EUR/USD: Still in Distribution Phase
The pair remains within Wave 4, which is likely unfolding as a sideways correction โ possibly a triangle (cT, bT) or flat (FI, EFL, RFL, or d3).
Once the final leg down completes, I expect an impulsive Wave 5 โ a culmination move โ with upside potential toward the 1.10โ1.12 zone.
Letโs see how it plays out.
USDEUR trade ideas
EUR/USD OUTLOOK (READ CAPTION BELOW)As of April 17, 2025, the EUR/USD currency pair is exhibiting a cautiously bullish technical outlook, though broader market sentiment remains mixed.
Forecasts
Short-Term: Analysts suggest that if current trends persist, the EUR/USD could reach 1.14754 in the near term .
April 2025: Projections indicate a potential rise to 1.16024 by the end of April, marking a 10.6% monthly gain .
Technical Outlook:
From a technical perspective, the EUR/USD has surpassed key resistance levels, with the next significant resistance anticipated around the 1.14754 mark. On the downside, support levels are observed between 1.12789 and 1.12600, areas that previously acted as resistance.
Market Sentiment:
Market sentiment indicates a strong bullish trend for the EUR/USD pair. Technical analysis suggests a "Strong Buy" recommendation on both daily and weekly timeframes.
Boost & Comments to Inspires me to share more Analysis with you.
EURUSD Has Been consolidating Serval session A next EURUSD movement what's next target.
EURUSD has been consolidating for several sessions now after making a strong impulsive move to the upside earlier this month. Since support the 1.2150 level, momentum has started to slow up and price is beginning to range near the recent highs. That alone isnโt surprising strong impulsive moves are almost always followed by periods of consolidation or retracement as the market pauses, takes profits, and revaluates.
Resistance zone 1.14000 / 1.14700
Support 1.12000
PS Support with like and comments for more analysis to share with you our more experience with you.
Euro Rally Slows โ Eyes on Rejection Zone๐ง Fundamental Analysis โ Eurozone vs United States
The euro has rallied sharply in recent days, driven by relative stability in the Eurozone compared to growing macroeconomic uncertainty in the U.S. While the U.S. GDP slowed to 2.4% and inflation eased to 2.4%, Eurozone inflation remained stable at 2.2%, with a balanced trade surplus of โฌ1.03B versus the U.S.โs $123B deficit. The European Central Bank has maintained a moderate interest rate of 2.65%, signaling flexibility, while the Fed holds at 4.5% but faces growing pressure to cut amid weakening consumer confidence (50.8) and rising unemployment (4.2%). In contrast, Eurozone unemployment just hit a record low of 6.1%, and business conditions are improving with both PMIs above 50. Capital flow is shifting as investors perceive the Eurozone as more stable, especially amid U.S. trade policy unpredictability and de-dollarization sentiment.
๐ Projection: If macro stability holds and ECB policy remains steady, the euro could continue attracting capital inflows, pushing EUR/USD higher.
โ ๏ธ Risk Level: A sharp slowdown in Eurozone growth or surprise tightening from the Fed could reverse momentum quickly.
๐ Technical Analysis โ EUR/USD (1H Chart)
EUR/USD is currently trading at 1.1346, just below the highlighted liquidity grab zone near 1.14500โ1.15000, which aligns with a potential rejection area below the PWH (1.15200). A potential liquidity sweep above this resistance could trigger a reversal setup.
๐ Projection: If EUR/USD grabs liquidity above 1.14500 but fails to hold, price may drop toward TP1 (1.11300โ1.11170) and even TP2 (1.09540 / PWL) if bearish momentum strengthens.
โ ๏ธ Risk Level: A sustained breakout above 1.15200 (PWH) with volume would invalidate the reversal idea and signal continuation toward 1.1600+.
EUR/USD at Key Decision Zone โ Breakout or Smart Money Trap?๐ข Current Context
Price: 1.13820 USD
Trend: Strong bullish structure, with impulsive moves especially in April.
Main timeframe: Appears to be daily or weekly, with multi-timeframe zones (1W, 1M marked).
๐งฑ Key Zones
๐ด Supply Zone (1.13000โ1.15000)
Well-defined area of historic selling pressure. Price reacted with a temporary drop but bounced right back into it.
๐ฆ Demand Zone (1.08500โ1.10000)
Major order block where the current rally was initiated. Price used this as a base to launch higher.
