bullish OutlookOn the daily chart, the EUR/USD pair shows a clear bullish bias in the long term, backed by strong upward momentum in recent sessions.
🔹 Price Action Overview:
Last week, EUR/USD printed a strong impulsive move to the upside, indicating increased bullish interest and potential trend continuation. This momentum suggests that the bulls are firmly in control, at least for now.
🔹 What to Expect Next:
With the impulsive leg completed, we are now anticipating a short-term retracement. Price is likely to pull back into a key demand zone, previously acting as resistance, and now potentially flipping into support.
I've marked this retracement zone with a green circle on the chart, aligning with the price range:
📍 Key Trade Levels:
Buy Entry Zone: 1.15900 – 1.16100
(Expecting price to react at this former resistance turned support)
Stop Loss: 1.15400
(Below recent swing low to protect against invalidation)
Take Profit: 1.17300
(Targeting the next significant resistance area)
---
🧠 Trade Idea Summary:
This setup follows the classic "impulse–retracement–continuation" structure. As long as price holds above the retracement zone, we maintain a bullish outlook for EUR/USD.
🔔 Watch for bullish price action (e.g., pin bars, engulfing candles) within the buy zone before entering for confirmation.
EURUSD Elliott Wave Update: Upward Momentum ResumesThe EURUSD Elliott Wave sequence initiated from the September 2022 low reveals an incomplete bullish structure, signaling potential for further upside. A short-term rally from the May 29, 2025 low is currently unfolding as a five-wave impulse. As depicted in the 1-hour chart below, wave ((i)) peaked at 1.16319. A corrective wave ((ii)) followed which concluded at 1.14435. The internal structure of wave ((ii)) formed a zigzag pattern, with wave (a) declining to 1.1486 and wave (b) rebounding to 1.1614. Wave (c) completed the correction at 1.144, finalizing wave ((ii)) in the higher degree.
The pair has resumed its ascent in wave ((iii)), exhibiting an impulsive internal subdivision. From the wave ((ii)) low, wave i advanced to 1.1544, followed by a minor dip in wave ii to 1.1451. Wave iii surged to 1.1641, with a subsequent wave iv pullback ending at 1.1587. The final leg, wave v, culminated at 1.1745, completing wave (i) in the higher degree. A corrective wave (ii) pullback, likely a three-wave zigzag, appears to have concluded at 1.1678. However, a break above the wave (i) high at 1.1745 is required to negate the possibility of a double correction lower. Given the shallow nature of the wave (ii) pullback, the risk of a deeper correction remains. However, as long as the pivotal low at 1.144 holds, dips should attract buyers in 3, 7, or 11 swings, supporting further upside momentum.
EURUSD JUNE MONTH DELIVERY & NFP week ideasEURUSD
JUNE MONTH DELIVERY
*June closes with a expansion/accumulation monthly candle
*Price wicked to the Weekly SIBI from sept 2021
*Price expanded to come just below the parent range .79 Premium
*Note since May 13 price has been in a buy program with little retrace
*Price is delivering to a Premium market taking key equal highs last week
June 27 DELIVERY
*Thursday into Friday price consolidates
*Asia takes minor equal lows
*2 London macro expands to the buy side
*small retrace
*6 macro starts the expansion cycle to send Price to take equal highs
*10 silver bullet price reverses Londons delivery taking minor sell side
*14:00 macro Price retraces to close rebalancing NY am delivery
*Price closes just above the 50 in a premium
NFP WEEK IDEAS
Deep premium with little retrace last week-over bought
*I suspect that we could see a retrace/reversal beginning of NFP week
*could we see price come to the current range 50 level 1.16037
*Note the EV is in a discount could price retrace to that target for the week
June 30 IDEAS
*Parent bias is bull stick to it this week
*Sundays delivery Price could retrace to minor equal highs at the .618
*Note Dealers range is already 32 pips-setting up for a potential larger expansion day
*watch out for a possible consolidation cycle Monday-typical profile is expansion but we will see with no news
*Sundays delivery could consolidation
*Watch for reaction at .618 at minor equal highs
*see if we swing for higher prices in Asia to London and lower in NY for Mondays suspected delivery-read what the chart prints this is just an idea-its not my gospel
EUR/USD 4H – Approaching Major Supply Zone | Potential Mid-Term EUR/USD 4H – Approaching Major Supply Zone | Potential Mid-Term Reversal
Euro has extended its bullish rally into a historically strong supply/resistance zone around 1.17185 – 1.19774, which aligns with the previous rejection zone from mid-2024. Price is showing signs of slowing down near this upper boundary.