โซ Lower Supports
1.03600: Weekly support
1.02838: Monthly support
Broad accumulation zone (grey box) from which this trend began.
๐ Price Structure
Strong breakout above 1.10โ1.11 resistance.
Currently pulling back inside the supply zone โ the dashed arrows hint at potential liquidity sweeps before a continuation to 1.15+.
๐ Momentum Indicator (likely RSI/CCI)
Currently elevated, but not yet in extreme overbought. No clear divergence. Momentum favors bulls.
๐ Scenarios
โ
Bullish:
Clean break above 1.14500โ1.15000 opens the door to 1.1600 and 1.1800. Wait for a structural retest for safer long entries.
โ ๏ธ Bearish (corrective):
Strong rejection from the supply zone โ potential pullback to 1.10โ1.0850 (blue zone).
Only below 1.0850 would a deeper bearish structure toward 1.03600 be confirmed.
๐ง Strategic Note
This is a zone of clear smart money activity: liquidity grabs on both ends.
Watch how this weekly candle closes โ weโre either validating above 1.13 or setting up a trap for late longs.
EUR/USD short trade Macro viewHere's a EUR/USD 1 week chart, 3 year view. As you can see EUR/USD is trading in a major resistance area with the top being 1.14950. November 2024 - February 2025 EUR/USD support range high was 1.0632 to low 1.0213. In September 2022 EUR/USD low was 0.9536. The average price of the past 3 years high and low equals 1.0515.
EUR/USD short trade idea:
short = 1.1379
stop = 1.1495
profit = 1.0515
EURUSD My Opinion! SELL!`
My dear subscribers,
EURUSD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 1.1362 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
My Stop Loss - 1.1441
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probableBearish continuation.
Target - 1.1195
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
โโโโโโโโโโโ
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURUSD INTRADAY ECB Rate decision in focus!Trend Overview: The EUR/USD currency pair remains in a bullish trend, supported by a prevailing uptrend. The recent intraday price action suggests a sideways consolidation (coiling price action) possibly triggering a corrective pullback towards a newly formed support zone, previously a resistance level.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support Levels:
1.1240 โ Previous resistance turned support, key level for potential bounce.
1.1144 โ Secondary support level if 1.1240 fails.
1.1000 and 1.0890 โ Stronger support in case of extended retracement.
Resistance Levels:
1.1475 โ Initial resistance level on the upside.
1.1595 โ Next target if bullish momentum continues.
1.1700 and 1.1830 โ Long-term resistance and key breakout point.
Market Sentiment & Price Action: The recent corrective pullback aligns with normal market fluctuations within an uptrend. A bullish bounce from the 1.1240 support level could trigger an upside move, targeting the 1.1475 resistance level and potentially extending towards 1.1595 and 1.1700 โ 1.1830 over a longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed loss of the 1.1240 support, accompanied by a daily close below this level, would weaken the bullish outlook. This could lead to further downside pressure, potentially testing the 1.1144 level, with an extended decline towards 1.1000 and 1.0890 if selling pressure intensifies.
Conclusion: The EUR/USD pair remains in a bullish structure as long as the 1.1240 support holds. A successful bounce from this level would reinforce the uptrend, targeting higher resistance zones. However, a decisive break below 1.1240 and a daily close under this level could shift sentiment bearish, leading to further downside retracement.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
EUR/USD "The Fiber" Forex Bank Heist Plan (Swing/Day)๐Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!๐
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Based on ๐ฅThief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis๐ฅ, here is our master plan to heist the EUR/USD "The Fiber" Forex Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. ๐๐ธ"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!๐ช๐๐
Entry ๐ : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bullish loot at any price - the heist is on!
however I advise to Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level. I Highly recommended you to put alert in your chart.
Stop Loss ๐:
Thief SL placed at the Nearest / Swing low level Using the 4H timeframe (1.08500) Day/Swing trade basis.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
๐ดโโ ๏ธTarget ๐ฏ: 1.13000 (or) Escape Before the Target
๐งฒScalpers, take note ๐ : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money ๐ฐ.
EUR/USD "The Fiber" Forex Market Heist Plan (Swing / Day Trade) is currently experiencing a bullishness,., driven by several key factors.๐๐๐
๐ฐ๐๏ธGet & Read the Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Quantitative Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Future trend targets..., go ahead to check ๐๐๐๐
Detailed Explanation ๐โจ
Point 1: Fundamentals = tug-of-war โ๏ธ; U.S. strength ๐ช offset by tariffs ๐ง๏ธ, Eurozone weakness ๐ช๐บ mitigated by ECB stability ๐.
Point 2: Macro shows U.S. resilience cracking ๐, euro holding ground โ๏ธ.
Point 3: Global markets mixed ๐, no clear winner, EUR/USD in range ๐.
Point 4: COT cautious ๐, speculators less bullish ๐, hedgers bearish ๐.
Point 5: Intermarket neutral โ๏ธ; dollar-yield link key ๐, equity dips cap extremes ๐.
Point 6: 1.0950 pivot ๐ฏ, breakout or breakdown ahead ๐๐.
Point 7: Sentiment balanced ๐, retail buys ๐ vs. institutional caution ๐.
Point 8: Trends hinge on 1.0950 ๐ฎ; bullish needs breakout ๐, bearish risks below support ๐.
Point 9: Neutral outlook โ๏ธ, breakout potential either way ๐๐.
Accurate as of April 7, 2025 โฐ, based on trends & projections. Watch U.S. CPI & Eurozone news ๐!
โ ๏ธTrading Alert : News Releases and Position Management ๐ฐ ๐๏ธ ๐ซ๐
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
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EUR/USD.. 30M chart Pattren..MYr short trade on EUR/USD looks like a solid plan, especially with the focus on a trend line breakout for confirmation. Let's break down some key aspects to consider:
*Trend Line Breakout Confirmation*
1. *Confirmation Criteria*: Ensure the breakout is confirmed with a strong candlestick close below the trend line on the 30-minute chart. This reduces the chance of false breakouts.
2. *Volume*: Check if there's an increase in volume during the breakout. Higher volume can validate the strength of the move.
*Stop-Loss Placement*
1. *Above Recent Swing High*: Placing your stop-loss above the recent swing high provides a buffer against minor price fluctuations.
2. *Dynamic Stop-Loss*: Consider using a trailing stop-loss that adjusts as the price moves in your favor. This can help lock in profits while giving the trade room to breathe.
*Risk Management*
1. *Position Sizing*: Determine the appropriate position size based on your risk tolerance. A common rule is to risk no more than 1-2% of your trading capital on a single trade.
2. *Risk-Reward Ratio*: Calculate the risk-reward ratio for your trade. With targets at 1.12800 and 1.11600, your potential reward seems substantial. Ensure this aligns with your trading strategy.
*Additional Considerations*
1. *Market Sentiment and News*: Keep an eye on economic news and events that could impact the EUR/USD pair. Central bank announcements, economic indicators, and geopolitical events can cause significant price movements.
2. *Technical Indicators*: Utilize indicators like the RSI, MACD, or Stochastic Oscillator to gauge the momentum and potential reversal points.
*Next Steps*
- *Monitor the Trend Line*: Keep a close watch on the trend line and ensure the breakout is confirmed before entering the trade.
- *Adjust Targets and Stop-Loss*: Based on the market conditions and your analysis, be prepared to adjust your targets and stop-loss levels.
- *Stay Updated*: Continuously monitor the trade and be ready to act if the market conditions change.
Would you like to discuss more about incorporating technical indicators or how to handle potential market-moving news?
Long trade
15min TF entry
๐ Trade Breakdown โ Buy-Side (EUR/USD)
๐
Date: Tuesday, April 15, 2025
โฐ Time: 4:00 PM โ NY Session PM
๐ Pair: EUR/USD
๐งญ Direction: Long (Buy)
Trade Parameters:
Entry: 1.12842
Take Profit (TP): 1.14254 (+1.25%)
Stop Loss (SL): 1.12692 (โ0.13%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 9.41
Day -Structure
๐ง Trade Narrative:
Targeting: A return to an HTF premium zone and previous daily high for buyside trade idea.
EUROUSD bullish trendPrice is nearing the end of wave 4 of 3, targeting 1.1200 (see chart).A break below 1.0730 would invalidate this count. Watching for signs of a fifth wave push after this consolidation. Potential for an extended wave 5 but taking profit at the 1.1200 target remains prudent. Risk management is key.
EURUSD short-term fall to 1.09 is needed before more riseWe were looking for this pump and all targets hit:
now we are looking for range or even short-term fall here to the supports and again next phase of pump to the targets like 1.1700.