🔍 Key Technical Highlights:
Strong Supply Zone (1.1718 – 1.1977): A major resistance area that previously triggered sharp sell-offs. This zone is now retested after months of bullish recovery.
Momentum Divergence Potential: Price has climbed aggressively, but with signs of exhaustion visible on the lower timeframe candles.
Demand Zones Below:
First support at 1.15998
Followed by deeper demand areas at 1.14990, 1.12850, and 1.11046 – all marking clean reaction zones.
📊 Trade Setup:
Bias: Short (swing position)
Sell Entry Zone: 1.17185 – 1.19774
Stop Loss: Above 1.19800 (above key supply zone)
Take Profit Targets:
TP1: 1.15998
TP2: 1.12850
TP3: 1.11000
🧠 Tactical Note:
Watch for bearish confirmation (engulfing candle / structure break) before executing entries. A clean rejection from the supply zone could provide an attractive swing setup with a favorable risk-reward profile.
EUR/USD Holds Above Support – Watching 1.17400 and BeyondHi Everyone,
As highlighted, a successful bounce from the near-term support at 1.16680 provided a retest of the 1.17400 zone. Looking ahead, we expect price action to revisit this level in the coming week.
A confirmed break above this resistance could open the path toward 1.18000, where we anticipate encountering dynamic resistance.
As outlined in our analysis last week, we anticipated a continued move higher toward the 1.16564 and 1.18325 levels, provided price held above 1.14483.
Price respected this level, and EUR/USD extended its rally, reaching our first key target at 1.16564 and pushing above 1.17400 — marking the highest level since February 2022.
We will provide further updates on the projected path for EUR/USD should price reach this level.
The longer-term outlook remains bullish, with expectations for the rally to extend toward the 1.2000 level, provided the price holds above the key support at 1.10649.
We will continue to update you throughout the week with how we’re managing our active ideas and positions. Thanks again for all the likes/boosts, comments and follows — we appreciate the support!
All the best for a good end to the week. Trade safe.
BluetonaFX
EURUSD Lots of Bearish Clues Popping UpThis is an update to my last post, I'm still waiting for that 4hr candle to close below the last. However, now I'm starting to spot more bearish indications on the 1hr timeframe.
First thing I'm noticing is the RSI divergence show that the bullish strength is weakening. RSI on the 4hr + the 1hr are heading lower. Now I'm still waiting for that 4 hour to close below the last but I also want to see this ascending trendline break and hold below as well.
In the event we break below this trendline, I'll be looking to go short with my target plotted on the chart.
HelenP. I Euro will drop to trend line, after movement upHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. If we look at the chart, we can see that EURUSD has been moving in a stable upward trend, supported by a clear ascending trend line. Each time the price approached this line, it rebounded and continued to grow, respecting the bullish structure. After the recent breakout from the support zone around 1.1500, the market made a strong impulse to the upside and reached a local high. Now, the momentum seems to be slowing down, which opens the possibility for a corrective movement. Given this setup, I expect that the price could first make a small upward push to trap late buyers, and then turn around to begin a decline. The trend line remains a critical technical level, and I anticipate the price will revisit it soon. For this reason, I’ve placed my goal at 1.1575 points — this area aligns with the trend line and can serve as the next support if a pullback occurs. As long as this level holds, the market remains in a bullish structure, but a correction seems likely before further growth. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment.
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
EURUSD: Target Is Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break above the current local range around 1.18033 will confirm the new direction upwards with the target being the next key level of 1.18161 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
EURUSD : Up and DownLife’s a ride of highs and lows,
A dance of joy, a tide that flows.
Up we climb with laughter bright,
Down we sink in quiet night.
Mountaintop or valley deep,
Moments swift or slow to creep.
Sunlit days will surely shine,
Storms will pass—just give them time.
Up again, we spread our wings,
Chasing dreams on hopeful strings.
Down once more? That’s alright too—
Every fall makes strength feel new.
So take the highs, embrace the low,
Life’s a rhythm, ebb and flow.
Up and down, we twist, we bend,
But the journey? Worth it, friend.
Good luck.
TiqGpt setup for todayMARKET NARRATIVE: The EUR/USD currency pair across multiple timeframes shows a consistent bullish momentum, indicating strong buying pressure. Starting from the 1D chart down to the 1m chart, there is a clear upward trend with higher highs and higher lows, suggesting institutional accumulation and a lack of significant sell-side pressure. The 1D and 4H charts display a series of green candles with minimal wicks, indicating that the market is in a strong bullish phase with little retracement. The 1H and lower timeframes show some consolidation, but the overall structure remains bullish, suggesting that institutions are still in control of the price action.
INSTITUTIONAL THESIS: Institutions appear to be in an accumulation phase, consistently pushing the price higher. The lack of deep pullbacks and the formation of higher lows across timeframes suggest that there is ongoing demand at higher price levels. This is indicative of a liquidity grab above the current highs, where institutions may be targeting stop losses placed by retail traders who are positioned for a reversal.
LEARNING POINT: The consistent bullish candles with minimal retracement across higher timeframes (1D, 4H) highlight a strong institutional buying phase, potentially leading to a liquidity sweep above recent highs.
SIGNAL: WAIT SYMBOL: EUR/USD ENTRY PRICE: $1.18140 STOP LOSS: $1.17950 (below the recent minor consolidation on the 1H chart) TARGET PRICE: $1.18500 (just below the next psychological round number and potential liquidity pool) CONDITION: Buy limit order at $1.18140 after a minor retracement confirms continued buying interest. RATIONALE: Calculated risk/reward ratio of 1:1.9 (Risk=$0.00, Reward=$0.00) does not meet minimum 2:1 requirement. Waiting for better institutional setup with improved risk parameters. STRATEGIES USED: Institutional Accumulation, Liquidity Sweep Targeting URGENCY: MEDIUM TIMEFRAME: Short-term CONFIDENCE SCORE: 85% (based on the consistency of the bullish structure and lack of significant bearish counter-signals) RISK/REWARD RATIO: Risk=$0.00, Reward=$0.00, Ratio=1:1.9 (Below 2:1 minimum)
Risk = $1.18140 - $1.17950 = $0.00190
Reward = $1.18500 - $1.18140 = $0.00360
Ratio = $0.00360 / $0.00190 = 1:1.89
Given that the risk/reward ratio is slightly below the required 2:1, the recommendation is to WAIT for a better entry point that could provide a higher reward relative to the risk or adjust the target price if market conditions change to improve the potential reward.
EUR/USD.4h chart pattern.EUR/USD 4H chart, I can see an ascending trendline with a breakout to the upside, suggesting bullish momentum. You’ve also marked a "TARGET" zone visually on the chart.
Estimated Target:
Based on standard breakout and trend continuation principles:
Current Price: Around 1.1598
Visual Target Zone (as per your chart): Near 1.1700
Potential Target Zone:
1.1700 - 1.1720 (Approximate zone for bullish continuation if breakout holds)
Notes:
✅ Strong bullish structure confirmed by higher highs and trendline support
✅ Breakout already in motion; as long as price stays above the trendline, bullish target remains valid
✅ Watch key support at 1.1535 - 1.1500; price falling below this weakens bullish outlook
Would you like Fibonacci or measured move targets calculated more precisely? Let me know!
More upside for EUHi traders,
Last week EU started with a gap down. After the fill it swept the lows and after that it made the next impulsive wave up.
So next week after the finish of the correction down we could see more upside.
Let's see what the market does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for the finish of the correction down and a change in orderflow to bullish on a lower time frame. After a small correction down you could trade longs again.
If you want to learn more about trading with FVG's, liquidity sweeps and Wave analysis, then make sure to follow me.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis.
Don't be emotional, just trade your plan!
Eduwave