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
<<press like๐ if you enjoy๐
EUR/USD 1-Hour Breakout Trade SetupTrade Overview
I'm sharing a breakout trading opportunity on the EUR/USD pair on a 1-hour timeframe, currently priced at 1.13698. This setup targets a potential breakout from a descending channel, offering a clear risk-reward scenario.
Chart Analysi
Descending Channel: The price is approaching the upper boundary of a descending channel, marked by a blue trendline. This suggests a possible breakout or reversal.
Resistance Zone: A key resistance is identified around 1.13714 (purple horizontal band), where the price recently faced rejection.
Support Zone: Support lies near 1.13680 (lower purple band), serving as a potential stop-loss or entry adjustment level.
Breakout Plan: If the price breaks above 1.13714, I plan to add 0.3 lots ("Add 0.3 L near"), adjusting the stop-loss to this level ("SL to new Position") to lock in profits.
This is a breakout trade with a focus on risk management. I'll enter on a confirmed break above 1.13714, scaling in with 0.3 lots, and trail the stop-loss to the entry level. The setup leverages the channel's upper boundary for a high-probability move, with the SMA providing additional confluence.
Risk Management
Initial SL: 1.13680 (below support).
Adjusted SL: 1.13714 (post-breakout).
Target: Dependent on channel breakout strength, aiming for the next resistance or a 1:2 risk-reward ratio.
Letโs see how this plays outโfeel free to share your thoughts or follow along!
EURUSD (2W) | TECHNICAL ANALYSISChart Date: April 17, 2025 | Timeframe: 2-Week | Pair: EUR/USD
KEY LEVELS (RESISTANCE & SUPPORT)
Pivot High (Stop-Loss): 1.14950
Resistance (Major): 1.14154
Support I (Proximal): 1.05166
Support I (Distal): 1.04072
Support (Proximal): 0.98605
Support (Major): 0.97500
Support (Distal): 0.95936
CURVE ANALYSIS ๐งพ
Sell Order: 1.13982 โ 1.12022
Sell TP 1: 1.08291
Sell TP 2 (Mid Pivot): 1.05155
Sell TP 3: 1.02846
Sell TP 4: 0.99278
Buy Order: 0.98421 โ 0.96340
Pivot Low (Stop-Loss): 0.95360
TRADE OUTLOOK ๐ (SHORT BIAS)
Price is deep within a 2W hidden institutional supply zone
Multiple pivot highs intersect resistance at 1.13982 and 1.14950
DOWNWARD TREND confirmed โ๏ธ
If price fails to close above 1.14950, short setups are favored with confidence
High RRR opportunity present on rejections below 1.13982 or 1.12022
Targets: 1.08291, 1.05155, 1.02846, 0.99278
ENTRY PLAN ๐ง | TRADE IDEA
Wait for bearish engulfing or strong rejection below 1.13982
Place entry below 1.12022 with SL above 1.14950
Scale out at 1.08291 (TP1), then trail toward TP4
RISK MANAGEMENT ๐ฏ
Sell SL: 1.14950
Buy SL: 0.95360
Use ATR to confirm volatility threshold before entry
Session bias: Use London/NY overlap for execution
SUMMARY: SHORT SETUP INSTITUTIONAL ZONE ๐
If 0.64086 (hidden institutional supply) holds, and price does not close above 1.14950, we are in a prime high-probability reversal zone. This sets up a powerful bearish swing opportunity targeting 4 support layers, anchored by institutional demand between 0.97500 - 0.95360.
๐ก "Discipline | Consistency | PAY -tience"
EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W16 D18 Y25EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W16 D18 Y25
Fun Coupon Friday.
Summary
- STILL with HTF Order block (weekly)
- All long positions invalid until weekly close above weekly order block
- Short positions charted
- The more breaks of 15' structure the more confluence for bearish pressure
- Lower time frame turn around in price action REQUIRED in all short positions.
FRGNT X
EU?
Hi,
It took +-50Dys to arrive TP 1.10
now it had extended 1.13-14
I believe.. there would be a rebalancing to 1.08-1.09
Just like Gold.. it will not respect anyone. Just doing what it wants.
You see a trade you like.. Use money management.
This is all, that I could control.
All the best
Not a guru
Bearish drop?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 1.1369
1st Support: 1.1147
1st Resistance: 1.1471
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